Friday 11/24/17 ... Comps / Bonus Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Requests Etc.

Pesos · Nov 21, 2017

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Pesos · Nov 24, 2017

Soccer

Germany - Bundesliga

2:30pm ET

Hannover v Stuttgart

Last Head-to-Heads at Hannover:
1-0 (Hannover win)
1-3 (Stuttgart win)
1-1
0-0

Recent Form:
Hannover: 2-4
Stuttgart: 4-2

KEY STAT: Hannover have won two of their last nine matches

EXPERT VERDICT: Stuttgart are the only Bundesliga team without any points from their league travels but they can lose that unwanted status by holding Hannover to a draw at the HDI-Arena. Successive losses have seen Hannover slip from fourth to eighth and they should anticipate a tough match against Stuttgart, who have gained a lot of confidence from winning 2-1 at home to Borussia Dortmund.

RECOMMENDATION: Draw (1)

Pesos · Nov 24, 2017

Soccer

Spain - La Liga

3pm ET

Celta Vigo v Leganes

Last Head-to-Heads at Celta Vigo:
0-1 (Leganes win)
0-1 (Leganes win)

Recent Form:
Celta Vigo: 3-3
Leganes: 3-3

KEY STAT: Leganes have kept seven clean sheets in 12 league games this season

EXPERT VERDICT: Three defeats in four league games have dragged Celta Vigo into the bottom half and they may stay there after a home match with mid-table Leganes which could be heading for a stalemate. Leganes have lost three tough matches in succession but have the best defensive record among the teams outside the top four and can keep things tight.

RECOMMENDATION: Draw (1)

Pesos · Nov 24, 2017

Rick Needham at Aqueduct

RACE #8 - AQUEDUCT - 3:20 PM EASTERN POST
The Gio Ponti Stakes
8½ FURLONGS OUTER TURF THREE YEAR OLDS STAKES $150,000.00 PURSE

#2 SMALL BEAR
#5 HIEROGLYPHICS
#4 SECRETARY AT WAR
#6 DALARNA

This race is named for a horse given the name well-known Italian artist and architect ... Gio Ponti was the Champion Turf Horse in 2009 and 2010. He earned 6.1 million dollars in 28 starts, making him one of the richest Thoroughbreds in America of all time. Here in just the 2nd running of "The Ponti," #2 SMALL BEAR, a 5-1 shot on top folks, has hit the board in four of his last five outings, including a win in his 4th race back. #5 HIEROGLYPHICS, a 4-1 shot, has hit the board in four of his last five "adventures," including a trio of "POWER RUN WINS" being embedded in this recent streak of racing consistency.

Pesos · Nov 24, 2017

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Del Mar

Del Mar - Race 8

$1 Exacta / $2 Quinella / 50 Cent Trifecta $1 Superfecta (10-cent min.) / $1 Super High 5

Maiden Claiming $20,000 • 7 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 98 • Purse: $17,000 • Post: 4:00P
FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $20,000.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds

Race Type: Dominant Stalker. PSYCHEDELICAT is the Dominant Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * PSYCHEDELICAT: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a l ayoff. INHIBITION: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. SUPER DUPER COOPER: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
1
PSYCHEDELICAT
5/1

3/1
11
INHIBITION
7/2

7/1
9
SUPER DUPER COOPER
9/2

9/1

P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
1
PSYCHEDELICAT
1

5/1
Alternator/Stalker
96

94

80.8

89.2

85.7
9
SUPER DUPER COOPER
8

9/2
Alternator/Stalker
92

92

75.8

69.2

60.7
11
INHIBITION
10

7/2
Alternator/Stalker
88

87

63.2

81.0

75.0
2
IS TREVOR CLEVER
2

5/1
Alternator/Stalker
97

90

46.5

72.0

62.5
4
BARDSTOWN
4

3/1
Trailer
92

88

71.1

80.2

74.7
6
JAY MAKES US LAUGH
5

15/1
Trailer
75

61

48.1

54.3

34.3
7
UNNAMED SOURCE
6

30/1
Alternator/Non-contender
85

83

57.5

51.6

35.6
8
DOWNSIDE UP
7

12/1
Alternator/Non-contender
79

74

56.6

72.6

60.6
10
AIR FORCE CADET
9

20/1
Alternator/Non-contender
0

0

49.0

62.5

48.5
3
DRUM ROLL PLEASE
3

30/1
Alternator/Non-contender
91

87

30.8

64.4

49.4

Pesos · Nov 24, 2017

The Walker Group at Evangeline Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 2 - Trial - 400y on the Dirt. Purse: $5000 Class Rating: 87

QUARTER HORSE 400Y, FOR TWO YEAR OLDS QUARTER HORSES WHICH WERE NOMINATED AND REMAIN ELIGIBLE TO THE 2017 EVD FUTURITY. $600 TO ENTER TRIALS. ALL PAYMENTS MUST BE ON ACCOUNT WITH THE HORSEMENS BOOKKEEPER PRIOR TO 10:30 A.M. MORNING OF ENTRIES. SUPPLEMENTAL PAYMENTS OF $5,000 WILL BE ACCEPTED AT TIME OF ENTRY WHICH MUST BE PAID TO HORSEMEN'S BOOKKEEPER - CASH OR

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 6 RIVER BY THE OAK 5/1

# 3 DASHING SASHAY 5/1

# 5 POTUS B 6/1

I've got to go with RIVER BY THE OAK. Over time, this handler has a solid ROI at this distance/surface. Orozco has a strong 15 percent win rate with entries running at this distance and surface. DASHING SASHAY - Boasts strong Equibase Speed Figs on average overall when put alongside the rest of this group of horses. Could beat this group of horses given the 78 speed rating posted in her last outing. POTUS B - Could beat this field given the 68 Equibase Speed Figure posted in his last outing. Has performed admirably lately in short races, posting a nifty 73 avg speed fig.

Pesos · Nov 24, 2017

The Walker Group at Golden Gate Fields

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 3 - Maiden Claiming - 8.0f on the Turf. Purse: $13000 Class Rating: 76

FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 120 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $20,000, IF FOR $18,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 4 I'M AN EIGHT 3/1

# 6 ALIVE AND WELL 6/5

# 1 VIRGHAZI 12/1

I'M AN EIGHT is the strongest wager in this race. Looks very strong against this group of horses and will most likely be one of the leaders. Should definitely be given consideration in this event if only for the respectable Equibase Speed Fig garnered in the last contest. Well above average win rate at this distance/surface. ALIVE AND WELL - Has strong Equibase Speed Figures and has to be considered for a wager here. Has been running in the most competitive company of the group recently.

Pesos · Nov 24, 2017

The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Gulfstream Park West - Race #2 - Post: 1:05pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $30,000 Class Rating: 74

Rating: 4

#6 TRANSISTOR (ML=8/1)
#4 UNCLE POCKETS (ML=7/2)
#3 AMATTEROFTIME (ML=4/1)

TRANSISTOR - Note that although this colt finished in the place spot in his last race, he was well clear of the third place horse. This is a classic positive angle. This jockey and handler have a high win percentage together. Ran in the last race against better company at Gulfstream Park West. The move to a lower level should suit him well. This colt is in exceptional physical condition right now. Ran second last race out and comes back quickly. The 80 last race fig looks good on paper. UNCLE POCKETS - That recent bullet 49.9 work shows that this gelding is ready for a top performance today. The trainer here (Servis) has a very good ROI with 1st time starters. Gets help from Servis with the addition of Lasix. AMATTEROFTIME - This colt is the longer price of the 'split' entry from the barn of Servis. This steed comes out of a sharp barn for first time starters. Servis has a very strong ROI (+57 pct). Servis, the trainer, shows intent by adding Lasix right here in this race. A positive sign.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 STAR JUANCHO (ML=5/2), #2 GRAN KING OF KINGS (ML=3/1), #1 XIROMA (ML=5/1),

STAR JUANCHO - Almost certainly won't make much of an impression in today's event. GRAN KING OF KINGS - Trying to beat this one in today's event at the price of 3/1. XIROMA - Showed very little in the last event. Really don't expect any improvement today. Can't wager on this steed in today's sprint of 6 furlongs. Hasn't even finished in the money in a sprint affair of late.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - UNCLE POCKETS - I'm making a prime bet on this horse. His handler is a stand-out with fine animal's coming out of the box for the first time.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Bet on #6 TRANSISTOR to win if we can get at least 5/2 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [4,6] Box [3,6]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [3,4,6] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

Pesos · Nov 24, 2017

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Laurel Park

Laurel Park - Race 7

EXACTA, TRIFECTA &DAILY DOUBLE (RACES 7-8) / 10 cent SUPERFECTA 50 cent PICK 3 (Races 7-8-9) / 50 cent PICK 4 (RACES 7-8-9-10) $1.00 SUPER HIGH 5

Maiden Claiming $25,000 • 5 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Age 2 • CR: 70 • Purse: $27,000 • Post: 3:06P
(PLUS UP TO 30% MBF) FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 122 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $25,000, FOR EACH $2,500 TO $20,000 2 LBS.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds

Race Type: Dominant Stalker. SIMONELA is the Dominant Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * SIMONELA: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest av erage Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
9
SIMONELA
4/1

6/5

P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
8
FRIESING WATERS
9

8/1
Front-runner
0

0

70.2

41.7

36.2
9
SIMONELA
10

4/1
Stalker
71

68

72.4

60.4

56.4
3
MENORAH LORA
2

8/1
Trailer
58

45

32.6

38.6

29.6
5
COURAGEOUS BELLA
6

12/1
Alternator/Trailer
0

0

31.3

47.4

39.9
10
CAROLINA ICE
11

10/1
Alternator/Trailer
60

50

29.9

47.0

39.0
7
RUBYS FIRE
8

6/1
Alternator/Non-contender
78

52

30.2

35.4

28.4

Unknown Running Style: EMMA'SDIAMONDDIVA (6/1) [Jockey: Lynch Feargal - Trainer: Keefe Timothy L], DEBS THE BOSS (7/2) [Jockey: Toledo Jevian - Trainer: Capuano Dale], GUPEE (10/1) [Jockey: Miller Jenn - Trainer: Potts Wayne], CANOOCHEE (10/1) [Jocke

Pesos · Nov 24, 2017

The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Penn National - Race #5 - Post: 7:49pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $12,400 Class Rating: 86

Rating: 4

#4 FREELANDER (ML=8/1)
#5 CHILHAM COURT (ML=6/1)

FREELANDER - Looking at today's class rating, this thoroughbred is up against an easier bunch than last out at Penn National. Another way to judge class is earnings per race. This entrant has the highest in the bunch. I think he'll be close at the finish line. CHILHAM COURT - Gelding shipped to this track and won; now goes for back-to-back wins. Whitney rode this entrant for the initial time last time around the track and comes right back this race. Gelding had the second fastest workout of the day prepping for this. I like to wager on this handicapping angle, a thoroughbred coming back off a solid race within the last thirty days. This horse has increased his speed ratings from a fig of 52 to 59 to 86 right in a row.

Vulnerable Contenders: #6 CATTLE DRIVE (ML=5/2), #10 BOGEY BOB (ML=4/1), #2 BOLD AGAIN (ML=6/1),

BOGEY BOB - This gelding finished off the board on Sep 29th and wasn't close last time around the track either. BOLD AGAIN - In this situation, this runner's inability to make up any ground in the last affair is a matter of concern. This colt registered a speed rating in his last clash which probably isn't good enough in today's event.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Have to go with #4 FREELANDER on the win end if we get at least 7/5 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [4,5]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
4 with 5 with [6,7,11] Total Cost: $3

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
4 with 5 with [2,6,7,10,11] with [2,6,7,10,11] Total Cost: $20