2017 NHL Systems

rolltide · Oct 14, 2017

NHL 2017

will post when possible but KS terrible about getting lines up in a reasonable manner so really depends on my schedule. On favs suggest you to play "ML no OT" when -145 or better with 80% of bet and regulation win with 20% of bet. With dogs "ML with OT" 80% of bet and regulation win 20% of bet. With favs of -150 or higher it is 80% regulation win, 20% -1.5

but of course do what you want...

Buffalo = play on very bad away dog off away loss of 1 goal exact vs decent home team. 47-38 +147% (1-0 YTD)

Winnipeg = play on home fav off b2b wins with last one being away fav win. 171-72 +112% (0-0)

OTT/EDM u5.5 = UNDER unrested away dog off away win, total 5.5+. 82-119 o/u (2-2 ytd)

CAL/VAN u5.5 = UNDER closely lined game with one team off 4+ blowout game. 222-346 o/u (4-2 o/u YTD)

NY Islanders = oppose bad western conf home fav, won just 1 of last 3, vs bad away team. 77-38 +133% (1-2 YTD)
NY Islanders = tightener of above with very poor home fav. 76-45 +143% (0-0)

Arizona = same as above. 76-45 +143% (0-0)

Toronto = play on team off b2b 40+ SOG games vs opponent off loss. 77-33 +127% (0-0)

rolltide · Oct 14, 2017

just to add.... would hold off on unders right now as NHL is trying to regulate against the slashing penalty and goalie interference thus overs are killing it at >60% clip

narjar · Oct 15, 2017

Good stuff, thanks tide.

bringdown · Oct 15, 2017

Thanks RT. Really appreciate all your work....love the NCAA/NFL info too.

Forgive my ignorance, but what does +143% mean in your example above with Arizona. I understand the total part, but the sides I am a bit confused. Also, are you saying bet 80% on ML and 20% of your bet regulation only (with favorites)....just clarifying. Thanks so much

rolltide · Oct 15, 2017

LA Kings = oppose unrested away team on b2b after San Jose. 38-10 +128%
NYI/LAK under 5.5 = UNDER kings hosting unrested opponent. 24-59-17 o/u/p (7-33-13 L53)
NYI/LAK under 5.5 = UNDER unrested after playing in SJ. 9-24-5 o/u

LVK/BOS under 5.5 = UNDER winning home team, closely lined game, after allowing 4+ goals. 78-127-20 o/u

rolltide · Oct 15, 2017

bringdown said:
Thanks RT. Really appreciate all your work....love the NCAA/NFL info too.

Forgive my ignorance, but what does +143% mean in your example above with Arizona. I understand the total part, but the sides I am a bit confused. Also, are you saying bet 80% on ML and 20% of your bet regulation only (with favorites)....just clarifying. Thanks so much

43% is the ROI of that system.

with favs less than -145 (or any arbitrary number that suits you) I bet 80% of my stake on "ML no OT" and 20% of stake on straight win in regulation. With larger favs I bet mostly straight win with then some -1.5 handicap

bringdown · Oct 15, 2017

Thanks RT!! Appreciate the help

narjar · Oct 16, 2017

Well done, thanks Tide.

guil0000 · Oct 16, 2017

Your stuff is golden Roll... always use you're stuff as a tool when it's possible!

exploited17 · Oct 16, 2017

Where do these systems come from? I have never really seen hockey ones before

rolltide · Oct 16, 2017

not running them all tonight (takes too long) with just 1 game but took a little action money on DET o5.5

in case you wonder how much a NHL ref can influence o/u...2017 stats:
5.5 totals where both teams have 10+ PIM....o/u is 18-5 with a 6.6 gpg avg
5.5 totals where at least one team has 10+ PIM... o/u is 31-14 with a 6.6 gpg avg (if either team has 17+ PIM the over is 12-1 with avg of 7.4 goals)
5.5 totals where neither team has 10+ PIM...o/u is 6-13 with a 4.9 gpg avg

TB/DET allowing a combined 70 shots/game and both averaging 11+ PIM/game so taking a little action on goals tonight.

indiana · Oct 16, 2017

R/T........appreciate the info...........BOL tonight..........indy

rolltide · Oct 17, 2017

Washington = PLAY ON big favs that lost last match by 4+ goals. 37-3 +145% (1-0 YTD)
Washington = PLAY ON home team in NDIV game off loss and 5+ games allowing 3+ goals. 108-70 +119% (0-0)

NAS/COL under = UNDER division fav allowing a lot of goals/game after scoring b2b <=2. 8-32 o/u (0-1 o/u) ... on 10 straight under streak

NY Rangers = PLAY ON home team scoring b2b2b <3 goals vs opponent off b2b 4+. 66-28 +137% (0-0)

Montreal = OPPOSE bad Western fav, winning 1 of last 3 games, vs bad team. 79-38 +135% (3-2 YTD)
Montreal = PLAY ON dog with 5+ straight 30+ SOG. 199-180 +117% (0-0)

rolltide · Oct 17, 2017

rolltide said:
Washington = PLAY ON big favs that lost last match by 4+ goals. 37-3 +145% (1-0 YTD)
Washington = PLAY ON home team in NDIV game off loss and 5+ games allowing 3+ goals. 108-70 +119% (0-0)

CAPS line got smashed so they are no longer in the 37-3 "big fav" spot .... still fall in good spot though

Washington = PLAY ON divisional fav or small dog that lost last match by 4+ goals. 37-9 +141% (1-0 YTD)

rolltide · Oct 18, 2017

LAK/MTL under = UNDER Kings hosting unrested. 39-68-17 o/u (0-2 o/u)
LA Kings = OPPOSE unrested after away to SJ. 39-10 +128% (2-0)
Montreal = PLAY ON dog with 5+ straight 30+ SOG. 199-181 +117% (0-1)

TOR/DET under = UNDER bad defensive divisional fav off b2b poor offense. 8-33 o/u (0-2 o/u)
TOR/DET under = UNDER unrested winning dog or small fav vs winning opponent, >5 total. 46-85 o/u (0-0)

indiana · Oct 18, 2017

R/tide........Tor/Det. great under #'s..........thank you.........indy

narjar · Oct 18, 2017

Thx Tide

rolltide · Oct 19, 2017

Vancouver = play on away team with inferior record early in a season and playing average opponent off a loss. 60-26 +163% (2-0 YTD)

Dallas = oppose big home dogs early in season. 118-56 +111% (1-1 YTD)

Calgary = play on home favs off away fav win with >= rest than opponent. 226-99 +112% (1-0 YTD)
Calgary = play on home fav off blowout away fav win. 96-43 +111% (0-0)

NAS/PHI under = under in closely lined game with one team off blowout margin. 224-346-48 o/u (7-2 o/u)

COL/STl under = under winning home team after allowing 4+ goals, closely lined game. 78-128-20 (0-1 o/u)

Edmonton = play on dog with 5+ straight 30+ SOG games. 199-182 +117% (0-2)

rolltide · Oct 20, 2017

Buffalo = oppose team on road trip off away game and away at Detroit coming up. 76-32 +122% (0-0)
Buffalo = oppose bad Western team winning 1 of last 3 games vs bad opponent. 79-39 +134% (3-3 YTD)
Buffalo = play on bad fav off 1 goal away loss. 74-18 +137% (0-1 YTD)
BUF/VAN under = under Canucks unrested away off away game. 13-25-5 o/u (0-0)

Minnesota = play on away team with inferior record early in a season and playing average opponent off a loss. 60-27 +161% (2-1 YTD)

Washington = play on away team with inferior record early in a season and playing average opponent off a loss. 60-27 +161% (2-1 YTD)
Washington = play on bad defensive NDIV favorite off b2b bad offensive games. 60-24 +123% (1-3 YTD)
WAS/DET under = under winning home team after allowing 4+ goals, closely lined game. 79-128-20 (1-1 o/u)

Florida = play on home dog off a loss vs opponent with 5+ straight 3+ goal games. 182-96 +125% (0-0 YTD)
Florida = play on dog with 5+ straight 30+ SOG games. 200-182 +117% (1-2 YTD)

NJD/SJS under = = under winning home team after allowing 4+ goals, closely lined game. 79-128-20 (1-1 o/u)

rolltide · Oct 21, 2017

shit night. not around to run systems later so just the site specific stuff for tonight

Caps under = UNDER caps hosting unrested. 12-31-6 o/u

NYI over = OVER isles hosting unrested. 49-27-1 o/u and meets 43-19-1 o/u subset

Tampa = PLAY ON lightning hosting unrested. 39-9 SU
Tampa = OPPOSE unrested away team after playing Florida. 34-5 SU

Boston = PLAY ON bruins hosting unrested team off loss. 58-21 SU
Buffalo = OPPOSE bad early season favorite vs bad team. 68-38 +148%

Edmonton = PLAY ON early season struggling away team vs opponent off a loss. 61-27 +161%

2017 NHL Systems

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