I’m going with my gut. I watch the dolphins closely. And I really do not see cutler thriving or even keeping it close. The dolphins had success last week against a TERRIBLE broncos team. Brady is another animal obviously. He strives on prime time games as u can see his ats record. I would love for the dolphins to keep it close. But late in the second half the pats escape with a 14-24 point victory. Good luck. Tail at ur own risk
Don't do it. Normally the Pats are money. I don't see it here. They just won two weeks ago by 18 at home against them. They got a huge game ahead of them in the Steelers. Unlike the Bills who get raped by the Pats.....Miami does a good job at home against them. I think Pats by 7. Not saying don't bet it....I would say noy big. Of course if it wins you would be pissed that you didn't. But......I really like Miami here. I'm not one to bet against the Pats....but I sure am here
I am rolling my profits onto this game. so I most likely lose when I do this. lol GL
Miami 4-1 ATS past 5 in Miami vs Pats......2 of the covers were out right dog winners, one of them was as a double digit home dog win.
And with Pitt next week, but i dont see the Pats losibg SU, thats for sure, well.....good luck either way!
And with Pitt next week, but i dont see the Pats losibg SU, thats for sure, well.....good luck either way!
NE's defense is 4th in PPG. #1 since week 5.
They keep covering and Cutler has always been horrid vs NE. It is tough to lay these points on the road, but NE is on a roll, and because they are so well coached, I think they suffer less from "look ahead" games.
8-4 ATS this year. 5-0 in last 5 weeks ATS. 8-1 ATS last nine on the road. 5-0 SU last 5 on the road. 5-1 ATS last six vs. Miami.
Pats are less susceptible to back-door covers since Coach BB is militant in keeping starters in and trying to move the ball, even when leading by a lot.
Obviously, a lot of logic to playing any home dog getting double-digit points, but I feel pretty good about NE this week. Doesn't hurt that we saw the two teams play 2 weeks ago. I guarantee BB will take full advantage of baiting Miami with tendencies and will fool them quite a few times tonight for big plays. Even w/o Gronk, NE has been great. OFfense scores a little more without him, I saw on tv the other day, in the last year or so.
They keep covering and Cutler has always been horrid vs NE. It is tough to lay these points on the road, but NE is on a roll, and because they are so well coached, I think they suffer less from "look ahead" games.
8-4 ATS this year. 5-0 in last 5 weeks ATS. 8-1 ATS last nine on the road. 5-0 SU last 5 on the road. 5-1 ATS last six vs. Miami.
Pats are less susceptible to back-door covers since Coach BB is militant in keeping starters in and trying to move the ball, even when leading by a lot.
Obviously, a lot of logic to playing any home dog getting double-digit points, but I feel pretty good about NE this week. Doesn't hurt that we saw the two teams play 2 weeks ago. I guarantee BB will take full advantage of baiting Miami with tendencies and will fool them quite a few times tonight for big plays. Even w/o Gronk, NE has been great. OFfense scores a little more without him, I saw on tv the other day, in the last year or so.
It is true Mia is 1-3-1 ATS in last 5 at home. But that is one of the only metric that favors MIA. I mean, NE:
- New England is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
- New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
- New England is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
- New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
- New England is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Miami
- New England is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Miami
- New England is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami
Chonce, both sides can.throw out trends & stats......we all know Belichick & Brady are the best coach/Qb combo of all time, & Pats dominated the NFL 17 str years, but there are certain spots plays you go against the Pats, & IMO, this is one of them, & I could be 100%.
Pats are on their 3rd str road game next week at Pitt, & Tomlin stated 3 weeks ago he's looking ahead to the Pats, hence 3 str wins & no covers by Pitt coming from behind.
Pats win by 6 to 10 points tonight, so buy the hook on wither side if your number is 10.
I put more at -10 (-120) even though I dont think it matters. gl anyone. and nothing is a lock. so bet smart. and I would never recommend betting more than 20% of ur BR on a single play. but I live for the thrill. and I have HORRIBLE bankroll management. lol
:smoking:
Last night's game, not fixed.
Letdowns happen in sports...upsets happen.
NE did not give a shit about this game they are a lock for a bye, have fought hard for a few months to win big.
Their big game for # 1 seed is next vs Pitt.
They pummeled Miami two weeks ago, hard to get up for them again.
NE was very, very banged up, look at how many starters were out.
Brady was dinged, too, anybody near him he uncharacteristically hurried his throw, even panicked a few times.
Miami was at home, MNF, decided to fight hard, it was a big game for them though their playoff hopes are slim.
Cutler wants to play next year, so gave it his best, he is looking for a contract for next year.
Did you see a lot of penalties against NE? I didn't. So do you think the NFL told the players to have Miami cover by 18 points?
YES I think sometimes the NFL fools with things, have one or two refs in a game swing it one way, but neither is told in front of the other. And a player or two fix things over the years for monetary or other reasons.
But NO WAY Vegas has anything to do with it because they "need the money", and NO WAY the NFL gets players involved.
