Sunday 10/08/17 ... Comps / Bonus Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

Mr. Pesos - If we send you the Marc L plays each week can you post them under your name instead of mine.? Thanks for all you do! You do a great job!
Last week in this thread we posted RARE Okay Over 46 Rams / Cowboys and Houston Texans + 2.5. Thanks for posting them on main page last week. That could have helped
many. Regards, Pay It Forward Capper

Hey, yeah that's fine with me. Just go ahead and have a moderator fix your profile so taht you are able to send messages and that should be fine. If not, you could send it to my personal e-mail as well. I could give that out on here whenever I see you online next to make sure I delete it right away since I wouldn't want that out in the open..

Soccer

World Cup

12pm ET

Lithuania v England

Last Head-To-Heads in Lithuania:
0-3 (England win)

Recent Form:
Lithuania: 0-5-1
England: 4-1-1

KEY STAT: England are unbeaten in their last 38 qualifiers

EXPERT VERDICT: England were largely stifled by a very well-organised Slovenia at Wembley on Thursday but can round off their qualifying campaign with a convincing victory over Lithuania in Vilnius. The Three Lions attack is boosted by Dele Alli's return from suspension and they should make short work of Lithuania, who drew 1-1 with Malta last time out.

RECOMMENDATION: England to win 3-0 (1)

Soccer

World Cup

Slovenia v Scotland

Last Head-To-Heads in Slovenia:
1-1
0-3 (Scotland win)

Recent Form:
Slovenia: 3-3
Scotland: 4-0-2

KEY STAT: Scotland have taken 13 points from five qualifiers this year

EXPERT VERDICT: The wind is in Scotland's sails after their last-gasp victory at home to Slovakia and they can seal second place in Group F by beating Slovenia in Ljubljana. Slovenia put in a decent performance at Wembley but Harry Kane's late goal has knocked them out of realistic contention and they are without two suspended players (Valter Birsa and Rene Krhin) for their final match of the group.

RECOMMENDATION: Scotland (1)

Soccer

World Cup

2:45pm ET

Norway v Northern Ireland

Last Head-To-Heads in Norway:
2-1 (Norway win)

Recent Form:
Norway: 2-2-2
Northern Ireland: 5-1

KEY STAT: Norway have won five of their last six matches against Northern Ireland

EXPERT VERDICT: Northern Ireland have not conceded a goal against any team other than Germany in Group C but that statistic may change when they take on Norway in Oslo. Michael O'Neill's need a result to make absolutely sure of reaching the playoffs but may have to rely on other results because Norway – fresh from an 8-0 win away to San Marino – look a tough opponent.

RECOMMENDATION: Norway (1)

Houston @ Boston
Astros are 6-3 vs Boston this season; they won 8-2/8-2 in first two series games.

Peacock is 3-0, 2.65 in his last three starts over is 4-1 in his last five road starts. Astros are 14-3 in his road starts. He allowed two runs in five IP in Fenway last Thursday, a 12-2 win.

Former Astro Fister (32 starts for Houston LY) is 0-2, 9.18 in his last four starts; under is 4-2-1 in his last seven starts. Boston is 1-4 in his last five home starts. He allowed three runs in 5.1 IP in a 3-2 loss to the Astros last Friday.

Red Sox are in playoffs for 3rd time in last five years; they got swept 3-0 by Cleveland in this round last year. Houston is in playoffs for second time in three years; they’ve never won the World Series, losing 4-0 to the White Sox in 2005.

Cleveland @ New York
New York is 2-7 vs Cleveland this season; road teams won five of the nine games. Losing team scored 1 or 2 runs in seven of the nine games. New York blew an 8-3 lead in Game 2 loss.

Carrasco is 5-0, 1.51 in his last five starts; over is 6-3 in his last nine starts. Cleveland is 10-1 in his last 11 starts, 13-4 in his road starts. He allowed five runs in 6.2 IP vs New York August 6, an 8-1 NY win.

Tanaka is 4-0, 1.29 in his last four home starts; over is 5-3 in his last eight starts. New York is 10-5 in his home starts. He didn’t pitch against the Indians this season.

New York is in the playoffs for second time in the last five years; they last made the ALCS in 2012- they beat Twins 7-4 in Wild Card game Tuesday, with bullpen getting 26 of the 27 outs. Indians lost Game 7 of the World Series last year; they haven’t won a World Series since 1948. They’re in playoffs for 3rd time in last five years.

MLB Long Sheet

HOUSTON (103 - 61) at BOSTON (93 - 71) - 2:35 PM
BRAD PEACOCK (R) vs. DOUG FISTER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 103-61 (+13.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 25-8 (+12.9 Units) against the money line as a road favorite of -125 to -175 this season.
HOUSTON is 53-28 (+16.3 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
HOUSTON is 80-37 (+25.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
HOUSTON is 33-18 (+11.4 Units) against the money line in road games after a win this season.
HOUSTON is 18-7 (+9.5 Units) against the money line in road games after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.
HOUSTON is 20-8 (+12.2 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BOSTON is 689-618 (-81.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
BOSTON is 372-294 (-47.4 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
BOSTON is 0-8 (-8.8 Units) against the money line in October games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 57-58 (-20.0 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 226-230 (-66.2 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
FISTER is 9-16 (-10.6 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 6-3 (+2.4 Units) against BOSTON this season
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.3 Units, Under=-0.6 Units)

BRAD PEACOCK vs. BOSTON since 1997
PEACOCK is 1-2 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 9.01 and a WHIP of 2.156.
His team's record is 1-3 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-4. (-4.7 units)

DOUG FISTER vs. HOUSTON since 1997
FISTER is 1-1 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 3.44 and a WHIP of 1.146.
His team's record is 2-1 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-3. (-3.2 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CLEVELAND (104 - 60) at NY YANKEES (92 - 73) - 7:35 PM
CARLOS CARRASCO (R) vs. MASAHIRO TANAKA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NY YANKEES are 65-34 (+18.0 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 93-79 (+15.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
TANAKA is 23-7 (+12.7 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CLEVELAND is 208-132 (+24.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 96-47 (+29.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 53-28 (+15.3 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
CLEVELAND is 49-25 (+19.6 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 15-3 (+14.8 Units) against the money line in October games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 12-5 (+9.8 Units) against the money line in playoff games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 71-34 (+15.3 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
CLEVELAND is 62-23 (+31.7 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 23-10 (+11.9 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
CLEVELAND is 26-10 (+13.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
CARRASCO is 23-7 (+14.1 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
NY YANKEES are 23-31 (-14.9 Units) against the money line when playing on Sunday over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 14-21 (-14.5 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 7-2 (+5.2 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.3 Units, Under=-0.5 Units)

CARLOS CARRASCO vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
CARRASCO is 3-5 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 4.44 and a WHIP of 1.263.
His team's record is 4-5 (-0.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-6. (-4.1 units)

MASAHIRO TANAKA vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
TANAKA is 1-2 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 4.63 and a WHIP of 1.585.
His team's record is 2-2 (-0.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-1. (+2.0 units)

MLB Trend Report

2:38 PM
HOUSTON vs. BOSTON
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Houston's last 13 games when playing on the road against Boston
Houston is 7-15 SU in its last 22 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Houston
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Boston's last 15 games when playing Houston

7:38 PM
CLEVELAND vs. NY YANKEES
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing NY Yankees
Cleveland is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 7 games at home
NY Yankees are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing Cleveland

HOUSTON @ BOSTON
Houston is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
Houston is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Boston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Boston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Houston

CLEVELAND @ NY YANKEES
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing NY Yankees
Cleveland is 16-1 SU in its last 17 games on the road
NY Yankees is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 7 games at home

StatFox Super Situations

HOUSTON at BOSTON
Play Against - All favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (HOUSTON) starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 1.50 the last 5 games 62-48 over the last 5 seasons. ( 56.4% | 35.8 units ) 6-10 this year. ( 37.5% | -1.9 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends

HOUSTON at BOSTON
HOUSTON is 45-18 (+18.0 Units) against the money line in Road games as a favorite of -110 or higher this season. The average score was: HOUSTON (6.5) , OPPONENT (4.3)

Sunday's MLB Division Series Betting Preview

Houston Astros at Boston Red Sox (+120, 9.5)

The Boston Red Sox have not won a postseason contest since the clinching game of the 2013 World Series and are in danger of being swept out of the American League Division Series for the second straight October. The Red Sox will try to begin a climb out of a 2-0 hole in the best-of-five series when they host the Houston Astros in Game 3 on Sunday.

Boston finished second in the AL with a 3.70 ERA this regular season but surrendered eight runs in each of the first two ALDS games in Houston as starters Chris Sale and Drew Pomeranz combined to allowed 11 runs in seven innings and serve up five home runs. "These guys are all coming out swinging and swinging at a lot of stuff, being very aggressive, and every time we've made a mistake, they've made us pay for it," Pomeranz told reporters. The Astros, who will send Brad Peacock to the mound Sunday against the Red Sox's Doug Fister, led the majors with 896 runs scored in the regular season and every spot in the lineup provided at least one hit over the course of the first two games. "We have a number of guys that have contributed," Houston manager A.J. Hinch told reporters. "So obviously you're seeing what's possible when we link things together and the hitters start to feed off of one another. We have a lot of guys that are putting up really good at-bats."

PITCHING MATCHUP: Astros RH Brad Peacock (13-2, 3.00 ERA) vs. Red Sox RH Doug Fister (5-9, 4.88)

Peacock gets the Game 3 start largely because of his consistency after he held his last seven opponents to two or fewer earned runs. The 29-year-old, who began the season in the bullpen, did not yield more than five hits in any of his five starts in September and earned the win in each of the last three. Peacock started at Fenway Park on Sep. 28 and held Boston to two runs on four hits and a walk in five frames.

Fister was chosen over Eduardo Rodriguez and reigning AL Cy Young Award winner Rick Porcello despite going 0-2 with a 9.18 ERA over his last four starts. The California native, who was signed by the Red Sox as a free agent in June, enjoyed a four-start stretch from Aug. 22 through Sep. 6 in which he allowed a total of five runs in 30 innings. Fister suffered a home loss to the Astros on Sep. 29 and is 4-2 with a 2.60 ERA in nine career postseason games (eight starts).

TRENDS:

* Astros are 14-3 in their last 17 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
* Red Sox are 0-5 in their last 5 Divisional Playoff games.
* Over is 8-2 in Astros last 10 overall.
* Over is 6-1 in Red Sox last 7 games following a loss.
* Astros are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.

CONSENSUS: The public is siding with the Houston Astros at a rate of 53 percent and the Over is picking up 60 percent of the totals action.

Cleveland Indians at New York Yankees (+106, 8.5)

The Cleveland Indians won 33 of their final 37 games in the regular season and are 2-0 in the playoffs following a 13-inning Game 2 triumph in which they recorded the largest comeback in postseason franchise history. The Indians will go for a sweep in the best-of-five American League Division Series when they visit the New York Yankees for Game 3 on Sunday.

Cleveland rallied from an 8-3 deficit on the strength of a grand slam by Francisco Lindor and a solo shot from Jay Bruce before Yan Gomes drove in the walk-off run in the 13th. "That was what you call October baseball right there," Gomes told reporters. "We've had tremendous comebacks. That's probably one of the top ones we've had all year. Going up 2-0 against the Yankees into New York, it's a good feeling right now." Yankees manager Joe Girardi found himself answering questions about his decision not to challenge a hit-by-pitch call that preceded Lindor's blast and his decision to pull starter CC Sabathia in the sixth inning after 77 pitches. "There was nothing that told us that he was not hit on the pitch," Girardi, who will start Masahiro Tanaka on Sunday against Cleveland's Carlos Carrasco, told reporters. "By the time we got the super slow-mo, we are beyond a minute. It was way too late. They tell us we have the 30 seconds. They will take longer in replay."

PITCHING MATCHUP: Indians RH Carlos Carrasco (18-6, 3.29 ERA) vs. Yankees RH Masahiro Tanaka (13-12, 4.74)

Carrasco has not lost since Aug. 22 and finished out the regular season by allowing one or zero runs in six of his final seven turns. The Venezuela native saved his best for last while striking out 14 over 8 1/3 scoreless innings against the Minnesota Twins. Carrasco, who is making his postseason debut after sitting out last October with a broken hand, endured one of his few rough outings during the regular season against New York on Aug. 6, when he was reached for five runs in 5 2/3 innings and suffered a loss.

Tanaka saved his best for last as well and earned a spot in the postseason rotation by striking out 15 without a walk and yielding three hits in seven scoreless innings against Toronto on Sep. 29. The Japan native allowed seven earned runs in two of his three previous starts but finished the regular season with a career-high 194 strikeouts. Tanaka lost his only previous postseason start in the 2015 wild-card game against Houston and is 1-2 with a 4.63 ERA in four career starts against Cleveland.

TRENDS:

* Indians are 11-0 in their last 11 during game 3 of a series.
* Indians are 44-8 in their last 52 overall.
* Yankees are 1-7 in their last 8 playoff games.
* Over is 10-0 in Carrascos last 10 starts with 9 or more days of rest.
* Indians are 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.

CONSENSUS: The public is leaning toward the Indians with 51 percent of the picks and Over is grabbing 66 percent of the totals wagers.

LA CHARGERS (0 - 4) at NY GIANTS (0 - 4) - 10/8/2017, 1:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
LA CHARGERS is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 45 points since 1992.
LA CHARGERS is 45-26 ATS (+16.4 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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BUFFALO (3 - 1) at CINCINNATI (1 - 3) - 10/8/2017, 1:00 PM

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 1-1 against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 1-1 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NY JETS (2 - 2) at CLEVELAND (0 - 4) - 10/8/2017, 1:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY JETS is 2-0 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
NY JETS is 2-0 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

__________________________________________________

JACKSONVILLE (2 - 2) at PITTSBURGH (3 - 1) - 10/8/2017, 1:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 102-72 ATS (+22.8 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 89-62 ATS (+20.8 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 58-35 ATS (+19.5 Units) in October games since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 65-42 ATS (+18.8 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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TENNESSEE (2 - 2) at MIAMI (1 - 2) - 10/8/2017, 1:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 1-1 against the spread versus TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 1-1 straight up against TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SAN FRANCISCO (0 - 4) at INDIANAPOLIS (1 - 3) - 10/8/2017, 1:00 PM

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

__________________________________________________

ARIZONA (2 - 2) at PHILADELPHIA (3 - 1) - 10/8/2017, 1:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 1-0 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA is 1-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CAROLINA (3 - 1) at DETROIT (3 - 1) - 10/8/2017, 1:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 45 points since 1992.
CAROLINA is 80-56 ATS (+18.4 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.
DETROIT is 58-83 ATS (-33.3 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
DETROIT is 131-170 ATS (-56.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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SEATTLE (2 - 2) at LA RAMS (3 - 1) - 10/8/2017, 4:05 PM

Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 33-60 ATS (-33.0 Units) in October games since 1992.
SEATTLE is 40-65 ATS (-31.5 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
LA RAMS is 177-226 ATS (-71.6 Units) in all games since 1992.
LA RAMS is 177-226 ATS (-71.6 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
LA RAMS is 80-115 ATS (-46.5 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.
LA RAMS is 127-178 ATS (-68.8 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
LA RAMS is 137-178 ATS (-58.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
LA RAMS is 69-95 ATS (-35.5 Units) versus division opponents since 1992.
LA RAMS is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA RAMS is 3-1 against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
LA RAMS is 3-1 straight up against SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BALTIMORE (2 - 2) at OAKLAND (2 - 2) - 10/8/2017, 4:05 PM

Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 74-101 ATS (-37.1 Units) in home games since 1992.
OAKLAND is 74-101 ATS (-37.1 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
OAKLAND is 74-101 ATS (-37.1 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 2-0 against the spread versus BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
OAKLAND is 2-0 straight up against BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GREEN BAY (3 - 1) at DALLAS (2 - 2) - 10/8/2017, 4:25 PM

Top Trends for this game.
GREEN BAY is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) off a division game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
GREEN BAY is 2-1 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
GREEN BAY is 2-1 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

__________________________________________________

KANSAS CITY (4 - 0) at HOUSTON (2 - 2) - 10/8/2017, 8:30 PM

Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 2-1 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS CITY is 2-1 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

TENNESSEE vs. MIAMI
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tennessee's last 5 games when playing Miami
Tennessee is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games on the road
Miami is 6-13-1 ATS in its last 20 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games at home

SAN FRANCISCO vs. INDIANAPOLIS
San Francisco is 6-12-1 ATS in its last 19 games
San Francisco is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Indianapolis is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Indianapolis's last 7 games at home

NY JETS vs. CLEVELAND
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the NY Jets last 6 games
NY Jets are 4-8 SU in their last 12 games
Cleveland is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games at home
Cleveland is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games when playing NY Jets

BUFFALO vs. CINCINNATI
Buffalo is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Cincinnati's last 8 games
Cincinnati is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games

LOS ANGELES vs. NY GIANTS
Los Angeles is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Los Angeles is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
NY Giants are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing Los Angeles
The total has gone OVER in 4 of the NY Giants last 5 games when playing Los Angeles

CAROLINA vs. DETROIT
Carolina is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Detroit
Carolina is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing Carolina
Detroit is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games at home

JACKSONVILLE vs. PITTSBURGH
Jacksonville is 3-22 SU in its last 25 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 6 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 5-11 ATS in its last 16 games when playing Jacksonville
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

ARIZONA vs. PHILADELPHIA
Arizona is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Arizona is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Philadelphia is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Arizona
Philadelphia is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Arizona

SEATTLE vs. LOS ANGELES
Seattle is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing Los Angeles
Los Angeles is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Seattle
Los Angeles is 6-18 SU in its last 24 games when playing Seattle

BALTIMORE vs. OAKLAND
Baltimore is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Baltimore is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games when playing Oakland
Oakland is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games when playing Baltimore

GREEN BAY vs. DALLAS
Green Bay is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Green Bay is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Dallas's last 11 games when playing at home against Green Bay
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 6 games at home

KANSAS CITY vs. HOUSTON
Kansas City is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas City's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games
Houston is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home

BUFFALO @ CINCINNATI
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Buffalo's last 8 games when playing Cincinnati
Buffalo is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Cincinnati's last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Cincinnati's last 8 games when playing Buffalo

NY JETS @ CLEVELAND
NY Jets is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
NY Jets is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Cleveland's last 12 games

CAROLINA @ DETROIT
Carolina is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Carolina is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Detroit
Detroit is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Carolina
Detroit is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games at home

SAN FRANCISCO @ INDIANAPOLIS
San Francisco is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 12 of San Francisco's last 18 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Indianapolis's last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indianapolis's last 6 games

TENNESSEE @ MIAMI
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Tennessee's last 12 games when playing on the road against Miami
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tennessee's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Miami's last 12 games when playing at home against Tennessee

LA CHARGERS @ NY GIANTS
LA Chargers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing NY Giants
LA Chargers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing NY Giants
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Giants's last 5 games at home
NY Giants is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

ARIZONA @ PHILADELPHIA
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Arizona's last 12 games on the road
Arizona is 5-0-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing Arizona

JACKSONVILLE @ PITTSBURGH
Jacksonville is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Jacksonville's last 8 games
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Pittsburgh is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games

SEATTLE @ LA RAMS
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing LA Rams
LA Rams is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Rams's last 6 games

BALTIMORE @ OAKLAND
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games when playing on the road against Oakland
Oakland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oakland's last 5 games at home

GREEN BAY @ DALLAS
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Green Bay's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Green Bay's last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Dallas's last 11 games when playing at home against Green Bay
Dallas is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Green Bay

KANSAS CITY @ HOUSTON
Kansas City is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Kansas City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Houston is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games at home
Houston is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games

StatFox Super Situations

NY JETS at CLEVELAND
Play Against - Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CLEVELAND) pathetic team - outscored by opponents by 10 or more points/game 46-18 over the last 10 seasons. ( 71.9% | 26.2 units )

TENNESSEE at MIAMI
Play Against - Home teams with a money line of +130 to -150 (MIAMI) off 2 or more consecutive unders, poor offensive team - scoring 17 or less points/game 25-8 over the last 10 seasons. ( 75.8% | 0.0 units ) 1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 0.0 units )

LA CHARGERS at NY GIANTS
Play Over - Road teams vs. the 1rst half total outrushed by their opponents by 1 or more yards/carry on the season, after being outrushed by 100 or more yards last game 29-8 over the last 10 seasons. ( 78.4% | 20.2 units ) 1-1 this year. ( 50.0% | -0.1 units )

Chargers (0-4) @ Giants (0-4) — Two desperate teams meet here; Chargers already have three losses by 3 or less points- they lost 24-21 at Denver in only road game. Since 2012, LA is 22-11-1 vs spread as a road underdog. Giants lost 27-24/25-23 the last two weeks; they’re running ball for only 59.3 yards/game, so all the pressure is on their passing game. Giants lost 24-10 to Detroit in their only home game; they’re 5-7 vs spread in last 12 games as a home favorite. Chargers won last three series games, by 22-1-23 points; their last loss to the Giants was in 1998. NFC East teams are 5-4 vs spread out of their division, 1-3 when favored. AFC West teams are 5-4 vs spread out of division, 3-0 as an underdog.

Bills (3-1) @ Bengals (1-3) — Buffalo allowed 13.5 ppg in its 3-1 start, giving up 4 TD’s on 4 drives; they were underdog in last 3 games. Bills are +6 in turnovers- they haven’t turned ball over in their last three games- three of the four games stayed under. Buffalo is 12-6-1 in last 19 games as a road underdog. Bengals won their first game LW; they led 21-7/21-0 at halftime last two weeks- they lost in OT at Green Bay in Week 3. Cincy scored 6 TD’s on 20 drives in last two games, after scoring no TD’s in first two games- -they won three of last four series games; road team won four of last five series games. Bills are 5-1 in last six visits here. AFC East teams are 6-4 vs spread outside the division, 5-1 as an underdog. AFC North teams are 2-2 vs spread.

Jets (2-2) @ Browns (0-4) — Winless Browns are at home for 4th time in five weeks; they have worst red zone defense in NFL, allowing 6.38 pts/red zone drive, slightly worse than Green Bay. Browns are running ball for 89 yards/game- they’re only 15-53 on 3rd down, not unusual with a rookie QB playing. Jets won last two weeks; they ran ball for 256 yards LW. Under Bowles, Jets are 5-9-3 vs spread on road. Last 4+ years, Browns are 4-8 vs spread as a home favorite; they are 4-10 vs spread in last 14 games when favored. Jets won their last four games with Cleveland; they won 31-28 here LY, are 2-1 in last three visits here. AFC East teams are 6-4 vs spread outside the division, 5-1 as an underdog. AFC North teams are 2-2 vs spread.

Jaguars (2-2) @ Steelers (3-1) — Jaguars ran ball for 155+ yards in 3 of 4 games; they’re 7 for last 27 on 3rd down, completed only 15-35 passes LW. Jags averaged 7.5/7.4 ypa in their two wins, 5.9/3.8 in their losses. Jaguars are 6-3 in last nine games as a road underdog. Steelers (-8.5) beat Minnesota in their only home game; they’ve held all four opponents under 5.0 ypa this year, last three under 4.0. Since 2012, Pitt is 20-12 vs spread as a home favorite; they’ve allowed 23 points, scored 7 on 28 opponents’ drives that started 75+ yards from goal line. Pitt won last three series games, by 5-4-8 points, since Jaguars beat them in ’07 playoffs. Jaguars are 5-2 in last seven visits to Steel City. AFC South non-divisional home dogs are 3-2 vs spread.

Titans (2-2) @ Dolphins (1-2) — Miami is finally home after games in LA-NJ-London, thanks to Hurricane Irma; in their last two games, Dolphins have one TD, no FGA’s on 20 drives- they went 2-20 on 3rd down in their two losses, but scored only one TD in the win, too. Fish are 10-5-1 vs spread in last 16 games as a home underdog. Tennessee lost 57-14 LW in a game they were favored to win; Titans scored 37-33 points in its two wins- they went 3/out on 15 of last 25 drives, allowed 26+ points in 3 of 4 games. Tennessee is 1-3-1 in last five games as a road favorite. Teams split last ten meetings; Titans won 37-3/30-17 in last two visits to Miami. AFC East non-divisional underdogs are 5-1 vs spread; AFC South teams are 4-4.

49ers (0-4) @ Colts (1-3) — 49ers didn’t score a TD in 3 of their 4 games; they scored 39 in the other game, but lost all four, last three by 3-2-3 points- Niners are 8-12 in last 20 games as a road underdog, but are 2-0 this year. Indy was tied 18-18 in Seattle Sunday, then got outscored 21-0 over a 5:56 span; they’ve split two home games this year, with both games decided by a FG. Colts are favored for first time this year; over last 2+ years, they’re 5-7 as a home favorite- under is 12-6 in their last 18 home games. Colts won last three series games, by 25-4-20 points; teams split four meetings played here. AFC South non-divisional home teams are 3-1 vs spread. NFC West teams are 3-7 vs spread outside their division, 1-4 when getting points.

Cardinals (2-2) @ Eagles (3-1) — Arizona is 2-2, with shaky wins by FG each over Colts/49ers, when they allowed a total of one TD- they gave up 8 offensive TD’s in losses to Lions/Dallas; Cardinals have run ball for only 57 ypg. Redbirds are 1-4 in last five games as a road underdog. Philly is 3-1, winning their last two games by total of 5 points; they beat Giants 27-24 (-6) in their only home game, kicking 61-yard FG on last play. Eagles are 4-6 in last 10 games as a home favorite; they ran ball for 193-214 yards in last two games, have converted 30-59 on 3rd down this season.NFC East teams are 1-3 as a non-divisional favorite; NFC West dogs are 1-4. Arizona won five of last six games with Philly, winning 40-17 in last visit here two years ago.

Panthers (3-1) @ Lions (3-1) — Detroit is already +9 (11-2) in turnovers this year; they’ve won field position in all 4 games, three by 5+ yards. Lions are 12-4-3 as a home favorite under Caldwell, 1-0 this season. Carolina didn’t allow a TD in winning their first two games; they gave up 7 TD’s on 19 drives in last two games, but upset Patriots 33-30 LW to get to 3-1. Panthers are 8-1 vs spread in last nine games as a road underdog. Under is 3-1 in their four games. LW was first time they gained more than 288 yards in a game this year. Carolina is 5-2 against the Lions, splitting part of visits here, last of which was in 2011. NFC North non-divisional home teams are 6-2 vs spread; NFC South teams are 5-7 vs spread outside their division.

Seahawks (2-2) @ Rams (3-1) — Seattle lost its first two road games by 8-6 points; they’re 11-7-5 in last 23 games as a road underdog. Seahawks scored 8 TD’s on 23 drives in last two games, after scoring one TD the first two weeks. 3-1 Rams are favored over Seattle for just 4th time in last 27 meetings. LA won three of last four series games, which lost last three series road games, by 2-3-6 points. Rams lead NFL in scoring thru four weeks, scoring 12 TD’s with 14 FGs in four games, plus two TD’s by the defense- they scored 35+ points in their three wins, were held to 20 in only loss (27-20) vs Redskins. LA defense gave up 385+ yards in each of last three games; opponents were 16-32 on 3rd down in last two games.

Ravens (2-2) @ Raiders (2-2) — Oakland QB Carr (back fracture) is out 2-6 weeks; EJ Manuel is Raiders’ new QB- he is 6-11 as an NFL starter, losing last five starts- his last win was in 2014. Oakland lost last two games, scoring two TD’s on 24 drives, with 15 3/outs. Ravens were +7 in turnovers in their two wins, then lost last two games by combined 70-16, scoring two TDs with six turnovers (-5) on 24 drives. Raiders won their last two games vs Baltimore, 37-33/28-27, after losing 7 of previous 8 series games. Teams split four meetings played here. Lot of travel for Ravens, who were in London two weeks ago, then didn’t have bye week after, and are now on west coast- 3 of their 4 games for both teams have stayed under the total.

Packers (3-1) @ Cowboys (2-2) — Green Bay won six of last seven series games, beating Dallas in playoffs two of last three years; they won 37-36/34-31 in last two visits here- their last loss in Dallas was in ‘07. Packers have already used 3 LT’s and 3 RT’s, is amazing they’re 3-1. Pack is 28-57 on 3rd down despite running for only 74.5 ypg, a credit to Rodgers’ greatness. Cowboys allowed 42-35 points in two losses, 3-17 points in two wins; they’re 8-18 vs spread in last 26 games as non-divisional home favorites. Last week was first time Green Bay led at halftime this year; Packers are 3-9 vs spread in last 12 games as road underdogs, 8-15 vs spread in last 23 games on artificial turf. Green Bay’s last three games all went over the total. Packers’ RB Montgomery has multiple broken ribs, will likely sit this one out.

Chiefs (4-0) @ Texans (2-2) — Short week for Chiefs, who won/covered their first four games, scoring 14 TD’s on 42 drives- they haven’t turned ball over in their last 3 games. KC is 12-2 vs spread as a road favorite under Reid- they ran ball for 168+ yards in 3 of their 4 games, are tied with Raiders for best (5.67 ppp) red zone offense in NFL. Underdogs are 4-0 vs spread in Texan games this year; Houston scored 90 points in last two games behind rookie QB Watson, who is 2-1 as a starter. Texans scored a defensive TD in each of last two games, and also averaged 8.3/7.6 ypa; they’re 3-4 as a home underdog under O’Brien. KC is 5-4 in series games, 4-3 in Houston. AFC West teams are 6-4 vs spread outside the division; AFC South teams are 4-4 vs spread outside their division.

NFL's Biggest Betting Mismatches: Week 5

Jacksonville Jaguars at Pittsburgh Steelers (-8.5, 43.5)

Jaguars' dreadful run D vs. LeVeon Bell's awesomeness

After playing three of their first four games on the road, the Pittsburgh Steelers enjoy a nice stretch of home cooking - beginning with Sunday afternoon's showdown with the visiting Jacksonville Jaguars. Ben Roethlisberger and the rest of the Steelers' offense is still finding its footing early in the season, but comes into this one with a 3-1 record - and a significant advantage when it comes to their run game, if last week's strategy is any indication.

A lot of attention has been paid to the Jaguars' offense, which was a major question mark following Blake Bortles' terrible preseason and a season-ending injury to top receiver Allen Robinson. Yet, while the team has put up an impressive 109 points through four games, it's the run defense that has been a significant issue. Jacksonville is surrendering more than 165 rushing yards per game on a league-worst 5.7 yards per carry with five touchdowns against; the Jags gave up just 3.8 YPC last season.

The Steelers finally gave their bellcow back, Le'Veon Bell, a workload commensurate with his ability in last week's 26-9 rout of the Baltimore Ravens - and Bell broke out in a big way, racking up 186 total yards and a pair of touchdowns. He's averaging just 3.7 YPC on the season, but missed all of training camp due to a contract dispute and is just now hitting his stride. If the Jags' run defense continues to allow big runs, Bell and the Steelers could be in for a very big day.

Carolina Panthers at Detroit Lions (-2.5, 44)

Panthers' aversion to penalties vs. Lions' lousy discipline

It's a battle of division leaders at Ford Field this Sunday as the Lions host the Panthers in a showdown of 3-1 teams. The Panthers are coming off a stunning 33-30 win over the defending-champion Patriots at Foxboro, while the Lions ground out a 14-7 road win over Minnesota last weekend. Discipline could be a major factor in this one, with Carolina among the league's best at avoiding flags - and Detroit at the other end of the spectrum as we enter Week 5.

Carolina has been the class of the league when it comes to discipline, picking up just 13 flags through four games - the fewest in the NFL. Only Tampa Bay has garnered fewer than Carolina's 118 penalty yards against, and the Buccaneers have only played three games. The Panthers' plus-10 net penalty count ranks second in the league, and they rank fourth in net penalty yards (65). Even more impressively: Carolina has just two combined flags in its previous two games.

The Lions should consider themselves fortunate to be 3-1 at this stage of the season considering how undisciplined they've been so far. Detroit has been penalized 31 times for a whopping 308 yards against, the third-highest total in the league. That includes 139 penalty yards on offense, behind only the Steelers. It's no surprise, then, that the Lions rank second from the bottom in net penalty yards with -125 - and a similar performance this weekend could spell trouble for the hosts.

Kansas City Chiefs at Houston Texans (+1, 47)

Chiefs' poor pass protection vs. Texans' tough pass rush

The Chiefs are the only remaining unbeaten team through four weeks - and they'll be in tough to keep their spotless record as they draw the Texans in Houston this weekend. The Texans are coming off a 57-14 annihilation of Tennessee, evening their record and moving them into a tie with the Jaguars and Titans atop the AFC South. Yet, for as much attention as the Houston offense garnered last week, it's the Texans' elite pass rush that could help the home side hand Kansas City its first loss.

Alex Smith has been his efficient best through four games - completing 76 percent of his passes with eight touchdowns and zero interceptions - but has also had to deal with a leaky offensive line that has allowed 16 sacks so far this season, third-most in the NFL. Smith has been sacked on 11.7 percent of his dropbacks, the second-highest rate in the NFL. The Kansas City run game has helped take some of the focus away, but make no mistake - Smith has spent a lot of time on the ground.

Houston will be happy to oblige this weekend; the Texans have produced a sack on 8.3 percent of opponent dropbacks so far this season, good for seventh in the league. That pass pressure has also helped contribute to Houston's four interceptions, tied for sixth-most league-wide. Combine that with the Texans' league-leading seven forced fumbles, and it could be a long afternoon for Smith and the rest of the Kansas City offense.

Minnesota Vikings at Chicago Bears (+3, OFF)

Vikings' drive-extending success vs. Bears' third-down D woes

There's plenty of hype surrounding this week's Monday night tilt between the Vikings and the host Bears, with Chicago finally starting No. 2 pick Mitchell Trubisky at quarterback. Yet, while it's difficult to know what fans and bettors alike can expect from the rookie signal caller, it should be a little easier to spot a significant edge the Vikings have coming into this one - and if they can exploit it, that could give them the edge to escape with a pivotal NFC North road victory.

Minnesota could have Sam Bradford back under center this week - and while that's great news for the offense, substitute Case Keenum has performed admirably in Bradford's absence. Together, they have the Vikings ranked fifth in the NFL in third-down conversion rate at 46.2 percent - behind only Carolina, Philadelphia, Green Bay and Denver. It's a considerable improvement from the 38.0-percent third-down success rate Minnesota boasted last season.

The Bears are one of only two teams in the NFC to have allowed more than 100 points so far - and they can "credit" their woeful showing on third downs for part of that. Chicago is allowing opponents to score or extend drives on better than 47 percent of their third-down situations - the third-worst mark in football, and a major drop from last season's 40.5-percent conversion rate. Those extra plays could mean the difference in what is expected to be a closely-contested affair.

NFL Week 5 Essentials

Chargers at Giants: New York defensive coordinator Steve Spagnuolo had players run their film session for accountability's sake. Its defense is having trouble stopping the run and have squandered games on last-second drives in consecutive weeks. The N.Y. Post reported that Ben McAdoo cut down the music that typically blares during practices to go over key points and preach "accountability," so it's clear what the central theme was in camp this past week.

At 0-4, there's no room for error either of these teams, which makes this one of the better matchups on Sunday despite the records. Both Eli Manning and Philip Rivers have seen brighter days, but both can still be prolific passers.

Giants second-year MLB B.J. Goodson has been injured but returned and is being tasked with a leadership role. Jason Pierre-Paul (knee/shoulder) and Olivier Vernon (ankle) are each hobbled, but their secondary gets back CB Janoris Jenkins. Vernon and center Weston Richburg (concussion), the team's top offensive lineman, sat in practices this week. Richburg didn't clear protocol and has been ruled out, so the team may have issues up front, an area that's already a weakness. Guard John Jerry, Vernon and Pierre-Paul are questionable.

Tackle Joe Barksdale (foot) guard Matt Slauson (tricep) were limited in practice as the o-line issues that have helped trip up the Chargers the past few years continue. Russell Okung (groin) and LB Jatavis Brown (ankle) will play, while rookie WR Mike Williams (neck) is still at least a game away. The Chargers went out on Friday, a day early, to get acclimated to the time difference. They have lost nine straight overall, winning last on Nov. 27, 2016 on the road at Houston.

Bills at Bengals: Despite no true No. 1 receiver and a number of key offensive linemen being sidelined, Buffalo has pulled off back-to-back wins over Denver and Atlanta. The 17 points surrendered by the defense against the explosive Falcons last week were a season-high. First-year head coach Sean McDermott is pushing all the right buttons and has gotten enough from QB Tyrod Taylor, who has averaged over 8 yards per completion in Bills wins, to keep the chains moving consistently.

LeSean McCoy has run for just 106 combined yards after going for 110 in the season opener, so if he picks up his production now that he's healthier, the success can continue. They've been moving the ball decently despite the absence of talented left tackle Cordy Glenn, expected to return after practicing in full on Friday. The defensive line has been without DE Shaq Lawson or a healthy Marcell Dareus, but both should be in the mix. Safety Micah Hyde, leading the NFL with three interceptions, is listed as probable after dealing with a knee issue.

Cincinnati is looking for consecutive wins and its third straight solid effort since handing Bill Lazor play-calling duties. Andy Dalton is 46-for-57 for 498 yards and six TDs since the switch, so this will be a great test against an excellent defense. Unfortunately, he won't have tight end Tyler Eifert (back) and speedy rookie John Ross (knee) in the mix, but this is no longer the same bumbling offense they were earlier this season. Defensive improvement was also on display last week with LB Vontaze Burfict back, but this will be a step up from stopping the Browns.

Jets at Browns: Cleveland has seen DeShone Kizer put a lot of his raw talent on display, but he leads the NFL with eight interceptions and has consistently been burned by the fire he's been thrown in, posting the worst QB ranking and completion percentage of any starter. The loss of Corey Coleman definitely didn't help, while veteran offseason acquisition Kenny Britt hasn't been a factor and is doubtful due to a knee injury. The baptism continues with the surprising Jets in town looking to climb over .500 five games in, but this has been placed in the pick'em category by oddsmakers as one the Browns could win.

Aiding Cleveland's cause is the return of top pick Myles Garrett, who is set to finally make his NFL regular-season debut after seeing a promising preseason cut short by a high ankle sprain. LB Jamie Collins remains out with a concussion, so the defense the Browns hoped to field when they started the season still won't be complete.

New York defeated Jacksonville in OT last week after shutting out Miami 20-0, but carries a 2-7 (2-6-1 ATS) record over their last nine road games. One of the wins came last Oct. 30 in Cleveland in the only away game they've been favored in over the past two seasons. Ironically, the Jets beat Josh McCown, who threw for 341 yards but was picked off twice. He's now their quarterback, looking to play turnover-free ball and lean on a ground game that sprung Bilal Powell and Elijah McGuire for big plays against the Jags. Matt Forte (toe) is still sidelined.

Star DE Muhammad Wilkerson is questionable, while starting LB Josh Martin (ankle) won't play, joined by defensive backups Kony Ealy (shoulder) and Darryl Roberts (hamstring) as inactive. Backup corner Juston Burris (foot) could also miss the game for New York.

Jaguars at Steelers: That loss in New York was certainly a momentum killer for Jacksonville, which saw a penalty wipe out a late touchdown that would've put the Jets in a hole with roughly a minute to go. Instead, Blake Bortles couldn't throw over the defensive line, the Jags settled for a field goal and lost in OT. Instead of coming in 3-1 and in sole possession of the AFC South lead, they're in a three-way tie for first and arrive as Week 5's largest underdog.

Ben Roethlisberger and Antonio Brown celebrated Festivus early, airing out their grievances this week following Brown's tantrum in last week's win over Baltimore. While there's no question his antics were uncalled for, there's no denying that Roethlisberger hasn't been sharp this season, leaving a lot out there by not executing. Despite that, Pittsburgh smoked the Ravens to take charge of the AFC North and is the current Super Bowl favorite according to Westgate Vegas. The Steelers are nearly 100 percent healthy outside of tackle Marcus Gilbert, who has been sidelined of late but might get back in the mix despite being listed as doubtful.

Jacksonville is nowhere near as healthy, but will have its elite secondary intact despite Jalen Ramsey being limied in practice due to an ankle issue. The Jags lead the NFL in pass defense, which will makes them a scary foe given Roethlisberger's shaky start. Center Brandon Lidner (illness) and WR Marqise Lee (ribs) are listed as questionable, while Bortles (wrist) and Leonard Fournette (ankle) appeared on the injury report but will play barring something unforeseen.

Titans at Dolphins: Jay Cutler took 11 preseason snaps at Hard Rock Stadium upon joining Miami in the preseason, throwing a jump ball that DeVante Parker took to the house. That was Aug. 17. An incredible seven-plus weeks later, he'll debut at home as the Dolphins starting quarterback, hoping to snap a run that has seen the team's offense score one meaningful touchdown all season. They've been held scoreless in eight of 12 quarters thus far and have been hampered by a lack of chemistry in addition to RB Jay Ajayi being bothered by a knee issue. Playing away from home, going from L.A. to East Rutherford to London, certainly hasn't helped manners, but they're not going to be greeted by a very patient fan base here.

Tennessee's defense has surrendered 31.5 points per game, next-to-last in the league behind Indianapolis. Veteran coordinator Dick LeBeau saw his unit give up 50 of Houston's 57 points last week and has been witness to his secondary getting carved up by Derek Carr, Russell Wilson and rookie Deshaun Watson. They've missed safety Jonathan Cyprien, who is expected to miss another game.

Another poor effort on that side of the ball would be hard to overcome since Marcus Mariota is questionable to play due to a hamstring injury suffered on his second rushing touchdown last week. He'll be a game-time decision and would be replacced by veteran backup Matt Cassel if he can't play. The Dolphins would catch a major break if they avoid facing the Titans' starter given their own issues in the secondary.

49ers at Colts: Even though two winless teams play and the Jets host the Browns, this is Week 5's worst matchup. Andrew Luck is practicing again but won't participate here, leaving Indianapolis in Jacoby Brissett's hands. The ex-Patriot draft pick has made some mistakes, but was terrific in the Colts' only win and made some nice plays against Seattle's stifling secondary, sparking hope that he'll be able to keep the team afloat until Luck is ready. Due to the Jags choking at the Jets, the rest of the AFC South is at .500. Getting center Ryan Kelly back in the lineup for the first time this season should definitely upgrade the line and improve the timing up front.

San Francisco has covered three straight, losing by a field goal or less each time to remain winless. This is the Niners' second of three consecutive road games and represents their best chance to win, on paper, until they visit Chicago on Dec. 3. The Brian Hoyer-led offense has found the end zone in only one of their four games, settling for entirely too many field goals after struggling inside the red zone.

San Francisco's defense will again be without safety Eric Reid and impressive-looking rookie LB Reuben Foster, though it hopes both can return next week. The 49ers have lost 18 of their last 20 road games, winning last on Christmas eve of '16 at the Rams. The Colts have won three straight meetings in this series by a 73-24 margin, last losing at home in 2001.

Cardinals at Eagles: Arizona would've lost to most teams on Sunday, surviving only when Carson Palmer connected with Larry Fitzgerald to erase an OT deficit. Coming on the heels of a disappointing Monday night performance against Dallas, that 49ers game was a must-win that it couldn't get a handle on until the final play. The Cardinals have struggled in every game this season and haven't broken 20 points since losing RB David Johnson in Week 1. Despite being outscored by 17 points, they're right there at 2-2 but will only be home once between now and a showdown with the Seahawks on Nov. 5. They'll be playing outdoors for the first time this season.

Conversely, the Eagles are beginning a stretch where they'll play four of their next five at Lincoln Financial Field, following up next Thursday's visit to Carolina with three straight home games. Philadelphia pulled off a 26-24 win in L.A. against the Chargers in what felt like a home date given the apathy for the team since relocating from San Diego. Eagles fans bought up most tickets and made their presence felt in helping rattle Philip Rivers. LeGarrette Blount closed the game out with his tough running, allowing Philly to open 3-1 for the first time since 2014. That year marked the only time it has opened 4-1 or better since 2006, so getting this one would give Doug Pederson a start that Chip Kelly managed once and mentor Andy Reid only enjoyed twice in his lengthy tenure at the helm.

Philadelphia has to overcome the absence of standout DT Fletcher Cox (calf) and top corner Ronald Darby (ankle) will miss another game, so its defense will be vulnerable. Corner Jaylen Watkins and safety Corey Graham should return, but aren't expected to be at 100 percent. Arizona won't have left tackle DJ Humphries, pass rusher Markus Golden or DT Robert Nkemdiche, who has been absent all year. Left guard Alex Boone hopes to return to protect Palmer, who should have his full arsenal of receivers with J.J. Nelson back.

Panthers at Lions: Cam Newton's lame, chauvinistic attempt at humor stole a lot of the shine off Sunday's road upset of the Patriots, especially now that they were able to bounce back and beat the Bucs. Despite the controversy, it's not one that is going to affect the team dynamic, especially if Newton can focus and build on his performance in Foxboro. After throwing three picks at home against the Saints, Newton accounted for four touchdowns, three through the air, for the first time since Sept. 25 of 2016.

He'll alleviate a lot of concerns if he can have similar success against a Detroit defense that allowed just seven points at Minnesota last week and has put its team in position to open 4-0 given how close they came to beating Atlanta in Week 3. This will be their first home game since a Golden Tate touchdown was correctly overturned, resulting in a 10-second run-off that left them no chance to try and score from less than a foot away. It says a lot about Jim Caldwell's team that they were about to rebound from such a devastating loss to beat a division rival on the road, especially since this next four-game block that begins here features trips to New Orleans and Green Bay sandwiched around a home date with the Steelers.

Seahawks at Rams: The highest-scoring team in football through four games is quarterbacked by Jared Goff. That sounds bizarre, but even with help from some defensive scores, L.A.'s offense has been among pro football's most dynamic, a wild 180 from where it stood last season. After pulling off an upset in Dallas, the Rams and they're 35.5 points per game are back home for an NFC West date against perennial division favorite Seattle. Since it's fair to say they've faced some depleted, weary defenses in the Colts, 49ers and Cowboys and dropped a game against the top unit they've faced when Washington came to town, there's room for healthy skepticism.

"Over the last 10 seasons, the Rams have finished 21st or worse in scoring. They’ve finished last in the league twice, including last year when they scored 14.0 points per game. The last time the Rams led the league in scoring was 2001 when Kurt Warner was the quarterback," Bookmaker.eu's Scott Cooley said. "Of course, this prompted the thought of which team will ultimately win the scoring title in 2017, and oddsmakers aren’t giving the Rams much of chance to hold their position.

Bookmaker lists the Falcons (+200), Patriots (+275), Chiefs (+400), Eagles (+550), Cowboys (+900) and Packers (+1200) with better odds than L.A. (+1500) to top the NFL in points when the season ends.

Give credit where it is due to Sean McVay for making the game easier for Goff and playmakers Todd Gurley, Sammy Watkins, Tavon Austin and Cooper Kupp. Now let's find out whether they can execute against an elite group of defenders, albeit not at full strength.

Seahawks DE Cliff Avril (neck) and one of his backups, Quinton Jefferson (hand) are sidelined, while starting CB Jeremy Lane is doubtful due to a groin injury. Tackle Rees Odhiambo and Luke Joeckel, who make up the left side of the o-line, are both expected to play. The Rams may have an issue up front. Although center John Sullivan will gut it out again through a sore hip, guard Jamon Brown (groin) will likely be a game-time decision. L.A. starting safety Lamarcus Joyner is considered doubtful. The Rams have played Seattle tough in spite of the team's struggles, winning three of the last four. The last five meetings in this series have been split evenly.

Ravens at Raiders: Oakland got terrific news regarding a potential Derek Carr return from a back injury that could come as early as next week if he doesn't rush back here. That doesn't help them much against Baltimore if he can't go, although it does potentially allow them to be aggressive in not holding back any tricks they might want to save for down the road if they needed to dig in with E.J. Manuel for the long haul. At home, coming off consecutive losses, this is a game they need to win to get back on track since AFC West foes L.A. and Kansas City come through the next two weeks.

With Carr sidelined indefinitely, BookMaker adjusted its futures odds for the Oakland Raiders. Going into last week, the Raiders had +1400 odds to win the Super Bowl but they have since been moved to +2500.

"Carr’s value to a game line is 5-6 points, depending on the opponent," said BookMaker.eu's Scott Cooley. "EJ Manuel is a significant dropoff in the eyes of the oddsmakers as they assigned his value to a game line as 0-1 point. The Raiders have seen a load of support despite the inept Manuel at quarterback. It’s probably more of a play against Baltimore than on Oakland. That spread opened pick'em and is now Oakland -3."

Baltimore finds itself in dire need of a win too, having been outscored 70-16 over its past two losses. Neither blowout came in a true road game, so the Ravens will have to find a way to get acclimated to a hostile environment for the first time all season given that their 20-0 win at Cincinnati in Week 1 was so thorough that the Bengals heard more boos than they did. Joe Flacco has been dreadful, throwing more interceptions than touchdowns in three of his five games. His best game has come at home against the Browns. It's no wonder that this spread would be close to double-digits if Carr were healthy. Manuel will have Michael Crabtree (chest) available after he was cleared to play and hopes to get a slumping Amari Cooper out of his funk.

Packers at Cowboys: Dallas left tackle Tyron Smith dealt with back tightness all week, putting his availability in question. Owner Jerry Jones went on he raido and said it would "really be a surprise if he doesn't play," which is a positive development given the alternative. If Smith can't go, Byron Bell would start at left tackle, which would really weaken that side of the line since guard Chaz Green has struggled and has been dealing with a hip issue. The news isn't as positive regarding top LB Sean Lee, who is likely to miss this game due to a hamstring strain that would benefit by an additional week off given that the Cowboys have a bye up next.

Currently, Green Bay is favored to represent the NFC in the Super Bowl as far as the Westgate is concerned (13/5), while the Cowboys come in at 8/1, fourth behind the Pack, Falcons (4/1) and Seahawks (5/1). Although they're banged up on both sides of the ball, there are signs this could be the healthiest they've been this season. Tackles Brian Bulaga and David Bakhtiari practiced in pads on Thursday and are on track to start together for the first time this season. Versatile back Ty Montgomery is doubtful due to his broken ribe, which means rookies Aaron Jones and Jamaal Williams will likely get carries. WR Davante Adams needs to pass concussion protocol to participate, but LBs Nick Perry and Ahmad Brooks and CBs Davon House and Quinten Rollins are all likely to play. The Packers won a 34-31 classic in January's divisional playoffs in Arlington on a Mason Crosby field goal as time expired. They've won seven of the last 10 showdowns.

Chiefs at Texans: Kansas City puts its perfect record on the line as it attempts to move to 5-0, which would give it another obstacle to clear since teams that have won their first five games have managed to miss the playoffs in each of the past two seasons. The Chiefs are the only candidate able to potentially continue that dubious tradition, and considering they face the Steelers, Raiders, Broncos and Cowboys next, they need to make sure to secure all the wins they can get. Andy Reid's team has won 14 of their last 16 regular-season games, losing a pair of 19-17 decisions at home against Tampa Bay and Tennessee in last year. Kansas City carries an eight-game road winning streak (8-0 ATS), last losing over a year ago on Oct. 2 in a 43-14 rout at Pittsburgh.

After pulling out a home win on Monday night against Washington, covering in fluky fashion after scoring via fumble return on the game's final play, Kansas City faces a short week situation that puts it at a disadvantage going on the road despite its recent run of success outside Arrowhead. Although QB Alex Smith is an MVP candidate at the quarter point and RB Kareem Hunt is enjoying one of the most prolific starts to a career in NFL history, there's still a long way to go in a season where they've already lost safety Eric Berry. Tamba Hali won't be back off the PUP list until later this month and another top pass rusher, Dee Ford, will miss his second straight with a hip injury. The offensive line will likely be missing both starting center Mitch Morse and guard Laurent Duvernay-Tardif.

Houston continues to get healthier, though standout corner Kevin Johnson (knee) will miss his third straight game and LB Brian Cushing remains suspended. So long as Greg Mancz plays through a knee issue, the Texans will be whole on offense besides tackle Duane Brown's continued holdout. The Texans come off a dominant 57-14 home win over Tennessee and nearly took out New England the week prior. They're a pick'em at home after a Jekyll and Hyde showing at Reliant Stadium thus far, having been dominated by Jacksonville in their home opener and imposing their will on the Titans last week. Houston beat the Chiefs in Week 2 last season 19-12 in a game that featured eight field goals.

Monday, Oct. 9

Vikings at Bears: Week 5's final matchup is all about the quarterbacks. Rookie No. 2 pick Mitch Trubisky will debut for Chicago. Veteran Sam Bradford may return for Minnesota. Based on how he felt in practices late in the week, calling his knee's improvement "night and day" from where it was when it started acting up to force him out of the last three games. Backup Case Keenum has gone 1-2 while filling in, contributing to the mixed results with uneven play.

The Bears have lost four of five in the series, but won at home 20-10 on Halloween night last season behind Jordan Howard's 153 rushing yards and have held serve at Soldier Field in eight of the last nine years in this series. Considering the Bears have been no juggernaut in that span, that's impressive. Be it under Brad Childress, Leslie Frazier or current coach Mike Zimmer, the Vikes have invented ways to lose in Chicago, dropping OT games, shootouts and low-scoring affairs alike. Minnesota snapped an seven-game losing streak with a 23-20 win on Nov. 1, 2015, scoring the final 10 points inside the last two minutes and winning on a Blair Walsh walk-off field goal.

The Vikings are 1-6 SU/ATS over their last seven road games and will be playing their first game without exceptional rookie RB Dalvin Cook, who tore his ACL in Sunday's home loss to Detroit. Backups Latavius Murray and Jerick McKinnon are expected to get most of the carries, while WR Michael Floyd comes off suspension to aid the cause. Chicago will be without suspended linebacker Danny Trevathan, who is taking a seat after being disciplined for his vicious hit on Green Bay's Adams on Sept. 28.

Trends To Watch - October

HOME TEAMS

Good: If there is one place you don't want to play in October, it is Pittsburgh. The Steelers are 36-16 ATS and Jacksonville (10/8) and Cincinnati (10/22) are the next two potential victims.

Keep an eye on (Good): As bad as Cleveland has been recently, they have been a solid wager at home with a 19-12 ATS record. The Browns will have three chances to improve that mark facing Cincinnati (10/1), the New York Jets (10/8) and Tennessee (10/22).

Keep an eye on (Bad): In the southern part of Ohio, the Bengals are the opposite of their rivals from north at 19-29 ATS at home and they will have Buffalo (10/8) and Indianapolis (10/29) in the Queen City.

Jacksonville has just one home contest this month and that is against the L.A. Rams on Oct. 15th, which might be a good thing with their desultory 14-24 spread record.

As good as Seattle has played for years, they are only 17-27 ATS at home this month and have matchups on the first and last Sunday's against the Colts and Houston.

AWAY TEAMS

Keep an eye on (Good): The New York Giants have gotten off to a horrible start in 2017 and will be playing catch up the rest of the season. Giants backers can take solace in that they are 30-18 ATS on the road and they will have a pair of tough tests at Tampa Bay (10/1) and at Denver (10/15).

New England plays good football almost anywhere and is 31-19 ATS in the road white's. They will be at Tampa on the first Thursday of the month and 10 days later in New Jersey to take on Gang Green.

Carolina has performed well on the road at 26-17 ATS and will get their chance to show they are truly road warriors with FOUR away contests. (@ New England, @ Detroit, @Chicago and @Tampa Bay in order). Their only home game is wedged in the middle on the 12th.

Atlanta is 30-18 ATS as visitors and this month will be a new experience, with games at New England (10/22) and at the New York Jets a week later.

Keep an eye on (Bad): Arizona only has one true road game this month, which is good for them given its 15-28 spread record, and that will in Philly on the Oct. 8th.

As you read this, you realize the Bengals are a bad bet anywhere in October and are miserable 20-37 ATS away from home. The situation is made worse by playing Cleveland and Pittsburgh, both as you can see above are terrific at home this month.

The Seahawks are another squad that is as dreary as the weather in Seattle in October and besides ATS home woes, they are 21-36 ATS as visitors. Two trips for the Hawks, one to the Rams (10/8) and the other at the Giants (10/22)

FAVORITES

Good: Did not see this coming! Cleveland is 11-5 ATS in this role and in all likelihood will be handing out points to the Jets at home on the 8th.

Bad: With Cincy a lousy wager home and away, it would stand to reason they would not be good bet as favorites and that is true with a nauseating 12-25 ATS mark. They will have three shots at bettering that record versus the Browns (10/1), Bills (10/8) and Colts (10/29).

With the Jaguars 10-20 ATS as chalk, we will find out how much they are improved this season. They will be giving points at the Jets on the 1st and two weeks later when they host the Rams. Because we don't know Andrew Luck's status, the Oct. 22nd line is up in the air.

Seattle is abysmal 15-30 ATS giving points in Rocktober and is expected to be favored in all four contests.

Keep an eye on (Bad): The Buccaneers have been shaky 16-27 ATS favorites and will assume that role versus the G-Men (10/1), possibly at Buffalo (10/22) and conceivably against Carolina the following week.

UNDERDOGS

Good: The Steelers are sensational 23-10 ATS as underdogs and will be at Kansas City on the third Sunday of the month, with contest in Detroit iffy two weeks later.

Keep an eye on (Good): Big Blue (the Giants) is nicely profitable 23-14 ATS when receiving points and will at Tampa Bay (10/1), at Denver (10/15) and maybe at home depending on how they are playing seven days later against Seattle.

Denver shows up in this space at 21-14 ATS as a pooch and will be listed as such one day before Halloween at K.C. on a Monday. There is slight possibility they could also be dogs at the Carson Chargers. We will have to wait and see.

The Panthers as mentioned have covered many spreads on the road and that correlates to 29-16 ATS record as underdogs. They will be dogs at Gillette Stadium to start the month, a week later in the Motor City and maybe at Tampa on the 29th.

Chicago is a somewhat surprising 30-19 ATS receiving points and are thought to in that same position four times this month.

Bad: It's bad enough that San Francisco is 13-27 ATS as dogs, but with four away encounters and home game with Dallas, a death knell looms.

DIVISION

Keep an eye on (Good): The Bears are 24-13 ATS in the NFC Central and have Minnesota in town on the 9th for a Gruden Grinder.

Another bad club with division success is the Jets from the cement jungle at 27-14 ATS. They will have the Pats at home on the 15th and go for the sweep at Miami the following week.

The Chiefs have thrived in the division 21-14 ATS and are at Oakland on Thursday the 19th and 11 days afterwards, facing the Broncos.

Bad: As much as we are tired talking about how awful Cincinnati is in October, the facts don't lie with a 13-29 record in the AFC North. As stated, they have two battles with Cleveland and Pittsburgh on the road.

Keep an eye on (Bad): Indianapolis is mediocre 16-24 ATS versus the AFC South and will face two foes. The Colts have a Monday nighter at Tennessee (10/16) and six days later have Jacksonville at home.

Finally, one last mention of the Seahawks, who are 17-27 ATS in the NFC West, which stands to reason given their other sickly spread numbers. They will take on the Rams in Tinsel Town on the 8th.