October Baseball - Minnesota @ NYY - NYY -230

1osubucks · Oct 2, 2017

Pitcher Versus Team Past History

ERVIN SANTANA vs. NY YANKEES since 1997

SANTANA is 6-10 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 5.66 and a WHIP of 1.517.

His team's record is 7-13 (-4.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 10-10. (-0.5 units)

ERVIN SANTANA recent starts vs. NY YANKEES
Date	Opponent	Score	Line	Total	Result	Dec	IP	R	ER	H	HR	BB	SO	Opp Starter
9/18/2017	at NY YANKEES	1-2	+140	9	Loss,Under	L	5.7	2	2	7	1	1	3	GARCIA(L)
6/25/2016	at NY YANKEES	1-2	+182	9	Loss,Under		5	1	1	6	0	2	2	PINEDA(R)
6/19/2016	NY YANKEES	7-4	+145	9	Win,Over	W	7.3	3	2	6	1	0	4	EOVALDI(R)

LUIS SEVERINO vs. MINNESOTA since 1997

SEVERINO is 0-0 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 9.00 and a WHIP of 2.000.

His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

LUIS SEVERINO recent starts vs. MINNESOTA

Date

Opponent

Score

Line

Total

Result

Dec

IP

R

ER

H

HR

BB

SO

Opp Starter

9/20/2017

MINNESOTA

11-3

-310

8.5

Win,Over

3

5

0

1

3

COLON(R)

Team Line Action - Where the money is going!

Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.

As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring NY YANKEES in this game.

The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MINNESOTA games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1394, -209.3 units)

The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MINNESOTA games 48.1% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (194-209, -40.8 units)

The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NY YANKEES games 52.1% of the time since 1997. (1506-1387, -138.7 units)

The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NY YANKEES games 50.5% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (217-213, -39.6 units)

Edge=MINNESOTA

The betting public is favoring the UNDER in this game.

The betting public is correct when moving the total in MINNESOTA games 50.2% of the time since 1997. (1158-1149, -143.7 units)

The betting public is correct when moving the total in MINNESOTA games 49.9% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (213-214, -26.1 units)

The betting public is correct when moving the total in NY YANKEES games 51.8% of the time since 1997. (1279-1191, -79.2 units)

The betting public is correct when moving the total in NY YANKEES games 50% of the time over the last 3 seasons. (222-222, -30.6 units)

No Edge.

Key Player Injuries

MINNESOTA

[P] 10/01/2017 - J.T. Chargois 60-day DL (09/05) ( Elbow )

[P] 07/19/2017 - Phil Hughes 60-day DL (07/18) ( Ribs )

[P] 07/06/2017 - Hector Santiago 60-day DL (07/03) ( Back )

[P] 05/28/2017 - Ryan O'Rourke 60-day DL (03/30) ( Forearm )

[P] 03/11/2017 - Trevor May 60-day DL (03/22) ( Elbow )

NY YANKEES

[P] 09/17/2017 - CALEB Smith 10-day DL (09/14) ( Virus )

[P] 08/15/2017 - Luis Cessa 60-day DL (08/15) ( Ribs )

[P] 07/16/2017 - Michael Pineda 60-day DL (07/11) ( Elbow )

1osubucks · Oct 2, 2017

Rot	Opener	Team	Time	SC		[h=3]Westgate[/h]	[h=3]Mirage[/h]	[h=3]Station[/h]	[h=3]Pinnacle[/h]	[h=3]SIA[/h]
931 932	7.5 -230	E SANTANA -R L SEVERINO -R <nobr>Minnesota Twins</nobr> <nobr>New York Yankees</nobr>	8:05 PM	- -		7.5 -230	7.5 -230	7.5 -240	7.5 -242	7.5 -230

1osubucks · Oct 2, 2017

team = Yankees and o:team = Twins

SU:	74-32 (1.14, 69.8%)	avg line: -156.6 / 142.2	on / against: +$2,862 / -$3,254	ROI: +17.3% / -30.1%
RL:	43-40 (0.14, 51.8%)	avg line: 104.1 / -116.4	on / against: +$614 / -$1,045	ROI: +6.6% / -10.0%
OU:	50-47-8 (0.04, 51.5%)	avg total: 9.1	over / under: -$110 / -$755	ROI: -0.9% / -6.6%

	Runs	Walks	SO	Hits	XBH	HR	SII	MRI	IL	LOB	TLOB	ODP	SRA	PU
Team	5.14	3.03	5.92	9.88	1.96	1.26	2.61	1.39	4.42	15.08	6.92	1.09	2.79	3.96
Opp	4.00	2.75	7.49	8.75	1.92	0.92	2.39	0.97	2.70	14.45	6.83	0.88	3.42	4.03

Date	Link	Day	Site	Team	Starter	Opp	Starter	Final	SUm	W/L	OUm	O/U	Hits	Errors	BL	Line	Total	Innings
Oct 03, 2017	box	Tue	home	Yankees	Luis Severino - R	Twins	Ervin Santana - R									-240	7.5
Sep 20, 2017	box	Wed	home	Yankees	Luis Severino - R	Twins	Bartolo Colon - R	11-3	8	W	5.5	O	15-6	0-0	8-3	-315	8.5	9
Sep 19, 2017	box	Tue	home	Yankees	CC Sabathia - L	Twins	Jose Berrios - R	5-2	3	W	-1.5	U	11-8	0-1	3-1	-160	8.5	9
Sep 18, 2017	box	Mon	home	Yankees	Jaime Garcia - L	Twins	Ervin Santana - R	2-1	1	W	-5.5	U	8-4	1-2	1-0	-165	8.5	9
Jul 19, 2017	box	Wed	away	Yankees	Jordan Montgomery - L	Twins	Jose Berrios - R	1-6	-5	L	-2.0	U	7-7	0-1	0-6	-107	9.0	9
Jul 18, 2017	box	Tue	away	Yankees	Luis Cessa - R	Twins	Bartolo Colon - R	6-3	3	W	-1.5	U	13-7	0-0	3-2	-128	10.5	9
Jul 17, 2017	box	Mon	away	Yankees	Bryan Mitchell - R	Twins	Adalberto Mejia - L	2-4	-2	L	-4.0	U	8-10	1-0	0-2	-116	10.0	9

1osubucks · Oct 2, 2017

Minnesota Twins at New York Yankees	8:00 PM ET
	Season	Rd/Hm	Last Start	Last 3 App
STARTERS	GS	REC	ERA	AIP	REC	ERA	DATE	OPP	DEC	IP	H	ER	REC	IP	ERA
E. Santana (R)	33	16-8	3.28	6.0	10-3	2.71	9/28	@CLE	ND	5.0	4	0	1-1	17.2	2.55
L. Severino (R)	31	14-6	2.98	5.1	8-5	3.71	9/27	TB	W	6.0	4	1	2-0	17.0	3.18

Diesel00 · Oct 3, 2017

The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MINNESOTA games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1394, -209.3 units)

This is an obvious and blatant typo right??

Hamilbet · Oct 3, 2017

If not, They're due!!!

1osubucks · Oct 3, 2017

1osubucks said:
Minnesota Twins at New York Yankees 8:00 PM ET
Season Rd/Hm Last Start Last 3 App
STARTERS GS REC ERA AIP REC ERA DATE OPP DEC IP H ER REC IP ERA
E. Santana (R) 33 16-8 3.28 6.0 10-3 2.71 9/28 @CLE ND 5.0 4 0 1-1 17.2 2.55
L. Severino (R) 31 14-6 2.98 5.1 8-5 3.71 9/27 TB W 6.0 4 1 2-0 17.0 3.18

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Diesel00 said:
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MINNESOTA games 0% of the time since 1997. (0-1394, -209.3 units)

This is an obvious and blatant typo right??

Hamilbet said:
If not, They're due!!!

I just did a copy and paste but thought that was odd..

tmader7 · Oct 3, 2017

How in the hell can it be 0% since 1997 yet be 48.1% last 3 years. Men, that math don't add up, think about it.

~T~

Joeflex92 · Oct 3, 2017

Hey what’s going on man just curious where you got those stats?

October Baseball - Minnesota @ NYY - NYY -230

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