Tuesday 11/14/17 ... Comps / Bonus Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Requests Etc.

Pesos · Nov 14, 2017

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Pesos · Nov 14, 2017

Soccer

World Cup

2:45pm ET

Wales v Panama

Referee: Bart Vertenten

Last Head-to-Heads in Wales:
none

Recent Form:
Wales: 3-2-1
Panama: 3-3

KEY STAT: All of Wales's last nine games have featured less than three goals

EXPERT VERDICT: Wales are still coming to terms with their failure to qualify for Russia 2018 and may have to settle for a draw against Panama, who are seven months away from making their first ever appearance at a World Cup. Chris Coleman's side were toothless in a 2-0 loss to France in Paris on Friday and may lack potency once again with Gareth Bale on the sidelines.

RECOMMENDATION: Draw (1)

Pesos · Nov 14, 2017

Soccer

World Cup

2:45pm ET

Ireland v Denmark

Referee: Szymon Marciniak

Last Head-to-Heads in Ireland:
3-0 (Ireland win)
1-1
1-4 (Denmark win)
2-0 (Ireland win)

Recent Form:
Ireland: 2-1-3
Denmark: 4-0-2

KEY STAT: Ireland have kept clean sheets in four of their last five matches against Denmark

EXPERT VERDICT: Ireland carried out a successful containment operation in Copenhagen on Saturday and and likely to employ similar tactics in Dublin as they battle with Denmark for a place at Russia 2018. Denmark are still in a decent position having not conceded an away goal but they face another war of attrition against a dogged, well-drilled Irish side.

RECOMMENDATION: No Goalscorer (1)

Pesos · Nov 14, 2017

Soccer

International-friendly

2:45pm ET

Germany v France

Last Head-to-Heads in Germany:
0-2 (France win)
1-2 (France win)
0-3 (France win)
0-1 (France win)

Recent Form:
Germany: 5-0-1
France: 5-0-1

KEY STAT: France have kept clean sheets in four of their last five fixtures

EXPERT VERDICT: Germany faded in the second half of their 0-0 draw at Wembley and will need to be better if they are to avoid a loss to France in Cologne. Joachim Low's side are likely to have plenty of the ball but they might be exposed on the counter-attack by a pacy France attack that possesses so many star options

RECOMMENDATION: France (1)

Pesos · Nov 14, 2017

Soccer

International-friendly

3pm ET

England v Brazil

Last Head-to-Heads in England:
2-1 (England win)
1-1
1-2 (Brazil win)
1-1

Recent Form:
England: 4-1-1
Brazil: 4-0-2

KEY STAT: Brazil have lost one of their last 16 matches

EXPERT VERDICT: Gareth Southgate was pleased with England's hard-earned 0-0 draw against Germany on Friday but may have to digest a friendly defeat against Brazil. A combination of excellent goalkeeping from Jordan Pickford and poor finishing let England off the hook against the Germans but Brazil – spearheaded by Gabriel Jesus and Neymar – are likely to be more ruthless.

RECOMMENDATION: Brazil (2)

Pesos · Nov 14, 2017

The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Gulfstream Park West - Race #6 - Post: 3:05pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $21,000 Class Rating: 83

Rating: 3

#5 PARTY TARDE (ML=10/1)
#4 COTTON TOOYAH (ML=6/1)
#3 UNO DUDE (ML=4/1)

PARTY TARDE - That 81 fig this filly garnered in her last affair tells me she's a main player this time out. This filly is in fine form. Ran first on October 18th. COTTON TOOYAH - Was in a $30,000 Claiming race at Gulfstream Park West last out. That event had a class number of 88 and she is moving down in this event. A certain serious competitor. I think this filly is ready to run a good one. She's had enough outings since the vacation and should be fit. Don't throw this horse out due to her last event at Gulfstream Park West where she ended up fifth on a sloppy track. Should improve this time around. UNO DUDE - Was in a $16,000 Claiming race at Belmont Park last out. That event had a class rating of 88 and she is moving down today. A certain solid contender. Another way to identify class is EPS (earnings per start). This horse has the topmost in the group. I think she'll be close at the finish line.

Vulnerable Contenders: #7 SHE'S SPOILED (ML=3/1), #1 GRAYCIEZ SPIRIT (ML=7/2), #6 LIZA STAR (ML=5/1),

SHE'S SPOILED - 3/1 odds isn't enough for this entrant when checking the most recent showings. Can't wager on this racer in today's sprint of 6 furlongs. Hasn't even finished in the money in a sprint event of late. GRAYCIEZ SPIRIT - Difficult to bet on any animal to turn things around if there is no value to taking the shot. Finished sixth in her most recent performance with a substandard speed figure. When I look at today's class figure, it would take an improved performance to win after that in this field. LIZA STAR - She showed not much at all in the last contest. This filly garnered a speed fig in her last race which likely isn't good enough today.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Putting our cash on #5 PARTY TARDE to win. Have to have odds of at least 4/1 or better though

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [3,4,5]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [3,4,5] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

SUPER HI 5 WAGERS:
Pass

Pesos · Nov 14, 2017

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Mountaineer Park

Mountaineer Park - Race 2

Second Half $2 Early Daily Double (Races 1 &2) ($.50) Pick 4 (Races 2-3-4-5) $2 Trifecta $2 Exacta $1 Trifecta Box $1 Exacta Box ($.50) Superfecta

Claiming $5,000 • 5 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 74 • Purse: $6,200 • Post: 7:22P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 14 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000 (W V A BRED RACES NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY).
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds

Race Type: Dominant Trailer. CRAFTY COLONEL is the Dominant Trailer of the race. * KEY ANGLES * CRAFTY COLONEL: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Today is a sprint and the horse is carrying at least 120 lbs.
2
CRAFTY COLONEL
8/1

8/5

P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
9
COWBOY CHEYENNE
9

6/1
Front-runner
72

63

93.8

55.2

48.2
5
ASCANIUS
5

3/1
Front-runner
75

70

67.6

65.4

60.4
1
ABOVE ALL ODDS
1

5/2
Front-runner
66

69

66.2

44.0

34.0
3
QUICK AND FURIOUS
3

6/1
Front-runner
57

62

58.8

51.2

36.2
4
COULD IT BE ME
4

6/1
Alternator/Front-runner
66

63

70.2

57.4

49.9
2
CRAFTY COLONEL
2

8/1
Alternator/Trailer
93

86

101.6

68.2

60.7
8
SUMDIVO
8

30/1
Alternator/Non-contender
79

66

64.4

43.6

26.6
6
NICKEL BRED
6

12/1
Alternator/Non-contender
74

60

61.8

53.8

40.8
7
CAUTION HIGH WATER
7

8/1
Alternator/Non-contender
72

61

48.4

54.6

47.6

Pesos · Nov 14, 2017

The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Mountaineer Park - Race #2 - Post: 7:22pm - Claiming - 5.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $6,200 Class Rating: 74

Rating: 4

#1 ABOVE ALL ODDS (ML=5/2)

ABOVE ALL ODDS - He must like the track here. He just won over the track after shipping in. Gonzalez rode this horse for the first time in the last race and comes right back today. When a sprinter is back in a race less than 10 days after his last outing, it generally means he's fit. I think the shorter trip will help this gelding stay the trip. That was a powerful win last time out. In my opinion has a good chance to repeat today.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 ASCANIUS (ML=3/1), #3 QUICK AND FURIOUS (ML=6/1), #9 COWBOY CHEYENNE (ML=6/1),

ASCANIUS - Tough to keep chasing this sort of 'bridesmaid' horse. The speed fig last time out doesn't fit very well in this clash when I look at the class rating of today's event. Mark this thoroughbred as a questionable contender. QUICK AND FURIOUS - In any race of 5 furlongs, I like to back a contender that has been sharp in short distance contests recently. This gelding hasn't been showing me anything positive in the last two races around the track. COWBOY CHEYENNE - Unlikely that the speed rating he notched on October 17th will be good enough in this race.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - ABOVE ALL ODDS - This gelding has the top speed figure last race with a very good 76. He is the top wager here.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Have to go with #1 ABOVE ALL ODDS on the win end if we get at least 1/1 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
1 with 3

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None

Pesos · Nov 14, 2017

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Mahoning Valley Race Course

Mahoning Valley Race Course - Race 3

Exacta / 50 cent Trifecta / 10 cent Superfecta 20 cent Buckeye Pick 6 (Races 3-8)

Maiden Claiming $5,000 • 1 Mile • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 61 • Purse: $9,000 • Post: 1:40P
FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000 (OHIO REGISTERED FOALS PREFERRED).
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds

Race Type: Lone Front-runner. CAVE WOLF is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * CAVE WOLF: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. LOUIE'S HIGHWAY: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. PRADOREY: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
5
CAVE WOLF
5/2

3/1
7
LOUIE'S HIGHWAY
6/1

8/1
1
PRADOREY
10/1

8/1

P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
5
CAVE WOLF
5

5/2
Front-runner
62

64

37.0

60.7

57.7
4
HAT IN HAND
4

5/1
Alternator/Stalker
64

51

62.0

44.8

37.3
2
BATTLE CROSSING
2

12/1
Alternator/Stalker
63

48

46.2

28.8

15.3
1
PRADOREY
1

10/1
Alternator/Trailer
63

61

78.8

39.9

33.4
7
LOUIE'S HIGHWAY
7

6/1
Alternator/Trailer
68

59

56.8

37.3

29.8
9
TOUCH OF MIDAS
9

20/1
Alternator/Trailer
63

51

33.6

39.8

27.3
6
STORM BOURNE
6

10/1
Alternator/Non-contender
0

0

52.9

36.3

26.3
8
MY LAST SECRET
8

3/1
Alternator/Non-contender
47

47

43.3

37.2

25.2
3
MCSTUFFINS
3

20/1
Alternator/Non-contender
0

0

14.2

14.2

0.0

Pesos · Nov 14, 2017

The Walker Group at Parx Racing

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 5 - Maiden Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $19000 Class Rating: 68

FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 11 EMOTICON 3/1

# 10 BLYDE RIVER 9/2

# 4 PARTNER'S POWER 8/1

EMOTICON is my choice. Should expect a sound attempt with the class drop. This pony is at the top in this group of horses in this race in earnings per start at the distance/surface. Lake has this colt racing well and is a very good selection based on the quite good Equibase speed figs garnered in route races recently. BLYDE RIVER - He has earned very strong figs under today's conditions and should fare well versus this group. Should definitely be carefully examined for this event if only for the quite good Equibase Speed Fig posted in the last competition. PARTNER'S POWER - Should be given a chance based on the very good speed fig put up in the last race.

Pesos · Nov 14, 2017

The Walker Group at Turf Paradise

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 6 - Maiden Claiming - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $6300 Class Rating: 63

FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 7 MOONLIGHT TA KELA 5/2

# 8 TIMBER CRUISER 2/1

# 2 ATSINA WARRIOR 4/1

My pick for this event is MOONLIGHT TA KELA. The speed figure of 57 from his last race looks quite good in here. Wagerers get an edge when playing this conditioner in a dirt sprint race. His 52 average has this gelding with among the best Equibase speed figs for this event. TIMBER CRUISER - Has been running solidly lately and ought to be up near the front end early on. Difficult to pass on this gelding with Ramgeet in the irons. ATSINA WARRIOR - Overall the speed figures of this racer look strong in this contest. Earned a solid Equibase Speed Figure in the most recent race. Can run another good one in this race.

Pesos · Nov 14, 2017

Valuline at Zia Park

Today's Most Likely Winner Is at:
Zia Park, Race 4 (Tuesday November 14, 2017)

ELEUTHEROS
(For ten of today's most likely winners, see Exotic Key Plays.)

ZIA-4 6f DIRT Eight Horses
"A" CLM 5,000 3YUP $9,000
P# ex p3 p4 t s ML WP TVL

4 ELEUTHEROS 7/5 36% 9/5 Strong Favorite icon
8 SLADENS DREAM 3/1 14% 6/1
1 WINE N DIVINE 8/1 13% 7/1
7 MO ED WHO 15/1 13% 7/1

Tuesday 11/14/17 ... Comps / Bonus Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Requests Etc.

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