How To Bet Monday Night's Eagles-Raiders NFL Game

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hacheman@therx.com
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How to bet Oakland at Philadelphia
NFL VEGAS EXPERTS
ESPN INSDER

ESPN Chalk's NFL Vegas experts (Phil Steele, Erin Rynning and Mike Clay) are here to provide analysis and best bets for Monday night's tilt between the Oakland Raiders at Philadelphia Eagles. John Parolin of ESPN Stats & Information breaks down the best prop bets.

Note: Odds courtesy of the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook as of Sunday morning.


Oakland Raiders at Philadelphia Eagles (-9)

Total: 46.5
PickCenter public consensus pick: 71 percent on Philadelphia


Phil Steele

The Eagles' magic number to clinching the No. 1 seed in the NFC is one. Since the Vikings won on Saturday, the Eagles still need a victory, and that makes picking this game early a little treacherous. One thing I can forecast is the total. All season long, the Eagles Achilles heel has been viewed as their secondary. Last week Eli Manning lit them up with 429 yards passing, and now they take on Derek Carr and the Raiders' pass offense. Nick Foles hit 24 of 38 passes for 237 yards with 4 touchdowns and 0 interceptions last weekend. Those numbers are close to what Carson Wentz has averaged per game. Foles also had the best game of his NFL career versus the Raiders back in 2013, throwing an amazing seven touchdown passes. The Eagles have the No. 3 offense in the NFL and take on a weak defense. I will side with the over in this one.

ATS pick: Lean on Over 47

Mike Clay

Prediction: Philadelphia 27, Oakland 17
The pick: Philadelphia and the under -- PHI -8.5, 48

John Parolin's prop bets

62.5 receiving yards by Michael Crabtree (O/U -110)

Crabtree has posted 60 yards or fewer in five straight games and now gets to travel to Philadelphia to face an Eagles' defense that ranks in the top 10 in completion percentage and yards per attempt allowed to wide receivers this season. Crabtree's 6.2 yards-per-target average leaves him needing 11 targets to hit 63 yards, seemingly a tall order for most wide receivers.

So why is Crabtree a decent bet to hit 63 yards? He's been there with room to spare lately, and Amari Cooper's return should help instead of hurt. Cooper hasn't had a catch during the last three weeks and missed a pair of games with injuries. Though Crabtree was suspended for Week 13, the Cooper injuries have left Crabtree as Carr's only receiving option. He's seen 30 targets over the past two weeks against the Chiefs and Cowboys. He still finished with fewer than 63 yards in each, but it's worth giving a few targets to Cooper if he can get a little more open. Crabtree averaged a full yard more per target with Cooper on the field while still seeing a target on one-quarter of his routes run. He'll see plenty of the ball, he just might not have as much of a problem with defensive attention.

The play: Over

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247.5 passing yards by Nick Foles (O/U -110)

Foles carved up the Giants for four touchdowns and no interceptions last week, a hope-inspiring start for Eagles fans expecting playoff success. Though the Giants' offense was productive (putting the Eagles in 20-7 hole in the second quarter), Foles wound up with only 237 yards when leading the comeback. Philadelphia didn't throw that much more than usual, with the Eagles rushing on 41 percent of plays this season and 39 percent from the start of the second quarter on. This appears to be the ceiling for Foles in terms of play-calling - Philly isn't likely to be in a situation that requires more passing with Foles.

The Raiders' defense may be more susceptible against the run, with both Jay Ajayi and LeGarrette Blount capable of gaining tough yards. New York's rush defense has allowed the fewest yards after contact per rush of any team since Week 6. The Raiders aren't as stingy, and if Blount and Ajayi are able to rack up harder yards in a more rush-friendly game script, the Eagles may not need Foles to compile big passing yards.

The play: Under
 

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(OAKLAND RAIDERS vrs PHILADELPHIA EAGLES)

That's my final story and I'm sticking to it.
 

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