NBA Week 9...

brewers7 · Dec 12, 2017

31-19 (regular season), +$1010.

Sides: 16-8
Totals: 14-7
2H: 0-4
1Q: 1-0
#1 Sides: 36-18-1
#1 Totals: 33-22

Picks

Sides: (1) LAL, (2) Atl, (3) Phi, (4) Pho, (5) Was, (6) Dal, (7) Det

Totals: (1) Phi ov, (2) Was ov, (3) Pho un, (4) LAL un, (5) Dal un, (6) Det un, (7) Atl un

Notes: Bad play last night. Bad decision, really. I simply cannot go against a chart-play, even a small one with the way they are hitting so far this year. I forced that play after not playing anything for several days. Live and learn.

Picks are made, now I have to decide on whether to play anything. The top 2 totals are chart-plays. I have had 2 bad nights in a row on my second half picks, so maybe I will finally make a play tonight if I see one.

The Lakers are healthy for the first time in a while and have 2 straight road wins to show for it. NY is still missing Hardaway. Phoenix has gone Under 2 straight games (on the opening line, pushed one of those games on the closing line) since Devin Booker went down with a groin injury. Detroit has lost 6 straight games to drop from second to seventh in the Eastern Conference standings.

XSPower · Dec 12, 2017

Good luck tonight....

exploited17 · Dec 12, 2017

Maybe the problem is you aren't playing enough. Seems like your sides are winning more than not and you aren't playing them. Don't know how you decide to play sides or not...but maybe you are trying to hard for some sort of perfect spot. Anyway...just a thought

indiana · Dec 12, 2017

B/7.........let's get'em tonight buddy..........BOL with your action..........indy

brewers7 · Dec 13, 2017

31-19 (regular season), +$1010.

Sides: 16-8
Totals: 14-7
2H: 0-4
1Q: 1-0
#1 Sides: 36-19-1
#1 Totals: 34-22

Picks

Sides: (1) Chi, (2) Cha, (3) Mia, (4) Ind, (5) Was, (6) NO, (7) Tor, (8) Orl, (9) Den

Totals: (1) Cha ov, (2) NO ov, (3) Tor un, (4) Was un, (5) Mia un, (6) Chi un, (7) Den un, (8) Ind ov, (9) Orl un

Notes: Busiest day at work this season. I am buried here. The only 2 plays I like are my top 2 totals and the Bulls a little. Virtually no handicapping done tonight as this is off the cuff, so beware. I did handicap the top 2 totals as I may bet those myself. Bulls are undefeated since Mirotec returned.

brewers7 · Dec 14, 2017

Detroit Pistons -4.5, laying $110 to win $100 – I hate thinking I am “good enough” to predict exactly when a losing streak, but to say the Pistons are due are an overstatement. And I would never take a team just because they are “due”. However, the Pistons are coming off back-to-back- double-digit home losses and got spanked pretty good by Denver on Tuesday. The Pistons will win this game, they just need to win it by 5 for me to cash this ticket. I would love a double-digit blowout win where they coast, but I see it being close throughout and Detroit winning by 7 to 10 points in the end.

Good Luck.

31-19 (regular season), +$1010.

Sides: 16-8
Totals: 14-7
2H: 0-4
1Q: 1-0
#1 Sides: 37-19-1
#1 Totals: 34-23

Picks

Sides: (1) Det, (2) LAL, (3) NY, (4) Dal, (5) Sac

Totals: (1) LAL ov, (2) Det ov, (3) Dal un, (4) Sac un, (5) NY ov

Notes: I like my top 2 totals again. Split them last night. As the Houston blowout caused the second-half slowdown. I think the Lakers can back-door that number at Cleveland as they are playing much better as of late and caught a bad break last time out at NY not covering due to a foul with less than a second left in overtime. I also like the Knicks to win their second road game of the season as this is the perfect spot for that to happen going across town to Brooklyn.

r.a. · Dec 14, 2017

Respect your contributions here but a wise gambler once told me to never bet on a team with a prolonged losing streak. Watched Detroit's last game vs. Denver and they are, presently, a truly dreadful team and rather easy to see why they have lost seven straight games. Denver is a poor defensive team and Detroit scored 84 points while shooting 35% from the field. Atlanta is a really poor team so it probably sets up well for the Pistons ... just think there are better plays available - bol.

Cheddar · Dec 14, 2017

r.a. said:
just think there are better plays available - bol.

What would those plays be?

r.a. · Dec 14, 2017

Cheddar said:
What would those plays be?

Playing Sacramento + 10 1/2 as they have shown to be pretty consistently competitive in their last ten games. Conversely, i think Minnesota is one of the NBA's most underachieving teams. In 1st place but only 4 games over .500 with all-star talent like Towns, Wiggins and Butler - 9-5 at home.

indiana · Dec 14, 2017

B/7..........BOL with your action tonight.........indy

Biz · Dec 14, 2017

Detroit was in a great spot tonight that wins straight up most of the time and covers well over 65%. NBA teams often have things turn around after looking poor, you just have to know when to play them,

brewers7 · Dec 14, 2017

exploited17 said:
Maybe the problem is you aren't playing enough. Seems like your sides are winning more than not and you aren't playing them. Don't know how you decide to play sides or not...but maybe you are trying to hard for some sort of perfect spot. Anyway...just a thought

I have been too picky lately picking too many totals and not enough sides, which have always been my strong suit...Went back to my old job full-time as they need me there right now, so I do not like betting games while rushed...I did handicap this board before I went to bed last night so I was more prepared to make a bet/play on a play I believed in...

brewers7 · Dec 14, 2017

r.a. said:
Respect your contributions here but a wise gambler once told me to never bet on a team with a prolonged losing streak. Watched Detroit's last game vs. Denver and they are, presently, a truly dreadful team and rather easy to see why they have lost seven straight games. Denver is a poor defensive team and Detroit scored 84 points while shooting 35% from the field. Atlanta is a really poor team so it probably sets up well for the Pistons ... just think there are better plays available - bol.

I agree with you 100% as I usually ride these losing streaks out to the end, especially with bad teams....However, this Detroit team is not a bad team....They were 2nd in the Eastern Conference before this 7-game losing streak....They lost several very close games during this streak and to me, clearly hit rock bottom with that 19-point spanking they took at home to Denver last time out....They were embarrassed, and I like taking good teams, or at minimum, above average teams in this league after being embarrassed...Atlanta is a little banged up and the Pistons exposed their bench...And above average or "good" teams do not lose 7 in a row very often...It was just a good situational spot and Atlanta's recent cover streak coupled with Detroit's losing streak provided value with this line as this line would have been 7 or 7.5 two weeks ago...

sebek73 · Dec 15, 2017

Well done

HarryCaray · Dec 15, 2017

Top 2 sides and top 2 totals, went 3-1

THANK YOU! I'm crushing my book since I found you.

r.a. · Dec 15, 2017

brewers7 said:
I agree with you 100% as I usually ride these losing streaks out to the end, especially with bad teams....However, this Detroit team is not a bad team....They were 2nd in the Eastern Conference before this 7-game losing streak....They lost several very close games during this streak and to me, clearly hit rock bottom with that 19-point spanking they took at home to Denver last time out....They were embarrassed, and I like taking good teams, or at minimum, above average teams in this league after being embarrassed...Atlanta is a little banged up and the Pistons exposed their bench...And above average or "good" teams do not lose 7 in a row very often...It was just a good situational spot and Atlanta's recent cover streak coupled with Detroit's losing streak provided value with this line as this line would have been 7 or 7.5 two weeks ago...

Appreciate what you bring to this forum ... always insightful.

vinnyvegas · Dec 15, 2017

Brewers, thanks buddy for continuing to post.

brewers7 · Dec 15, 2017

Thanx guys....

32-19 (regular season), +$1110.

Sides: 17-8
Totals: 14-7
2H: 0-4
1Q: 1-0
#1 Sides: 38-19-1
#1 Totals: 35-23

Picks

Sides: (1) OKC, (2) Hou, (3) Was, (4) Por, (5) Det, (6) Uta, (7) Chi, (8) Atl, (9) Tor, (10) Mia

Totals: (1) Den ov, (2) Tor ov, (3) OKC ov, (4) Was un, (5) Por ov, (6) Atl un, (7) Chi ov, (8) Mia un, (9) Hou un, (10) Det un

Thoughts: Wow, I like this board a lot. I like my top 4 sides and totals. I put asterisks next to picks I like a lot when I type them into my spreadsheet. I will warn everyone that a lot of times I like this many games, I usually bomb on those plays and go probably 3-5 for tonight’s slate if I had to guess although it feels like it should be a 6-2 night with those 8.

OKC a chart-play to win after that 9-game NC streak ended. Philly not that great at home this year as they have lost to the Lakers and Suns recently at home. Houston line is fishy to me and this is one of my favorite angles where a team (Rockets) who were eliminated from the playoffs last year by their opponent (Spurs) and playing them for the first time the following season (tonight) so this is a strong revenge game as both teams have relatively close enough rosters to what they had last season. Leonard on a minutes restriction for San Antonio. Wizards have a short-revenge angle tonight after losing at LAC 6 days ago straight up. John Wall is back for this one. Portland has Nurkic back.

Denver and New Orleans previous 2 games this season were 237 and 260. Toronto scoring points in bunches at home and a chart-play for Brooklyn to the over tonight after an Under-5 was snapped last night. Philly a chart-play for the Over. Clips have Milos Teodosic and Austin Rivers out tonight with everyone else and Wizards Under in 8 of their last 9.

I will see if I can somehow narrow this down to 1 to 3 plays bit I may not be able to so pick 1 or 2 out that you like.

topcat874 · Dec 16, 2017

Nice plays today keep it rolling

Wza · Dec 16, 2017

This is great stuff thank you. I always look forward to your posts and they've been helping immensely!

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