Interesting Numbers Part 5

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FRED SANFORD IS MY HERO
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In all my years of wagering I have never seen this strong of a trend especially during bowl season. Trends will end. When you make your wagers make sure you stay within your means. While i hope that this stays hot odds are it will cool down eventually. The match ups so far have allowed this trend to stay hot. It's "all" about the match up! Place your bets wisely!

This trend is 19-2 and it was 4-0 yesterday. Here are the picks for today. As a reminder this is not the Massey rating system but a defensive scoring stat.

Virginia - 1
Virginia Tech + 5.5
T.C.U. - 3
Michigan State - 1.5

The other part is to fade the teams with the best offensive stats. This stat so far is 4-17

Navy, Oklahoma State, T.C.U. and Washington State

Once again we have a team that leads in both stats. T.C.U
This stat is 3-1 now with Florida Atlantic, South Florida and Iowa winning
San Diego State losing.

If you are a "stats" guy here are some other key defensive stats worth noting and the record....
Defense lowest yards per play allowed - 17-4
Fewest first downs allowed - 16-5
Rushing Defense - 17-4
Yards Per rush - 17-4
Defensive Total Yards Allowed 16-5

Only offensive stats worth noting
Offense with lower turnover average is 16-5
Least Penalized Offense - 15-6


Something worth reading before you place your wagers!!!

:modemman:
 

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V Tech seems exactly like Purdue and Arizona. One good offense against rhe better defense. Bt....you can't compare Arizona and OK ST. Thanks for all the picks
 

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V Tech seems exactly like Purdue and Arizona. One good offense against rhe better defense. Bt....you can't compare Arizona and OK ST. Thanks for all the picks

True, but my system has OK St # 2 in offense, AZ # 5, but VT has a much larger defensive advantage over OK St than Purdue did over AZ.

AND VT plays in the ACC, 9-2 last year in bowls and so far 2-1 this year (Duke, Fla St, then BC ugly loss on frozen field)...

But this system has, I believe, done well in the past until mid bowl season, then when the better teams start playing, it falters... so do not go too far with this... be careful.

GL!
 

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True, but my system has OK St # 2 in offense, AZ # 5, but VT has a much larger defensive advantage over OK St than Purdue did over AZ.

AND VT plays in the ACC, 9-2 last year in bowls and so far 2-1 this year (Duke, Fla St, then BC ugly loss on frozen field)...

But this system has, I believe, done well in the past until mid bowl season, then when the better teams start playing, it falters... so do not go too far with this... be careful.

GL!

How has this system done in the past after mid bowl season? Would it be a good idea to fade this system since it falters? 2-19 IMO is just as valuable as 19-2 when you fade the losers.
 

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The system using "The better scoring defense" shouldn't include Navy games. Virginia may have the better scoring defense but they haven't faced a true option offense all year. Option offenses should be excluded from the system.
 
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The system using "The better scoring defense" shouldn't include Navy games. Virginia may have the better scoring defense but they haven't faced a true option offense all year. Option offenses should be excluded from the system.

You don't consider GaT a true option offense?
 
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The system using "The better scoring defense" shouldn't include Navy games. Virginia may have the better scoring defense but they haven't faced a true option offense all year. Option offenses should be excluded from the system.

Yes they have, they played GT and won earlier in the year.
 

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Who were the 2 losses. SD State and who else
 

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Lots of favorites also. Tomorrow all 5 picks are the favorites. Today 3 of 4 are favorites.
 

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San Diego State was also a loss
 

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lol sry. So if UAB and SD State (lost to Army, a option offense) are the only 2 losses.....and say Virginia loses....the record will be 19-3. Back to my point. If you take out the 2 picks with teams playing against option offenses it would be 19-1 after the Virginia game (if Virginia loses). My point is playing the better scoring defense against a option offense shouldn't be counted. Playing 1 option offense for the who season, as you stated, doesn't give a true advantage for the defense.
 

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The WHOLE issue with the VA-Navy game is the weather.
VA cannot catch the ball, too cold, they overwhelmingly have a passing offense, have a below avg running game. You could see it the first few series, game over.
Navy is built for this game, on AT better for precision for their GREAT option running game, and it is too cold for VA WRs to latch on to passes.
I missed it, did not realize the weather was this cold, took the ACC team with better D, but small.
VA plays GT every year (Loves2kick) and had several weeks to prepare for this game, they folded on D, on the field all the time while VA offense went 3 and out all the time.
DAMN I didn't check the weather... got cocky. Course, no cappers on this board mentioned this... most just lob up a pick
 

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