Colorado Rockies@Arizona Diamondbacks OCTOBER 4th

Search

Member
Joined
May 23, 2017
Messages
1,173
Tokens
OCTOBER 4th
08:00PM ET

NATIONAL LEAGUE
WILD CARD

Colorado Rockies (+158) @Arizona Diamondbacks (-164)

Zack Greinke (3.20 ERA) vs Jon Gray (3.67 ERA)
Arizona D-backs host the Colorado Rockies as large favorite of this NL Wild Card Game.
Arizona and Colorado have a lot of things in common, they share a spring training facility and have played each other 19 times this season.

The D-Backs won 6 games more regarding the Rockies in the Regular Season and they lead also the H-2-H meetings 11-8.

D-Backs ace Zack Greinke is up to his 10th career playoff start with a 3.55 ERA.Against the Rockies in give starts he is 2-1 with a 3.41 ERTA in 34 1/3 innings.

25 years old rocky Jon Gray is 2-1 3.50 ERA against the D-Backs.

The reason why the D-Backs had won 6 games more than the Rockies is clearly because of the starting pitchers.
In fact Greinke, Ray, Corbin and Walker are absolutely overall better than Gray, Bettis, Chatwood and Marquez/Freeland.

The D-Backs also have probably the best player in the lineups, Paul Goldschmidt, but overall the Rockies have more power and they can go deep and reach base easier than the D-Backs and the top of the lineup for Colorado with Blackmon, LeMathieu, Arenado, Gonzalez and Story it's just very scary.
Arizona probably plays better as a team but there is no doubt that on a single game the Rockies could be on fire and extremely tough to stop.

Arizona plays home and in downtown Phoenix at Chase Field it's going to be sold out and will be really an emotional games.
Surely at this stage Greinke has way more experience than Gray and that's why Arizona is so favorite. We saw yesterday what happened with Severino, absolutely astonishing during the Regular Season and on his first career postseason game it looked like he couldn't pitch and lasted only 1 OUT.To handle the pressure and be extremely focused will be the key for both starters,
the odds and the line is all on Jon Gray, will he be able to handle the pressure and last at least 4-5 innings with no big damages? If the answer will be YES, then +158 for the Rockies it's a complete joke and tremendous value, because this Rockies offensive lineup in my opinion is not worst than Arizona.

It's about to analyze if the starting pitchers will be a key on this game and if YES on this case the -164 would make sense, on the other hand if we are going to rely on the lineups and on the bullpens the -164 makes completely no sense.

Colorado at this price could be a value, but would I go with a rocky pitcher on such important and emotional game? Just too risky in my opinion. You know if we would escape from the first 2-3 innings with no damages probably this would be at that stage a wonderful bet having a +158 ticket that would be worth even or less, but the tough for Gray it's gonna be the first 2-3 innings and probably only a magician would know before the game what to expect.
On the other hand to bet Arizona -164 doesn't make sense to me, you are basically completely trusting Greinke vs Gray, for sure the experience vs the rockie, but also two pitchers that have a very similar ERA and like I said on the bullpens and lineups -164 it's far from the reality.

I went with the Yankees yesterday because I knew I had plenty of keys and factors in my favor and no matter Severino was to his first postseason game and eventually lasted only 1 OUT I knew the Yankees also being down on the score they still had so much power in the lineups and a great bullpen against the worst lineup on this MLB Playoffs and a team without dominant starters and significant bullpen like the Twins, playing in a loud and difficult field as Yankee Stadium.
But, today will be a different story, the beginning of this game in my opinion is so crucial that after less than 1 hour probably we gonna know a lot of this game, but pre-game is just too tough to go one way.To go with the underdog could make more sense on this game and overall maybe the better choice, for sure I'm not even taking in consideration the -164, but at the same time on these kind of games I don't feel tailing a rockie, just not enough confidence.

Hopefully this was a little helpful to you![FONT=wf_segoe-ui_normal]

OVERALL RESULTS

72 WINNERS / 35 LOSSES / $47,220

May: 6 WINNERS / 1 LOSS / $4,410
June: 19 WINNERS / 5 LOSSES / $12,770
July: 18 WINNERS / 17 LOSSES / $400
August: 18 WINNERS / 8 LOSSES / $14,100
September: 10 WINNERS / 4 LOSSES / $12,540[/FONT]

[FONT=wf_segoe-ui_normal]MLB Playoffs October: 1 WINNERS / 0 LOSSES / $3,000[/FONT]

[FONT=wf_segoe-ui_normal]PLAYS ARCHIVE

October 3rd New York Yankees $3,000

September 19th St. Louis Cardinals $2,100
September 17th Washington Nationals $2,000
September 16th Boston Red Sox $2,000
September 15th St. Louis Cardinals -$2,000
September 14th Texas Rangers -$2,080
September 13th Seattle Mariners $2,000
September 12th Seattle Mariners $2,060
September 11th Baltimore Orioles -$2,000
September 8th Seattle Mariners $2,000
September 4th Texas Rangers $2,200
September 4th St. Louis Cardinals $2,000
September 4th Cincinnati Reds $2,260
September 3rd Colorado Rockies -$2,000
September 1st Arizona Diamondbacks $2,000
August 26th St. Louis Cardinals $1,000
August 24th Colorado Rockies $2,040
August 23rd Toronto Blue Jays $2,000
August 23rd San Francisco Giants $2,000
August 22nd Baltimore Orioles -$3,080
August 21st Baltimore Orioles $2,000
August 20th Baltimore Orioles -$2,000
August 19th New York Mets $2,000
August 18th Colorado Rockies $2,000
August 18th Chicago Cubs $2,000
August 17th Houston Astros -$2,320
August 16th Seattle Mariners $2,000
August 15th Pittsburgh Pirates -$2,000
August 14th Baltimore Orioles $2,000
August 12th Baltimore Orioles $2,000
August 11th Oakland Athletics $2,000
August 11th Miami Marlins $2,120
August 10th Oakland Athletics -$2,000
August 9th New York Yankees $2,000
August 8th Cleveland Indians $1,000
August 7th Pittsburgh Pirates $1,000
August 6th Pittsburgh Pirates $1,000
August 4th Seattle Mariners $1,000
August 3rd Houston Astros -$1,490
August 2nd New York Yankees -$2,170
August 1st St. Louis Cardinals -$2,000
July 28th New York Yankees $1,000
July 27th New York Mets -$1,000
July 27th New York Yankees $1,000
July 27th Toronto Blue Jays $1,000
July 26th New York Mets -$1,050
July 26th Baltimore Orioles -$1,000
July 25th Boston Red Sox -$1,000
July 24th St. Louis Cardinals $1,000
July 23rd Pittsburgh Pirates -$1,000
July 22nd Chicago Cubs $1,000
July 21st Texas Rangers $1,000
July 20th Texas Rangers -$1,000
July 20th New York Mets $1,000
July 19th Texas Rangers -$1,000
July 19th Oakland Athletics $1,000
July 18th Oakland Athletics -$1,000
July 18th Baltimore Orioles $1,000
July 17th Oakland Athletics -$1,030
July 17th Baltimore Orioles $1,000
July 16th St. Louis Cardinals -$1,280
July 15th Los Angeles Angels -$1,180
July 15th St. Louis Cardinals $1,200
July 14th Los Angeles Angels -$1,000
July 9th Seattle Mariners $1,000
July 8th Tampa Bay Rays $1,000
July 8th Toronto Blue Jays $1,000
July 7th Baltimore Orioles -$1,150
July 6th Cleveland Indians $1,000
July 6th St. Louis Cardinals $1,000
July 5th Texas Rangers $1,000
July 5th Baltimore Orioles -$1,000
July 4th Texas Rangers -$1,160
July 4th Toronto Blue Jays $1,070
July 3rd Texas Rangers -$1,000
July 2nd Toronto Blue Jays -$1,020
June 28th Toronto Blue Jays $1,000
June 27th Detroit Tigers $1,000
June 26th San Francisco Giants $1,000
June 25th Detroit Tigers $1,000
June 25th Toronto Blue Jays $1,000
June 24th Detroit Tigers -$1,000
June 23rd Toronto Blue Jays -$1,350
June 21st Toronto Blue Jays $1,000
June 19th Toronto Blue Jays $1,000
June 18th Toronto Blue Jays $1,000
June 16th St. Louis Cardinals $1,000
June 15th Detroit Tigers $1,000
June 13th Chicago Cubs $1,000
June 12th Pittsburgh Pirates $1,000
June 10th Toronto Blue Jays $1,000
June 9th St. Louis Cardinals $1,000
June 8th San Francisco Giants $1,000
June 7th St. Louis Cardinals -$1,350
June 6th Toronto Blue Jays -$1,370
June 5th San Francisco Giants $1,000
June 4th Chicago Cubs $1,000
June 3rd Los Angeles Dodgers $1,000
June 2nd Los Angeles Dodgers $1,000
June 1st Boston Red Sox -$1,200
May 31st Washington Nationals $1,000
May 29th Toronto Blue Jays $1,000
May 28th San Francisco Giants $1,000
May 27th Cleveland Indians -$1,590
May 26th Washington Nationals $1,000
May 24th Boston Red Sox $1,000
May 23rd Los Angeles Dodgers $1,000

[/FONT]

Who are we?
The Real Deal
 

New member
Joined
Sep 20, 2017
Messages
4
Tokens
Great Write up Real Deal!!! so i'm assuming you're staying away from todays game?
 

New member
Joined
Sep 3, 2012
Messages
176
Tokens
Thank you for the info, been lurking and cashing on you. Much appreciated.. great work!!
 

Banned
Joined
Jun 21, 2017
Messages
369
Tokens
What analysis

best you wait for the x3 confidence play when the Indians run out Kluber -220 or Kershaw -245

more your style
 

Biz

Member
Handicapper
Joined
Oct 29, 2011
Messages
14,588
Tokens
Rockies live dog tonight.

Nice RLM and a divisional dog with a high total. Line dropping despite public betting Arizona.
 

Member
Joined
May 23, 2017
Messages
1,173
Tokens
Rockies live dog tonight.

Nice RLM and a divisional dog with a high total. Line dropping despite public betting Arizona.

What do you call "public" Biz?
Forums? Twitter? Seriously?
There are millions of dollars on this game and the ones that you call "public" are betting for the great majority between $50 to $1,000...

Right now Arizona -150, it could go either way, but who went with Arizona around -165 has already lost and proved to be a bad gambler not being able to read the market and place the money at the right time. -230 and -270 taught.
 

Member
Joined
Nov 17, 2007
Messages
572
Tokens
Regardless of all the bullshit in here, 72-35 is your proof! Keep it (real) real deal! Thanks!
 

Biz

Member
Handicapper
Joined
Oct 29, 2011
Messages
14,588
Tokens
What do you call "public" Biz?
Forums? Twitter? Seriously?
There are millions of dollars on this game and the ones that you call "public" are betting for the great majority between $50 to $1,000...

Right now Arizona -150, it could go either way, but who went with Arizona around -165 has already lost and proved to be a bad gambler not being able to read the market and place the money at the right time. -230 and -270 taught.

Betting markets.

Im talking about the percentage of bets compared to number of dollars. I don't need your half assed lecture to tell me how much money is wagered.
 

Banned
Joined
Jun 21, 2017
Messages
369
Tokens
Regardless of all the bullshit in here, 72-35 is your proof! Keep it (real) real deal! Thanks!
Yeah but he got crushed last postseason as the andy Malcolm tour pisan. And had things gone bad he would have disappeared again.
 

Forum statistics

Threads
1,108,089
Messages
13,448,415
Members
99,391
Latest member
tinhy047
The RX is the sports betting industry's leading information portal for bonuses, picks, and sportsbook reviews. Find the best deals offered by a sportsbook in your state and browse our free picks section.FacebookTwitterInstagramContact Usforum@therx.com