UFC 217 Betting thread

exploited17 · Oct 30, 2017

This is a huge card betting wise for me. So, any fight on the card anyone wants to talk about please do so. Opinions on fight.....lines.....who you are taking..... why..... how much.... or whatever. Every single fight on the card open for debate

Bisping even .....I am definitely taking big
Garbrandt -185 I plan on taking. Don't like the line going up though. May just parlay with Bisping
Masvidal +135 small play

Interesting lines Rose +410. If she can get Joanna to the ground a submision is possible. JJ can't finish anyone
Hendricks +190. Is it worth a shot?
No other lines are available yet from what I see. But there are some matchups I could be interested in.

Will discuss specifics and more a bit later. Opinions appreciated

RunMaker · Oct 31, 2017

My UFC picks are below 500 (just being honest), but I agree with Bisping, Garb and Masvidal. Actually, Masv could go either way but I'd lean Masvidal. I prefer Wonder to win, however.

GSP almost got knocked out cold by a 5'6" guy. Do you think a 5'6" guy could do that to Bisping? That's erroneous MMA math, but I don't see how Serra could ever knock out Bisping in a million years.

If you want to see a homosexual hairdresser analyze a fight, here is a video (LOL):

Maybe I'm from the pre-fruitcake generation, but doesn't it look like Robin Black is one fruity T-shirt away from a train ticket to Elton John and Kevin Spacey's house?

RunMaker · Oct 31, 2017

One of the youtube comments:

Ive never seen someone talk so much but say absolutely nothing.

More:

Im a fan but this had no substance.

exploited17 · Nov 4, 2017

Well...it is time
Officially made two big bets on Bisping and Garbrandt.
Small on Masvidal.
Left it at that
Interesting to note that both line moves went in the direction of money on Garbrandt and Bisping
Also...........lines that have moved up or down for fighters......Trying to see if the pattern works out.

Wonderboy
Pauolo
Duffy
Gall

RunMaker · Nov 4, 2017

So excited about this card.

My UFC picks are trending from 100% wrong to 98% wrong, lol... but I would think that Bisping > GSP is one of the bets of the year.

I think Bisping's blows will eventually put GSP out. He could crush him in Round 1 or 2, but if that doesn't happen I think GSP will get worn down over the course of the fight and the cumulative heavy blows will be too much for him.

RunMaker · Nov 4, 2017

I was thinking that Masvidal may be subject to the law of recency. He has been hyped up and has a name now, but the guy has a shitload of losses. He's never managed more than 3 wins in a row against the top level competition. He blasted Cerrone, but everyone has taken a dump on Cerrone during his decilne. The Ellenberger win wasn't that impressive, and Ellenberger got his toe caught in the cage. Before that he beat Ross Pearson via decision. Prior to that, back to back losses to Larkin and Henderson.

Then he's got 4 wins in 2014 and 2015 .... Ferreira, Krause, Cruickshank and Healy.

Who has he really beat? He's 7-5 going back to 2013. And he's a title contender?

He's only got 3 KO/TKO finishes in his last 21 fights. I'm thinking that if he doesn't finish Thompson, then he'll lose by decision.

Things change fast, but if Masvidal doesn't win here... then he'll be going into his next fight for a potential 3-match losing streak. And I don't think they'll give him a low-ranked guy. He could go from relevant to irrelevant real fast.

PatsFan1283 · Nov 4, 2017

We'll find out soon enough if George has ring rust or not but he definitely looked like a healthy 185er at the weigh in. Looked like he got on that good GH for this fight.

Bisping stayed on his feet 6 years ago against a roided up Chael in his prime who was a beast wrestler at 185 so it's hard to see GSP just LnP'ing him like he's known for but he definitely did not look like he is going to be at much of a physical disadvantage in this fight if the weigh in is any indication.

Line currently -110 both sides. Should be interesting.

Mobdeeper7239 · Nov 4, 2017

Masvidal and Garbrandt were two of my favorite fighters couple yrs ago.....glad they are getting shine.

Cody garbrandt is a G.

Mobdeeper7239 · Nov 4, 2017

Garbrandt hasn't fought in so long it feels like. But he should still take care of biz. I think it's a good fight. Garbrandt wins in the later rounds imo. 4th rd tko