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Post Bonus Plays / requests / comments/ trends and concerns here.
 

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MINNESOTA (85 - 77) at NY YANKEES (91 - 71) - 8:05 PM

ERVIN SANTANA (R) vs. LUIS SEVERINO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NY YANKEES are 64-34 (+17.0 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 46-31 (+12.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MINNESOTA is 85-77 (+11.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MINNESOTA is 44-37 (+15.3 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
MINNESOTA is 96-93 (+22.3 Units) against the money line in road games when playing with a day off since 1997.
MINNESOTA is 58-44 (+16.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
MINNESOTA is 59-54 (+7.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
MINNESOTA is 23-18 (+9.5 Units) against the money line in road games after a win this season.
NY YANKEES are 3-8 (-10.3 Units) against the money line in home games when playing with a day off this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY YANKEES is 4-2 (+1.9 Units) against MINNESOTA this season
5 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+4.0 Units)

ERVIN SANTANA vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
SANTANA is 6-10 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 5.66 and a WHIP of 1.517.
His team's record is 7-13 (-4.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 10-10. (-0.5 units)

LUIS SEVERINO vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
SEVERINO is 0-0 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 9.00 and a WHIP of 2.000.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)


MINNESOTA vs. NY YANKEES
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
Minnesota is 1-8 SU in their last 9 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 6 games


MINNESOTA @ NY YANKEES
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Minnesota's last 8 games when playing NY Yankees
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games
NY Yankees is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of NY Yankees's last 8 games when playing Minnesota


StatFox Super Situations

MINNESOTA at NY YANKEES
Play Against - Road teams (MINNESOTA) good offensive team - scoring >=4.9 runs/game on the season (AL), after allowing 1 run or less 92-58 over the last 5 seasons. ( 61.3% | 40.3 units ) 27-19 this year. ( 58.7% | 6.9 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends

MINNESOTA at NY YANKEES
MINNESOTA is 40-31 (+15.9 Units) against the money line in Road games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. The average score was: MINNESOTA (5.1) , OPPONENT (4.6)
 

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MLB Playoffs

Minnesota @ New York
New York is 4-2 against the Twins this season; home teams won five of the six games. Under is 4-1-1 in the six games.

Santana is 1-1, 1.91 in his last four starts (under 3-1). Twins are 11-6 in his road starts, 19-14 in all his starts. He lost 2-1 here on Sept 18, allowing two runs in 5.2 IP.

Severino is 3-0, 2.40 in his last five starts; over is 6-3 in his last nine starts. New York won his last four home starts- they’re 20-11 in his starts overall.

Twins are in playoffs for first time since 2010; they last made the ALCS in 2002. He allowed three runs in three IP in a start against Minnesota Sept 20.

New York is in the playoffs for second time in the last five years; they last made the ALCS in 2012. NY lost the Wild Card two years ago.

In five years of Wild Card games, the road team is 7-3.
 

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American League Wild Card Playoff Preview: Twins at Yankees

Minnesota Twins at New York Yankees (A: +220, H: -250, Total: 7.5)

The New York Yankees have traditionally dominated the Minnesota Twins in the postseason and hope to continue that trend when the teams meet Tuesday night in the American League Wild Card Game at Yankee Stadium. New York defeated Minnesota in the AL Division Series in 2003, 2004, 2009 and 2010, claiming 12 of 14 contests in that span.

This encounter will be the first taste of October for the Yankees' "Baby Bombers," putting MVP candidate Aaron Judge - who led the AL in homers (52) and walks (127) - on a big stage in the Bronx that has played host to many legends. "This is what it's all about," Judge told reporters Monday. "This is where a lot of those numbers that are hanging out there in left field (Monument Park), this is where they made a name for themselves, in the postseason." The Twins authored one of the great turnarounds in baseball history by going from 59 wins in 2016 to 85 this season, but they must overcome the pressure of past postseason failures, having lost 12 straight playoff games and 19 of their last 21 dating to the 2002 ALCS. Ervin Santana, who is 0-5 with a 6.43 ERA in six career starts at Yankee Stadium, gets the start for Minnesota opposite New York ace Luis Severino.

INJURY REPORT:

Twins -
RP J.T. Chargois (Out For Season, Elbow), SP Hector Santiago (Out For Season, Back), SP Phil Hughes (Out For Season, Shoulder), RP Trevor May (Out For Season, Elbow), RP Ryan O’Rourke (Out For Season, Elbow).

Yankees - SP Luis Cessa (Out For Season, Ribs), SP Michael Pineda (Out For Season, Elbow).

PITCHING MATCHUP: Ervin Santana, Minnesota Twins (16-8, 3.28 ERA, $ 407) vs. Luis Severino, New York Yankees (14-6, 2.98 ERA, $495)

Santana led the AL in shutouts (three) and complete games (five) in an All-Star campaign in which he posted the second-lowest ERA of his 13-year-career. The 34-year-old finished the regular season with three straight road starts, including a tough loss at Yankee Stadium in which he allowed two runs and seven hits in 5 2/3 innings. Judge went deep in that one against Santana, who owns a 5.66 ERA in 20 career starts versus New York, his highest mark against an AL team.

Severino finished his breakout regular season by going 3-0 with a 2.10 ERA in five September starts, during which he allowed 15 hits and struck out 38 in 30 dominant innings. The one outlier in that stretch was a three-inning, three-run outing against Minnesota on Sept. 20, when the 23-year-old was pulled following a 46-pitch third inning. That was the only career meeting with the Twins for Severino, who was 8-5 with a 3.71 ERA at home this year.

TRENDS:

* Twins are 0-5 in their last 5 playoff road games.
* Yankees are 13-3 in their last 16 home games.
* Yankees are 13-3 in Luis Severino’s last 16 starts.
* Under is 5-1 in Twins last 6 playoff games.
* Under is 7-1 in Yankees last 8 playoff home games.
* Under is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings.

CONSENSUS: The public is siding with the home chalk Bombers at a rate of 68 percent and the Over is picking up 55 percent of the totals action
 

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Yankees host Twins in Wild Card Game

Both the Twins and the Yankees will be hoping to move on to the AL Divisional Series with a victory on Tuesday.

The Twins and Yankees were both involved in some serious battles for positioning towards the end of the year, as Minnesota was fighting to hold off every other playoff hopeful in the American League and New York was doing everything it could to take the top spot in the AL East. For the Twins, the mission was completed. The Twins are in the AL Wild Card Game and have a chance to live another day. As for the Yankees, things didn’t go as well. Two games ended up separating Boston and New York, which has to be somewhat crushing for the Yankees. But the team should, however, feel pretty good about its chances of moving on anyway. The Yankees were 4-2 against the Twins this season and they recently swept them in a three-game set in the Bronx in the middle of September. New York improved to a ridiculous 8-1 against Minnesota at Yankee Stadium over the past three seasons with those three wins. The starters in this gigantic Tuesday night matchup are going to be RHP Ervin Santana (16-8, 3.28 ERA, 167 K) for the Twins and RHP Luis Severino (14-6, 2.98 ERA, 230 K) for the Yankees. One trend that will have the Twins feeling confident in this one is the fact that they are 26-19 against the money line in road games versus teams that average 0.6 errors per game or fewer on the season. The Yankees, however, are an impressive 72-50 against the money line over the past two seasons versus teams with catchers that allow 0.5 or fewer stolen bases per game in the second half of the season. 3B Miguel Sano (Shin) is a question mark coming into this one, as the slugger just got off the DL and had to leave Sunday’s game against Detroit early.

The Twins are sending Ervin Santana to the hill on Tuesday and the righty has been their best pitcher all season. Santana’s ERA was under the 3.50 mark for a second straight season for Minnesota, but that obviously doesn’t matter now. Santana has one game to make his mark for the Twins on Tuesday, and he should be feeling pretty good about his chances of doing that. He has two postseason starts under his belt, which is two more than Luis Severino has. Santana’s goal will be to go toe-to-toe with the Yankees’ youngster in this one, and it’s not out of the realm of possibility. He pitched well in his last meeting with New York, allowing just two earned runs in 5.2 innings of work in a 2-1 loss on Sep. 18. Another outing like that would definitely be fine for the Twins here. As for the Minnesota offense, the guys that must show up in this one are 2B Brian Dozier, 1B Joe Mauer, OF Eddie Rosario, and 3B Miguel Sano (if he plays). All of them have the ability to come through for the Twins in this game, but it’s just a matter of who is going to step up in this high-pressure situation. Mauer is a pretty safe bet to do so, as he has hit a solid .286 in nine playoff games in his career.

The Yankees would consider this season a gigantic failure if they were to lose this game on Tuesday, so there is definitely going to be some serious pressure on all of these players to perform. The guy that will, however, be feeling the most pressure is Severino. The youngster has never started in anything close to a game like this, but New York is confident that its ace is ready for the moment. Severino was incredible this season, allowing two or fewer earned runs in 20 of his 31 starts for the Yankees. He did, however, allowed three earned runs in three innings of work against the Twins on Sep. 20. If he brings any of that same stuff on Tuesday then the Yankees are going to be sent home here. They need him to go at least six or seven innings and it’d be hard for them to win if he doesn’t allow three or fewer earned runs in that span. On offense, the team will be counting on their mix of young studs and veterans here. OF Aaron Judge had a good case to be the MVP this season, but the team is going to need him to show up here. The same goes for C Gary Sanchez, as both are incredible players but will be playing in their first postseason games. Veterans like OFs Jacoby Ellsbury and Brett Gardner will, however, be counted on here as well. Ellsbury has hit .299 with 11 doubles and 17 RBI in his postseason career. That type of production can’t be ignored.
 

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Big Al ; MLB Futures

Houston astros to win world series
 

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