Question about 1H/Game Totals

Biz · Dec 9, 2017

I have a buddy that likes to play totals based on the discrepancy of the 1H and game totals. He thinks that if there is a large discrepancy that indicates a play. He doubles the 1H total then looks for gaps. For example.......

1H 110/Game 208 = 220/208
1H 96/Game 199 = 192/199

I told him to track the plays, he says he has no time. No, you're just too fucking lazy. He was driving me nuts, I think his idea is ridiculous, so I said Fuck It I'll look at some past results. There is NOTHING of significance. Some go Over, some Under. The size of the gap meant nothing. He still thinks its significant. I told him the results were completely random, I did a week and found nothing and wasn't wasting another minute of my life looking at this.

So I have a question.....are these totals based on a team's ability to score in the 1H and 2H? Do some teams have a significant 1H/2H scoring split that causes these gaps in the line? Any other ideas?? I want to give this guy a reason why the lines have gaps. It aint because the books are "tipping us off" with these lines. I told the guy if it was that easy we would all be rich.

Thx for any input.

SecondHalf · Dec 9, 2017

Hey Biz,

Haven't really found any trend when the game is skewed to the over based on first half line but there is a very profitable trend when it is skewed to the under based on first half. ie. game total 204 1st half 99. If you tracked my posted first half plays it would be pretty easy to see what the trend is .There are two such plays tonight and I will post them. Some 1st halves will go under some over .. it's all based on the original line movement of the game total.

brewers7 · Dec 9, 2017

Biz said:
I have a buddy that likes to play totals based on the discrepancy of the 1H and game totals. He thinks that if there is a large discrepancy that indicates a play. He doubles the 1H total then looks for gaps. For example.......

1H 110/Game 208 = 220/208
1H 96/Game 199 = 192/199

I told him to track the plays, he says he has no time. No, you're just too fucking lazy. He was driving me nuts, I think his idea is ridiculous, so I said Fuck It I'll look at some past results. There is NOTHING of significance. Some go Over, some Under. The size of the gap meant nothing. He still thinks its significant. I told him the results were completely random, I did a week and found nothing and wasn't wasting another minute of my life looking at this.

So I have a question.....are these totals based on a team's ability to score in the 1H and 2H? Do some teams have a significant 1H/2H scoring split that causes these gaps in the line? Any other ideas?? I want to give this guy a reason why the lines have gaps. It aint because the books are "tipping us off" with these lines. I told the guy if it was that easy we would all be rich.

Thx for any input.

Biz:

Yes, secondhalf has some good info on those line discrepancies and he just gave you one example....

I am 99% sure those lines are based on the teams in the various matchups scoring more or less in the 1H and 2H....I have a database that has every 1H and 2H line going back for boatloads of seasons and I have what every team scored for all of those seasons in the 1H and 2H, so I am going to take a cursory look at some point to:

1) verify that Vegas is adjusting those lines for the reasons I mentioned above...... and

2) to see if there are any edges trend-wise based on the discrepancies of the game line vs. the 1H line when you see those gaps....

I will be updating this season's data soon, so I will look at this season first before going back and checking out previous seasons....

Gonna be a few days or maybe a week or so, depending on whether I can get some free time....