Wormy Pix Pick of the Week (7)

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Wow, the effort shown by teams last wk was sickening. Most notably DEN, who eliminated me from my survivor league & blew up what looked like a sure parlay. Here’s a solid team both on “O” & “D”, off 2 wks of prep time, in primetime, in the thin air of Mile High, against a winless, gutted NY team playing w/practice squad players. Just an embarrassing, heartless effort by a team that had a great shot @ not only POs, but taking the highly competitive AFC West. A lot of blame could be thrown around, but I want to blame most the coaches for running their “O” as if #18 was still under center & not having their team prepared for the cornered animal that was the NYG. To top off my awful wk, BAL also looked as if they never practiced. At least their “D” & STs tried their best to win the gm. If Flacco & his WRs performed @ least slightly below avg, BAL prob would’ve won this comfortably. That was also a mistake on my part, as NOR had more advantages in their matchup than BAL. But I played CHI’s weaknesses instead. ARI also won for me in a very forgettable wk.

POW 2-4, Teasers 2-4, Overall 15-15.

NOR -4 “D” has been such a problem ever since their SB win. There are bright spots this yr finally, despite their PPG avg being near the bottom. Also having issues on “D” are the Packers. Outside of Martinez & Matthews, GB has been awful against the run & suspect vs the pass. All-world Aaron Rodgers has masked these deficiencies along w/their porous oline. This wk, they’ll be w/out LG Taylor & C Linsley is a GTD. Sure Brett Hundley got thrown to the wolves last wk & now had a full wk of practice w/the starters. So I expect McCarthy to adjust the “O” to keep it simple vs a very aggressive NOR “D”. But w/concerns along the oline, I feel the TO-happy NOR “D” will pressure Hundley into a few mistakes, which could lead directly to TDs by the “D” or set Brees & co up w/great field position. GB’s big weakness on “D” is against the run. Now w/AP in ARI, Ingram has really shined, & Kamara looks great in the passing gm. NOR leads the league in TO differential, while Hundley is coming off a 3 INT gm. If NOR’s “D” can just give a few extra possessions to Brees, I feel this gm won’t even be close, even @ Lambaeu.

NOR 30
GB 17
5 Units

GL to all & comments are most welcome.
 

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Honorable Mentions:

1 Unit BUF -3: I’m going to ride BUF’s “D” in this one. Tyrod & McCoy should provide just enough “O” to carry them against a hobbled Winston & co @ Ralph Wilson.

1 Unit MIN -4 ½: Another one I’m banking on “D” to carry me hm. BAL loves to play really well when we least expect them too, so I could get burned. But w/BAL’s WRs hobbled, MIN’s great secondary should give Case Keenum breathing room despite BAL’s excellent “D” getting healthier.

2 Units Wormy Teaser:

TEN +7 ½
BAL/MIN Under 51 ½
DAL +6 ½
PHI +8 ½
 

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Good luck Wormy Pix

Saints pass D not very good to be spotting this many on the road, especially on the road at GB. I do think GB will obviously be more conservative without Rogers. I still think they will pass the ball more than expected and this game could be decided by a fg one way or another. While Saints D has definitely improved from last year they still give up to many points to warrant a 4 point fav on the road at GB IMHO.

I like the Buff play and leaned towards Minny at home.
 

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Thanks United! Great stuff as usual.

I completely agree w/you if Rodgers was in. But were you impressed w/what you saw from Hundley? Or GB's "D"? That's the key.

Keep bringing the insight, I truly appreciate it.

:toast:
 

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