NFL Football Week 10
Alright here is a system I’ve been working on (since nothing else seems to work for me right now) for a while. I have created some defensive ratings for teams in their last three games (mostly) and combined other factors. Based on these defensive ratings I have picked the winners of the games with a spread of -7 or less and picked a winner using the ratings. Also tracking these for CFB this week, those can be found here: http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=1097089 The LOWER the rating the better First the ratings and then the picks:
Defensive Probability Ratings (3 Games)
1. New Orleans 1.14
2. Jacksonville 1.21
3. Minnesota 1.53
4. Atlanta 2.02
5. San Francisco 2.10
6. Chicago 2.12
7. LA Chargers 2.21
8. Tampa Bay 2.24
9. Washington 2.24
10. Dallas 2.26
11. Seattle 2.30
12. Tennessee 2.33
13. Cincinnati 2.48
14. NY Jets 2.65
15. Buffalo 2.76
16. Arizona 2.79
17. Green Bay 3.05
18. NY Giants 3.33
The plays for Week 10 will be ranked based on “defensive differential” according to these rankings.
PLAYS THIS WEEK
New Orleans -2.5 (14) **TOP RATED PLAY***
San Francisco +2.5 (13)
Chicago -5.5 (9)
Tampa Bay +2.5 (6)
Minnesota -1.5 (6)
Atlanta -3 (6)
Seattle -6 (5)
Jacksonville -3.5 (5)
Tennessee -4.5 (1) ***LOWEST RATED PLAY***
Let's see how this goes, GOOD LUCK TO ALL!
:toast:
Alright here is a system I’ve been working on (since nothing else seems to work for me right now) for a while. I have created some defensive ratings for teams in their last three games (mostly) and combined other factors. Based on these defensive ratings I have picked the winners of the games with a spread of -7 or less and picked a winner using the ratings. Also tracking these for CFB this week, those can be found here: http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=1097089 The LOWER the rating the better First the ratings and then the picks:
Defensive Probability Ratings (3 Games)
1. New Orleans 1.14
2. Jacksonville 1.21
3. Minnesota 1.53
4. Atlanta 2.02
5. San Francisco 2.10
6. Chicago 2.12
7. LA Chargers 2.21
8. Tampa Bay 2.24
9. Washington 2.24
10. Dallas 2.26
11. Seattle 2.30
12. Tennessee 2.33
13. Cincinnati 2.48
14. NY Jets 2.65
15. Buffalo 2.76
16. Arizona 2.79
17. Green Bay 3.05
18. NY Giants 3.33
The plays for Week 10 will be ranked based on “defensive differential” according to these rankings.
PLAYS THIS WEEK
New Orleans -2.5 (14) **TOP RATED PLAY***
San Francisco +2.5 (13)
Chicago -5.5 (9)
Tampa Bay +2.5 (6)
Minnesota -1.5 (6)
Atlanta -3 (6)
Seattle -6 (5)
Jacksonville -3.5 (5)
Tennessee -4.5 (1) ***LOWEST RATED PLAY***
Let's see how this goes, GOOD LUCK TO ALL!
:toast:
