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Thread: 2018 achandicap soccer plays

  1. #401  
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    A lot of my plays are based on power ratings and metrics, and then how the odds react to my ratings. In the case of Atalanta, my numbers actually had Udinese as a favorite. So when the line came out in favor strongly of Atalanta (even with the injury), that said to me the linemakers know more than my simple numbers show and Atalanta was the play. If a number looks wrong, it probably is for a reason.

    MONDAY
    ENGLAND
    Watford +.5 +122/Everton, 2 units
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  2. #402  
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    another one i took draw no AH and got lucky late nice call again gluck hopefully crush Champions league today and tomorrow
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  3. #403  
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    TUESDAY
    CHAMPS (early)
    Galatasaray PK -115/Porto, 2 units
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  4. #404  
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    CHAMPS
    Tottenham +.5 -126/Barcelona, 1 unit
    Atletico Madrid -1 +112/Club Brugge, 1 unit
    Inter -1.5 +112/PSV, 3 units
    Monaco +1 +102/Dortmund, 1 unit
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  5. #405  
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    WEDNESDAY
    CHAMPS
    Plzen/Roma DRAW +247, 1 unit
    Benfica -1.5 +120/AEK, 2 units
    Hoffenheim +1.5 +108/Manchester City, 1 unit
    Shakhtar/Lyon DRAW +272, 1 unit
    Valencia/Manchester United DRAW +234, 1 unit
    Juventus -1.5 +111/Young Boys, 1 unit
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  6. #406  
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    THURSDAY
    EUROPA (early)
    Standard Liege -1 +110/Akhisarspor, 2 units
    Besiktas -1 +115/Malmo, 3 units
    Marseille -1.5 +102/Apollon, 1 unit
    MOL Vidi +1 -110/Chelsea, 1 unit
    Rapid Vienna PK -119/Rangers, 1 unit
    Rennes -1 +109/Astana, 1 unit
    Sevilla -1.5 -113/Krasnodar, 2 units
    Villarreal -1.25 -108/Spartak Moscow, 2 units
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  7. #407  
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    Not sure Iíve ever seen you play so many favs. GL
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  8. #408  
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    EUROPA (late)
    Celtic PK -127/Salzburg, 1 unit
    Dinamo Zagreb -1 -128/Anderlecht, 1 unit
    Milan PK -118/Olympiakos, 2 units
    Leipzig -2.5 -104/Rosenborg, 2 units
    Slavia Prague -1 -121/Zenit, 2 units
    Sporting -1.5 +104/Vorskla, 1 unit
    Trnava PK -104/Fenerbahce, 1 unit
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  9. #409  
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    SATURDAY
    ENGLAND
    Leicester PK +104/Crystal Palace, 2 units
    Newcastle PK +109/Huddersfield, 2 units
    West Ham PK -124/Fulham, 1 unit

    ITALY
    Udinese +1.5 -112/Inter, 1 unit
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  10. #410  
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    SUNDAY
    ENGLAND
    Chelsea -1 -130/Brighton, 5 units

    ITALY
    Cagliari +1.5 -129/Napoli, 2 units
    Genoa +1.25 -118/Roma, 2 units
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  11. #411  
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    SATURDAY
    ENGLAND
    Huddersfield/Southampton DRAW +211, 2 units
    Cardiff +1 -119/Manchester United, 2 units

    ITALY
    Cagliari +1.5 -119/Lazio, 2 units
    Empoli/Sampdoria DRAW +245, 1 unit
    Genoa +.5 -101/Atalanta, 2 units
    Sassuolo/Torino DRAW +225, 1 unit
    Frosinone +.5 +119/Udinese, 1 unit
    Parma PK -126/Bologna, 2 units

    Record: 570.5-652, +59.94
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  12. #412  
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    SUNDAY
    ENGLAND
    Tottenham -.5 +126/Everton, 2 units
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  13. #413  
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    WEDNESDAY (Boxing Day!)
    ENGLAND
    Burnley +.5 -109/Everton, 1 unit
    Leicester +1.5 -114/Manchester City, 2 units
    Huddersfield +1.5 +113/Manchester United, 3 units
    Bournmouth +1.5 -119/Tottenham, 1 unit
    Brighton +.5 +120/Arsenal, 4 units
    Watford +1 -130/Chelsea, 2 units

    ITALY
    Bologna +.5 +124/Lazio, 1 unit
    Cagliari/Genoa DRAW +217, 1 unit
    Parma +1 -104/Fiorentina, 1 unit
    SPAL/Udinese DRAW +208, 2 units
    Empoli +.5 +121/Torino, 1 unit
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  14. #414  
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    favorites and overs on fire today in EPL, damnit
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  15. #415  
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    SATURDAY
    ENGLAND
    Brighton +.25 -109/Everton, 2 units
    Huddersfield +.5 -121/Fulham, 1 unit
    Newcastle +.5 +113/Watford, 3 units

    ITALY
    Frosinone +.25 -106/Chievo, 3 units
    Emoli +1 +104/Inter, 1 unit
    Genoa/Fiorentina DRAW +226, 1 unit
    Torino +.75 +101/Lazio, 4 units
    Parma +.75 +101/Roma, 2 units
    Sassuolo +.5 -126/Atalanta, 4 units
    Udinese/Cagliari DRAW +211, 2 units
    Bologna +1.5 +111/Napoli, 1 unit
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  16. #416  
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    On the last day of 2018 soccer plays, I give to you...

    ENGLAND
    Crystal Palace +.75 +104/Chelsea, 1 unit
    Southampton +1.5 +110/Manchester City, 2 units
    Bournemouth +1.5 -124/Manchester United, 1 unit
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  17. #417  
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    Final tally for 2018: 583.5-669.5, +59.45 units. The World Cup killed me. I lost 27.82 units there, including an almost impossible 0-20 on 2-unit bets. My other big loser was Colombia (-25.93). I made it back on Brazil (44.57 units), Sudamericana (24.32) and Europa (22.54). Interestingly, my unit plays were almost perfect, in that I won more as the plays got bigger.

    1 unit: -5.15
    2 units: -14.46 (-28.93)
    3 units: +5.24 (+15.72)
    4 units: +5.02 (+20.08)
    5 units: +11.55 (+57.73)

    I could have just played my 5-unit plays (Record: 46-32.5) and made just 1.7 units less over the entire year. But what fun would that be? See you in 2019 in a new thread.
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