Wednesday 10/25/17 ... Comps / Bonus Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Requests Etc.

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Soccer

Italy – Serie A

12:30pm ET

Atalanta v Verona

Last Head-To-Heads at Atalanta:
1-1
0-0
1-2 (Verona win)
1-0 (Atalanta win)

Recent Form:
Atalanta: 2-1-3
Verona: 1-3-2

KEY STAT: Atalanta have earned ten of their 12 points at home this season

EXPERT VERDICT: Atalanta have had a tough set of early fixtures, losing at Napoli and Sampdoria, going down 1-0 at home to Roma, and holding champions Juventus to a 2-2 draw. Things should get easier with the visit of struggling Verona, who have conceded 19 goals in nine Serie A matches and look set for more disappointment.

RECOMMENDATION: Atalanta-Atalanta Double Result (2)
 

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Soccer

Germany – Cup

2:45pm ET

RB Leipzig v Bayern Munich

Last Head-To-Heads at Leipzig:
4-5 (Bayern Munich win)

Recent Form:
Leipzig: 5-1
Bayern Munich: 3-1-2

KEY STAT: Both teams have scored in five of Leipzig's six home games in all competitions

EXPERT VERDICT: RB Leipzig and Bayern Munich meet twice this week and they should whet the appetite for Saturday's Bundesliga clash with an entertaining German Cup tie. Leipzig are just a point behind Bayern in the league after four straight wins, including a 3-2 victory at Borussia Dortmund, and they can contribute to an exciting cup clash.

RECOMMENDATION: Both Teams to Score (2)
 

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Soccer

Italy – Serie A

2:45pm ET

Juventus v Spal

Last Head-to-Heads at Juventus:
None

Recent Form:
Juventus: 4-1-1
Spal: 0-5-1

KEY STAT: Spal have been losing at half-time in five of their last seven games

EXPERT VERDICT: Juventus shrugged off an early red card for Mario Mandzukic to win 6-2 at Udinese on Sunday and that result spells trouble for struggling Spal. The promoted side haven't been blown away in defeats to Napoli (3-2) and the two Milan clubs (both 2-0) but heading to Juve after a run of six losses in seven games is far from ideal.

RECOMMENDATION: Juventus to win 3-0 (1)
 

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Soccer

England – EFL Cup

3pm ET

Tottenham v West Ham

Referee: Mike Dean

Last Head-To-Heads at Tottenham:
3-2 (Tottenham win)
4-1 (Tottenham win)
2-2
1-2 (West Ham win)

Recent Form:
Tottenham: 5-0-1
West Ham: 2-2-2

KEY STAT: West Ham have only once lost by more than one goal in 11 meetings with Spurs

EXPERT VERDICT: The League Cup is a low priority for Tottenham, who face Manchester United, Real Madrid, Arsenal and Dortmund in the next four weeks, so expect a patched-up Spurs line-up that is suffering from injuries anyway. A fully focused West Ham side, who have had two days of extra rest, will sniff a chance and could land an upset at Wembley.

RECOMMENDATION: West Ham (2)
 

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Rick Needham at Belmont Park

RACE #8 - BELMONT PARK - 4:46 PM EASTERN POST
6½ FURLONGS DIRT FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD $62,500.00 OPTIONAL CLAIMING $80,000.00 PURSE

#1 YOUR LOVE
#3 FELINI
#4 LITTLEMISSBUSINESS
#2 ROYAL INHERITANCE

#1 YOUR LOVE takes a class drop (-8), is the overall speed leader in this O.C. field sprinting at, or about, today's distance of 6½ furlongs on the dirt, and has hit the board in "POWER RUN FASHION" in three of her four career starts to date, including back-to-back "POWER RUN FASHION" in both of her first two outings. Jockey Irad Ortiz and Trainer Chad Brown send her to the post ... they've hit the board with an impressive, 65% of more than 160 entries saddled as a team to date. #3 FELINI has hit the board in "POWER RUN FASHION" in both of her last two outings, including a BLISTERING, 19-length, "POWER RUN WINS" in her 2nd race back.
 

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The Walker Group at Delta Downs
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 8 - Allowance - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $30000 Class Rating: 88

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER OR TRIAL OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JULY 25, 2017 ALLOWED 3 LBS.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 12 ROCKETRINGO 6/1

# 3 CHIA GHOST 12/1

# 4 FIRE BLASTER 6/1

ROCKETRINGO is tough to overlook as the wager in here. CHIA GHOST - Must be given a chance given the class of races run recently. He has to be given a shot given the formidable speed figs. FIRE BLASTER - As of late Ramirez has provided wagerers with a very good winning percentage with horses travelling in dirt sprint races. Had one of the best Equibase Speed Figs of this group in his last outing.
 

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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Evangeline Downs

Evangeline Downs - Race 6

Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Pick 3 (Races 6-7-8) Pick 4 (Races 6-7-8-9)


Claiming $3,500 • 300 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 74 • Purse: $8,500 • Post: 7:40P
QUARTER HORSE 300Y, FOR ACCREDITED LA BRED THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $3,500.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * KUTE N KWIK: Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. JOEJOES L OADED: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. JW WHO DAT: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designatio n and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
5
KING CASADY
8/1

5/1
8
KUTE N KWIK
4/1

6/1
4
JOEJOES LOADED
2/1

7/1
6
JW WHO DAT
6/1

7/1
 

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The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Gulfstream Park West - Race #7 - Post: 4:35pm - Maiden Special - 8.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $50,000 Class Rating: 74

Rating: 4

#5 KATHY'S CLOWN (ML=3/1)


KATHY'S CLOWN - This horse could be close at the end. She's got a great late kick. Running 1 1/16 miles on the grass, you've have to look at horse's turf figures. This thoroughbred has the tops in the bunch. Biancone adds Lasix for the 2nd time today. Certainly could make the difference right here. This horse has a lot of class. A good sign in a race on the grass like we have today.

Vulnerable Contenders: #8 WICKED OBSESSION (ML=5/2), #4 MY FAVORITE GIFT (ML=7/2),

WICKED OBSESSION - Should be difficult for this thoroughbred to beat this bunch off of that last speed figure. Doubtful to improve enough to run a figure close enough to today's class rating, so put her on the likely underlays list. MY FAVORITE GIFT - Would be taking an underlay on this thoroughbred at the probable odds of 7/2.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - KATHY'S CLOWN - Having the best speed fig last race of 83 at Gulfstream Park on September 3rd. This filly has an excellent chance to win here.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#5 KATHY'S CLOWN is going to be the play if we are getting 1/1 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
5 with [7,10]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

SUPER HI 5 WAGERS:
Pass
 

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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Mountaineer Park

Mountaineer Park - Race 8

First Half $2 Late Daily Double (Races 8 &9) $2 Trifecta $2 Exacta $1 Trifecta Box $1 Exacta Box ($.50) Superfecta


Allowance • 1 Mile 70 yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 90 • Purse: $20,700 • Post: 9:34P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE SEPTEMBER 25 ALLOWED 3 LBS. (CLAIMING RACES FOR $15,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ESTIMATING ALLOWANCES)(W V A BRED RACES NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY).
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Lone Trailer. UNCLE JACK is the Lone Trailer of the race. * KEY ANGLES * SORCERER'S PRINCE: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. OBVIOUS ONE: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/s urface. ROCKET ROAD: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. UNCLE JACK: Today is a route and this is the horse's third start after a layoff, after two sprint prep races. SUPER BEAU: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 d ays.
6
SORCERER'S PRINCE
7/5

9/2
2
OBVIOUS ONE
2/1

6/1
4
ROCKET ROAD
8/1

8/1
1
UNCLE JACK
7/2

10/1
5
SUPER BEAU
12/1

10/1
 

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The Walker Group at Thistledown
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 5 - SO - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $15200 Class Rating: 97

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $4,000 OR LESS IN 2016 - 2017 OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $7,500. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES SINCE SEPTEMBER 25 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE THEN ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500 (OHIO


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 3 SAMBUCCA STEVE 6/1

# 2 SUN MAGIC 3/1

# 6 W W CONCERTO 6/1

SAMBUCCA STEVE is the strongest bet in this race. This gelding has posted some nice finishing positions in his last several efforts. Has to be carefully examined against this group displaying solid figures recently and an average speed rating of 82 under similar conditions. Has strong front-end speed and should fare very well versus this group of animals. SUN MAGIC - Has respectable Equibase Speed Figures and has to be considered for a bet here. Trainer boasts strong win figures at this distance and surface. W W CONCERTO - Looks respectable for the conditions of this outing today, showing solid figures in dirt sprint races recently.
 

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The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Woodbine - Race #6 - Post: 9:10pm - Claiming - 5.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $20,000 Class Rating: 76

Rating: 4

#11 CANDY PHIL (ML=8/1)
#5 ARTILLIA (ML=3/1)
#3 MADAME GIZMO (ML=4/1)


CANDY PHIL - When this jock and trainer join forces you have to take a look. Wilson and Buttigieg have been wonderful together. Lets try to beat the chalk with this filly. Just missed last out, but ran a decent race. ARTILLIA - This jock/trainer duo has been producing a very beneficial ROI, right at +33. This filly should be in fine condition, this far into her form cycle. This filly's last speed fig is good enough to score here, I'll bet on her back again this time. MADAME GIZMO - It looks like Moreno had to learn about this filly on September 16th when riding her for the first time. Back on board again today. Likes to go to the front and the fact that today is a shorter trip should be favorable. Faced tougher last out at Woodbine. Based on Equibase class ratings, this is a weaker bunch, so I will put this thoroughbred on my list of top contenders.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 BOURBON BABE (ML=5/1), #9 SHEZ A TEN I KNOW (ML=6/1),

BOURBON BABE - The lack of works has to make one concerned despite the nice performance in the last race. Finished second in her most recent effort with a somewhat easily forgotten speed rating. When I look at today's class figure, it would take an improved performance to score after that in this field. SHEZ A TEN I KNOW - In the last affair this racer finished sixth. Doesn't look good for her chances in today's event.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#11 CANDY PHIL to win at post-time odds of 3/1 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [5,11] Box [3,11]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [3,5,11] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
[3,5,11] with [3,5,11] with [3,4,5,7,11] with [3,4,5,7,11] Total Cost: $36
 

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