I am going to try and dig up my old preseason spreadsheets over the next week as I want to look for some patterns from past preseasons....
Usually the default preseason play is the Dog and the under, but that doesn't hold true all the time obviously, and with more points being scored the last 2 seasons, those "default plays" may change this year...
Saturday play:
Denver / Golden State under 221.5, laying $110 to win $100 -- This is the highest total I have ever seen in a preseason game....This total tells me if this was a regular season game , the total would be 240... Sure, Denver is loaded with athletic scorers up and down their lineup and Golden State can score with anybody....But the Warriors can also play defense when they want to...The thing here is, most teams have only had 4 days of practice with the season starting a week earlier this season in an effort to cut back on the back-to-back games....I have not checked the NBA regular season schedule, but the 4-games-in-5-days have supposedly been eliminated this season....
The starters should only play anywhere from 18 to 22 minutes looking back at past preseasons and I wonder if some starters will even play that much...There should be a lot of subs playing tonight and maybe some subs who won't even make their respective teams when the regular season starts...There shouldn't be a lot of flow on opening night and expect sloppy play, so unless this is a track meet for 48 minutes....Scoring should slow down in the 2nd half and especially the 4th quarter....
The Warriors have put up a 182 and 190 their last 2 preseason openers in 2015 and 2016 respectively, both against Toronto....The 182 was at Oracle...
I am tempted to take Denver plus 8.5 but that line has been moving down the last hour or so as it is 8 at a lot of books about to hit 7.5....Will lay off the side as I have seen Golden State covering some of these preseason lines early in the preseason....
GL...
Usually the default preseason play is the Dog and the under, but that doesn't hold true all the time obviously, and with more points being scored the last 2 seasons, those "default plays" may change this year...
Saturday play:
Denver / Golden State under 221.5, laying $110 to win $100 -- This is the highest total I have ever seen in a preseason game....This total tells me if this was a regular season game , the total would be 240... Sure, Denver is loaded with athletic scorers up and down their lineup and Golden State can score with anybody....But the Warriors can also play defense when they want to...The thing here is, most teams have only had 4 days of practice with the season starting a week earlier this season in an effort to cut back on the back-to-back games....I have not checked the NBA regular season schedule, but the 4-games-in-5-days have supposedly been eliminated this season....
The starters should only play anywhere from 18 to 22 minutes looking back at past preseasons and I wonder if some starters will even play that much...There should be a lot of subs playing tonight and maybe some subs who won't even make their respective teams when the regular season starts...There shouldn't be a lot of flow on opening night and expect sloppy play, so unless this is a track meet for 48 minutes....Scoring should slow down in the 2nd half and especially the 4th quarter....
The Warriors have put up a 182 and 190 their last 2 preseason openers in 2015 and 2016 respectively, both against Toronto....The 182 was at Oracle...
I am tempted to take Denver plus 8.5 but that line has been moving down the last hour or so as it is 8 at a lot of books about to hit 7.5....Will lay off the side as I have seen Golden State covering some of these preseason lines early in the preseason....
GL...
