I thought I was on to something, but it turned out it was a 50% system. You CAN NOT beat the NFL. Nobody on here wins. I love when you say you are betting thousands a game. If you are betting thousands a game, you are not posting on a gambling site. Why do people have to lie and cheat people. We have a service thread for all paid plays. We have had posters leave and go tout, and some of us post there plays. So why the big uproar over nflthrends. He was in here saying during preseason, that he was going to be around during the season. Then right before the season starts he say he chargers for his plays. Isn't that like ********* or quatum or any other of the hundreds of touts. At least tell everybody, look I can't give my name in the contest, or my plays, because I charge. Well I am done here. And they were his plays. MU.
He is just mad he is losing. We can all understand. The reason it is so hard is the reason they have the option. If you can't do it yourself find the ones who can and use your brain to figure out what the good info is. If you can't.... quit or consider gambling money you use to be for entertainment like paying to see a movie
It's more fun to cap games yourself anyway. I would never blind-follow anyone or pay for picks, this hobby is expensive enough.
There's a ton of good info on this board and even a 50% system can get hot (or cold) ... play on or against the trend.
Fade or follow.
That's always been the name of the game. If you have a friend who can't pick his nose let alone an NFL game, take his action.
Let the touts go tout and let the mush keep posting his mushy picks, all info is good info.
Peacepuff_>>
As long as I dont lose every game the rest of the season it should be the 3rd profitable year in a row. There are some regular posting cappers on here who win consistently. Plus, guys like Ace-Ace have stood the test of time in the NFL.
I cap my own games then take information from sharp guys and books/bookies like bookiereport to close out my decision-making process and bet sizing. Ace-Ace's system/capping used to be a tool for me as well when he posted here.
Bankroll management and ensuring that I vary my bet sizing significantly different between action plays and plays where I believe I have an edge and/or betting less games have been my key.
I cap my own games then take information from sharp guys and books/bookies like bookiereport to close out my decision-making process and bet sizing. Ace-Ace's system/capping used to be a tool for me as well when he posted here.
Bankroll management and ensuring that I vary my bet sizing significantly different between action plays and plays where I believe I have an edge and/or betting less games have been my key.
Only system is exactly like blackjack. If you have $100 you go to the $5 table and get 20 shots, you don't go to the $25 table there is no way to win in 4 bad beats ( you won't hit on 16) . Bottom line the only way to win at NFL is to not give a shit, and be surprised if you are right. If you really care about the money you are spending you will always be scared money and out think it. Not a genius, but 20 years of gambling has given me a little wisdom.
Well done...
Bet your normal small amount, plan to be in for a lot of bets (like your 20 shots) until you get ahead or you REALLY like a game. Before each bet, ask "why am I doing this" one more time, "what is my strategic advantage", "am I just picking a good team based upon what I saw last week"???
Bet games that hurt sometimes, your emotion wants to go the other way, do not be on teams you LIKE or against teams you HATE just out of emotion.
In the past 15 years:
best record in the division
best record in the conference
best record in football
best record in the conference outside of the division
best record in inter-conference play
best record in the post season (most wins anyhow)
most Superbowl appearances
most Superbowl victories
anyway you want to slice it, they're at the top of the list
and I'm going to miss both Brady and Belichick
I don't disagree they are a very good team and have been. But....the fact is I have watched them and this division as close as anyone. I live in Buffalo and am also a Pats fan. But....they are lucky in many respects. An easy divisio leads to a good record an to home advantage. Look at them in the playoffs on the road....very average. They are a very good and even great a couple years but much like Lebron and the Cavs playing in the weak east.......it helps
