WEEK 9 easy money!

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Was 5-3 week 8 Easy money

GT Like predicted Wake front 7 can't hold GT for 60 mins
BC UVA was due for a stinker at home Bingo
PSU Mich has no offense and PSU wanted this game badly.
Miami Miami is not very good but Syracuse is worse
Texas UT is not the same team that lost to MD. Harman can coach Ok St lucky to survive. UT will be even better this week

3 stinkers
UofL That team is an enigma to me. Had lamar killing NCST lost, Then FSU killing Lamar lost giving up on UofL
VT I should have known these team are in recruiting wars If someone can RUTS they will. Clearly UNC not RUTS anyone
WVU Baylor always plays better at home. They are also an enigma to me. Staying away.


Week 9 has a dozen great matchups. I fully expect to go 12-3 or better. Week 7 was great 14-3.
I'd like to post a 9 game parlay later this week.
 

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Week 9 Where can we find an imbalance between perception and reality.

ND has a QB that is not quite priced into ND's value. He took the game vs USC over. The USC rout was no fluke. Thus the 7.5 ND is giving up in this game. 7.5 is not enough the QB is not fully priced yet. Had he been playing from day 1 ND's would be 14-17 point favorites in this game and I'd be looking at Them to still cover. ND runs away with this one in the 4th Q 40-20 type game. NCst will not out rush ND at home.

Take ND +7.5 they will score 35+ NCst maybe 20. If you are cautious buy ND down 6 to 1 1/2


UGa -14 over UF. Thats a lot of points in a rivalry game but Kirby Smart will kick the livin hell out of UF if he can. UGA has the horses this year to beat anyone
Kirby is not going to be shy trying to make the point UGA is for real. I see no mercy rule for UF in this one. UGA hangs 40+ on UF. The Gator will be lucky to get 14.

Clemson -14.5 at home vs GT. GT is a machine the crowd in Tiger stadium won't effect them at all. What will effect them is Clemson's front 7. Venables is a disciplined focused man. His DNA is in that defense. GT will get stuffed and turn the ball over a few times. Paul Johnson will go for it on 4 and 1 on his own 25 out of desperation and turn the ball over. Clemson's offense will jump out to a 14 point lead early forcing GT to throw the ball :):)

14.5 is a lot of points buy this one down 6 to 8.5 if you are a kitty.w-thumbs!^

9 more coming this week
 

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Be very careful taking NCst over ND. ND is not the same team that lost by 1 to UGA. ND is far better in Week 9. Last weeks romp over USC was no fluke or
rival payback. This is ND and they are darn good. The QB is a winner, the Defense is solid and Kelly is a good coach.

NCST is not a bad team they are top 15. But ND is top 5 and it will show at home this weekend. NCST will fight for 60 mins if this game slides down to 6.5
Bet the farm on ND. If it stays at 7.5 bet the farm on ND.

Some of the greatest value in college football comes mid season when early season perceptions don't evolve. Stanford is another example of a team that needs
to be re valued mid season.

23 is a lot of points to give on the road. I'd buy Stanford down to -17 vs OSST even though I believe they cover 23. Stanford will out rush OSST at home and score more then 27. That gives them 80% of covering vs OSST. I like 100% so buy that game down to 17 and hoist a cold on for the Codebreaker.cheersgif
 

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Pitt -3 vs UVA. at home. UVA is not a good team on the road. Pitt is not a good team period. But in week 9 traveling really begins to suck.
UVa won't score more then 27 and will not out rush Pitt. Their odds of covering drops to 20%. Since it's only 3 points Pitt is favored to cover by 80%
that means 7-14 points in my book. Not my favorite game but I did have BC over UVA last week that worked.

IND -4.5 over MD. Ind will score over 27 at MD and will out rush the Terps. Ind reminds me of NCST tough hard working blue collar team
Ind will show up to play this game and that is all that's needed to pay us in this one.

TCU -6.5 at ISU. TCU is well coached and will bring it's D on the road. While not Clemsons front 7 TCU is not far off. ISU will not score
more then 27 or out rush TCU. I see a 30+ TCU points and only 14 from ISU. The books should have this number closer to 17 but they would get raped if they did that.

Purdue -5.5 vs Neb. Neb is a game Purdue wants badly. Neb is a dumpster fire and Purdue wants to pee on it. I see PU routing NEB
perhaps Ruts is in order. Do it now while they can Neb will break the bank to get tier 1 winner in that program.

My final list will be out on Friday these are just a few thoughts
 

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