BIG's Week 17

bradyisgod · Dec 31, 2017

Medium Bets

Jax +1 FH
Cinci +10
Dallas -3
Oakland +7.5

Big bets

San Fran ML -230

Also have a small bet on San Fran +5. Wished I could have got San Fran earlier but as of now the line is +5...was busy for the holidays. I can't see them losing the game so I'm just going with a safe ML (I usually don't bet ML). Happy Holidays and BOL RX'ers!

chonce · Dec 31, 2017

Yeah I have bet on SF every week since Jimmy and cashed. I got this week at 3(-120) and now that value is gone. Up to 4 last I checked at some shops. I am tempted to bet more, but losing the hook, and then some...maybe their is a team total to look at.

bradyisgod · Dec 31, 2017

chonce said:
Yeah I have bet on SF every week since Jimmy and cashed. I got this week at 3(-120) and now that value is gone. Up to 4 last I checked at some shops. I am tempted to bet more, but losing the hook, and then some...maybe their is a team total to look at.

Nice. I should have checked the lines last Sunday. This line has moved 6 points on my book. Yeah maybe SF TT 2H, Garopollo facing a worn down back-up city. It might get ugly.

I'm not a fan of ML plays but I think that they can be good situationally. This one seems relatively low risk. I'd much rather lay 3 points than have to ML that's for sure. I'm just late to the party. I like to keep a couple ML plays in the playbook, I have a good record with them and they play well in specific situations.

Good luck Chonce!

bradyisgod · Dec 31, 2017

I'm adding a small play Indy -5. Houston is beyond help this year. We have no offense and cluster injuries on almost all of our key players minus Clowney (even Hopkins is out!) Indy beat us at home earlier this year, I was at that game, now Texans are on the road in a similar situation/same team. Houston is not a good road team - much better at home. I also don't mind taking Brissett, he's capable. And a little extra motivation with this being Pagano's last game. I see a little value here.

bradyisgod · Dec 31, 2017

Results

Cinci W (pending with a minute left)
TB W (This was one of my bigger bets, for some reason I didn't post it up because I'm a dumbass, wont count it as a posted play but it was one of my favorites today)
DAL W
INDY W
SF W (2 bets here spread + ML, counting it as one big bet)

OAK L
Jags FH L

Went 4-2 in posted plays and 5-2 in actuality counting TB - both big bets hit for me. Hope everyone did well on their respective bets and have a happy and safe New Years.