CSKA is starting to go on a scoring rampage again.

RunMaker · Dec 7, 2017

They are the cream of the crop in the Euro (#1 team) and also the #1 offensive team. Their offense is finally in rampage mode again as they do from season to season. Average almost 90 a game and they've got a peak scoring rhythm right now.

One thing they'll do when they get in this mode is that they just bust on teams even if they're up a big and it's late in the game. They'll just dump 25+ in the 4th quarter for just no reason whatsoever than they just can't help but score points non-stop.

They are 9-2 OVER in their last 11. One of those losses was by a half point.

Barcelona tried to slow them down with pacing and CSKA still busted >90 on them.

In last 11 games averaging almost 95/game.

Next game, 12/07: @ Brose Baskets, -10 , 164.5

CSKA will get at least 92 in this game.

RunMaker · Dec 7, 2017

Spread and ML dropping down in this game, which inversely benefits the over. Don't see how Brose wins this game but the closer the game, the more points there will be in this case.

Last 6 times they played Brose at home: 5-1 OVER
Last 12 games between the two: 11-1 CSKA wins

1st quarter should yield 45-50 pts and the 1st half about 90-95.

kidman232 · Dec 7, 2017

Seems like alot of pts

RunMaker · Dec 7, 2017

It won't be. Closing at 165.5. Start in few minutes

kidman232 · Dec 7, 2017

looks like 22-20 after 1st qtr, not many shot attempts, one took 9, one took 10. slightly ahead of pace

RunMaker · Dec 7, 2017

Really bad first quarter and still put up 42 pts. That is a perfect indicator.

Right now 11-6 in the 2nd with 5:52 left. If Brose finishes with >40 pts this half, this over is sealed. CSKA won't go into lockdown defense; they don't do that. They'll just slam home their points. And they'll easily get their absolute minimum 80+ in this game.

kidman232 · Dec 7, 2017

still no pace in this game, shooting well, but not nearly enough possesions

kidman232 · Dec 7, 2017

42-39 cska up @ half

RunMaker · Dec 7, 2017

Another shitty quarter. That being said, 81 at HT

CSKA will get their pts. They can't be stopped. Need 84

46-38
47-37
48-36
49-35
50-34

Probably need 37 minimum by Brose in 2nd half. CSKA will lead at the end so there will be fouls. If there aren't fouls at the end, then CSKA will have busted 50+ in the 2nd half on Brose. Fundamentals are good here.

Get 45 in the 3rd and this is probably 65-35% to win it.

Greenbacks · Dec 7, 2017

129 heading into the 4th

kidman232 · Dec 7, 2017

solid third 3qtr, need one more like 1

G.MONEY · Dec 7, 2017

Going to be close...Pulling for you

G.MONEY · Dec 7, 2017

Well done nice winner!

Greenbacks · Dec 7, 2017

SportsAllDay7 · Dec 7, 2017

Haha I didn’t have a single dollar on this but followed the entire thing. Great job!!! Nice win, that was fun.

kidman232 · Dec 7, 2017

Forget mustard sandwiches, we eating bologna tonight

RunMaker · Dec 8, 2017

CSKA now 10-2 OVER in last 12.

This was a subtle over, which is good for the near future. They won't jack the total in the next game so it will certainly be attainable; the question will just be whether the conditions are right.

CSKA can have 3 points at 6:30 in a quarter and then end up, quite quietly, with 24 total points.

There should be a "blow the doors off" over in one of their next few games. One where they slam home 100+ points in the first off and any hopes of an under are annihilated mid-2Q of the game.

RunMaker · Dec 8, 2017

Upcoming games:

12/10, SUN: UNICS
12/15, FRI: Maccabi
12/20, WED: Olympiacos
12/22, FRI: Khimki
12/25, MON: Astana
12/29, FRI: Baskonia
01/04, THU: Barcelona
01/07, SUN: Lokomotiv

Actually, looking at the schedule it is not very favorable for the OVER's to keep on coming over the next few weeks. Olympiacos is too low scoring and after that the holiday season is upon us and the mindset can change. Maccabi and UNICS are excellent candidates, with Maccabi being the best. UNICS is #2 in scoring in the VTB.

Well, looks like 2 more games, then that's it. Have to see opening totals for those.

kidman232 · Dec 8, 2017

that bologna sandwich was pretty good

RunMaker · Dec 9, 2017

Let's add an ice cold brewski to that bologna sammich.

Well, the total is here. 166.5 for tomorrow.

CSKA is on fire. Again, they're playing on the road as a medium plus favorite -- -8.0 points. Money line is -365. Both teams are undefeated in the VTB and they're both #1 and #2 in scoring for the league. However, don't have a good feeling about playing this total on the current number. It's better to wait and see if can get ^159.5 live or better.

On a side note, CSKA is 21-1 in their last 22 games against Unics. And, of course, CSKA is 13-1 in their last overall 14 games; the one loss coming in OT. 12 of those wins were by 7 or more.

CSKA has a sloppy, sort of non-caring attitude in their games right now. They just play. I can see them get behind early by 4 or 5 points and that'd be a good time to take CSKA live on the spread. Or they could blast the points and roll. But I think there's a good chance they face an early deficit.

Best way to go is to hit it live...... reduced total, reduced spread or ML.