MistaFlava's 2017 College Football Bowl Games Line Movement System (10-2 ATS so far)

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Handicapping Machine
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Have not posted yet this Bowl Season but have been working on a nice system that I can finally post here. All of these numbers and line movements can be found on Covers.com so nothing is made up. Enjoy tracking it and following and/or making some plays.


Explanation: If you take the OPENING LINE from Bet 365 on all the Bowl Games and then compare it to the very first LIVE GAME LINE (released online) on the day of the game and follow the movement, you bet wherever the movement has gone (regardless of what happened in between). Following this system would have sent you on a 10-2 ATS run so far with two games not qualifying for the system because the above mentioned lines were identical.


Here were the SYSTEM PLAYS so far:


12/16: Troy vs. North Texas. Opening: UNT -5.5, Day of Game: TROY -7. PLAY: Troy -5
12/16: Boise State vs. Oregon. Opening: ORE -7, Day of Game: ORE -7. NO PLAY
12/16: Western Kentucky vs. Georgia State. Opening: GSU -5, Day of Game: WKU -7. PLAY: Western Kentucky -7
12/16: Middle Tennessee State vs. Arkansas State. Opening: ARST -3.5, Day of Game: ARST -3. PLAY: Middle Tennesse State +3.5
12/16: Marshall vs. Colorado State. Opening: CSU -5.5, Day of Game: CSU -3.5. PLAY: Marshall +3
12/19: Akron vs. Florida Atlantic. Opening: FAU -22.5. Day of Game: FAU -23. PLAY: Florida Atlantic -23.5
12/20: Louisiana Tech vs. Southern Methodist. Opening: SMU -5, Day of Game: SMU -4. PLAY: Louisiana Tech +4
12/21: Temple vs. Florida International. Opening: TEM -7, Day of Game: TEM -7. NO PLAY
12/22: UAB vs. Ohio. Opening: OHIO -7.5, Day of Game: OHIO -6.5. PLAY: UAB +6.5
12/22: Central Michigan vs. Wyoming. Opening: WYO -1, Day of Game: WYO -3. PLAY: Wyoming -2.5
12/23: Texas Tech vs. South Florida. Opening: USF -2.5, Day of Game: USF -3. PLAY: South Florida -2.5
12/23: San Diego State vs. Army. Opening: SDST -7, Day of Game: SDST -6.5. PLAY: Army +6.5 *
12/23: Appalachian State vs. Toledo. Opening: TOL -8, Day of Game: TOL -6.5. PLAY: Appalachian State +6.5
12/24: Fresno State vs. Houston. Opening: HOU -2.5, Day of Game: HOU -1.5. PLAY: Fresno State +3


*No odds listed for Bet365 so an average of all other offshores was done. Said to play Army.



10-2 ATS


Let's continue this and see how well it does or how far it goes.


12/26: Utah vs. West Virginia. Opening: UTAH -4.5/-7. Day of Game: UTAH -6.5/-6.5. NO PLAY *
12/26: Duke vs. Northern Illinois. Opening: DUKE -3/-4.5/-2.5. Day of Game: Duke -5.5/-6. PLAY: Duke -6.5 *
12/26: Kansas State vs. UCLA. Opening: KSU -2.5, Day of Game: KSU -6.5. PLAY: Kansas State -6.5


*No odds listed for Bet365 so an average of all other offshores was done. NO PLAY for one game, Duke the play for the other.






:toast:
 

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Handicapper
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Hey Flava my old friend. Nice to see ya around. BOL on the remaining bowl season
 

We see the light
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Duke is back to 4.5... so you wait for near game time/final odds to confirm?
 

Cosa Nostra
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Go get it Flava!
 

Handicapping Machine
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Crazy another two winners tonight:

Duke -6.5
Kansas State -6.5


2-0 ATS today and 12-2 ATS (only 2 posted online) on the Bowl Season.



Will be posting tomorrow's plays before the first game.



:toast:
 

Handicapping Machine
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Duke is back to 4.5... so you wait for near game time/final odds to confirm?


Nope from what I have tracked it's based only on very first line (opening line) and the actual line at the beginning of (Day of Game). What happens after that doesn't matter, tons of public money comes in. You can find all these stats on Covers.com under the line movement. Tons of games in next few days, let's see if this continues.
 

Handicapping Machine
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Results so far and PLAYS for today...


12/16:
Troy vs. North Texas. Opening: UNT -5.5, Day of Game: TROY -7. PLAY: Troy -5

12/16: Boise State vs. Oregon. Opening: ORE -7, Day of Game: ORE -7. NO PLAY
12/16: Western Kentucky vs. Georgia State. Opening: GSU -5, Day of Game: WKU -7. PLAY: Western Kentucky -7
12/16: Middle Tennessee State vs. Arkansas State. Opening: ARST -3.5, Day of Game: ARST -3. PLAY: Middle Tennesse State +3.5
12/16: Marshall vs. Colorado State. Opening: CSU -5.5, Day of Game: CSU -3.5. PLAY: Marshall +3
12/19: Akron vs. Florida Atlantic. Opening: FAU -22.5. Day of Game: FAU -23. PLAY: Florida Atlantic -23.5
12/20: Louisiana Tech vs. Southern Methodist. Opening: SMU -5, Day of Game: SMU -4. PLAY: Louisiana Tech +4
12/21: Temple vs. Florida International. Opening: TEM -7, Day of Game: TEM -7. NO PLAY
12/22: UAB vs. Ohio. Opening: OHIO -7.5, Day of Game: OHIO -6.5. PLAY: UAB +6.5
12/22: Central Michigan vs. Wyoming. Opening: WYO -1, Day of Game: WYO -3. PLAY: Wyoming -2.5
12/23: Texas Tech vs. South Florida. Opening: USF -2.5, Day of Game: USF -3. PLAY: South Florida -2.5
12/23: San Diego State vs. Army. Opening: SDST -7, Day of Game: SDST -6.5. PLAY: Army +6.5 *
12/23: Appalachian State vs. Toledo. Opening: TOL -8, Day of Game: TOL -6.5. PLAY: Appalachian State +6.5
12/24: Fresno State vs. Houston. Opening: HOU -2.5, Day of Game: HOU -1.5. PLAY: Fresno State +3
12/26: Utah vs. West Virginia. Opening: UTAH -4.5/-7. Day of Game: UTAH -6.5/-6.5. NO PLAY *
12/26: Duke vs. Northern Illinois. Opening: DUKE -3/-4.5/-2.5. Day of Game: Duke -5.5/-6. PLAY: Duke -6.5 *
12/26: Kansas State vs. UCLA. Opening: KSU -2.5, Day of Game: KSU -6.5. PLAY: Kansas State -6.5

*No odds listed for Bet365 so an average of all other offshores was done. Said to play Army and Duke.



12-2 ATS


Let's continue this and see how well it does or how far it goes.

12/27: Southern Miss vs. Florida State. Opening: FSU -15/-14, Day of Game: FSU -14.5. PLAY: Southern Miss +12.5 *
12/27:
Iowa vs. Boston College. Opening: IOWA -3, Day of Game: IOWA -2.5. PLAY: Boston College +3 *
12/27:
Arizona vs. Purdue. Opening: ARIZ -3.5, Day of Game: ARIZ -3. PLAY: Purdue +3
12/27:
Texas vs. Missouri. Opening: MIZZ -3, Day of Game: MIZZ -3. NO PLAY



*No odds listed for Bet365 so an average of all other offshores was done. Southern Miss the consensus at most offshore books and so was Boston College.




:toast:
 

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