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Thread: NBA Plays 2017-2018

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  1. #26  
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    Good luck today my friend....
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  2. #27  
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    Jumping on Indiana -2 and Chicago +6. You may get lucky and find -1.5 and +6.5 respectively.
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  3. #28  
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    Quote Originally Posted by Mr Unlucky View Post
    Jumping on Indiana -2 and Chicago +6. You may get lucky and find -1.5 and +6.5 respectively.
    Played both already. Can't believe Bulls getting that many without Harden.
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  4. #29  
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    Looking at the two late games as well. Back shortly.
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  5. #30  
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    Bulls trying to trade Nikola Mirotić. May explain why the Rockets were -6 without Harden.

    We were looking at Atlanta and Denver later; deciding to pass.

    Funny, looked hard at Minnesota, then decided to pass as we typically like more line value. Looks for now like a mistake...Wolves are crushing lazy, punchless, under-coached Cavs.
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  6. #31  
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    Toronto -4 and Sacramento +7.5

    We could have had -3.5, but delayed the play. Hurry, it is rising to -4.5 in places.

    28-18-2
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  7. #32  
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    Going to take a break from posting here as my bud has lost his mojo. Not doing anyone any favors when we have 0-2 or 1-1 nights. Big mistake taking Raptors tonight without Lowry, and failed to post Portland as a play in time to post a play (I didn't get a text). So unless Sacramento comes through, we've shit the bed again.
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  8. #33  
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    28-20-2

    Lost two plays not posted on Wednesday (Portland and a bad tip on Indiana). The drought continues. Taking Nets +4 (-120) and Denver -6 (-120) tonight. Tread carefully.
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  9. #34  
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    30-20-2

    Still low confidence, but playing anyway. Taking Dallas -4.5 today in rare afternoon game. LAL playing great this week, but Dallas team playing even better in their quest to move toward the 8 Seed. Lakers may have false confidence, but Dallas a poor favorite this year and last. We take it anyway. We do like Sacramento but they are too unpredictable to roll the dice.

    Almost certain to take the Nets later. Will update evening plays later.
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  10. #35  
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    It is amazing to me these people actually get paid a TON of money to play a fun sport and fail to give effort. Dallas is such a horrendous defensive team which is why they are 4-8 as a favorite. Probably a bad selection after all. Will have to get money back later.
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  11. #36  
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    UPDATE: No selection tonight after all. Ordinarily he would take the Nets, but doesn't like it now. Plus, a poor choice on Dallas as a favorite. Lakers going through a brief spurt of playing good ball against defenseless teams. He said today was more of a play against the Lakers than it was on the Mavs.

    30-21-2
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  12. #37  
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    Last second play on Indiana -3 (-120). No one would be interested anyway, the NFL football game was consuming everyone anyway.
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  13. #38  
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    31-21-2

    Lost Detroit on MLK day (not official play because I played it on my own, so did not post. My contact is taking off a few days to re-assess NBA).

    31-22-2

    Two more unofficial plays tonight I (only) am playing but counting in the record:

    Minn -8
    Celtics -5 (-120)

    Too much chalk, and I got a feeling I will be 0-2. Orlando sucks if the opponent refuses to defend the 3-pointer, and Minnesota probably does not, but Orlando has no many issues it is hard to pass up a steaming hot T-Wolves team. Boston is playing non-con between two East matchups with Philly. If they lose tonight, I'll jump on them against Philly.
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  14. #39  
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    31-24-2 losing both Minnesota and Boston (eating too much chalk). 3-6 last 9 plays, and glad I didn't post since we both have not been playing these in tandem. Minnesota losing in Orlando is easy to attribute to their refusal to defend the 3-point shot. Celtics simply have no answer to David and Cousins underneath, hence they have no chance of winning an NBA title anytime soon due to their struggles with the West. I knew Boston was a loser within the first minute the game began. Rule #1: Be patient and don't force your plays.

    Took Dallas +6 at last minute based on their unbelievable record as an underdog of +3.5 to +9.5. The way they are struggling in Denver, staring at a likely 0-3 night.
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  15. #40  
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    32-24-2 (thank you Dallas)

    Low confidence tonight because of difficult matchups to handicap. Took a risky low dollar wager on the Bulls although points may be too low (would rather have +10). Golden State could be going on a roll, but we love the recent play of Chicago. Detroit an ideal underdog, but Toronto off a bad defeat. Atlanta hot at home, but N.O. may be too much for them underneath like they were for Boston. Bucks look like a good side, but Miami off a bad loss and still scary despite losing Tyler Johnson (would prefer to have Bucks as underdog). Love the Lakers plus the big points, but OKC owns them. Lots of Services on Denver...not sure why.

    I think we'll begin to see some ripe plays in the next few days. Sometimes have spells like this where we cannot find value. The record will improve as well.
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  16. #41  
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    33-24-2

    Tempted to take Cleveland, but that record as a favorite this season keeps us away. Same with Boston, but they are 3-0 this season vs Philly, and off a win just a week ago, and Kyrie out tonight. No way.

    So taking Minnesota +5. Previously flaming hot Wolves embarrassed (hopefully) by the loss in Orlando, and Houston has not played that well with or without Harden. Also aware that Vegas adjusts lines with people out (two Houston suspensions), but Minnesota plus points is too good to pass up.

    Good possibility we will post a play on Indiana after 9:30 (if we play it). These are joint plays after a week-long hiatus.
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  17. #42  
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    Calling this BS pick on Minnesota a loss not even halfway through the 3rd Q. Second consecutive game where they absolutely REFUSE to defend the 3-point shot. Houston is beating the sh__ out of them in every phase of the game. Really disappointed I played this one after losing with them the last game. Piss poor effort.

    On the other hand, keep waiting for Cleveland to cover the spread, LOL. Avoiding free money like some sort of public street drunk. Cavs are a whopping 6-27 as a favorite, 3-17 in home games, 3-18 versus teams under .500, 9-28 after a loss by 10 or more points. 12-31 ATS overall this season! And if I were to place a bet against them in their next game, they'll win by 30.

    33-25-2 which SUCKS.
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  18. #43  
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    Mr./lucky.........little bump in the road, we all have them...........well done YTD.........BOL with tonight's action..........indy
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  19. #44  
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    Thank you.

    Tonight, late, low confidence plays on Indiana +2 (-120) and Knicks +5.5. Utah has Gobert back, but he will be limited, and Knicks can hang with Jazz, especially underneath Lakers have too many injuries, and Pacers and are probably mad at blown lead last night. Plus, they are just a much better team. Knicks 9-2 as UD's of +3 to +6.5, and are 13-3 ATS last 16 in Utah, plus an incredible 22-4 ATS in the series!
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  20. #45  
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    34-26-2 after Pacers quit in the 4thQ last night.

    Still a low confidence card today as we struggle to get back to 66%. We are on the Bulls +2.

    Miami is playing 5th game in 7 nights, Charlotte 5th game in 8 nights (under anyone? 7 of last 8 in this series have gone under when played in Charlotte, but we never play over/unders.) Also, Miami is 7-1 ATS as an UD of +4 to +5.5, 8-2 as an UD of +4 to +9.5. Charlotte is 7-1 as a FAV of -4 to -5.5, 9-3 as a FAV or -4 to -8.5. What gives? We are still deciding that one, but could lean to the Heat. Tyler Johnson out for Heat though.

    We do not like Milwaukee without the All-Star Antetokounmpo in the lineup (we definitely would if he was playing), but we do not like Philly either because of perceived line value. Also, liked Houston early today, but no play now due to massive line movement towards Rockets.

    Update later.
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  21. #46  
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    We are going to take Memphis +9 (waiting to see if the lines moves). If it drops to -8, we'll pass. We'll buy it up at (-120) if it remains the same (using Pinnacle line).

    I see the total has dropped from 203 to 202 with Miami-Charlotte. We will play out first total of the year at UNDER if it moves back to 203 (but not if it drops again).
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  22. #47  
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    Yet another Cleveland loss as a pointspread Favorite (see notes above in this thread). The hits just keep on coming, and we keep missing out. Dam.

    We are finished with the card other than last game. If we choose a side in Dallas/Portland, will post later. No play on Charlotte/Miami game (no total either although we would take Under).
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  23. #48  
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    More to contemplate. Dallas is an incredible 18-6 ATS as an underdog of +1 to +9.5; 12-4 ATS from +3 to +6.5; 17-5 from +3 to +8.5. If you look at the matchups they did NOT cover, you'll find a whose-who of top NBA teams. Portland is not among that group.

    So Dallas or no play if we add it. Portland though is a hellish place to play. However, based on analysis of Dallas results, we are leaning toward a take at +6 (-120).

    Look for update later, most likely if we back off (line would have to drop to +5 or less).
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  24. #49  
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    Long season, so we are going to skip the Dallas game. Much points to Dallas, but they are also 1-6 ATS off 3 days rest, have Barea out and Portland is really tough at home even though Dallas has done well there. Also, the line slippage from +5.5 to +5 worries us. But take Dallas if you don't mind the extra play, they may win anyway.
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  25. #50  
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    Finally a 2-0 night. 36-26-2.

    Boston -10.5 or wait to see if it drops to -10 (looks like it is some places). Simply put, they are due. Plus, Orlando cannot live off the 3-pointer every game and cover each time. Hopefully Boston does not let up today and allow a late Orlando cover.
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