Villes Week 5 Picks

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Wisconsin -14.5: The badgers come out this week fresh off of a bye week and face a northwestern team (also on a bye) that has beat two below average opponents (Nevada, Bowling Green). Their one loss comes @ duke by 24 pts, who is not in the same league as Wisconsin as far as size, speed and athleticism. Wisc has put up atleast 30 points in each of the three victories, although they havent faced the best competition i see this game being one sided, especially at camp randall.
Wisc 38 NW 17

Penn State -16.5: The nittany lions squeaked by at Iowa this weekend and showed that they can find a way to win even if its as time expires. Before this game they had given up 14 total points in three games, all at home. IU has faced Ohio st, and put up a good fight in the first half..then the better team showed up. This game has the potential to be very similar, except that its at Penn St not at home. I really like PSU at home this week bouncing back off a low scoring affair against Iowa. PSU 34 Indiana 13

MSU/Iowa O 45:
This games line is definitely interesting after last weeks showdown between PSU and Iowa, i think vegas wants people to bite on Iowa..but might see some value in MSU at home after an emotional blow to the hawkeyes last week. I dont think i can touch the side...but what i do like is the ability to score the football in this one. MSU is coming off a bad loss at home against ND...and will be looking to capitilize on its 4th straight home before going to michigan and minny. Iowa as stated above might be emotionally exahusted after a heartbreaking loss, but i think they come out motivated and will put up more than the 19 they did against a much better defense. MSU 31 Iowa 24

ND/MIOH U 53.5: The most that MIOH has been able to put up so far has been 31 points against very average competition...ND is much better and different than their first four games (Marshall, Austin Peay, Cinci, Central Mich). I really dont see them being able to score the football much @ ND this week, ND has been in a dog fight against UGA, and won by 20 or more points away from home their last two game. ND rolls in this one IMO, they outcoach, and outplay an unproven MIOH team. ND 38 MIOH 10

Rutgers +29: This will be Ohio St's first game away from home in three weeks...yes its against a really bad rutgers ball team...but they did put up a good fight against nebraska last week covering the spread by 2.5, so there is a little bit of fight in this team. Ohio st is probably looking much farther ahead than this game, and wont be as solid as usual...OSU has proven they are good but not perfect by any means. OSU staff and players are eyeing the Oct 28th showdown against PSU and this one end up being lower scoring than it should be...similar to clemson last week. OSU 31 Rutgers 7

Bama -28: This team is simply dominant...yes 28 points is alot and i can see many people taking Ole miss because of past rivalries and close games. This year is different, the last game miss played they lost to an average cal team by 11 points...give me bama at home, they straight up dominate and their defense suffocates again. Bama 41 Miss 6

goodluck

-ville
 

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Ville agree on Bama and Wisconsin. No opinion on the others. Hopefully we are right.
 

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ville........solid YTD.......BOL with your action this weekend.......indy
 

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adding...

Iowa St +5:...man this was a tough one for me, went back and forth, i really like herman as a coach especially with two weeks to prepare. Iowa st was also afforded that same benefit and their at home, which is ultimately why i ended up going with them. Yes yes texas is coming off an "impressive" loss (if thats even a thing) @ USC...but overall i dont think that many people are impressed with the longhorns. Texas has won 12 of the last 14 matchups in this series, but Iowa St has shown they have offensive powerfire..scoring 40 points in their first three games for the first time in 40 years...they are ranked 16th in the nation in scoring, and 17th in passing yards per game, and their rushing attack isnt too shabby either, their RB David Montgomery is sporting 5.7 YPC. The offensive line for Iowa st has allowed only one sack this season, and has really done a good job taking care of the football, this team seems discipline. Texas has also shuffled around Qb's some...and lost three big men up front to injuries...i like this to be a close one, but the home team in prime time comes out with a victory. Iowa St 28 Texas 27

Vandy +9: Last week was certainly one to forget for vandy...coming off a 59-0 loss @ home to the crimson tide. I am sure the atmosphere in the locker room this week was interesting to say the least, i dont even know if bama thought they would blow them out that bad. Its time for the vandy defense to get back on track. The gators are coming off what i call a default win thanks to the horrible coaching UK put on last week (2 blown coverages resulting in TD's). Now sure florida won the game fair and square, but wow did they catch a few breaks. Vandy has a really nice run D, ranked 12th in the nation, while the gators have the 122nd ranked rushing offense in the country. Florida has the fourth worst offense in the country related to first downs, while vandy is fourth in the nation in pass efficiency defense. In general florida has struggled offensively, and i think that continues this week...vandy should be able to put pressure on, stop the run, and force a couple of turnovers, and it might just be enough to squeak by with a victory, but the gators are 25-1 in this series and simply find a way to win. Low scoring, and boring. Fla 20 Vandy 14

Might have a few more...havent decided yet

goodluck

-ville
 

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