Week 12 #’s

Search

Member
Joined
Sep 20, 2004
Messages
3,961
Tokens
Week 12


Ari 111
Atl 125
Bal 124
Buf 116
Car 121
Chi 116
Cin 118
Cle 109
Dal 120
Den 114
Det 122
Gb 118
Hou 114
Ind 112
Jax 123
Kc 124
Lac 124
Lar 123
Mia 109
Min 126
Ne 129
No 127
Nyg 115
Nyj 116
Oak 115
Phi 132
Pit 125
Sf 110
Sea 124
Tb 115
Ten 114
Was 121




Pts..........home favs.................................road favs.................................home pick
1............wllwlwpwwl................................wwwwlw...................................
2............lwlw..........................................wwlwwlww...............................+2.5l
3............lwwpwwlwlw...............................lllllllwlwlwwl............................-3.5l,-3l,-3l
4............lwlwlww.....................................lwlwwlw....................................
5............plwwwl......................................wwllllw.......................................-5w
6............lwlwlpwl.....................................lwwwppww................................
7............lww............................................lwwwl.......................................
8............wwlwlww....................................wlp..........................................
9............lwlllllw........................................ll.............................................
10..........w.ww.........................................lwllww.....................................
11...........l...............................................w.ww.........................................
12...........l................................................llll............................................
13..........wlw............................................wpl.........................................
14..........l.................................................ww..........................................
15............................................................l..............................................
16..........l..................................................l..............................................
17........................................................................................................
18.............................................................l.............................................
19.........w................................................................................................
20........................................................................................................
21........................................................................................................
22........................................................................................................
23........................................................................................................
24.......................................................................................................
25........................................................................................................

I’m seeing 7 selections and I’ll try to have some t-day stuff up before the games start....

Happy greatest football holiday there is tomorrow!

GAME.
 

Member
Joined
Jun 14, 2006
Messages
50,436
Tokens
G/9000..........you and your family have a great thanksgiving..........enjoy the day and BOL with your action.........indy
 

come strong or dont come at all
Joined
Nov 21, 2006
Messages
5,407
Tokens
Ok boys need help deciphering this again as usual. Thank you
 

Member
Joined
Sep 20, 2004
Messages
3,961
Tokens
Thanx Indy...you too.

All 3 games information basically lines up as a coin flip of interesting reading; strangely nothing piles up on either side that’s worth anything more than a few sentences to look at while waiting for the games....unfortunately sad but true....

Min(3) at det 45...
Det 1-4 ats as div home dogs s 11
Series..road team covered 5 of last 7
...........dog covered 9 of last 12
...........road favs of less than 4pts are 1-6 ats s 01
**the favorite is 12-0-1 ats in Detroit on thanksgiving day s 04**

Los Angeles(2) at Dallas 47...
La 1-9-1 ats after scoring 38+pts s 09
Dal 12-2-1 ats as dogs vs afc s 10
**the road team is 5-0-2 ats in last 7 thanksgiving day games in Dallas s 10**

Nyg at was(7) 44.5...
Ny 10-1 ats as a dog of 5+pts off a su win s 07
Was 0-5 ats as div home favs s 13
Was 2-11 ats as favs of more than 6pts s 06
Was 13-25-1 under before playing Dallas s 97
Series..su winner is 30-3-1 ats s 00

I think tomorrow will be a “watch the games and od on turkey” day....the only way I could see clear to bet on any of these games is if I either loved or hated one team or the other.

GAME.
 

Member
Joined
Sep 20, 2004
Messages
3,961
Tokens
CF50...no #’s plays for t-day...

W12 is...
Cleveland
Kansas City
Atlanta
Tennessee
Seattle
Arizona
Baltimore

GAME.
 

come strong or dont come at all
Joined
Nov 21, 2006
Messages
5,407
Tokens
Thank you game. Appreciate it. Happy Thanksgiving to you and your family
 

Member
Joined
Jun 4, 2015
Messages
2,710
Tokens
Thanks for posting.

Best of luck and have a happy thanksgiving with your family and friends!

I put in a few 3 team teasers in with det, dal as first 2 and the skins in 1 and giants in other. Doubtful that I will wake up for the early game.
 

Member
Joined
Jun 4, 2015
Messages
2,710
Tokens
Also, no shot I am putting my money on Browns under any circumstance.
 

Member
Joined
Sep 20, 2004
Messages
3,961
Tokens
Also, no shot I am putting my money on Browns under any circumstance.

It is definitely tough to consider having any faith in Cleveland this year, even when they had the cover sewn up at Detroit they found a way to fail, lol..

Happy thanksgiving and all good luck this weekend.

GAME.
 

Member
Joined
Nov 23, 2004
Messages
16,094
Tokens
Thanx Indy...you too.

All 3 games information basically lines up as a coin flip of interesting reading; strangely nothing piles up on either side that’s worth anything more than a few sentences to look at while waiting for the games....unfortunately sad but true....

Min(3) at det 45...
Det 1-4 ats as div home dogs s 11
Series..road team covered 5 of last 7
...........dog covered 9 of last 12
...........road favs of less than 4pts are 1-6 ats s 01
**the favorite is 12-0-1 ats in Detroit on thanksgiving day s 04**

Los Angeles(2) at Dallas 47...
La 1-9-1 ats after scoring 38+pts s 09
Dal 12-2-1 ats as dogs vs afc s 10
**the road team is 5-0-2 ats in last 7 thanksgiving day games in Dallas s 10**

Nyg at was(7) 44.5...
Ny 10-1 ats as a dog of 5+pts off a su win s 07
Was 0-5 ats as div home favs s 13
Was 2-11 ats as favs of more than 6pts s 06
Was 13-25-1 under before playing Dallas s 97
Series..su winner is 30-3-1 ats s 00

I think tomorrow will be a “watch the games and od on turkey” day....the only way I could see clear to bet on any of these games is if I either loved or hated one team or the other.

GAME.

Still the best info on this board if you ask me. Thanks for posting and Happy Thanksgiving to your and your loved ones.
 

Member
Joined
Sep 20, 2004
Messages
3,961
Tokens
Cle at cin(7.5) 38...
Cin 2-5 ats as div home favs s 14
Cin 10-4-1 ats before hosting pit s 02
Series..cin cov last 6 straight
...........fav covered last 5 straight
...........su winner is 31-4 ats s 00

Chi at phi(14) 44...
Chi 7-2 ats off 3 su losses s 12

Mia at ne(16.5) 47...
Mia 1-8 ats as div road dogs s 13
Series..home team covered 9 of last 10 s 12

Buf at kc(9.5) 47...
Buf 13-4 ats in 2nd of b2b road games s 08
Buf 19-7-1 ats off a su road loss s 12
Buf 3-8 under off a su loss of 30+pts s 02

Tb at atl(10) 48...
Tb 5-0 ats in 1st dd dog role of reg sea s 10
Tb 16-8-1 ats as a dog after scoring 28+pts s 07
Atl 8-1 ats after playing on mnf s 09
Atl 3-11 under as a fav off a su win as a road dog s 04
Series..fav is 9-3-1 ats in last 13 games
..........5 of last 7 in atl went over s 10 (ave 56pts a game)

Car(5.5) at nyj 40...
Ny 4-17 under off a bye s 97

Ten(3.5) at ind 46...
Ten 1-6-1 ats as div road favs s 11
Ten 8-1 over in 2nd of b2b road games s 14
Ind 13-6 over off a bye s 99
Series..team who covered 1st game is 10-4-1 ats in 2nd s 02 (ten cov 1st)

Sea(6.5) at sf 45.5...
Sea 12-5 ats after scoring and allowing 30+pts s 98
Sf 16-3 over off a bye s 00
Series..home dogs are 5-2-1 ats s 05
..........sea is 9-2-1 ats in last 12 straight
..........8 of last 12 games have went under the total
..........4 of last 12 games exceeded 36pts total

Jax(5) at ari 38...
Jax 18-7 over vs nfc s 11
Ari 16-3 ats as a dog of less than 4pts s 12(check game time line)
Ari 11-1 su + ats at home off a su loss vs an opp off a dd su win last game s 07

Den at oak(4) 43.5...
Oak 0-3 ats as div home favs s 15
Oak 2-12 under as a div fav of less than 7pts s 02
Series..su winner is 30-5 ats s 00
...........pt totals have been higher in den 6 of last 8 years s 09 (26pts total scored in den)

Gb at pit(14) 42.5...
Pit 6-1 ats off a su win of 21+pts s 14
Pit 9-2 ats after scoring more than 35pts s 13
Pit 5-14 ats as favs before playing cin s 04
Pit 1-8 under as favs of more than 10pts s 11
Pit 0-11 under before playing on mnf s 07

Hou at bal(7) 38...
Hou 1-8 ats on mnf s 09
Bal 9-2 ats on mnf s 08

GAME.
 

Member
Joined
Sep 20, 2004
Messages
3,961
Tokens
I forgot to post the “I smell a rat” system plays for a couple games....

Cle/cin...road teams coming off 7 or more su losses are 50-28-2 ats s 83...this system already came into play for Cleveland this year a couple weeks ago when they were in Detroit, tied up at 24-24 halfway through the 4th quarter catching 10pts then caught a bad break and a turnover and managed to lose the game 38-24 on a 60 yard touchdown by golden Tate with a couple mins to play.

Mia/ne...defending Super Bowl champions are 8-24-1 ats as a dd favorite if they’re off an ats win of more than 3pts In thier last game s 80...it just looks too easy.

Sea/sf...home teams off a bye with a su+ats win before the bye are 29-10-2 ats s 80 if they’re facing an opponent off an ats loss...Willard might be facing Ben....again it just feels too easy.

I’m not guaranteeing these outcomes for the games but I’m feeling way too good about all 3 favorites being low hanging fruit, they say you never hear the one that kills ya.

GAME.
 

Member
Joined
Sep 20, 2004
Messages
3,961
Tokens
Mick, I’m rolling out a 9 bagger using all 7 #’s selections just adding 2 unders, den/oak and gb/pit...and I’m stepping on it.
I think this might be the week where “it is what it is”...
I think I’m just saying it seems like this could also be a once in a blue moon weekend that rarely comes along where it is all the big guns, most of them at home, are all facing weaker, injury riddled teams going nowhere.
I would hate to have this week’s games turn out without a hook and let it get by me....just venting...I’m thinking it goes....

Cin at home vs cle....20 pt win
Phi at home vs chi.....20pt win
Ne at home vs Mia.....20pt win
Kc at home vs buf......20pt win
Atl at home vs tb.......20pt win
Pit at home vs gb.......20pt win
Bal at home vs Hou.....20pt win

I could easily see this, and why not, it never happens but once in a blue moon.
I would hate to say to myself, “...and you didn’t see this??”

The more I look at the lineups...what if there’s no rub and it’s just as simple as it looks?
 

Member
Joined
Sep 20, 2004
Messages
3,961
Tokens
Yep, I’m taking Cleveland along with every other #’s selection I listed, adding the 2 unders and making it the 9 teamer.
I’m hoping the #’s plays go 100%, I’m just saying after looking at who’s playing who, where they’re playing along with team injuries, it just looks like there are 7 home teams playing 7 weaker and hurt teams all on the same weekend.
All these games the teams are huge favorites.
In today’s nfl the opportunity to get so many points with so many teams is highly suspect, with the usual margin of victory in games, on average being 4pts it seems like oddsmakers are trying to scare people off the games.
I , even just not to let it get get by me in case, will also grab a 7 bagger of the home teams I listed.
Along with hoping for Cleveland on the road, Seattle beat up and giving pts on the road, Tennessee giving pts on the road and a beat up Arizona getting a few pts from a peaking defensive team...I can’t let the obvious get by me...like I said, I could easily see each of the big home favs I listed just kill thier opponents by a large margin.
I think this just might be one of those weekends that rarely comes along you look back on and say, “I should have known better”...”I could have taken New England or Philadelphia or Pittsburgh at home vs cle, chi or gb....instead I took Cleve, tenn and sea on the road?”
I’ll ride or die with the #’s, don’t get me wrong, but this week, I’m afraid I just can’t walk away without putting down something on the magnificent 7.
 

Member
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
1,082
Tokens
Yep, I’m taking Cleveland along with every other #’s selection I listed, adding the 2 unders and making it the 9 teamer.
I’m hoping the #’s plays go 100%, I’m just saying after looking at who’s playing who, where they’re playing along with team injuries, it just looks like there are 7 home teams playing 7 weaker and hurt teams all on the same weekend.
All these games the teams are huge favorites.
In today’s nfl the opportunity to get so many points with so many teams is highly suspect, with the usual margin of victory in games, on average being 4pts it seems like oddsmakers are trying to scare people off the games.
I , even just not to let it get get by me in case, will also grab a 7 bagger of the home teams I listed.
Along with hoping for Cleveland on the road, Seattle beat up and giving pts on the road, Tennessee giving pts on the road and a beat up Arizona getting a few pts from a peaking defensive team...I can’t let the obvious get by me...like I said, I could easily see each of the big home favs I listed just kill thier opponents by a large margin.
I think this just might be one of those weekends that rarely comes along you look back on and say, “I should have known better”...”I could have taken New England or Philadelphia or Pittsburgh at home vs cle, chi or gb....instead I took Cleve, tenn and sea on the road?”
I’ll ride or die with the #’s, don’t get me wrong, but this week, I’m afraid I just can’t walk away without putting down something on the magnificent 7.

WOW.......so your taking all the HOME TEAMS Game?
If I'm reading tis right, awesome Parlay!
 

Forum statistics

Threads
1,108,632
Messages
13,453,075
Members
99,426
Latest member
bodyhealthtechofficia
The RX is the sports betting industry's leading information portal for bonuses, picks, and sportsbook reviews. Find the best deals offered by a sportsbook in your state and browse our free picks section.FacebookTwitterInstagramContact Usforum@therx.com