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Soccer

Italy - Serie A

2:45pm ET

Cagliari v Inter Milan

Last Head-to-Heads at Cagliari:
1-5 (Inter win)
1-2 (Inter win)
1-1
2-0 (Cagliari win)

Recent Form:
Cagliari: 3-3
Inter: 4-0-2

KEY STAT: Inter are unbeaten in their last 15 fixtures

EXPERT VERDICT: Unbeaten Inter climbed above Juventus into second place with a routine 2-0 victory at home to Atalanta on Sunday and their title push can continue with a victory at Cagliari. Successive wins have lifted Cagliari away from the danger area but they have not beaten any side inside the top half.

RECOMMENDATION: Inter (1)
 

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Soccer

Spain - La Liga

2:45pm ET

Levante v Atletico Madrid

Last Head-to-Heads at Levante:
2-1 (Levante win)
2-2
2-0 (Levante win)
1-1

Recent Form:
Levante: 2-1-3
Atletico Madrid: 2-0-4

KEY STAT: Four of Atletico's six league wins this season have been by one goal

EXPERT VERDICT: Nobody needed a goal more than Antoine Griezmann and his sensational strike against Roma in the Champions League not only ended the Frenchman's goal drought but also got the Atletico Madrid fans back on side following a rocky spell. However, even when at their best Atletico are not a free-flowing footballing side and if they are to justify odds-on favouritism at awkward Levante it may be a grind.

RECOMMENDATION: Atletico Madrid to win 1-0 (1)
 

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Weekly European Soccer Betting Analysis

The busy and exciting world of European soccer can sometimes be difficult to navigate for bettors. Monty Andrews takes a look at some of the most important news stories, odds, key injuries, and betting trends to help with your footy wagers.

Fixture of the Week: Valencia v. Barcelona

The top two teams in La Liga will square off this Sunday when Valencia host Barcelona at Mestalla Stadium. Valencia are installed as a +300 underdog as they look to close the four-point gap between themselves and Barcelona (-118), which is coming off a 0-0 draw with Juventus in Champions League action. Valencia continued its red-hot run with a 1-0 road victory over Espaynol. This one is a real clash of the titans, with Valencia having won their previous eight league matches and Barcelona prevailing in 18 of their last 19 La Liga tilts. The teams also lead the table in goals, with Barcelona at 33 and Valencia just one back.

Liverpool Letdown

The shock is still palatable for Liverpool fans, who hope to see their club bounce back from a humbling Champions League draw as they welcome Chelsea to Anfield in Premier League action. The Reds broke out to a 3-0 lead against Sevilla on Tuesday, only to watch the La Liga club storm back to earn a 3-3 tie. On the positive side: Liverpool have won three straight league matches to move into the top five in the table, and are slight +115 favorites for Saturday's encounter with the Blues (+230). Chelsea have overcome their early struggles and have reeled off four consecutive Premier League victories

Dismal Dortmund

Nothing has gone right for Borussia Dortmund, who were the toast of the Bundesliga but are now just toast as they look to halt a five-game Bundesliga winless skid this weekend against visiting Schalke. Dortmund (-138) have fallen from first to fifth in the table with losses in four of their last five games - and if that weren't bad enough, they're coming off a 2-1 defeat at the hands of EPL side Tottenham in Champions League play. Schalke (+333) are headed in the opposite direction, having gone unbeaten their last six league games while surrendering just two goals over that stretch.

Juve Looking Ahead?

Juventus are gearing up for a pivotal encounter with Napoli - but first, they have to be careful not to look past this weekend's tilt with Crotone. Juve (-700) are looking to regroup from a 3-2 defeat at Sampdoria, and can build on the momentum of their 0-0 tie with Barcelona in their Champions League encounter earlier this week. Crotone are hanging perilously close to the Serie A relegation zone, sitting just three point clear after last week's defeat vs. visiting Genoa. Juventus dominated the head-to-head series a season ago, winning their two encounters while recording clean sheets in both.

Team News

West Bromwich has pulled the plug on Tony Pulis following last week's humiliating 4-0 defeat against Chelsea. West Brom has oust four consecutive English Premier League matches; it's a +1,100 underdog this weekend at Tottenham (-400).

Barcelona has lost its appeal of a Gerard Pique yellow card and will be without the veteran star for this weekend's pivotal encounter with Valencia. Pique was shown a yellow in Saturday's 3-0 win at Leganes.

Bayern Munich is reportedly set to get Robert Lewandowski some help up front, as they negotiate to sign gifted striker Sandro Wagner. Wagner has four goals and two assists in nine appearances for Hoffenheim.

Udinese has hired Massimo Oddo as their manager, replacing the departing Luigi Delneri. Oddo will look to turn things around for Udinese, who are three points above the relegation zone and are +700 on Bet365 to prevail against visiting Napoli (-300).

Injury Updates

Manchester City centre-back John Stones will miss a month with a hamstring injury suffered against Leicester city last weekend. His injury is a blow to City, which is a heavy -600 on Bet365 against host Huddersfield (+1,400).

Real Madrid will likely be without captain Sergio Ramos this weekend after he suffered a broken nose against Atletico Madrid. But La Liga's third-place team should be okay without him this week, installed at -1,200 against visiting Malaga (+2,000).

Thiago Alcantara has been lost for the next few months after suffering a thigh injury in Bayern Munich's 2-1 win over Anderlecht. It's a major blow for the Bundesliga leaders, who are -225 for this weekend's game against Borussia Monchengladbach.

Juventus defender Giorgio Chiellini is expected to sit out this weekend's clash with Crotone even if he has recovered from his thigh injury. Coach Massimiliano Allegri wants to keep Chiellini fresh for next week's pivotal encounter with Napoli.

Betting Trends

Swansea and visiting Bournemouth have gone over the 2.5-goal total in each of their previous four EPL meetings at Liberty Stadium. They're listed at +115 on Bet365 to make it five overs in a row in this weekend's encounter.

Sevilla have been losing at half- and full-time in each of their previous three La Liga matches. Bettors on Bet365 will get +275 odds on Villarreal leading at both half- and full-time as they host Sevilla over the weekend.

Freiburg have gone under the 2.5-goal total in seven of their last eight matches, while Mainz has done the same in six of their previous seven tilts. The teams are -125 to score two or fewer combined goals this Saturday.

Roma have been a solid second-half team of late, drawing at half and winning at full-time in each of their past three matches. They're +333 on Bet365 to extend that trend this weekend against host Genoa
 

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Rick Needham at Aqueduct

RACE #4 - AQUEDUCT - 1:20 PM EASTERN POST
Forever Together Stakes
8½ FURLONGS OUTER TURF FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD STAKES $150,000.00 PURSE

#7 MY IMPRESSION
#3 ELYSEA'S WORLD
#2 BISHOP'S POND
#5 PENJADE

This stakes race honors the career of Forever Together, who was trained by Jonathan Sheppard, Forever Together's wins include back-to-back editions in 2008 and 2009 of the Diana Stakes at Saratoga Race Course. She won the 2008 Breeders' Cup Filly and Mare Turf at Santa Anita Park and was voted American Champion Female Turf Horse honors. Here in the initial running of "The Together," #7 MY IMPRESSION, has produced "POWER RUN PERFORMANCES" in each of her last five outings, hitting the board in four of those efforts, including a "POWER RUN WIN" in her 2nd race back. Jockey Jose Ortiz and Trainer "Shug" McGaughey send her to the post ... they've hit the board with 58% of their entries saddled as a team to date. #3 ELYSEA'S WORLD, an Irish-bred entry, has hit the board in "POWER RUN FASHION" in three of her last five starts.
 

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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Charles Town

Charles Town - Race 4

Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Daily Double (4-5) / Pick 3 (Races 4-5-6) Pick 6 (Races 4-5-6-7-8-9)


Claiming $5,000 • 4 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 76 • Purse: $10,000 • Post: 8:25P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 25 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000, IF FOR $4,500, ALLOWED 2 LBS. (W V A RACES NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY).
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * MARGARITA SUNRISE: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. WAD E: Horse had a bullet workout within the last seven days. EMOTIONINMOTION: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. TRIPLE BLACK JACK: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. CLIFFS OF MALIBU: Horse ranks in the top three in a verage Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
6
MARGARITA SUNRISE
2/1

5/1
12
WADE
9/2

6/1
11
EMOTIONINMOTION
5/1

8/1
8
TRIPLE BLACK JACK
7/2

8/1
10
CLIFFS OF MALIBU
10/1

10/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
6
MARGARITA SUNRISE
6

2/1
Front-runner
74

74

94.2

69.6

63.1
8
TRIPLE BLACK JACK
8

7/2
Front-runner
73

69

80.6

65.8

57.8
11
EMOTIONINMOTION
11

5/1
Front-runner
77

68

75.8

66.8

57.3
2
JAMESON SPICE
2

15/1
Front-runner
65

65

65.9

34.1

14.6
5
SHERWOOD FOREST
5

9/2
Front-runner
67

65

59.4

63.0

54.0
4
BARKEEPER
4

4/1
Alternator/Front-runner
79

71

68.0

61.2

45.7
12
WADE
12

9/2
Stalker
71

66

74.0

75.2

68.7
10
CLIFFS OF MALIBU
10

10/1
Alternator/Stalker
83

71

65.4

69.2

58.7
3
BREADMAN'S BIG GUY
3

20/1
Alternator/Non-contender
75

58

49.4

54.0

37.5
1
UPHILL CAT
1

30/1
Alternator/Non-contender
73

69

46.0

45.6

24.1
7
BIG DISTINCTION
7

20/1
Alternator/Non-contender
75

59

43.0

49.4

30.9
9
SPOILED BY GOD
9

12/1
Alternator/Non-contender
81

79

39.0

37.0

24.0
 

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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Del Mar

Del Mar - Race 7

$1 Exacta / $2 Quinella / 50 Cent Trifecta / $2 Rolling Double / 50 cent Pick 3 $1 Superfecta (10-cent min.)


Stakes • 1 1/8 Miles • Turf • Age 3 • CR: 113 • Purse: $300,000 • Post: 3:30P
HOLLYWOOD DERBY - GRADE 1 FOR THREE-YEAR-OLDS. BY SUBSCRIPTION OF $300 EACH, WHICH SHALL ACCOMPANY THE NOMINATION, CLOSED SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 11, 2017 WITH 19 OR BY SUPPLEMENTARY NOMINATION OF $3,000 BEFORE THE CLOSING TIME OF ENTRIES. $4,500 ADDITIONAL TO START, WITH $300,000 GUARANTEED, OF WHICH $180,000 TO FIRST, $60,000 TO SECOND, $36,000 TO THIRD, $18,000 TO FOURTH AND $6,000 TO FIFTH. WEIGHT 122 LBS. A TROPHY WILL BE PRESENTED TO THE WINNING OWNER.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Dominant Stalker. MO TOWN is the Dominant Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * SHARP SAMURAI: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 3 0 days. MO TOWN: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Today is a horse's first or second race on turf, and turf starters from this sire have a win percentage of at least 15 (minimum of 5 0 starts). BOWIES HERO: Horse had a bullet workout within the last seven days. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. CHANNEL MAKER: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race).
4
SHARP SAMURAI
5/2

5/1
7
MO TOWN
3/1

6/1
2
BOWIES HERO
6/1

7/1
3
CHANNEL MAKER
5/1

8/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
6
SOUPER TAPIT
6

12/1
Front-runner
107

102

100.4

98.0

86.5
7
MO TOWN
7

3/1
Stalker
105

107

104.3

107.1

96.6
2
BOWIES HERO
2

6/1
Stalker
109

106

95.4

104.4

94.4
4
SHARP SAMURAI
4

5/2
Stalker
109

109

92.8

105.8

99.3
8
JUST HOWARD
8

12/1
Stalker
106

108

90.8

99.6

85.1
3
CHANNEL MAKER
3

5/1
Stalker
96

102

88.6

102.2

96.7
9
BIG SCORE
9

4/1
Trailer
109

106

98.0

105.0

98.5
5
RITZY A. P.
5

20/1
Trailer
105

107

82.8

102.0

91.0
1
ANN ARBOR EDDIE
1

20/1
Alternator/Non-contender
105

107

88.2

97.6

86.6
 

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The Walker Group at Hawthorne

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 2 - Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $8000 Class Rating: 80

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES SINCE MAY 25 OR WHICH HAVE NOT WON THREE RACES IN 2016 - 2017 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 25 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 2 JE SUIS BELLE 8/1

# 4 OVERDRIVEN CAT 6/1

# 7 QUEEN OF WILDWOOD 3/1

I've got to go with JE SUIS BELLE especially at such a decent 8/1. Is tough not to look at based on Equibase speed figs which have been decent - 72 avg - of late. Ulloa will probably be able to get this filly to break out quickly in this contest. Looks strong for the conditions of this outing today, showing solid numbers in dirt sprint races as of late. OVERDRIVEN CAT - Looks very strong to be on the front end at the first call. Had one of the most competitive Equibase Speed Figs of this group in her last contest. QUEEN OF WILDWOOD - Ought to be carefully examined based on the quite good Equibase Speed Figure put up in the last contest. Becker has one of the top winning percentages in this group with entries running at this distance and surface.
 

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The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Parx Racing - Race #1 - Post: 12:25pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.3 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $28,000 Class Rating: 77

Rating: 4

#7 FINAL BLESSING (ML=5/2)


FINAL BLESSING - Mejias comes to saddle up after getting to know the gelding in the last race. I look for this horse to sit chilly off the pace and make a big move on the turn, cruising straight on to the finish line. This gelding is in exceptional condition right now. Ended up third last time out and comes back soon.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 DIAMOND JUNIOR (ML=2/1), #4 MILLIONAIRE RUNNER (ML=4/1), #5 YOUSHOULDBEDANCING (ML=6/1),

DIAMOND JUNIOR - October 31st is the last time we've seen this gelding around. Have to be a little bit leery. MILLIONAIRE RUNNER - Substandard fig last time around the track at Parx Racing at 6 furlongs. Don't believe this entrant will improve too much in today's race. YOUSHOULDBEDANCING - This runner showed little last time out finishing fourth. Don't expect any improvement today. Somewhat easily forgotten fig last out at Parx Racing at 1 mile. Don't feel this mount will improve too much in today's race.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - FINAL BLESSING - Betting the animal with the best last race speed figure is a good angle. None higher than this gelding's last one.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Putting our cash on #7 FINAL BLESSING to win. Have to have odds of at least 1/1 or better though

EXACTA WAGERS:
7 with 5

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass
 

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The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Tampa Bay Downs - Race #1 - Post: 12:25pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $12,700 Class Rating: 93

Rating: 4

#2 W W CONCERTO (ML=6/1)
#3 BIG SILVER HOSS (ML=7/2)
#1 SHIROTA (ML=6/1)


W W CONCERTO - Don't often see a beneficial ROI like +95. This jock/trainer tandem has done well together over the last twelve months. This gelding won at this distance on Aug 7th and was at a higher class than today. Stalking speed. My cronies and I like this one. BIG SILVER HOSS - You always have to be on the lookout for bankroll building jockey/trainer teams; we have it right here. SHIROTA - Trainer, Feliciano, has been deliberate with this gelding off the layoff. Look for a solid effort today. This horse gets a barn change by way of a claim out of the last race. Trainer here is terrific off of the claim, so no reason why this racer won't have a chance at a big race.

Vulnerable Contenders: #6 METAL MAGIC (ML=3/1), #7 MALBEC (ML=9/2), #5 GUN POWDER (ML=6/1),

METAL MAGIC - Would have to perk up off that fourth place finish last time to make an impact here. MALBEC - If you keep choosing these sort of 'bridesmaid' types, you're going to be disillusioned often. GUN POWDER - Don't figure that this pony has what it takes to be victorious in today's event.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Have to go with #2 W W CONCERTO on the win end if we get at least 2/1 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
2 with [1,3]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [1,2,3] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
[1,2,3] with [1,2,3] with [1,2,3,5,8] with [1,2,3,5,8] Total Cost: $36

SUPER HIGH 5 WAGERS:
Pass
 

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The Walker Group at Turf Paradise

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 6 - Claiming - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $7000 Class Rating: 70

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 25, 2017 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $3,500.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 2 SE FUE 3/1

# 3 STAR OF THE DAY 7/2

# 5 HIT IT UP 2/1

SE FUE appears to be the wager in here. With a competitive 70 Equibase Speed Figure last time out, will unquestionably be a factor in this competition. Has strong Equibase Class Figures relative to this group - worth a look. Looks solid for the conditions of this affair today, showing solid figures in dirt sprint races lately. STAR OF THE DAY - Have to wager on this filly with the formidable earnings per start in dirt sprint races. The winning percentage shown by horses entered by Hall running at this distance are the top in this group. HIT IT UP - Always seems to be close on the wire. Evans has this filly travelling well and is a decent selection based on the very good speed figs recorded in sprint races recently.
 

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Hoop Trends – Saturday

ATS TREND OF THE DAY:
NYK 12-0 ATS (6.25 ppg) as a 8+ dog off a loss as a favorite

OU TREND OF THE DAY:
Atlanta are 12-0 OU (10.67 ppg) with no rest off a double-digit win as a dog

PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY
New Orleans are 13-0 OU (13.54 ppg) as a dog after Anthony Davis played fewer than 30 minutes.

CHOICE TREND:
Sacramento are 0-10 ATS (-8.50 ppg) as a home dog with more than one day of rest off a win.
 

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