If you want to win bowl games ATS at a staggering clip.....2017-18

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Create a parlay card and distribute them to casual sports bettors and watch them gravitate to the same teams. We FADE OR PLAY AGAINST the teams most selected. We only use WHOLE NUMBERS and as always: ALL TIES LOSE.


The last five bowl seasons have yielded 10-2 ATS, 7-5 ATS, 8-3, 7-5 ATS, and 5-5 respectively (37-22 ATS). The minimum amount of teams a player can select is 3 teams (at 5 to 1) and the maximum amount of teams is 10 teams (at 200 to 1). The larger the sample size, the better the results.


There are MANY cards to sift through; though the distribution and tracking has become more automated. I will post the teams that were selected the most, along with the lines used, and number of selections by Monday 12/18.

As mentioned and played in this thread the last two years, I will be including a corresponding ML bet with the Underdog ATS bet. The ML Bet will be kept on the side, and obviously won't count towards the parlay cards, but are a must, given 27 of the 37 ATS winners have been straight up ML dog winners over the last 5 years.


Let's have a great Bowl Season!


A&F
 

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Thanks for sharing these again this year. I did well following this last year. And for sure on the ML plays!!!
 

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So basically a fade the public system? Reminds me of the parlay cards my dad would bring home from work. Probably easier to tabulate the results if you digitize the cards or use something to scan the results into a spreadsheet.

BOL
 
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Cards are automated. Quick note:

The cards turned in up to this point, have TROY -6 13-2

We play NORTH TEXAS +6

I apologize for the late count on this game. Not many plays on the early card, but N.Texas is a play.

NORTH TEXAS +6

A&F
 

Rx Doc
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Any more plays Aces? Thanks for doing this again. This is one of my favorite things to look for each year!
 
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South Florida -3 (26-4) PLAY ON TEXAS TECH +3** (12/23)

Duke -5 (19-4) PLAY ON NORTHERN ILLINOIS +5 ** (12/26)

Northwestern -7 (22-5) PLAY ON KENTUCKY +7 * (12/29)

Louisville -7 (34-1) PLAY ON MISSISSIPPI STATE +7 * (12/30)

Penn State -2 (38-6) PLAY ON WASHINGTON +2 ** (12/30)

Auburn -10 (31-5) PLAY ON UCF +10 * (1/01)


Just a couple of quick notes...

-The asterisks (*) indicate a ML play for me on the corresponding sides. A single asterisk (*) is a 10% ML play relative to my ATS investment and a Double asterisk (**) is a 20% ML play relative to my ATS investment. (I.E. a $2K ATS bet will have either a corresponding $200 ML BET or a corresponding $400 ML BET).

-The cards were sent out early/mid week of 12/4/17, and obviously many lines have changed since then.

-Players selected many different teams, and I saw more split action than ever before.

-More Bama action on the Bama / Clemson game than I thought.....Bama -3 brought close to 60/40 action (46-31).

-The UGA / OU game brought almost dead even action...(38-36) UGA -1.

BOL to all this bowl season. Seems to be many games with even (or close to 50/50) action on this years bowl games.

Let's get it!...
A&F
 

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A&F.

TROY/N.TX....So I know it was late, and you posted it with a nice differential (13-2). With that stated (and I would ask this win or lose), would you still have thought of it as a play to meet your normal bowl criteria? Again, I do not ask due to the W/L, but rather where this game fell in the bowl season and the low(er) tally.

Always appreciate your contributions my friend. Let's win these bowl games.

Cheers!
 
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A&F.

TROY/N.TX....So I know it was late, and you posted it with a nice differential (13-2). With that stated (and I would ask this win or lose), would you still have thought of it as a play to meet your normal bowl criteria? Again, I do not ask due to the W/L, but rather where this game fell in the bowl season and the low(er) tally.

Always appreciate your contributions my friend. Let's win these bowl games.

Cheers![/QUOTE

Hi Mosi. Yes; with 13-2 on Troy, N. Texas qualified as a play. The fact that only 50% of the cards were turned in up to that point was the only inhibiting factor, but 13-2 was most certainly a gravitational movement by the players toward Troy. Good question Mosi.

Hopefully the six plays posted will produce some winners ATS and SU.

BOL Mosi

A&F
 

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if you have time one day can you post the entire bowl schedule with numbers on each team, it would be interesting to see the splits on all the games. Either way, Happy Holidays to you !
 

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Thank you! N. Illinois, Miss St, and Washington are also matches to the "running dogs" thread so I'll play those 3 for sure.
 

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Tough loss yesterday with the Red Raiders my friend. Led and covered the entire game until 16 seconds left. And had they properly called intentional grounding on the previous play before the TD Pass we probably hang on for dear life. Nonetheless, they should have been up much more at half and put themselves in a bad situation.

We move forward. My best A&F.

Cheers!
 

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