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Thread: Cnotes 2017 NBA Best Bets-Trends-News Thru Playoffs !

  1. #1726  
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    SCHEDULE FOR SATURDAY MAY 19, 2018
    Time (ET) Away Home Site
    8:30 PM Boston Celtics Cleveland Cavaliers Quicken Loans Arena


    SCHEDULE FOR SUNDAY MAY 20, 2018
    Time (ET) Away Home Site
    8:00 PM Houston Rockets Golden State Warriors ORACLE Arena


    SCHEDULE FOR MONDAY MAY 21, 2018
    Time (ET) Away Home Site
    8:30 PM Boston Celtics Cleveland Cavaliers Quicken Loans Arena


    SCHEDULE FOR TUESDAY MAY 22, 2018
    Time (ET) Away Home Site
    9:00 PM Houston Rockets Golden State Warriors ORACLE Arena


    SCHEDULE FOR WEDNESDAY MAY 23, 2018
    Time (ET) Away Home Site
    8:30 PM Cleveland Cavaliers Boston Celtics TD Garden




    ***************************




    MAY'S NBA BEST BET RECORD: ( BASED ON 5 UNITS )


    05/16/2018 0-2-0 0.00% -11.00
    05/15/2018 0-2-0 0.00% -11.00
    05/14/2018 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
    05/13/2018 1-1-0 50.00% -0,50
    05/03/2018 0-4-0 0.00% -22.00
    05/02/2018 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
    05/01/2018 1-3-0 25.00% -11.50


    Totals...............5-11-0.........31.25%.....-46.50




    BEST BETS................ATS....................UNITS.. ................O/U..............UNITS..............TOTAL


    05/16/2018...............0 - 1..................-5.50....................0- 1...............-5.50..............-11.00
    05/15/2018...............0 - 1..................-5.50....................0 - 1..............-5.50..............-11.00
    05/14/2018...............1 - 0..................+5.00...................0 - 1..............-5.50..............-0.50
    05/13/2018...............0 - 1..................-5.50....................1 - 0..............+5.00..............-0.50
    05/03/2018...............0 - 2..................-11.00..................0 - 2..............-11.00............-22.00
    05/02/2018...............1 - 0..................+5.00...................1 - 0.............+5.00.............+10.00
    05/01/2018...............1 - 1..................- 0.50...................0 - 2.............-11.00.............-11.50


    Totals........................3 - 6..................-18.00.................2 - 7...............-28.50...............-46.50
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  2. #1727  
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    Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack


    — Rockets 127, Warriors 105— Houston evens Western final at one game apiece.


    — Golden Knights 4, Jets 2— Las Vegas grabs a 2-1 series lead.


    — Yoenis Cespedes, Carlos Gomez, Luke Gregerson all went on the DL Wednesday.


    — Cleveland Indians are 3-11 in games where GW run scores after the 6th inning.


    — Milwaukee Bucks will hire Mike Budenholzer as its new coach.


    — Sidney Bouvier Gilstrap-Portley, a 25-year-old who graduated from North Mesquite HS in Texas, was recently arrested and booked into Dallas County Jail after police realized he had enrolled at Hillcrest HS in North Dallas as a 17-year-old, so he could play high school basketball.


    **********


    Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: NFC trends for 2018……


    Arizona— Cardinals won four of their last five post-bye games.


    Atlanta— Falcons are 12-2 vs spread in last 14 home openers; under is 10-3 in their last 13 road openers.


    Carolina— Panthers open at home for only 2nd time in last seven years; they’re 0-5 last five times they started season at home. Carolina’s last Week 1 home win was in 2003.


    Chicago— Bears open on road for only 2nd time in last nine years; they’re 2-5 in last seven road openers. Under is 12-2 in their last 14 road openers.


    Dallas— Cowboys played Giants in Week 1 five of last six years; they host Big Blue in Week 2 this year. Dallas covered nine of last 11 road openers. Under is 5-2 in their last seven home openers.


    Detroit— Lions won five of their last seven home openers; over is 6-2 in their last eight. Detroit started season 1-0 six of last seven years.


    Green Bay— Packers won 10 of their last 11 home openers. Over is 10-2 in their last 12 road openers. Green Bay is 0-5 vs spread in last five pre-bye games.


    LA Rams— Rams won five of their last six home openers; they’re 2-14 in last 16 road openers, 3-15 vs spread in last 18. LA is 8-2-1 vs spread in last 11 post-bye games.


    Minnesota— Vikings won eight of their last nine pre-bye games (9-0 vs spread); they’re 2-7 vs spread in last nine post-bye road games. Minnesota won/covered its last three home openers. Under is 10-4 in their last 14 road openers.


    NJ Giants— Giants lost five of their last six home openers (0-6 vs spread); five of those six games stayed under. This will be first time in six years Big Blue opens the season at home; they open against Tom Coughlin’s Jaguars.


    New Orleans— Saints lost their last three home openers, six of last seven road openers- they started last four seasons 0-1. Saints are 7-1-1 vs spread in last nine post-bye games.


    Philadelphia— Eagles won eight of their last nine road openers, three of last four home openers. Under is 7-3-1 in their last 11 home openers. Philly is 7-3 vs spread in its last 10 pre-bye games.


    San Francisco— 49ers won six of last nine home openers (7-2 vs spread), last four of which stayed under. Niners are 0-5-1 SU, 0-6 vs spread in last six post-bye games; they won/covered six of last eight pre-bye games.


    Seattle— Seahawks open on road for 6th time in last eight years; they lost their first road game 10 of last 11 years; they’re 1-12 vs spread in last 13 road openers. Seahawks won last nine home openers (7-2 vs spread). Seattle won its last seven pre-bye games (6-1 vs spread).


    Tampa Bay— Bucs lost four of last five home openers; they didn’t play in Week 1 LY because of a hurricane. Over is 7-3 in their last ten home openers. Tampa Bay is 8-4 vs spread in last dozen post-bye games.


    Washington— Redskins lost five of their last six home openers; they’re 2-6 vs spread last eight times they were favored in a home opener. Redskins are 3-6-1 vs spread in last 10 pre-bye games, 2-7 vs spread in last nine post-bye games.
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  3. #1728  
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    NBA break time. Big win for the Rockets last night. No more hoops until Saturday.


    Here are NBA playoffs betting stats thus far:


    Home Teams:
    49-19 Straight Up
    38-29-1 ATS (55.38%)


    Favorites:
    51-17 Straight Up
    39-28-1 ATS (58.46%)


    Over-Under: 33-35
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  4. #1729  
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    LeBron James-led teams have trailed 0-2 in playoff series six times before Saturday's Gm 3 vs. Boston, going 4-2 SU/ATS in Gm 3 with LBJ averaging 28.3 pts, 8 assists, 9 rebs in those contests. LeBron has brought his team back to win those 0-2 series twice and forced Gm 7 three times.
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  5. #1730  
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    Armadillo: Saturday's six-pack


    Odds to win the Super Bowl this coming season:


    100-1: Washington Redskins, Arizona Cardinals


    80-1: Bengals, Browns, Bills, Jets, Dolphins, Bucs, Seahawks


    60-1: Indianapolis Colts, Chicago Bears


    50-1: New Jersey Giants, Baltimore Ravens


    40-1: Denver Broncos


    30-1: Detroit Lions, Carolina Panthers


    **********


    Armadillo: Saturday's List of 13: Random stuff with weekend here…….


    13) Solid food recommendation here in Las Vegas: Villa Pizzeria on Durango Drive. Really good pizza, and not expensive at all. Nice people work there and they had four TV’s in there showing the Golden Knights’ game. One of best pizzas I’ve ever had.


    12) National League hasn’t won the season series from the AL since 2003; they’re off to a 37-16 lead so far this season.


    11) Talk about how fragile life is: Texas governor Green Abbott uses a wheelchair. Why?


    Back in the 80’s, when Abbott was a law student, he went out jogging one day and a tree fell on him, severely injuring his spine, which is why he has used a wheelchair ever since. What are the odds that someone goes out jogging and gets hit by a damn falling tree?


    10) Major league record for most one-hitter thrown by one team in same season?


    The 2015 Cleveland Indians threw six one-hitters.


    9) Former Louisville AD Tom Jurich gets $4.5M from the school to take a hike. I mean, the guy got fired and still gets $4.5M.


    8) Texas center Mo Bamba has a wingspan of 7-feet, 10 inches, the longest wingspan ever recorded at the NBA Combine.


    7) Orioles won 7-4 in Boston Friday, snapping a 13-game road losing streak. Boston is 13-13 since starting the season 17-2.


    6) QB Blake Barnett will be eligible to play ball at South Florida this year, after going to Alabama and Arizona State; he started the first game of Alabama’s 2016 season but was benched before halftime of their opener with USC and never got his job back.


    5) In their history, NHL’s Washington Capitals are 3-5 in series when they grabbed a 2-0 series lead. By way of comparison, Montreal is 51-5 in series that they led 2-0.


    4) Ohio State graduate transfer quarterback Joe Burrow has committed to finishing out his collegiate career at LSU; he’ll have two years to play in Baton Rouge. LSU beat out Cincinnati for the young man’s services.


    3) NFL star JJ Watt is going to pay for all ten funerals of the people who were murdered in Texas Friday. Watt is a great football player but a way better person.


    2) I’d be remiss if I didn’t say something else about the shooting in Texas Friday; as Americans, it is our duty to speak our minds, while we still have the right to do so.


    It makes me want to puke to hear a politician invoke religion, or God, or “Sorry for your loss” after the 22nd school shooting this year. It is May 19, so in 138 days, we’ve had 22 shootings in a school. If you’re bad at Math, thats one every 6.27 days.


    Hanging flags at half-staff means jack; tightening the gun laws would mean a whole lot more. Other countries have virtually eliminated these types of murders. Why can’t we?


    1) Our politicians are so damn corrupt that even though ONE OF THEIR OWN SENATORS GOT SHOT last year, they are still in the NRA’s pocket. They should all be ashamed of themselves.
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  6. #1731  
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    NBA
    Dunkel


    Saturday, May 19




    Boston @ Cleveland


    Game 703-704
    May 19, 2018 @ 8:35 pm


    Dunkel Rating:
    Boston
    117.389
    Cleveland
    125.791
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Cleveland
    by 8 1/2
    202
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Cleveland
    by 6
    205
    Dunkel Pick:
    Cleveland
    (-6); Under









    NBA
    Long Sheet


    Saturday, May 19



    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


    BOSTON (65 - 31) at CLEVELAND (58 - 37) - 5/19/2018, 8:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    BOSTON is 59-33 ATS (+22.7 Units) in all games this season.
    BOSTON is 23-8 ATS (+14.2 Units) as an underdog this season.
    BOSTON is 29-16 ATS (+11.4 Units) in road games this season.
    BOSTON is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) on Saturday games this season.
    BOSTON is 34-20 ATS (+12.0 Units) against Central division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    BOSTON is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in all playoff games this season.
    BOSTON is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) after a win by 10 points or more this season.
    BOSTON is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.
    BOSTON is 35-17 ATS (+16.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    BOSTON is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
    BOSTON is 31-18 ATS (+11.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    BOSTON is 38-18 ATS (+18.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
    BOSTON is 24-13 ATS (+9.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
    CLEVELAND is 36-57 ATS (-26.7 Units) in all games this season.
    CLEVELAND is 21-48 ATS (-31.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
    CLEVELAND is 14-32 ATS (-21.2 Units) in home games this season.
    CLEVELAND is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) on Saturday games this season.
    CLEVELAND is 5-18 ATS (-14.8 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    BOSTON is 9-7 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
    CLEVELAND is 11-6 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
    10 of 17 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------







    NBA
    Armadillo's Write-Up


    Saturday, May 19



    Boston (2-0) @ Cleveland
    All five Boston starters took between 12-18 shots in Game 2; Thompson-Hill-Smith shot a combined 5-17 for Cleveland. Celtics outscored Cleveland 59-39 in 2nd half in Game 2, so they’ve had a +20 half in both games of series so far. Lebron took a wicked shot to his jaw and may/may not have gotten a concussion just before halftime in Game 2. Cavs won their last five home games; under is 4-2 in their home playoff games this spring. Boston lost four of its five road playoff games this spring, with only win in Game 3 at Philly. Under is 8-4 in last dozen series games.


    Conference finals
    Cavaliers-Celtics
    Bos 108-83, +1, U204.5
    Bos 107-94, +1, U205.5


    Warriors-Rockets
    GState 119-106, -1.5, U225.5
    Hst 127-105, -1.5, O225








    NBA


    Saturday, May 19



    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


    Boston Celtics
    Boston is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
    Boston is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
    The total has gone OVER in 12 of Boston's last 18 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games
    Boston is 16-8 ATS in its last 24 games on the road
    Boston is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
    Boston is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
    Boston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
    Boston is 6-15 SU in its last 21 games when playing Cleveland
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games when playing Cleveland
    Boston is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
    Boston is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
    Cleveland Cavaliers
    Cleveland is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games
    Cleveland is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
    Cleveland is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games at home
    Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Cleveland's last 12 games at home
    Cleveland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Boston
    Cleveland is 15-6 SU in its last 21 games when playing Boston
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing Boston
    Cleveland is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Boston
    Cleveland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Boston
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing at home against Boston




    ----------------------------------------------------------------------
    NBA Eastern Confernce Finals Game 3 betting preview: Celtics at Cavaliers


    Boston Celtics at Cleveland Cavaliers (-6.5, 205)


    Celtics lead series 2-0


    The Cleveland Cavaliers have little margin for error as they attempt to begin digging out of a hole when they host the Boston Celtics on Saturday in Game 3 of the Eastern Conference finals. Boston won the first two games to improve to 9-0 at home in the postseason but the Celtics are just 1-4 on the road.


    Cleveland dropped the first two games by an average of 19 points and even a monster Game 2 effort by LeBron James (42 points, 12 assists and 10 rebounds) on Tuesday couldn't prevent a 13-point loss. "We've got to be tougher, mentally and physically," Cavaliers coach Tyronn Lue told reporters. "We've got to come out swinging. We've got to be aggressive. I think we've got to be physical, and we've got to have a physical mindset, you know, that they're coming in, playing tough. They're aggressive, and we've got to match that." Boston doesn't want to provide a glimmer of hope and is looking to move one step closer to its first NBA Finals berth since 2010. "We're going to have to be really focused, really locked in, really consistent," Celtics coach Brad Stevens told reporters. "It's even harder to communicate on the road. You've got to be great communicating."


    TV: 8:30 p.m. ET, ESPN


    SERIES PRICE:





    LINE HISTORY: Despite the Celtics continued dominance in this postseason (11-3 ATS) oddsmakers seem to still be undervaluing them a bit, opening them as a 6 or 6.5-point road dogs. That's where the number sits as of Saturday morning. The total hit the board at 205 and is up to 205.5 at some spots.


    CONSENSUS: The public is jumping on the Celtics bandwagon though, with 64 percent of wagers taking the points with the C's. When it comes to the total bettors are all about the Over, which is seeing 67 percent of the wagers as of Saturday morning.


    INJURY REPORT:


    Celtics - PG Marcus Smart (Probable, finger), PG Shane Larkin (Out, shoulder), PG Kyrie Irving (Out, knee), SF Gordon Hayward (Out, ankle), PF Daniel Thies (Out, knee).


    Cavaliers - No injuries to report.


    MATCHUP CHART:





    ABOUT THE CELTICS (65-31, 61-33-2 ATS, 51-44-1): Backup guard Marcus Smart is averaging 10 points, 7.5 assists, four rebounds and 2.5 steals in the series but is just 7-of-21 shooting as part of a struggling Boston bench. "We haven't played well. We understand that," Smart told reporters. "We understand that other teams see that and are going to try to exploit it, but that's the beauty about this game. Just take one game. You never know. Things change. Our confidence is high." Starting shooting guard Jaylen Brown has been solid with back-to-back 23-point outings while center Al Horford is averaging 17.5 points, seven rebounds, five assists and two blocked shots over the first two games.


    ABOUT THE CAVALIERS (58-37, 36-58-1 ATS, 44-49-2): James was bothered by a strained neck after Game 2 but the extra days of rest figure to leave him near full strength. Someone not operating at a high level is shooting guard JR Smith, who is averaging two points on 2-of-16 shooting (0-of-7 from 3-point range) and committed a controversial flagrant 1 foul on a defenseless Horford in Game 2. "It was a good call," Smith told reporters. "I blatantly pushed him. It wasn't like I was trying to low-bridge him or something to make sure he didn't get it. It was a good, hard foul. I can understand why they gave me a flagrant."


    TRENDS:


    * Celtics are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games playing on three or more days rest.
    * Cavaliers are 0-6 ATS in their last six games playing on three or more days rest.
    * Over is 10-2 in Celtics last 12 games following a SU win of more than 10 points.
    * Under is 6-0 in Cavaliers last six games playing on three or more days rest.
    * Celtics are 4-0-1 ATS in the last five meetings in Cleveland.


    ---------------------------------





    LeBron James-led teams have trailed 0-2 in playoff series six times before Saturday's Gm 3 vs. Boston, going 4-2 SU/ATS in Gm 3 with LBJ averaging 28.3 pts, 8 assists, 9 rebs in those contests. LeBron has brought his team back to win those 0-2 series twice and forced Gm 7 three times.





    Here are NBA playoffs betting stats thus far:


    Home Teams:
    49-19 Straight Up
    38-29-1 ATS (55.38%)


    Favorites:
    51-17 Straight Up
    39-28-1 ATS (58.46%)
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  7. #1732  
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    SATURDAY, MAY 19
    GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS



    BOS at CLE 08:30 PM

    BOS +6.5


    U 205.5
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  8. #1733  
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    Game 3 - Celtics at Cavaliers
    May 18, 2018



    The remarkable run of seven consecutive trips to the NBA Finals by LeBron James is in jeopardy of ending as the Cavaliers trail the Celtics, 2-0 in the Eastern Conference Finals. This series isn’t over by any stretch, but Cleveland needs to take care of its home-court advantage the next two games, while taking advantage of Boston’s road woes in the playoffs.


    After the Celtics destroyed the Cavaliers from the tip-off in Game 1 by 25 points, Cleveland must have felt good about evening up the series through 24 minutes in Game 2. The Cavaliers led at halftime, 55-48, but the Celtics blitzed Cleveland in the third quarter, 36-22 to pull away for a 107-94 victory. For the second straight time in this series, the game finished UNDER the total (205 ˝), while Boston improved to 9-0 SU and 7-2 ATS at TD Garden in the playoffs.


    James carried the Cavaliers again by producing a triple-double with 42 points, 10 rebounds, and 12 assists. Unfortunately, only two other Cavs registered in double-figures as Kevin Love (22 points) and Kyle Korver (11 points) were the only other main providers to Cleveland’s offensive attack. The starting backcourt of J.R. Smith and George Hill combined to score three points on 1-of-11 shooting, as the only positive is Cleveland knocked down 10 three-pointer in Game 2 compared to only four in the opener.


    All five Celtics’ starters finished in double-figures in Game 2, led by guard Jaylen Brown’s 23 points. Al Horford produced his sixth double-double of the playoffs by scoring 15 points and pulling down 10 rebounds, while Terry Rozier continued his strong postseason with 18 points, bouncing back from an eight-point performance in Game 1.


    Now that the Celtics have taken care of their business at home, the task the next two games for Brad Stevens’ club is to fix their 1-4 SU and 2-3 ATS record away from TD Garden in the playoffs. Boston lost all three road games at Milwaukee in the first round, while scoring less than 92 points in two of those defeats. The lone away victory came at Philadelphia in Game 3 of the conference semifinals, 101-98 in overtime. Boston scored only 89 points in regulation in that win, while following it up with a 92-point effort in a Game 4 loss.


    The Cavaliers have been a questionable wager at home during the playoffs by posting an ugly 1-5 ATS mark. Tyronn Lue’s squad has won five straight games at Quicken Loans Arena since a 98-80 drubbing at the hands of Indiana to open up the playoffs, while limiting opponents to less than 100 points in four of six home contests. However, four of the victories came by four points or fewer, while the Cavs own an 0-3 ATS record as a home favorite of six points or more in the playoffs.


    In James’ career, he has never trailed an Eastern Conference opponent 3-0 in a playoff series, but has been down 2-0 to an Eastern foe three times. All three instances came in his first go-around with Cleveland, as the Cavs beat the Pistons in 2006 and 2007 when trailing 2-0. In 2006, Cleveland lost to Detroit in seven games, while knocking out the Pistons in six games in ’07. In 2008, the Cavs routed the Celtics at home, 108-84, but eventually lost the series in seven games.


    The Celtics haven’t visited Cleveland since that fateful opening night on October 17 when newly acquired Gordon Hayward suffered a gruesome leg injury five minutes into his Boston tenure. The Cavaliers won that game, 102-99, but failed to cash as 4 ˝-point favorites. In last season’s conference finals, the Celtics covered in both visits to Cleveland, albeit as 15-point underdogs each time, including an upset in Game 3 by a 111-108 score after overcoming a 16-point halftime deficit.


    Chris David of VegasInsider.com talked about a popular playoff betting trend that focuses on the first-half and it’s turned out to be a good look. He filled us in on the details.


    “Even though social media and betting forums don’t bring out the best in people, it’s become a solid resource for information,” said David. “According to numbers from different sources and industry folks, teams down 0-2 in a playoff series while playing Game 3 at home have gone 31-4 ATS (88%) in the last four postseasons.”


    David added, “The system makes sense and the results aren’t surprising when you consider that the home team is facing a deficit and the sense of urgency will be high at home, at least for the first 24 minutes. Backing the investment blindly this year has produced a profitable 4-2 mark with the Wizards, Timberwolves, Bucks and Pelicans earning Game 3 wins at home after being down 2-0. The two losses came by the Spurs in the first round and the 76ers in the second round.”


    “While San Antonio couldn’t muster up a quality effort at home (52-46) to Golden State in Game 3, Philadelphia actually held a 51-48 lead over Boston in Game 3 at halftime. However, the oddsmakers had the club listed as a 7 ˝-point favorite and that line was inflated. Fast forward to Saturday’s matchup and the oddsmakers have juiced up Cleveland’s first-half number to -5 ˝.”


    Even though the ‘under’ cashed in each of the first two games, the total for Game 3 stayed in the same neighborhood for Game 3. David offered up his handicap on the Saturday’s number.


    He said, “While the ‘under’ in Game 1 was the right side, the same can’t be said for Game 2. If it wasn’t for a 40-point fourth quarter on Tuesday, the high side connects and bettors who lost can clearly point to Cleveland’s inept offense.”


    “The one tendency that continues to stick out in this year’s playoffs is Boston’s offense, which has been held to 94.6 PPG in five away games. If you look at the Celtics under Stevens, these results aren’t surprising. Since he took over, the club hasn’t performed well out of TD Garden and are only averaging 98.2 PPG and that’s helped the ‘under’ go 13-5. As much criticism as Cleveland takes, deservingly, the unit has been much better at home. In this year’s playoffs, they’re surrendering 97.8 PPG. All those numbers have me leaning ‘under’ in the game but the better investment for me is on the Celtics Team Total Under (99 ˝).”


    The Celtics head into Game 3 as a -225 series favorite at Sportsbook.ag, while the Cavaliers sit at +190 to capture the series.
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  9. #1734  
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    Saturday's Best Bet
    May 18, 2018



    NBA Best Bet – Game 3
    Boston Celtics vs. Cleveland Cavaliers



    The Boston Celtics did what they had to do in terms of protecting home court to start this series, as the Celtics now head to Cleveland looking for a commanding 3-0 series lead. Boston has epitimized the notion of “team basketball” through two games – through the entire playoffs really – as their next man up mentality has been a pleasure to watch so far.


    But going into Cleveland and trying to dethrone King James isn't going to be easy, especially when LeBron has his back up against the wall now. LeBron is only one man though and as great as he is, he needs some help if Cleveland is going to climb back into this series. Oddsmakers expect the Cavs to do so as significant favorites in Game 3, so will Cleveland get it done?


    Cleveland (-6.5); Total set at 205


    While LeBron was rightfully criticized for being rather passive in Game 1, the same couldn't be said for at least the first 20+ minutes in Game 2. James did everything he could to take over that game early and break the Celtics will, but he still found little help outside of Kevin Love the rest of the way.


    James finished with a triple-double on 42 points, and after Love poured in 22 points, there really was nothing else from the Cavs. Kyle Korver was the only other player on Cleveland to finish with double-digit points (11), and I don't care if you've got the best player in the world on your team, that's not going to get it done.


    Conversely, all five of Boston's starters finished with at least 11 points and 6th man Marcus Smart was able to reach that total as well. The Celtics clamped down on defense in the second half to climb back into, and ultimately break open the game during the 3rd quarter. That's going to be much harder to accomplish on the road and this Celtics team knows that, but if they want to take a commanding 3-0 series lead, shaking off that inconsistent road play is a must.


    Boston may be a perfect 9-0 SU at home in these playoffs, but their 1-4 SU record away from home leaves much to be desired.


    Boston does own a 2-3 ATS record in those five contests as both ATS wins have come in one possession games, but they can't rely on Cleveland's supporting cast to remain non-existent in their own building and it's going to be the play of guys like Korver, JR Smith, Tristan Thompson, George Hill and others that could end up flipping the momentum of this series in Cleveland's favor going forward.


    I know that's a lot easier said then done, but role/bench players almost always perform better at home during the NBA playoffs and I fully expect those guys on Cleveland to step up their production levels in Game 3.


    Yet, expecting the Cavs role players to increase their production at home at least on offense is one thing, trusting them to all of a sudden fix all the defensive flaws we've seen from them in this series is another. Cleveland's defense has slowly reverted back to resembling that brutal unit we saw for most of the year from this team – with and without the current guys on the roster – and that's quite problematic when considering to lay those points.


    Cleveland's offense could easily mask those issues and cover this number if they are clicking on all cylinders, but Boston's defense is one of the best units in the league, so we probably shouldn't expect Cleveland to bit hitting everything. That's why I'm not looking at the side – for either team – in Game 3.


    Instead it's the total I'm going after and after the first two games in Boston cashed 'under' tickets – Game 2 being somewhat of a 'bad beat' for 'over' bettors – Game 3 should be a victory for those 'over' bettors out there that are staying true to the process.


    Cleveland’s defense could easily give up 100+ like they have in the first two games, regardless of how well or not they are shooting the ball, and Boston's defense isn't likely to be as effective in shutting down LeBron's supporting cast back in comfortable surroundings.


    James will do his thing and get 30+ rather easily, but having three or four of guys like Love, Hill, Smith, Korver, Thompson, Clarkson, Nance etc reach double-digits is a must for the Cavs if they want to get the W. I'm confident that at least three of those guys will pull their weight offensively in this game, and as Boston looks to push the Cavs the entire way, this total should get surpassed rather easily.


    Best Bet: Over 205 points
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    Cavs confident they can bounce back
    May 18, 2018



    INDEPENDENCE, Ohio (AP) They've survived amid turmoil for months, their season morphing into the NBA's most compelling reality show - or, as some have called it, spectacle.


    The must-watch Cleveland Cavaliers have been hardened by the nonstop drama around them. So it's not a surprise they're calm despite trailing the Boston Celtics 2-0 in the Eastern Conference finals.


    ''We know what it takes,'' coach Tyronn Lue said. ''We're down 0-2. No need to panic.''


    ''We know what we've got to do,'' added All-Star forward Kevin Love on the eve of Saturday's Game 3.


    The Cavs have been in dire straits before in the postseason.


    Just two years ago, Cleveland trailed 2-0 and then 3-1 in the NBA Finals to Golden State before coming back to win in seven games and end the city's 52-year championship drought. And back in the 2007 playoffs, LeBron James rallied the Cavs from a 2-0 deficit against Detroit, the hardwood king commencing his legacy by scoring Cleveland's final 25 points during a Game 5 road win.


    But while Cleveland has some comeback history on its side, Boston has momentum and the Celtics intend to keep it.


    ''We're just gonna try to use it,'' said forward Marcus Morris, ''and ride it.''


    As expected, James responded from a sub-par performance in Game 1 by scoring 42 points with 12 assists and 10 rebounds in Game 2. Still, the Cavs lost and the lack of production from several teammates, most notably guards J.R. Smith and George Hill. They have been totally outplayed by Jaylen Brown and Terry Rozier so far, and that could be deflating.


    Not to the Celtics, who gained confidence in shrugging off James' haymaker.


    ''That's a game-changer in itself,'' said Morris, one of the many defenders Celtics coach Brad Stevens is using on James. ''LeBron came out and did everything he could. To his guys, they see that and they still came up short. That's a feeling going back up, it kind of puts you in a mood you don't want to be in.''


    Speaking of moods. James, who hasn't spoken to the media since Tuesday's game, screamed an obscenity in frustration while working on his jump shot following practice. He made 12 straight before a miss, but James, who is seeking his eighth straight Finals, knows he's going to need to be near perfect from here on out.


    James, Love, Smith and Tristan Thompson are the only holdovers from Cleveland's 2016 title team, which mounted its historic comeback in the Finals and now must rally again.


    ''I was talking to some of the guys in the training room and I was telling people it was already the Eastern Conference finals,'' Smith said. ''Being in this situation repetitively for the past couple years, I don't want to say you get numb to it because you don't want to take it for granted because obviously guys don't have this opportunity too many times, but this season alone has been an extremely weird year and we just got to figure it out.''


    To the outside world, Cleveland appears in trouble. They're facing a younger, more physical team that has been written off several times already.


    To the Cavs, this is just another bump in the road. They've already staved off elimination against Indiana.


    ''We played a Game 7,'' Lue said. ''The danger's not like we come out and don't play well tomorrow and lose, it's over. We still have games to play. It's not like it's a Game 7. They did a good job taking care of their home court. They played well. Now we're back at home.''

    ROAD WORK AHEAD:
    The Celtics haven't traveled well in these playoffs.


    They're just 1-4 outside Boston and their shooting percentages have dipped on trips to Milwaukee and Philadelphia. But after losing three road games to the Bucks in the first round, the young Celtics showed poise in stealing a Game 3 win in Philadelphia that has convinced them they can win in Cleveland.


    ''We're pretty confident,'' Brown said. ''Just as confident as we are at home. It's different between being on the road and at home, just the energy disparity. At home, it's for you, away it's against you. But if you do what you're supposed to do and you are who you are, it'll show home or away.''

    NEED FOR SPEED:
    The Cavs know they need to play faster. On too many occasions in Games 1 and 2, Cleveland was slow bringing the ball up the floor, which allowed the Celtics to get back and set up their defense.


    Lue has been harping on his players to quicken the pace.


    ''We have to come out with a sense of urgency to attack early, don't ease into the game or let this team off the hook,'' Lue said after practice Friday. ''We know they play well at home and they had two good games, so now it's our turn.''
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    Cavaliers face 0-2 hole
    May 17, 2018
    by Kyle Markus



    Game 3 - No. 4 Cleveland Cavaliers vs. No. 2 Boston Celtics


    LeBron James has made it to the NBA Finals eight years in a row, but that’s in peril now. James and the Cleveland Cavaliers are down 2-0 in the Eastern Conference Finals and facing a must-win game next time out against the Boston Celtics. Cleveland was the favorite to win this series when it began but Boston has looked like the superior team in every way thus far.


    The Cavaliers are solid favorites in Game 3 as they aim to claw back into this series with a win. James is still playing at an obscenely high level but the Celtics have been the much more balanced team in the early stages of this series.


    James always seems to play his best when his back is against the wall, but he needs his teammates to step up in order for Cleveland to pick up this home win in NBA basketball gambling.


    Game 3 of this NBA Playoff Series is on Saturday, May 19, 2018 at 8:30 p.m. ET at Quicken Loans Arena in Cleveland, Ohio. The contest will be nationally televised on ESPN.


    We'll have NBA odds at BookMaker.eu available for every game of the 2018 NBA Playoffs.


    Odds Analysis


    The spread has moved up a half-point as the Cavaliers are now listed as seven-point favorites to win Game 3 and pull within one game of the Celtics. The majority of the money is on Boston to cover, and this is definitely an enticing line to roll with the Celtics.


    The scoring total is listed at 205 points, which is up a half-point from the initial release. The “over” is the more popular choice by the betting public. Cleveland is the -310 favorite on the moneyline while the Celtics are the +252 underdogs. Boston is once again getting most of the action, as more than 85 percent of the wagers are on the Celtics to pull off the upset, which would pay off nicely.


    Last Time Out


    The Cavaliers thought they had something cooking in Game 2 as they took a seven-point lead into halftime. The Celtics flipped the script quickly in the third quarter, outscoring the Cavs by 14 points, and cruised to the 107-94 win.


    Jaylen Brown led the way for Boston with 23 points and seven rebounds, although it was a balanced affair as all five starters scored in double figures. The bench was good, too, led by Marcus Smart’s 11 points and nine assists.


    James had a huge night, finishing with 42 points, 12 assists and 10 rebounds in the loss. He had 21 points in the first quarter to help stake the Cavaliers to a lead but only Kevin Love helped him out. Love had 22 points but contributions elsewhere were few and far between.


    Key Stat


    Three. That’s the number of combined points the Cavaliers got out of their backcourt in Game 2, which is going to make it tough to win any game, let alone against a formidable foe. George Hill scored just three points on 1-of-4 shooting and didn’t do much else, with only two rebounds and one assist. J.R. Smith was even worse, missing all seven of his shots and finishing the game with zero points.


    Hill and Smith aren’t going to be confused with All-Stars any time soon, but there is no excuse for a starting backcourt to struggle this badly. Don’t be surprised if the Cavaliers give some others a chance at guard if this duo starts slowly in Game 3.


    Free NBA ATS Picks


    While all the focus is on James, this result will ultimately come down to how well the role players handle all the pressure of a must-win game. Look for the complementary cast to have a better performance at home, which will give the Cavaliers a chance at capturing this game. However, the Celtics are the easy pick against the spread in NBA basketball gambling.


    Best Bet: Cavaliers 107, Celtics 103
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    Cavs pound Celtics early in Game 3 rout
    May 19, 2018



    CLEVELAND (AP) Before taking the floor, LeBron James stood in the hallway with his teammates outside Cleveland's locker room and pounded his chest with both hands.


    The Celtics got thumped next.


    James had 27 points and 12 assists, Kevin Love added 14 rebounds and the Cavaliers looked like a different team on their home court, tightening the Eastern Conference finals with a 116-86 victory in Game 3 over Boston on Saturday night.


    Outplayed during two losses in Boston, the Cavs used a three-day break in the series to regroup and re-grip this series. With James leading the way, they built a 19-point lead in the first quarter, pushed it to 30 in the second half and overpowered the Celtics, who fell to 1-5 on the road in the postseason.


    Any discussion of Cleveland's demise is premature. Kyle Korver made four of the Cavs' 17 3-pointers and Cleveland had six players in double figures.


    ''I also have to inspire my teammates to be better,'' James said. ''They answered the call tonight and they need to answer the phone another time on Monday.''


    Game 4 is Monday night before the series returns to Boston.


    Jaylen Brown was in foul trouble all night and scored just 10 for the Celtics after averaging 23 in the first two games. Jayson Tatum scored 18 and Terry Rozier 13 for Boston, which couldn't match Cleveland in any aspect.


    ''They took it to us,'' Celtics coach Brad Stevens said. ''Point blank: They just outplayed us.''


    Only 19 of a possible 300 teams have ever overcome a 2-0 deficit in the playoffs. James and the Cavs, who previously did it in 2007 and again in 2016 while winning the NBA title, took the first step toward a third comeback.


    To return to the NBA Finals for the fourth straight year, the Cavs have to win four of five and re-write Boston's illustrious history. The Celtics are 37-0 when they win the first two games in a series.


    ''That doesn't bother me,'' Cleveland coach Tyronn Lue said before Game 3. ''The games have to be played. They won two games on their home court, which we know they've been playing well the whole playoffs, but we're not discouraged.


    ''So, 0-2 doesn't really mean anything.''


    Apparently not. The Cavs came in wanting to play faster and be more physical with the younger Celtics, who were the aggressors in Games 1 and 2.


    Lue also needed more from point guard George Hill after two poor performances (8 points, 1 assist) in Boston. Hill responded with a driving layup to start the game and drained three 3-pointers in the first quarter as Cleveland wasted no time taking control.


    Hill finished with 13, J.R. Smith 11 - they were outscored 41-3 in Game 2 - and Cleveland's supporting cast played so well that James was only on the floor for 37 minutes.


    Stevens was confident his team would play better on the road than earlier in these playoffs, but the Celtics were shaky early, committing four turnovers and shooting 2 of 10 while the Cavs opened a 27-11 lead.


    James arrived at 5:45 p.m., greeted by the usual phalanx of cameras waiting to record his walk from the security entrance at Quicken Loans Arena to Cleveland's locker room.


    Earlier in the day, James said the fact he has twice rallied from 2-0 deficits in the postseason offered no relief.


    ''There's nothing about the playoffs that's comfortable until you either win it all or you lose and go into the summer,'' he said.


    Summer might not be as close as it once seemed.


    TIP-INS


    Celtics: Seeking to become the sixth No. 2 seed to win the East in eight years. Boston was a No. 4 seed when it advanced to the finals in 2010. ... Fell to 3-8 in playoff games in Cleveland, the most by a Cavs opponent at the Q. ... Stevens was relieved to learn that Boston legend Bill Russell was recovering after a hospital stay brought on by dehydration. Russell won 11 NBA titles with the Celtics. ''He's the ultimate basketball winner,'' Stevens said. ''The way he impacted winning, the unselfishness of a teammate, what he stood for off the floor - everything about him.''


    Cavaliers: James needs six field goals to surpass Kareem Abdul-Jabbar (2,356) for the most in postseason history. ... Cleveland has won six straight playoff games at home. ... Improved to 14-6 vs. Boston in the playoffs.


    ROAD KILL


    Before the game, Stevens downplayed his team's road issues, saying there was a ''small sample size.''


    It got a little bigger, and a little more troubling. Still, he won't focus on Boston's road woes.


    ''In my 11 years as a head coach, I probably haven't talked about road and home five times with our team,'' he said. ''It's about how you play between the lines. Because I think if you start talking about that, then you find excuses in both places. We can't play like we played tonight no matter where we played. If we would have played in Boston like that, we would have gotten beat.''


    FAMILY TIES


    Stevens has deep Cleveland roots, but he's slowly converting family members to pull for Boston's teams.


    His parents are from Northeast Ohio and his wife, Tracy, is from suburban Rocky River. Before the game, Stevens was asked what happens to all the Cavs, Browns and Cavaliers gear he gets as gifts.


    ''My 7 1/2-year-old nephew was offered 10 extra-credit points (in school) if he wore anything regarding Cleveland yesterday, and he went all green,'' Stevens said. ''And three years ago, I think he was all Cleveland stuff. So we're making strides with him. But yeah, we have a large contingent. Maybe they'll get some of those (Game 3 giveaway) yellow shirts and pass them around to some people who haven't completely converted to rooting for the Celtics yet.''

    UP NEXT



    Game 4 is Monday night.
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    SCHEDULE FOR SUNDAY MAY 20, 2018
    Time (ET) Away Home Site
    8:00 PM Houston Rockets Golden State Warriors ORACLE Arena


    SCHEDULE FOR MONDAY MAY 21, 2018
    Time (ET) Away Home Site
    8:30 PM Boston Celtics Cleveland Cavaliers Quicken Loans Arena


    SCHEDULE FOR TUESDAY MAY 22, 2018
    Time (ET) Away Home Site
    9:00 PM Houston Rockets Golden State Warriors ORACLE Arena


    SCHEDULE FOR WEDNESDAY MAY 23, 2018
    Time (ET) Away Home Site
    8:30 PM Cleveland Cavaliers Boston Celtics TD Garden


    SCHEDULE FOR THURSDAY MAY 24, 2018
    Time (ET) Away Home Site
    9:00 PM Golden State Warriors Houston Rockets Toyota Center


    SCHEDULE FOR FRIDAY MAY 25, 2018
    Time (ET) Away Home Site
    8:30 PM Boston Celtics Cleveland Cavaliers Quicken Loans Arena


    SCHEDULE FOR SATURDAY MAY 26, 2018
    Time (ET) Away Home Site
    9:00 PM Houston Rockets Golden State Warriors ORACLE Arena




    ***********************




    MAY'S NBA BEST BET RECORD: ( BASED ON 5 UNITS )


    05/19/2018 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
    05/16/2018 0-2-0 0.00% -11.00
    05/15/2018 0-2-0 0.00% -11.00
    05/14/2018 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
    05/13/2018 1-1-0 50.00% -0,50
    05/03/2018 0-4-0 0.00% -22.00
    05/02/2018 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
    05/01/2018 1-3-0 25.00% -11.50


    Totals...............6-12-0.........33.33%.....-47.00




    BEST BETS................ATS....................UNITS.. ................O/U..............UNITS..............TOTAL


    05/19/2018...............0 - 1..................-5.50....................1 - 0..............+5.00.............-0.50
    05/16/2018...............0 - 1..................-5.50....................0- 1...............-5.50..............-11.00
    05/15/2018...............0 - 1..................-5.50....................0 - 1..............-5.50..............-11.00
    05/14/2018...............1 - 0..................+5.00...................0 - 1..............-5.50..............-0.50
    05/13/2018...............0 - 1..................-5.50....................1 - 0..............+5.00..............-0.50
    05/03/2018...............0 - 2..................-11.00..................0 - 2..............-11.00............-22.00
    05/02/2018...............1 - 0..................+5.00...................1 - 0.............+5.00.............+10.00
    05/01/2018...............1 - 1..................- 0.50...................0 - 2.............-11.00.............-11.50


    Totals........................3 - 7..................-23.50.................3 - 7...............-23.50...............-47.00
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