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Thread: Cnotes 2017 NBA Best Bets-Trends-News Thru Playoffs !

  1. #801  
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    NBA
    Armadillo's Write-Up


    Thursday, January 18



    Cavaliers lost four in row, 8 of last 10 games; they’re 5-14 vs spread as home favorites. Under is 6-4 in their last ten home games. Orlando lost 16 of last 18 games; they’re 3-8 in last 11 tries as road underdogs. Under is 11-5 in their last 16 games. Cleveland won nine of last 10 games with Orlando but Magic covered four of last six— Magic is 2-3 vs spread in last five visits here. Three of last four series games went over.


    Celtics won nine of last 10 games with Philly, covering last three; Sixers covered three of last four visits to Beantown. Six of last eight series games went over the total. 76ers won five of their last six games; they’re 7-8 as road underdogs. Four of their last five games went over total. Boston won seven of its last eight games; they’re 10-7-2 as home favorites. Three of their last four home games stayed under.


    Rockets won nine of last ten games with Minnesota, but Wolves covered seven of last eight; Minnesota is 5-1 vs spread in last six visits here. Nine of last ten series games went over total. Minnesota won five of its last six games; they’re 5-6 as road underdogs. Under is 8-3 in their last 11 games. Houston split its last six games; they’re 3-6 in last nine tries as home favorites. Last seven Houston home games went over.


    Portland won eight of last ten games with Indiana; four of last five series games went over total. Pacers are 1-4 vs spread in their last five visits to Oregon. Pacers won five of their last six games; they’re 8-7 as road underdogs. Five of their last six games stayed under. Portland won its last four home games; they’re 4-11-1 vs spread as home favorites. Blazers’ last six games all went over the total.








    NBA


    Thursday, January 18



    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


    PHILADELPHIA @ BOSTON
    Philadelphia is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
    Philadelphia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
    Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
    Boston is 14-1 SU in its last 15 games when playing Philadelphia


    ORLANDO @ CLEVELAND
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games on the road
    Orlando is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
    Cleveland is 18-1 SU in its last 19 games when playing Orlando
    Cleveland is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games at home


    MINNESOTA @ HOUSTON
    Minnesota is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games at home
    Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota


    INDIANA @ PORTLAND
    Indiana is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
    Indiana is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Portland's last 5 games
    Portland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Indiana




    -------------------------------------------------------------------


    NBA
    Long Sheet


    Thursday, January 18



    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


    ORLANDO (13 - 31) at CLEVELAND (26 - 17) - 1/18/2018, 7:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    ORLANDO is 17-26 ATS (-11.6 Units) in all games this season.
    ORLANDO is 39-56 ATS (-22.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
    ORLANDO is 131-169 ATS (-54.9 Units) in January games since 1996.
    ORLANDO is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
    ORLANDO is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) off an upset win as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
    ORLANDO is 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    ORLANDO is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 12-30 ATS (-21.0 Units) in all games this season.
    CLEVELAND is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
    CLEVELAND is 6-26 ATS (-22.6 Units) as a favorite this season.
    CLEVELAND is 3-16 ATS (-14.6 Units) in home games this season.
    CLEVELAND is 4-18 ATS (-15.8 Units) in January games over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 5-19 ATS (-15.9 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 3-17 ATS (-15.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
    CLEVELAND is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    CLEVELAND is 5-4 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
    CLEVELAND is 8-1 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    PHILADELPHIA (20 - 20) at BOSTON (34 - 11) - 1/18/2018, 7:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    BOSTON is 27-16 ATS (+9.4 Units) in all games this season.
    BOSTON is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
    PHILADELPHIA is 71-50 ATS (+16.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 59-38 ATS (+17.2 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in January games over the last 2 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 27-14 ATS (+11.6 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 51-35 ATS (+12.5 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) off an upset win as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    BOSTON is 6-5 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
    BOSTON is 10-1 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    MINNESOTA (29 - 17) at HOUSTON (30 - 12) - 1/18/2018, 9:35 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MINNESOTA is 6-1 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
    HOUSTON is 6-1 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    INDIANA (24 - 20) at PORTLAND (23 - 21) - 1/18/2018, 10:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    INDIANA is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in road games when playing with 2 days rest over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    PORTLAND is 4-1 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
    PORTLAND is 4-1 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


    NBA
    Dunkel


    Thursday, January 18





    Orlando @ Cleveland


    Game 501-502
    January 18, 2018 @ 7:05 pm


    Dunkel Rating:
    Orlando
    112.412
    Cleveland
    120.554
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Cleveland
    by 8
    231
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Cleveland
    by 11
    222
    Dunkel Pick:
    Orlando
    (+11); Over


    Philadelphia @ Boston



    Game 503-504
    January 18, 2018 @ 7:05 pm


    Dunkel Rating:
    Philadelphia
    120.508
    Boston
    123.412
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Boston
    by 3
    216
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Boston
    by 4 1/2
    211
    Dunkel Pick:
    Philadelphia
    (+4 1/2); Over


    Minnesota @ Houston



    Game 505-506
    January 18, 2018 @ 9:35 pm


    Dunkel Rating:
    Minnesota
    119.223
    Houston
    128.412
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Houston
    by 9
    218
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Houston
    by 4 1/2
    222 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Houston
    (-4 1/2); Under


    Indiana @ Portland



    Game 507-508
    January 18, 2018 @ 10:05 pm


    Dunkel Rating:
    Indiana
    114.341
    Portland
    121.856
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Portland
    by 7 1/2
    207
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Portland
    by 3 1/2
    213 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Portland
    (-3 1/2); Under
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  2. #802  
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    Runnin' of the Bulls
    January 18, 2018



    I’m trying not to focus exclusively on the Central Division, but they keep sucking me in!


    This time it’s a big to-do about the Chicago Bulls.


    Yes, actually. I know that there are a billion hot topics in the NBA every week, but when there’s a chance to win money at BetOnline.ag, I have to bring it to your attention.


    Stay with me now. This is tough stuff to get your head around.


    The Chicago Bulls are six wins away from smashing the totally-not-insulting regular season win total that was handed to them in the preseason. At just +/- 22.5 wins, the Bulls were supposed to be the worst team in the league by a country mile. They’re still not very good, but something very strange is happening in the house that Michael Jordan built.


    Believe it or not, but the Chicago Bulls have also become a spread busting darling with a mark of 27-17-1 ATS. That’s the second best betting record in the entire league behind Boston. Anyone who was brazen enough to hop on this bandwagon was either clinically insane or insanely smart.


    So how is this all happening? Well first off, it’s not because of bad lines. Over the past ten games, Chicago has faced an average spread of +3.85 and gone a respectable 6-4 ATS. That includes games where they were just +4.5 favorites against Toronto, -1.5 points against Miami and +8.5 against the Golden State Warriors. What those erratic odds tell you is that the Bulls have the oddsmakers scrambling to find answers.


    Usually, teams like the Chicago Bulls become afterthoughts. They’re so bad against the spread that bettors don’t care, and they’re so awful on the court that it’s not even fun to enjoy how bad they are on League Pass. Somehow, Chicago has strung together a really cool run and none of it makes sense.


    Everything seemed to be doom and gloom for the league’s worst roster when they were absolutely fleeced in the Jimmy Butler trade that brought back the likes of Kris Dunn, Zach Lavine and Lauri Markkanen. Then Nikola Mirotic and Bobby Portis came to blows in the preseason, causing the former to miss multiple weeks due to a broken face. These guys couldn’t even get along let alone figure out how to play ball together.


    Starting off 3-20 SU overall pretty much told everyone what they already knew: Chicago sucked. Even a peek at their advanced stats doesn’t reveal a team that we should even be talking about, let alone writing a thousand words on. The Bulls are ranked just 28th in offensive rating and 26th defensively. By the way, there’s still just 30 teams in the league.


    So how is any of this possible? Well, first of all the package that the Bulls sent to Minnesota for Butler has actually panned out. Markkanen, the 7th overall pick from the 2017 NBA Draft, was seen as a long time project despite being an impressive athletic talent. Instead, the 20 year old Lithuanian has averaged 15.5 points and 7.6 rebounds per game and been a pretty decent revelation for a young Bulls team that really has needed his spark.


    The real engine that drives the train is Kris Dunn, the former Providence floor general who has sky rocketed leaps and bounds this year in terms of development. Dunn has averaged 13.6 points, 6.4 assists and 4.6 rebounds per game on a team that is generally devoid of real scoring potential. Those are impressive numbers, and Dunn is an even more impressive player. He’s not “there” yet, but he’s well on his way. For the record, I wouldn’t have traded Butler for him but that’s just me.


    Speaking of trades, one of the reasons you should probably be betting the Bulls is that the team’s leading scorer is Nikola Mirotic, who’s chipping in a very selfish (but team leading) 17.3 points is asking for a trade, and doing everything he can to bolster his value to other teams. Mirotic and the full-of-hustle point guard Jerain Grant are being shopped around the league. Knowing the Bulls, they’re going to screw this up, but it’s worth tracking in regards to NBA betting.


    Easily the biggest outlier in the glorious betting track record of the Bulls is something I’ve already pointed out – the oddsmakers can’t really nail them down. They’re a ridiculous 14-8-1 ATS at home and 13-9 ATS when travelling. Those are great spread records, especially for a team this bad.


    Chicago is in that lump of top teams racking up wins against the spread that nobody really saw coming. Boston is on top with 27-16-2 ATS, but that’s mostly because nobody anticipated that they’d be this good. Hell, they might win the championship this year. Brooklyn is on pace with a 27-18 ATS run of their own after a recent explosion that seems just as inexplicable, while the Detroit Pistons (24-17-2 ATS) and L.A. Clippers (25-18-1 ATS) are also exceeding expectation.


    This is also totally normal behavior in NBA betting. The Philadelphia Sixers won 28 games last season and went 49-33 ATS. They were followed by Miami at 41-41 SU and 48-33-1 ATS and Denver, who posted a 40-42 SU record while going 46-36 ATS in 2016-17.


    The top teams in the actual standings deserve your eyeballs, but the dredges of the league are usually the best place to find value because nobody else is bothering to look there. That’s why teams like the Chicago Bulls and Brooklyn Nets are bet-on entities, even though I can’t believe I just wrote that sentence.
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  3. #803  
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    Armadillo: Friday's six-pack


    — St Mary’s 74, Gonzaga 71— Huge win for Gaels’ NCAA resume


    — Belmont 79, Murray State 72— Bruins are 6-1 in OVC, alone in first place


    — East Tennessee State 62, Furman 61— Bucs win battle of leaders in SoCon.


    — USC 75, Oregon 70— Trojans snap an 0-14 skid against Oregon.


    — Nebraska 72, Michigan 52— Impressive home win for the Cornhuskers.


    — TCU guard Jaylen Fisher (knee) is out for the season. Bad news for the Frogs.




    **********

    Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: Clearing out a cluttered mind……..



    13) Bill Belichick got his first NFL head coaching job in 1991, when he was 39; he interviewed 85 coaches for assistants’ jobs that winter- the first one he hired?


    Guy named Nick Saban. Wonder whatever happened to him?


    12) Six of the top 21 college basketball teams lost Wednesday night. Been a weird year.


    11) I see that they’re moving up the start of college basketball season next year, up three days to November 6, which will also be Election Day. They’re trying to get the start of college hoop out of football’s shadows— hopefully there won’t be any MAC football games on TV that Tuesday.


    10) NBC television is advertising the Olympics a lot- one of the ads has an athlete saying how every kid’s dream is to be in the Olympics. I can honestly say, not once did I ever dream of being in the Olympics, especially the Winter Olympics. Good thing, since I was a lousy athlete, but my idea of fun isn’t slalom skiing or anything to do with cold weather.


    9) Funny story on Twitter this week about how a Vikings fan named Sara Zeigler got so excited when Stefon Diggs caught that pass at the end of the game Sunday night, she jumped on her couch and landed on her remote control, which changed the station on the TV before Diggs scored, so she didn’t see the winning TD she was so excited about, until one of the 1,000 replays after the game.


    Moral of story: Remote controls are very valuable; never jump on them.


    There have been numerous stories about people waiting for the PAT to be tried/not tried after that Minnesota touchdown, since the pointspread hung in the balance. Had to be fun to be in Las Vegas sportsbook for that.


    8) Philadelphia Eagles went for it on 4th down 26 times this year, most in the NFL- they made the first down/TD on 17 of those 26 tries.


    7) Shohei Ohtani is both a pitcher and a hitter; the Angels’ newest free agent acquisition has caused the folks at CBSSports.com some grief this winter, as they worked to figure out how Ohtani will be dealt with in the fantasy league website’s stats column.


    Apparently the problem has been resolved; doesn’t sound like Ohtani will be in the lineup enough to merit his inclusion as a fantasy league hitter. Albert Pujols DH’s for the Angels, so it Ohtani is the DH, Pujols has to play first base? Not ideal.


    6) Cavaliers 104, Magic 103— Cavaliers blew a 23-point lead but survived the dismal Magic. Cleveland is 16-5 at home, 3-17-1 against the spread.


    5) Surprising stat: Of the last eight Stanley Cup champs, only one of the eight (’17 Penguins) finished higher than 15th in NHL in power play efficiency during the regular season.


    4) Creighton F Martin Krampelj will miss the rest of the season with a major knee injury; he’s started every game for the Bluejays, scoring 11.9 ppg, grabbing 8 rebounds a game- a big loss.


    3) When I was a little kid 100 or so years ago (late 60’s), they built a restaurant near our house— Valle’s Steakhouse. Place had this huge, Vegas-like sign in front of it, and it was a fancy place. Cloth napkins, all that.


    Valle’s went out of business a long time ago; the building is a college now, Bryant & Stratton College, and I found out this week that Bryant & Stratton is starting a basketball program. They haven’t said where they’re going to play their games. If I remember right, Bryant & Stratton used to be called Albany Business College, and it was located in the city of Albany.


    I’m not 100% sure that ABC became Bryant & Stratton, but one came to being when the other closed its doors.


    2) Anyway, Albany Business College had a good junior college basketball team back in the day; Willard Rice was the coach— I went to a camp once run by Coach Rice and his son Steve. They had a team when I was in college (late 70’s)- they used to play the Albany JV team every year, so this is life coming full circle. From looks of things, Bryant & Stratton is a 4-year school now.


    1) One last story about Valle’s Steakhouse; one summer, my dad’s family was in town to visit and we all went to Valle’s for dinner. Probably 12-14 people, so a big group. The waitress brings a lot of dinners out at the same time, and a small dish slipped at the top of her load— she went to grab it………and there was a very loud noise. Food scattered everywhere.


    I’m pretty sure the waitress was fired before the dishes stopped spinning around; as an annoying 10-year old, I was sure it was the funniest thing I’d ever seen, even if I did have to wait to eat a while longer. It was tremendous- stuff like that didn’t happen at Carroll’s Hamburgers. my preferred place to eat when I was 10.
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  4. #804  
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    Armadillo's Write-Up


    Friday, January 19



    San Antonio won its last four games with Toronto; they’re 2-2 vs spread in last four visits to Canada. Over is 6-3 in last nine series games. Spurs split their last ten games; they’re 4-4 as road underdogs. San Antonio’s last four games stayed under the total. Toronto lost three of its last five games; they’re 9-8 vs spread as home favorites. Seven of their last nine games went over total.


    Heat won eight of last ten games with Brooklyn (7-2-1 vs spread); Miami is 5-0 vs spread in last five visits to Brooklyn. Last six series games stayed under the total. Miami won eight of its last nine games; they’re 3-4 as road favorites. Seven of their last nine games went over total. Brooklyn lost six of its last seven games; they’re 10-5-1 as road underdogs. Three of their last four games went over total.


    Wizards won eight of last ten games with Detroit (7-3 vs spread); four of last six series games went over. Wizards are 3-1 vs spread in last four visits to the Motor City. Washington lost four of its last six games; they’re 2-5 as road favorites. Four of their last five games went over total. Detroit lost six of its last eight games; they’re 3-2 as home underdogs. Under is 6-3 in their last nine home games.


    Memphis won seven of last nine games with the Kings; under is 7-3 in last ten series games. Sacramento is 1-4 vs spread in last five visits to Memphis. Sacramento lost its last six games (1-5 vs spread); they’re 9-11-1 as road underdogs. Over is 9-4 in their last 13 games. Memphis won three of its last four games; they’re 4-9 as home favorites. Six of their last nine games went over total.


    Nuggets won their last seven games with Phoenix; last five series games went over. Suns are 0-4 vs spread in their last four visits to Denver. Phoenix lost five of its last six games; they’re 11-8 vs spread as road underdogs. Four of their last five games stayed under total. Denver lost five of its last seven games; they’re 11-8 as home favorites. Seven of last eight Denver games stayed under total.


    Utah won five of its last seven games with New York; last four series games went over the total. Knicks covered four of their last five visits to Salt Lake City. Knicks lost 11 of their last 14 games; they’re 7-12 as road underdogs. Seven of New York’s last eight games went over total. Utah lost 15 of last 20 games; they’re 4-9 in last 13 tries as home favorites. Under is 9-4 in their last 13 games.


    Lakers lost six of their last eight games with Indiana; Under is 4-1 in last five series games played here. Pacers are 0-2-1 vs spread in last three series games played here. Indiana won five of its last seven games; they’re 1-5 in last six games as road underdogs. Six of their last seven games stayed under the total. Lakers lost 11 of last 15 games; they’re 5-2 as home favorites. Four of their last five games stayed under total.
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    Friday, January 19



    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


    SAN ANTONIO @ TORONTO
    San Antonio is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games when playing Toronto
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Antonio's last 7 games when playing on the road against Toronto
    Toronto is 14-2 SU in its last 16 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toronto's last 7 games when playing at home against San Antonio


    MIAMI @ BROOKLYN
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games when playing Brooklyn
    Miami is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 5 games when playing Miami
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Brooklyn's last 10 games at home


    WASHINGTON @ DETROIT
    Washington is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
    Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
    Detroit is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
    Detroit is 14-4 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against Washington


    SACRAMENTO @ MEMPHIS
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Sacramento's last 5 games when playing on the road against Memphis
    The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Sacramento's last 16 games when playing Memphis
    Memphis is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
    Memphis is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Sacramento


    PHOENIX @ DENVER
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Phoenix's last 5 games when playing Denver
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Phoenix's last 5 games
    Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Phoenix
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games when playing Phoenix


    NEW YORK @ UTAH
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of New York's last 5 games
    New York is 11-1 ATS in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Utah
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Utah's last 5 games at home
    Utah is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against New York


    INDIANA @ LA LAKERS
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Indiana's last 7 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
    LA Lakers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Indiana
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Lakers's last 5 games
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  6. #806  
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    NBA
    Dunkel


    Friday, January 19




    San Antonio @ Toronto


    Game 801-802
    January 19, 2018 @ 7:05 pm


    Dunkel Rating:
    San Antonio
    120.414
    Toronto
    122.896
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Toronto
    by 2 1/2
    201
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Toronto
    by 5 1/2
    207
    Dunkel Pick:
    San Antonio
    (+5 1/2); Under


    Miami @ Brooklyn



    Game 803-804
    January 19, 2018 @ 7:35 pm


    Dunkel Rating:
    Miami
    118.221
    Brooklyn
    118.097
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Brooklyn
    Even
    202
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Miami
    by 3
    207 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Brooklyn
    (+3); Under


    Washington @ Detroit



    Game 805-806
    January 19, 2018 @ 8:05 pm


    Dunkel Rating:
    Washington
    121.578
    Detroit
    117.033
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Washington
    by 4 1/2
    214
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Washington
    by 1
    207 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Washington
    (-1); Over


    Sacramento @ Memphis



    Game 807-808
    January 19, 2018 @ 8:05 pm


    Dunkel Rating:
    Sacramento
    111.422
    Memphis
    119.793
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Memphis
    by 8 1/2
    212
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Memphis
    No Line
    N/A
    Dunkel Pick:
    Memphis
    N/A


    Phoenix @ Denver



    Game 809-810
    January 19, 2018 @ 9:05 pm


    Dunkel Rating:
    Phoenix
    113.659
    Denver
    120.588
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Denver
    by 7
    223
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Denver
    by 9
    218
    Dunkel Pick:
    Phoenix
    (+9); Over


    New York @ Utah



    Game 811-812
    January 19, 2018 @ 10:35 pm


    Dunkel Rating:
    New York
    115.332
    Utah
    116.783
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Utah
    by 1 1/2
    209
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Utah
    by 4 1/2
    203 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    New York
    (+4 1/2); Over


    Indiana @ LA Lakers



    Game 813-814
    January 19, 2018 @ 10:35 pm


    Dunkel Rating:
    Indiana
    119.515
    LA Lakers
    114.012
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Indiana
    by 5 1/2
    213
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Indiana
    No Line
    N/A
    Dunkel Pick:
    Indiana
    N/A
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    NBA
    Long Sheet


    Friday, January 19



    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


    SAN ANTONIO (30 - 16) at TORONTO (30 - 13) - 1/19/2018, 7:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    TORONTO is 22-8 ATS (+13.2 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=98 points/game over the last 3 seasons.
    SAN ANTONIO is 1027-898 ATS (+39.2 Units) in all games since 1996.
    SAN ANTONIO is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) on Friday nights over the last 2 seasons.
    SAN ANTONIO is 346-272 ATS (+46.8 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
    SAN ANTONIO is 343-282 ATS (+32.8 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
    TORONTO is 188-234 ATS (-69.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    SAN ANTONIO is 3-2 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
    SAN ANTONIO is 4-1 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    MIAMI (26 - 18) at BROOKLYN (16 - 29) - 1/19/2018, 7:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    BROOKLYN is 27-17 ATS (+8.3 Units) in all games this season.
    BROOKLYN is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) as an underdog this season.
    BROOKLYN is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) against Southeast division opponents this season.
    BROOKLYN is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    MIAMI is 69-55 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    MIAMI is 39-24 ATS (+12.6 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
    MIAMI is 29-16 ATS (+11.4 Units) on Friday nights over the last 3 seasons.
    MIAMI is 29-13 ATS (+14.7 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
    MIAMI is 38-23 ATS (+12.7 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
    MIAMI is 219-176 ATS (+25.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
    BROOKLYN is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in home games in January games over the last 3 seasons.
    BROOKLYN is 25-40 ATS (-19.0 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MIAMI is 7-2 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
    MIAMI is 7-2 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    WASHINGTON (25 - 20) at DETROIT (22 - 21) - 1/19/2018, 8:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    WASHINGTON is 8-22 ATS (-16.2 Units) as a favorite this season.
    WASHINGTON is 150-197 ATS (-66.7 Units) on Friday nights since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    WASHINGTON is 7-2 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
    WASHINGTON is 7-2 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    SACRAMENTO (13 - 31) at MEMPHIS (15 - 28) - 1/19/2018, 8:05 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MEMPHIS is 5-2 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
    MEMPHIS is 6-2 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    PHOENIX (16 - 29) at DENVER (23 - 22) - 1/19/2018, 9:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    PHOENIX is 163-118 ATS (+33.2 Units) after allowing 115 points or more since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    DENVER is 6-2 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
    DENVER is 7-2 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    NEW YORK (20 - 25) at UTAH (18 - 26) - 1/19/2018, 10:35 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NEW YORK is 3-2 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
    UTAH is 3-2 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    INDIANA (24 - 21) at LA LAKERS (15 - 29) - 1/19/2018, 10:35 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    LA LAKERS is 4-0 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
    INDIANA is 3-1 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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    Friday's Tip Sheet
    January 18, 2018



    Game of the Night: Wizards at Pistons – 8:05 PM EST


    Both these squads are sitting in the top eight of the Eastern Conference heading into Friday’s action. However, each team is looking to bust out of a funk as Washington has lost two straight, while Detroit is looking to snap a three-game skid.


    The Wizards (25-20 SU, 19-26 ATS) were smoked in the first half at Charlotte on Wednesday by allowing 77 points in a 133-109 setback to the Hornets. Washington has been horrific against the number recently by failing to cover in seven consecutive games, while Scott Brooks’ team owns a 1-6 ATS mark in its last seven road contests.


    The Pistons (22-21 SU, 24-17-2 ATS) are sitting slightly above the 76ers for the final playoff spot in the East, but Detroit has slipped to a 2-6 record in January. The latest setback came in Wednesday’s 96-91 loss at Toronto, but the Pistons managed a cover as 8 ½-point underdogs. Detroit has struggled as a home favorite of late by covering in only one of its last five opportunities when laying points at Little Caesars Arena.


    Washington has owned Detroit over the years by winning eight of the past 10 meetings since February 2015, including a pair of victories at Capital One Arena this season. The Wizards have split the last four visits to Detroit, as three of those matchups were decided by four points or less.


    30 for 30


    Both the Spurs and Raptors enter Friday’s contest at Air Canada Center with 30 wins apiece. Toronto (30-13 SU, 24-19 ATS) improved to 16-3 at home after holding off Detroit on Wednesday, halting a two-game skid. The Raptors couldn’t cash tickets as an 8 ½-point favorite, as Dwane Casey’s team fell to 0-4 ATS the last four opportunities when laying points. However, Toronto’s defense has stepped up at home of late by limiting seven of its past nine opponents to less than 100 points at the ACC.


    San Antonio (30-16 SU, 24-20-2 ATS) has alternated wins and losses in each of its past 11 games, coming off a 100-95 road triumph at Brooklyn on Wednesday to barely cash as 4 ½-point favorites. The Spurs embark on a long stretch without last season’s MVP candidate Kawhi Leonard, who remains sidelined with a quad injury. San Antonio has cashed the UNDER in four consecutive games, while looking to beat Toronto for the fifth straight time since April 2016.


    Scratching Away


    It’s a lost season for the Grizzlies (15-28 SU, 17-24-2 ATS), who have been without point guard Mike Conley, Jr. since November 13. However, Memphis has played better recently by winning three of its past four and posting a 7-2 ATS record the last nine games. The Grizzlies are fresh off a pair of home victories over the Lakers and Knicks, while knocking off New York on Wednesday, 105-99 without center Marc Gasol, who sat due to an illness.


    Memphis hosts Sacramento (13-31 SU, 17-24-3 ATS), who begins a six-game road swing following Wednesday’s 15-point home loss to Utah. The Kings are sliding fast by dropping six consecutive contests, but Sacramento has compiled a 6-5 ATS record in its last 11 away games, including a cover as 12-point underdogs in a 95-88 loss at Oklahoma City on Monday. Memphis ripped Sacramento in their previous matchup at Golden 1 Center on New Year’s Eve, 114-96, while the Grizzlies are 4-1 SU/ATS the last five home meetings with the Kings.

    Salty Taste



    The Jazz (18-26 SU, 22-22 ATS) are coming off only their fifth road victory of the season in Wednesday’s 120-115 win at Sacramento as four-point favorites. Utah hit the 120-point mark for the first time since scoring 126 points against the Clippers on November 30, while improving to 5-15 the last 20 games. The Jazz have dropped three straight games in the role of a home favorite, while getting limited to 98 points or less in each of those defeats.


    The Knicks (20-25 SU, 23-22 ATS) travel to Salt Lake City trying to improve on a dreadful 5-16 record away from Madison Square Garden. New York won its first matchup with Utah in mid-November, 106-101, but has dropped its last three visits to Vivint Smart Home Arena since 2015. The Knicks are riding a five-game OVER streak, including cashing the OVER in five of the past six road contests.


    Home Disadvantage


    Since knocking off Orlando and Minnesota to begin 2018, the Nets (16-29 SU, 27-18 ATS) have lost five straight games at Barclays Center. Brooklyn has covered four consecutive home contests earlier this month, but have failed to cash in recent losses to Detroit, New York, and San Antonio. The Nets host the Heat before hitting the road for five games starting Sunday in Detroit. Brooklyn ripped Miami in its past matchup at American Airlines Arena in late December, 111-87 as six-point ‘dogs, but have lost eight straight home meetings with the Heat since 2014.


    The Heat (26-28 SU, 20-22-2 ATS) remain atop the Southeast division following Wednesday’s 106-101 triumph at Milwaukee as 4 ½-point underdogs. Miami has won eight of its past nine games, while posting an impressive 5-1 SU/ATS last six road contests, including victories at Toronto and Boston. The Heat are in the midst of a five-game away swing, as Erik Spoelstra’s club has eclipsed the OVER in four of the past five contests away from South Florida.


    Digging for Gold

    The Nuggets (23-22 SU, 20-23-2 ATS) have slumped to a 2-5 record the last seven games, coming off Wednesday’s 109-104 setback to the Clippers. Denver failed to cash as 4 ½-point underdogs, while blowing a double-digit lead as the Nuggets dropped to 2-7 with no rest. The Nuggets return to the Pepsi Center to host the Suns, as Denver has won the past seven matchups with Phoenix, including a 134-111 home win on January 3.


    Phoenix (16-29 SU, 21-22-2 ATS) lost its third consecutive game on Tuesday at Portland, 118-111, but the Suns cashed as 11-point underdogs thanks to outscoring the Blazers, 39-26 in the fourth quarter. The Suns are 0-7 ATS in the last seven meetings with the Nuggets, while the past five matchups have eclipsed the OVER.


    Setting the Pace


    Indiana (24-20 SU, 25-19 ATS) continues its four-game road swing in Los Angeles to face the Lakers for the first time this season. The Pacers head to Staples Center with no rest following Thursday’s 14-point setback at Portland, as Nate McMillan’s squad has lost six of nine games in the second of a back-to-back set. Much of Indiana’s success can be attributed to having leading scorer Victor Oladipo in the lineup, as the Pacers have won five of their last seven games since the guard returned following a bout with knee soreness.


    The Lakers (15-29 SU, 21-23 ATS) will likely be without guard Lonzo Ball once again, who missed Wednesday’s loss at Oklahoma City with a knee sprain. Los Angeles fell to 0-8 this season without the rookie from UCLA, while fellow backcourt mate Kentavious Caldwell-Pope is out with an Achilles strain. The Lakers had won four straight prior to consecutive losses to the Grizzlies and Thunder, but L.A. is riding a three-game winning streak at Staples Center.
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    Lowry big in 4th, scores 24 as Raptors beat Spurs 86-83
    January 19, 2018



    TORONTO (AP) Kyle Lowry scored nine of his 24 points in the fourth quarter, DeMar DeRozan added 21 and the Toronto Raptors beat San Antonio 86-83 on Friday night to snap a four-game losing streak against the Spurs.


    Jonas Valanciunas had 15 points and 11 rebounds as the Raptors improved to 17-3 at home, the second-best home record in the NBA behind San Antonio's mark of 19-2.


    LaMarcus Aldridge had 17 points and 14 rebounds, Pau Gasol scored 15 points and Patty Mills had 13 as San Antonio lost for the fourth time in six road games. The Spurs are 11-15 away from home.


    It had been more than two years since Toronto last beat San Antonio. The Raptors won 97-94 at home on Dec. 9, 2015.


    San Antonio guard Manu Ginobili missed his second straight game because of a sore right thigh.


    WIZARDS 122, PISTONS 112


    DETROIT (AP) - Bradley Beal and Kelly Oubre Jr. had 26 points apiece, and Washington scored 45 in the third quarter before holding off Detroit.


    The Pistons cut a 20-point second-half deficit to four in the fourth quarter, but John Wall made a big 3-pointer to put the Wizards up 107-100. Oubre added a four-point play a few possessions later to push Washington's lead to nine.


    Andre Drummond had 14 points, 21 rebounds and eight assists for the Pistons, who have lost four straight.


    Wall finished with 16 points and 11 assists.


    NETS 101, HEAT 95


    NEW YORK (AP) - DeMarre Carroll scored 26 points, Spencer Dinwiddie had 15 and Brooklyn beat Miami.


    The Nets snapped a five-game skid at Barclays Center and a seven-game home losing streak to the Heat.


    Caris LeVert and Joe Harris each added 12 points for the Nets. D'Angelo Russell played 14 minutes and went 0 for 5 from the field in his first action after missing 32 games following left knee surgery.


    Hassan Whiteside had 21 points and 13 rebounds, and Goran Dragic scored 17 for the Heat.


    LeVert made an acrobatic layup to give the Nets a 95-91 lead with 57.8 seconds remaining and then a step-back jumper to ice the game at 97-91.


    GRIZZLIES 106, KINGS 88


    MEMPHIS, Tenn. (AP) - Dillon Brooks scored a career-best 22 points, Ben McLemore had a season-high 21 and Memphis beat skidding Sacramento for its third consecutive win.


    The game marked Zach Randolph's first return to Memphis since spending eight years as a key figure in the Grizzlies' success. The power forward received a standing ovation when he was introduced with the starting lineups. The team showed a tribute video between the first and second quarters.


    Randolph finished with four points and six rebounds for the Kings, who have lost seven straight.


    Tyreke Evans added 14 points for Memphis. De'Aaron Fox led the Kings with 16 points and six assists.


    SUNS 108, NUGGETS 100


    DENVER (AP) - Devin Booker scored 30 points and T.J. Warren had 25 to lead Phoenix past Denver.


    Josh Jackson and Isaiah Canaan added 16 points apiece off the bench for Phoenix, which snapped a seven-game losing streak to the Nuggets that stretched back to Nov. 20, 2015.


    Jamal Murray scored 30 in his return to the lineup and Nikola Jokic had 14 points and 17 rebounds for Denver. Murray missed Wednesday's game at the Los Angeles Clippers with concussion symptoms.
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    SCHEDULE FOR SATURDAY JANUARY 20, 2018
    Time (ET) Away Home Site
    3:30 PM Oklahoma City Thunder Cleveland Cavaliers Quicken Loans Arena
    5:00 PM Chicago Bulls Atlanta Hawks Philips Arena
    7:00 PM Memphis Grizzlies New Orleans Pelicans Smoothie King Center
    7:00 PM Miami Heat Charlotte Hornets Spectrum Center
    7:30 PM Milwaukee Bucks Philadelphia 76ers Wells Fargo Center
    8:30 PM Golden State Warriors Houston Rockets Toyota Center
    9:00 PM Los Angeles Clippers Utah Jazz Vivint Smart Home Arena
    9:00 PM Toronto Raptors Minnesota Timberwolves Target Center
    10:00 PM Dallas Mavericks Portland Trail Blazers Moda Center at the Rose Quarter
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    Healthier Rockets host Warriors in anticipated matchup
    January 20, 2018



    HOUSTON -- It didn't require much effort to disregard the rust affecting Houston Rockets guard James Harden on Thursday night to instead take inventory of the potency he provided in lockstep with his fellow backcourt mates Chris Paul and Eric Gordon.


    While throttling the Minnesota Timberwolves 116-98, Harden, Paul and Gordon showcased to the league what has been missing in Houston for the better part of the past month. The Rockets (31-12), inundated by injuries throughout the first half of this season, were almost whole against the Timberwolves at Toyota Center, and the glimpse of their productivity was telling.


    Houston will remain without Trevor Ariza and Gerald Green, both suspended for their roles in a postgame dustup with the Clippers on Monday, when it hosts the Golden State Warriors on Saturday night. But for the first time since Dec. 13, injuries won't undermine the Rockets' plans.


    "That's one of the things that we were all excited about, coaching staff included, (Wednesday) in practice. We just all looked so good," Harden said following his return from a seven-game hiatus. "The ball was moving, defensively we were communicating. You've got 10, 11 guys that can produce at any moment. Once we get those guys back you should see a difference."


    Harden failed to score at least 20 points for the first time, posting 10 points on 3-of-15 shooting and seven assists in 25 minutes. But Gordon produced 30 points off the bench while Paul delivered another sterling all-around effort with 19 points, six rebounds and seven assists.


    The last time the Rockets had their rotation intact, they beat the Charlotte Hornets on Dec. 13 for their 11th consecutive win. They improved to 9-8 since on Thursday, having survived games without Harden, Paul, and Luc Mbah a Moute. With renewed health comes a renewed focus.


    "As we're getting healthy, we've got to get back to the things that we need to do best," Gordon said. "That's when we're playing good team ball offensively and we're playing really good team defense. When we're doing both early in the game, you can almost determine that we're going to have a great outcome."


    The Warriors (37-9) test the Rockets like no other team in the league, and their 14-game road winning streak will offer a stiff challenge to a team looking to put all their pieces back together.


    Golden State has won 24 of 28 games since its last road loss, a 108-91 setback at Oklahoma City on Nov. 22. And while the Warriors have dealt with their share of maladies, from Stephen Curry to Draymond Green to Andre Iguodala to rookie Jordan Bell, they're better equipped to sidestep roster attrition due in large part to their roster stability. And, of course, their talent.


    With a victory, Golden State would set a franchise record for consecutive road victories and would complete its five-game road trip unblemished. Through a scheduling quirk, the Warriors spent four nights in Chicago, where they defeated the Bulls 119-112 on Wednesday, before traveling to Houston, site of the Warriors' 124-114 victory on Jan. 4.


    "It's been a phenomenal road trip," Warriors coach Steve Kerr said. "And now we've got a chance to have ... a leisurely evening in Houston and hopefully finish the trip off right."


    The teams have split their previous two meetings this season. The winner on Saturday will claim the season series tiebreaker.
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    Armadillo: Saturday's six-pack


    Longshots to win The Masters in April:


    110-1– JB Holmes


    135-1— Jason Dufner


    150-1— Ian Poulter


    165-1— Ollie Schneiderjans


    200-1— Patton Kizzire


    225-1— Charles Howell III




    **********


    Armadillo: Saturday's List of 13: Random stuff with weekend here…….


    13) There is too much anger and bad news in the world, so I give you this:


    Former NFL running back Warrick Dunn’s mom was a policewoman in Baton Rouge; she was killed by a gunman when Dunn was 18. Dunn went on to star at Florida State, and then played for 12 years in the NFL.


    To honor his late mother, Dunn started a foundation that built homes with Habitat for Humanity for single-parent families. He is still doing that.


    Last month, Dunn’s foundation gave away their 158th and 159th homes, one in Detroit, one in Atlanta. You don’t think this makes a difference?


    12) In 2006, Dunn’s foundation built a home in Gainesville, Ga; the family had an 11-year old boy who you may have heard of.


    Deshaun Watson, now QB for the Houston Texans.


    Who knows what would’ve happened to that family if they hadn’t been given a home in 2006. Sometimes all people need is a chance.


    11) 106 college football players are leaving school early to apply for the NFL Draft- there were 74-95-95 such players the last three years. 26 of the players come from SEC schools, 24 more from ACC schools.


    Florida State, LSU, Texas all lost six players each.


    10) If JD Martinez can’t play ball for $25M a year, then the Red Sox should tell him to take a hike and Martinez should go find a real job, where he won’t make $25M a year.


    Enough already; he’s had only two great years and will be 31 in August. Martinez has played more than 123 games in a season twice in his career.


    9) They re-sodded the middle of the field in Philadelphia this week, after lot of players slipped in last week’s game. Re-sodding a field in the Northeast in January can be dicey, but Doug Pederson said the field is in great shape, so we’ll take his word for it.


    8) There are murmurs on the Interweb that Tom Brady has multiple stitches in his passing hand, which is why he wore gloves to his news conference Friday.


    Betting line has dropped from 9 to 7.5 points; if somehow Brady didn’t play Sunday, the line with Brian Hoyer playing QB for New England would be Patriots, -2.


    7) Alabama hired former New Mexico coach Mike Locksley as its offensive coordinator; he was OC at both Illinois and Maryland, but is considered a better recruiter than a tactician.


    6) Michigan State 85, Indiana 57— For some reason Alex Rodriguez was at this game last night, sitting in the student section, wearing an “Izzone” t-shirt. He’s been on TV a lot lately; he was at a Laker game with JLo and the kids, and was also at another game with his famous wife. Haven’t heard if ARod is going to get the Sunday Night Baseball gig on ESPN, but he’d be good at it.


    5) Eagles-Jaguars will meet in London next fall; game could be a Super Bowl rematch, if both underdogs win Sunday. NFL fans in London deserve better games than they gotten recently.


    4) NFL has an interesting way of staying in the news 24/7; ESPN started the other day with Mel Kiper’s first mock draft for 2018— he had the Browns taking Wyoming QB Josh Allen with the #1 pick, and then the Giants taking UCLA QB Josh Rosen with the #2 pick.


    3) Le’Veon Bell showed up five minutes before the END of the Steelers’ walk-through the day before their playoff game, which may be part of why some of the limited partners in the team want a coaching change. Apparently he wasn’t the only player who had a trouble with being on time, and also an assistant coach or two was in that group.


    Can remember Troy Aikman telling Joe Buck in an interview program how he retired from the NFL because discipline on the Cowboys slipped badly under Barry Switzer, and it drove him nuts. Aikman was a perfectionist, and he couldn’t stand sloppy preparation.


    2) Have you seen the commercial on TV where the guy in the baseball cap adopts a dog at the shelter and brings him home in his truck? Didn’t notice until about the 70th time it was on, but the guy who adopts the dog has an artificial left leg. Just noticed it, thats all.


    1) I’ve been scolded by some for talking about politics on here, but I will say this: if the government shuts down, then no politician should receive a penny of pay until it starts up again, and then no retroactive paychecks. If you want to get paid, do your damn job.
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    Armadillo's Write-Up


    Saturday, January 20



    Cavaliers won/covered four of last five games with Oklahoma City; under is 5-2 in last seven series games. OKC is 0-5 vs spread in its last five visits to Ohio. Thunder won its last three games; they’re 3-2 as road underdogs. Five of their last six games stayed under total. Cleveland lost four of its last five games; they’re 3-17-1 vs spread at home. Cavaliers’ last three games stayed under total.


    Bulls won last two games with Atlanta, after losing previous seven; they’re 0-4 vs spread in last four visits here. Under is 5-3 in last eight series games. Chicago won three of its last four games; they’re 8-1 in last nine tries as road underdogs. Over is 16-4 in their last 20 games. Atlanta won three of last four games; they’re 2-2 vs spread as home favorites. Under is 8-3 in their last 11 games.


    Grizzlies won eight of last ten games with New Orleans; they’re 3-1 vs spread in last four visits to Bourbon Street. Last four series games stayed under total. Memphis won four of its last five games; they’re 8-7-1 as road underdogs, 3-4 if they played night before. Over is 4-1 in their last five road games. New Orleans won three of its last four games; they’re 7-9 as home favorites. Three of last four Pelican games went over.


    Heat won their last four games with Charlotte; they’re 3-1 vs spread in last four visits here. Eight of last ten series games stayed under the total. Miami won eight of its last ten games; they’re 10-5 as road underdogs, 2-5 if they played night before. Over is 7-3 in their last ten games. Charlotte won three of its last four games; they’re 11-6 as home favorites. Under is 9-4 in their last 13 home games.


    Milwaukee won 8 of last 10 games with Philly; road team won last five. Bucks are 4-1 vs spread in last five visits here. Six of last nine series games went over. Milwaukee lost three of its last four games; they’re 6-3 in last nine tries as road underdogs. Five of their last six games stayed under total. 76ers won six of their last seven games; they’re 8-6 as home favorites. Four of their last six games went over total.


    Warriors won six of last eight games with Houston; they covered their last four games in this building. Six of last nine series games stayed under. Golden State won nine of its last ten games; they’re 8-5 in last 13 games as road favorites. Three of their last four games stayed under total. Rockets won four of last five games; they’re 10-12 vs spread at home, 0-1 as home dogs. Last three Houston games stayed under total.


    Jazz won four of last six games with the Clippers; LA covered two of its last three visits here. Over is 5-5 in last ten series games. Clippers won their last six games, covered last five; they’re 11-8 vs spread on road. Over is 11-3 in their last 14 games. Utah lost nine of last 12 games (4-8 vs spread); they’re 3-1 vs spread at home, if they played night before. Four of their last six games went over.


    Raptors won eight of last ten games with Minnesota; they’re 3-2 vs spread in last five visits here. Last five series games went over the total. Toronto won 8 of its last 11 games; they’re 6-3 as road underdogs. Over is 7-3 in their last ten games. Minnesota lost its last two games after winning five in row before that; they covered last four tries as home favorites. Under is 9-3 in their last dozen games.


    Dallas is 5-3 in its last eight games with Portland; road team won last four. Mavericks are 4-1 vs spread in last five visits here. Over is 5-3 in last eight series games. Dallas lost five of its last seven games; they covered last seven games as road underdogs. Four of their last five games stayed under total. Portland is 5-3 in its last eight games; they’re 5-12-1 as home favorites. Six of Trailblazers’ last seven games went over total.
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    Saturday, January 20



    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


    OKLAHOMA CITY @ CLEVELAND
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Oklahoma City's last 12 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
    Cleveland is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
    Cleveland is 14-1 SU in its last 15 games at home


    CHICAGO @ ATLANTA
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of Chicago's last 9 games on the road
    Chicago is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
    Atlanta is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago
    Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago


    MIAMI @ CHARLOTTE
    The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Miami's last 10 games when playing on the road against Charlotte
    The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Miami's last 11 games when playing Charlotte
    The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Charlotte's last 10 games when playing at home against Miami
    The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Charlotte's last 11 games when playing Miami


    MEMPHIS @ NEW ORLEANS
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Memphis's last 6 games when playing New Orleans
    Memphis is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
    The total has gone OVER in 10 of New Orleans's last 11 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans's last 6 games when playing Memphis


    MILWAUKEE @ PHILADELPHIA
    Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
    Milwaukee is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games when playing Philadelphia
    Philadelphia is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
    Philadelphia is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games


    GOLDEN STATE @ HOUSTON
    Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    Golden State is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of Houston's last 9 games at home
    Houston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games


    LA CLIPPERS @ UTAH
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 5 games on the road
    LA Clippers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Utah's last 6 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Utah's last 7 games when playing at home against LA Clippers


    TORONTO @ MINNESOTA
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing Minnesota
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing Toronto
    Minnesota is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home


    DALLAS @ PORTLAND
    Dallas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    Dallas is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Portland
    Portland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Portland's last 7 games
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  15. #815  
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    Long Sheet


    Saturday, January 20



    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


    OKLAHOMA CITY (25 - 20) at CLEVELAND (27 - 17) - 1/20/2018, 3:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 17-27 ATS (-12.7 Units) in all games this season.
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 15-28 ATS (-15.8 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 3 seasons.
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 10-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 since 1996.
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 12-31 ATS (-22.1 Units) in all games this season.
    CLEVELAND is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
    CLEVELAND is 6-27 ATS (-23.7 Units) as a favorite this season.
    CLEVELAND is 3-17 ATS (-15.7 Units) in home games this season.
    CLEVELAND is 4-19 ATS (-16.9 Units) in January games over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in non-conference games this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    CLEVELAND is 3-1 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
    CLEVELAND is 3-1 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    CHICAGO (17 - 28) at ATLANTA (13 - 31) - 1/20/2018, 5:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CHICAGO is 26-16 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all games this season.
    CHICAGO is 49-35 ATS (+10.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
    CHICAGO is 87-52 ATS (+29.8 Units) in road games in January games since 1996.
    CHICAGO is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) against Southeast division opponents this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    ATLANTA is 7-2 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
    ATLANTA is 7-2 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    MEMPHIS (16 - 28) at NEW ORLEANS (23 - 21) - 1/20/2018, 7:05 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MEMPHIS is 7-3 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
    MEMPHIS is 8-2 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    MIAMI (26 - 19) at CHARLOTTE (18 - 25) - 1/20/2018, 7:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CHARLOTTE is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) after scoring 115 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
    MIAMI is 44-30 ATS (+11.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
    MIAMI is 39-25 ATS (+11.5 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
    MIAMI is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
    MIAMI is 219-177 ATS (+24.3 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
    CHARLOTTE is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) on Saturday games over the last 2 seasons.
    CHARLOTTE is 26-39 ATS (-16.9 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MIAMI is 10-7 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
    MIAMI is 10-7 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
    10 of 16 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    MILWAUKEE (23 - 21) at PHILADELPHIA (21 - 20) - 1/20/2018, 7:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    MILWAUKEE is 151-190 ATS (-58.0 Units) on Saturday games since 1996.
    PHILADELPHIA is 72-50 ATS (+17.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 36-23 ATS (+10.7 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) in January games over the last 2 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) off an upset win as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
    MILWAUKEE is 131-96 ATS (+25.4 Units) in road games against Atlantic division opponents since 1996.
    MILWAUKEE is 40-18 ATS (+20.2 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    PHILADELPHIA is 4-3 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
    MILWAUKEE is 5-2 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    GOLDEN STATE (37 - 9) at HOUSTON (31 - 12) - 1/20/2018, 8:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    HOUSTON is 113-83 ATS (+21.7 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders since 1996.
    GOLDEN STATE is 35-21 ATS (+11.9 Units) against Southwest division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
    GOLDEN STATE is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
    GOLDEN STATE is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    GOLDEN STATE is 98-68 ATS (+23.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game since 1996.
    GOLDEN STATE is 58-29 ATS (+26.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
    HOUSTON is 14-27 ATS (-15.7 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    GOLDEN STATE is 9-4 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
    GOLDEN STATE is 11-3 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
    8 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    LA CLIPPERS (23 - 21) at UTAH (18 - 27) - 1/20/2018, 9:05 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    UTAH is 8-8 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
    LA CLIPPERS is 9-7 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
    8 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    TORONTO (31 - 13) at MINNESOTA (29 - 18) - 1/20/2018, 9:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    TORONTO is 188-235 ATS (-70.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
    MINNESOTA is 27-12 ATS (+13.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
    MINNESOTA is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in non-conference games this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MINNESOTA is 3-1 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
    MINNESOTA is 2-2 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    DALLAS (15 - 30) at PORTLAND (24 - 21) - 1/20/2018, 10:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    PORTLAND is 143-110 ATS (+22.0 Units) in home games after allowing 90 points or less since 1996.
    DALLAS is 398-323 ATS (+42.7 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
    DALLAS is 494-414 ATS (+38.6 Units) in road games since 1996.
    DALLAS is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    DALLAS is 6-1 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
    DALLAS is 4-3 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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  16. #816  
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    NBA
    Dunkel


    Saturday, January 20




    Oklahoma City @ Cleveland


    Game 501-502
    January 20, 2018 @ 3:35 pm


    Dunkel Rating:
    Oklahoma City
    121.609
    Cleveland
    120.554
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Oklahoma City
    by 1
    214
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Cleveland
    by 4
    222
    Dunkel Pick:
    Oklahoma City
    (+4); Under


    Chicago @ Atlanta



    Game 503-504
    January 20, 2018 @ 5:05 pm


    Dunkel Rating:
    Chicago
    117.523
    Atlanta
    116.462
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Chicago
    by 1
    209
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Atlanta
    by 2
    215
    Dunkel Pick:
    Chicago
    (+2); Under


    Memphis @ New Orleans



    Game 505-506
    January 20, 2018 @ 7:05 pm


    Dunkel Rating:
    Memphis
    112.386
    New Orleans
    124.785
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    New Orleans
    by 12 1/2
    221
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    New Orleans
    by 8 1/2
    211
    Dunkel Pick:
    New Orleans
    (-8 1/2); Over


    Miami @ Charlotte



    Game 507-508
    January 20, 2018 @ 7:05 pm


    Dunkel Rating:
    Miami
    115.512
    Charlotte
    121.698
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Charlotte
    by 6
    210
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Charlotte
    by 4
    204 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Charlotte
    (-4); Over


    Milwaukee @ Philadelphia



    Game 509-510
    January 20, 2018 @ 7:35 pm


    Dunkel Rating:
    Milwaukee
    117.823
    Philadelphia
    121.397
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Philadelphia
    by 3 1/2
    208
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Philadelphia
    by 7
    213
    Dunkel Pick:
    Milwaukee
    (+7); Under


    Golden State @ Houston



    Game 511-512
    January 20, 2018 @ 8:35 pm


    Dunkel Rating:
    Golden State
    127.323
    Houston
    125.719
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Golden State
    by 1 1/2
    225
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Golden State
    by 4 1/2
    234
    Dunkel Pick:
    Houston
    (+4 1/2); Under


    LA Clippers @ Utah



    Game 513-514
    January 20, 2018 @ 9:05 pm


    Dunkel Rating:
    LA Clippers
    114.621
    Utah
    119.501
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Utah
    by 5
    217
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Utah
    by 2
    211 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Utah
    (-2); Over


    Toronto @ Minnesota



    Game 515-516
    January 20, 2018 @ 9:05 pm


    Dunkel Rating:
    Toronto
    120.412
    Minnesota
    125.856
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Minnesota
    by 5 1/2
    219
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Minnesota
    by 3
    214 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Minnesota
    (-3); Over


    Dallas @ Portland



    Game 517-518
    January 20, 2018 @ 10:05 pm


    Dunkel Rating:
    Dallas
    117.239
    Portland
    118.743
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Portland
    by 1 1/2
    202
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Portland
    by 5
    209
    Dunkel Pick:
    Dallas
    (+5); Under
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  17. #817  
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    Hoop Trends - Saturday
    January 20, 2018



    ATS TREND OF THE DAY:


    -- The Bulls are 11-0 ATS (7.91 ppg) as a road dog after a game in which they had at least 15 more shots than their opponent.


    OU TREND OF THE DAY:


    -- The Jazz are 0-16 OU (-12.81 ppg) as a home favorite after they had more than ten refereed turnovers last game.


    PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:


    -- The Cavaliers are 0-12 ATS (-11.79 ppg) as a favorite after LeBron James was not the high scorer.


    CHOICE TREND:

    -- The Bulls are 14-0 OU (20.04 ppg) on the road off a home game in which they scored less than 15% of their points from free throws.


    ACTIVE TRENDS:


    -- The Trailblazers are 0-10-1 ATS (-7.18 ppg) as a home favorite off a win as a favorite after a game with eight-plus lead changes.


    -- The Pelicans are 9-0 OU (13.33 ppg) after Anthony Davis had fewer than 10 points.
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  18. #818  
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    Inside the Paint - Saturday
    January 20, 2018



    NBA bettors could be hesitant to pull the trigger on Saturday’s action after the favorites got knocked around on the hardwood last night. The ‘chalk’ went 2-5 straight up and 1-6 against the spread and total players riding the high side had to deal with a 5-2 ‘under’ record.


    We’ve got nine contests slated for today and I’m going to bounce around the league with my quick handicap.


    Game of the Night – Warriors at Rockets (ABC, 8:35 p.m. ET)


    Golden State (37-9 SU, 21-24-1 ATS) will be looking to conclude its current five-game road trip with a perfect record on Saturday as it meets Houston (31-12 SU, 21-21-1 ATS) from the Toyota Center.


    The Warriors opened as 4 ½-point road favorites and this will be tied for the second lowest point-spread that they’ve given this season. Golden State was a 3 ½-point road favorite at Charlotte in early December but they didn’t have Stephen Curry or Draymond Green available.


    This will be the third meeting between the teams this season and the visitors have captured each of the first two contests. Houston surprised Golden State 122-121 on opening night as a 9 ½-point road underdog as it closed the game with a 34-20 run in the fourth quarter.


    The Warriors avenged that setback recently on Jan. 4 with a 124-114 win at Houston as 4 ½-point road favorites. Curry and Klay Thompson combined for 57 points while Draymond Green (17-14-10) posted a triple-double.


    Houston didn’t have James Harden or Chris Paul for that contest due to injuries but Golden State was also without Kevin Durant. All three will be in action on Saturday but the Rockets still won’t have Trevor Ariza or Gerald Green as they serve out their suspension.


    The Rockets have gone 16-6 SU and 9-12-1 ATS at home this season and this will be the second time that they’re listed as underdogs. As a fact, they’ve only been ‘dogs at home three times in the last two seasons and they’ve gone 0-3 both SU and ATS with two of the losses coming to Golden State.


    The latest future odds have Golden State listed as a 10/17 odds-on favorite (Bet $100 to win $58) to win the NBA Finals and you could argue that the odds should be even shorter.


    It’s hard to see anybody beating them in a seven-game series yet alone on any given night. Golden State’s road numbers (21-3 SU, 12-12 ATS) have been off the charts and they enter this game with a 14-game winning streak as visitors. For our purposes, they’re a respectable 8-6 ATS during this span while laying healthy numbers.


    I wouldn’t advise playing against the Warriors tonight but they’ve got three home games on deck (Knicks, Wolves, Celtics) that aren’t that easy and you should get a good price due to the inflated numbers on Golden State at home.


    Tonight’s total is also jacked up a little too much, hovering between 233 and 234 as of Saturday morning.


    Houston has been a solid ‘over’ bet at home (14-8) and that includes an 8-1 run to the high side heading into this game. Golden State has watched the ‘over’ go 13-11 on the road and bettors got clipped on high wagers in their two most recent games because the opponents (Cavaliers, Bulls) ran out of gas.


    The first two meetings this season between the pair went ‘over’ but that was preceded with a 6-1 ‘under’ run.


    10-9-8 76ers


    Philadelphia (21-20 SU, 23-18 ATS) has been in great form again, winning and covering six of its last seven games. That record would be perfect if it wasn’t for a loss to the Celtics (114-103) at the O2 Arena from London on Jan. 11.


    On Saturday, Milwaukee (23-21 SU, 18-21-5 ATS) pays a visit and seeing the 76ers open as 6 ½-point home favorites set off the alarms for me. I thought the line was too high and whenever I see that, I usually lean with the opinion of the oddsmakers. However, the Bucks won't have Giannis Antetokounmpo (knee) active and most books went to -7 quickly.


    Coupled with Philadelphia’s hot run, you can’t ignore the fact that Milwaukee hasn’t been great on the road (9-12 SU, 11-9-1 ATS) and it hasn’t been in great form. The Bucks are 2-4 SU and 1-5 ATS in their last six games and one of the wins came against Orlando.


    Last season, this series watched the visitor win and cover all four games. However, the home teams pulled off a three-game sweep in the 2015-16 campaign. Perhaps it will revert back to that trend tonight.


    Hotlanta Trap?


    The betting public is starting to catch up with Chicago (17-28 SU, 27-16-12 ATS) as a formidable team and wager after a dismal 3-20 start. The club has gone 14-8 since that rough patch and it’s churned out an impressive 17-5 ATS mark while the ‘over’ has also gone 17-5.


    It does make you wonder why a surging Chicago team is listed as a short underdog (+1 ½) to one of the worst teams in the league on Saturday. Despite the losing record, Atlanta (13-31 SU, 24-18-2 ATS) has been competitive on the hardwood and profitable for bettors, which is what matters to us.


    The Hawks have gone 9-12 SU and 12-9 ATS at home, which includes a recent 5-1 record over their last six games. The one loss came to Brooklyn (110-105) with the Hawks closing as three-point favorites.


    These teams played on Oct. 26 and Chicago capture a 91-86 win over Atlanta from the United Center as a two-point favorite.


    This game tips off a little earlier on Saturday at 5:05 p.m. ET.


    Back-to-Back


    Four clubs will be playing on no rest Saturday and listed below are their records when facing back-to-back spots and notable trends as well. Three of the four will be on the road while the Jazz are playing two in a row from Salt Lake City, which is very rare.


    Toronto (3-3 SU, 3-3 ATS, 3-3 O/U) at Minnesota: The Raptors have gone 12-7 versus the Western Conference this season but six of the losses came on the road. This will be the first meeting between the pair this season and the home team has won the last four encounters while the 'over' has gone 4-0 too.


    Memphis (3-5 SU, 4-5 ATS, 5-2-1 O/U) at New Orleans: The Grizzlies have won their last two games on no rest and will be searching for a season-high fourth straight win in this matchup. Memphis has won and covered both meetings against New Orleans this season.


    Miami (3-4 SU, 2-5 ATS, 3-4 O/U) at Charlotte: The Heat have scored 117, 114 and 111 in its last three games on no rest, which has resulted in a 3-0 ‘over’ mark. Miami lost to Brooklyn last night and it has gone 5-0 both SU and ATS in its last five after a loss.


    Utah (5-4 SU, 7-2 ATS, 4-5 O/U) vs. L.A. Clippers: The Jazz have gone 4-0 both SU and ATS at home on no rest. These teams split the first two regular season encounters, both games taking place at the Staples Center from Los Angeles. The Clippers aren’t expected to have center DeAndre Jordan (ankle) but you could be hard pressed to back the Jazz, who have lost three straight and four of their last five at home.
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