Tuesday 10/31/17 ... Comps / Bonus Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Requests Etc.

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Soccer

UEFA Champions League

3:45pm ET

Celtic v Bayern Munich

Referee: Danny Makkelie

Last Head-To-Heads at Celtic:
0-0

Recent Form:
Celtic: 3-1-2
Bayern Munich: 4-0-2

KEY STAT: Bayern Munich have won two of their last nine Champions League away games

EXPERT VERDICT: Celtic were swept aside by giants Bayern Munich at the Allianz Arena but the Germans are not as devastating on their travels and that offers hope for Brendan Rodgers’s men. Bayern’s class should still tell but they have dropped points at Hoffenheim and Hertha and were crushed 3-0 on their trip to PSG.

RECOMMENDATION: Bayern Munich to win 2-1 (1)
 

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Soccer

UEFA Champions League

3:45pm ET

Manchester United v Benfica

Referee: Gediminas Mazeika

Last Head-To-Heads at Manchester United:
2-2
3-1 (Manchester United win)
2-1 (Manchester United win)
4-1 (Manchester United win)

Recent Form:
Manchester United: 4-1-1
Benfica: 3-2-1

KEY STAT: Benfica didn’t have a shot on goal in the 1-0 loss to United

EXPERT VERDICT: Manchester United were 1-0 victors at Benfica and can repeat the defensive masterclass by shutting out their Portuguese visitors at Old Trafford. The hosts have shipped just once at Old Trafford this season and can outclass Benfica, who were thumped 5-0 at Basel and are stalling in their title defence.

RECOMMENDATION: Manchester United to win 2-0 (1)
 

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Soccer

UEFA Champions League

3:45pm ET


Roma v Chelsea

Referee: Jonas Eriksson

Last Head-To-Heads at Roma:
3-1 (Roma win)
0-0

Recent Form:
Roma: 4-1-1
Chelsea: 3-2-1

KEY STAT: Chelsea have conceded in seven of their last eight matches

EXPERT VERDICT: Chelsea and Roma shared the spoils in a six-goal thriller when they clashed at Stamford Bridge a fortnight ago and the reverse fixture in the Italian capital should deliver another pulsating affair. Roma had fought back from two goals down to take a deserved lead before Eden Hazard came to the rescue and it is only logical to expect goals at both ends again.


RECOMMENDATION: Both Teams to Score (3)
 

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Valuline at Finger Lakes

Today's Most Likely Winner Is at:
Finger Lakes, Race 5 (Tuesday October 31, 2017)

THE RHYTHMISRIGHT
(For ten of today's most likely winners, see Exotic Key Plays.)

FL-5 6f DIRT Seven Horses
"A" CLM 5,000 3YUP $9,000
P# dd ex p4 t s ML WP TVL

4 THE RHYTHMISRIGHT 7/5 38% 8/5 Strong Favorite icon
1 e-SOUTHERN ROCKET 5/2 33% 2/1
 

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The Walker Group at Finger Lakes

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 6 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $10500 Class Rating: 89

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE APRIL 30. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $6,500


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 3 POSSILICIOUS 2/1

# 7 CHUBBY MASTER 5/1

# 5 B E BOSTON STRONG 5/2

POSSILICIOUS is my choice. Ought to be used in the exotic bets. This gelding has to be given consideration just off the earnings per start in dirt sprint races alone. With a reliable jockey who has won at a very strong 34 percent clip over the last month. This has to be one of the top choices. CHUBBY MASTER - With a formidable 80 average speed figure at the distance, seems well suited for today's race. Had one of the most favorable Equibase Speed Figures of this group in his last race. B E BOSTON STRONG - Looks competitive for the conditions of this affair today, showing solid numbers in dirt sprint races lately. Posted a very strong speed figure last time out.
 

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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Mountaineer Park

Mountaineer Park - Race 3

$1 Pick 3 (Races 3-4-5) $2 Trifecta $2 Exacta $1 Trifecta Box $1 Exacta Box ($.50) Superfecta


Claiming $5,000 • 5 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 75 • Purse: $6,200 • Post: 7:44P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 30 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000 (W V A BRED RACES NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY).
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. KNIGHT LITE is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * KNIGHT LITE: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Today is a sprint and the hors e is carrying at least 120 lbs. ASCANIUS: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/su rface.
6
KNIGHT LITE
3/1

5/2
5
ASCANIUS
4/1

4/1
 

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The Walker Group at Mahoning Valley Race Course

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 4 - Maiden Special Weight - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $28500 Class Rating: 55

FOR REGISTERED OHIO BRED MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 122 LBS.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 1 LAISSEZ FAIRE 4/1

# 3 WIDE OPEN 6/1

# 2B MARLA DUNNIT 2/5

LAISSEZ FAIRE is my choice. She has quite good class ratings, averaging 56, and has to be given a chance in this race. Rodriguez has been hot the last month, winning at a nifty 15 percent rate. WIDE OPEN - With Houghton in the saddle guiding her, this filly ought to be able to break out early in this event. Always difficult to beat Gorham and Houghton working together, winning 17 percent of their races. MARLA DUNNIT - Should be carefully examined in here if only for the decent Equibase Speed Figure put up in the last affair. With a nice class fig average of 57, has one of the strongest class advantages in this group.
 

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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Parx Racing

Parx Racing - Race 10

Second Half Daily Double / Exacta / 50 cent Trifecta / 10 cent Superfecta


Claiming $7,500 • 1 Mile • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 67 • Purse: $22,000 • Post: 4:58P
(PLUS UP TO 40% PABF) FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT ONE MILE OR OVER SINCE SEPTEMBER 30 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Paceless Race. There is no true early speed in this race. * KEY ANGLES * TIZ MADNESS: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. GLAMOUR QUEEN: Horse ha s run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. GRANDE BESO: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distan ce (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race). PRETTY VENEZUELA: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
3
TIZ MADNESS
8/5

7/2
6
GLAMOUR QUEEN
15/1

7/1
12
GRANDE BESO
20/1

8/1
8
PRETTY VENEZUELA
9/2

9/1
 

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The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Turf Paradise - Race #7 - Post: 3:51pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $8,000 Class Rating: 73

Rating: 4

#9 HENNESSY STORM (ML=5/2)


HENNESSY STORM - Owns the highest speed figure on the turf at this distance. The August 16th affair at Del Mar was at a class level of (88). Dropping to a lower level considerably, so she should be in a good spot. When I handicap a race on the turf, I think sometimes class ratings are more important than speed figs. This horse has the highest average class in the entire field.

Vulnerable Contenders: #6 NOON (ML=3/1), #11 C J KNOWS BEST (ML=7/2), #4 PORT ELIZABETH (ML=4/1),

NOON - I just don't have a 'use' vibe about this steed in this clash. C J KNOWS BEST - Last performed on October 9th at Fresno, finishing fourth. Unlikely to get better off of that outing in today's event. Don't think this entrant will make an impact today. That last speed fig was somewhat easily forgotten when compared with today's Equibase class figure. PORT ELIZABETH - You always believe this animal has a shot to win, but she comes up short most of the time.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#9 HENNESSY STORM is going to be the play if we are getting 1/1 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
9 with [4,11]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip
 

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The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Zia Park - Race #9 - Post: 3:46pm - Maiden Special - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $23,000 Class Rating: 62

Rating: 4

#1 IZE DISCREET ROSE (ML=2/1)


IZE DISCREET ROSE - The jockey and handler combination here have a high win percent when they combine forces.

Vulnerable Contenders: #8 BLAMED (ML=8/5), #4 LOVABLE LILLY (ML=4/1), #2 BRANDY NIGHT (ML=8/1),

BLAMED - Ran irregularly on Sep 11th. Be leery this time out. LOVABLE LILLY - Hasn't been close to winning at all recently. BRANDY NIGHT - The finish of sixth in the last race shows me that this animal may be going out of form. In any race of 6 furlongs, I like to play a contender that has been looking good in short distance contests recently.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: The Brain - IZE DISCREET ROSE - Trainer (Arnett) dropped this racer last race out, and keeps her at the same class today. Based on my data, this class suits her well.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Play #1 IZE DISCREET ROSE to win if you can get odds of 1/1 or more

EXACTA WAGERS:
1 with [2,4]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass
 

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