Conn at 7-6 and 3-7 ats and 0-2 away and 1-3 on neutral scoring 69.4 ppg giving up 73.0 diff of -3.6
Tulsa at 9-5 and 8-3 ats and 6-1 home scoring 75.4 ppg giving up 70.6 ppg for a diff of 4.8
Diff of 8.4 Tulsa worth 3-4 at home, line could be 11-12 but yet 4, and even lower now. I think there is value in the line. Conn get a lot of respect for a 7-6 team on the road where they are 0-2 and 1-3 on neutral. Probably because they battled Wichita before losing by 10 in a closer game than the final score. (at UCONN) And we all know Tulsa is not a Wichita St team. (BTY) Wichita St has not been very consistent, or at least not living up to expectations so far this season. I've noticed Conn scores on the road with losses by 29 and 15 in true road games, 9, 35, 20 on neutral sites,
Conn W's: Coppin St, Monmouth and Columbia both in OT, Boston, Stony Brook and Colgate, (I would hope they are still winning these games)
Point of emphasis for me is that they haven't proven anything, especially on the road (they did beat Oregon who is down for Oregon this year), and they have struggled at Tulsa. Tulsa has won 2 row and 3 out of the last 4 games at home in this series.
UCONN are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games overall. (like it)
Tulsa are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 home games (like it a lot)
Last year both games were decided by 2 points. Tulsa returned 4 starters to this years team and UConn returned 1. (from the looks of Tulsa scores and W's so far this season, they have improved quite a bit form last year.
UCONN on the road scoring 61 ppg and shooting 37% fg and 29% form 3 pt land (hope it continues)
Tulsa at home scoring 83.6 ppg and shooting 48.9% fg and 38 % from 3 pt land (much better at home)
Conn giving up 81 ppg on the road
Tulsa giving up 72 ppg at home
I like my chances with Tulsa at -4 for a (2), and would really like it even more at -2, but that happens sometimes when you bet early
Bradley (2)
Valpo at 9-6 and 6-6 ats and 0 3 away scoring 72.3 ppg giving up 66.4 ppg for a diff of 5.9
Brad at 11-4 and 8-4-1 ats and 7-0 home scoring 68.9 ppg giving up 60.7 ppg a diff of 8.2
Diff of 2.3 and Bradley worth 4 at home so line is right on spot. A lot of Valpo work done earlier in the season. They have regressed, due to injuries, finally playing tougher teams, and maybe just no Drew around anymore.
Stats clearly fav Bradley at home where they score more, shoot the 3 at a much higher %, and
are: 21-5-1 ATS in their last 27 home games. (like it a lot)
Valpo has lost their last 4 road games by 9, 13, 34, and 1.
Going to take a shot on a very experienced Bradley team at home for a (2) and hope they take care of business.
Oklahoma (2)
Okl St at 10-3 and 4-6 ats and 0-0 away scoring 79.4 ppg giving up 67.2 ppg for a diff of 12.2
Oklahoma at 11-1 and 5-6 ats and 6-0 at home scoring 94.7 ppg giving up 79.9 ppg for a diff of 14.8
Diff of 2.6, and Oklahoma worth 4-5 at home so line is high, or is it? No road games for Okl St this year or this diff would be higher. I'd like to think that the line is close, but still not going to be enough.
Why not high enough IMO?
Okl St won both games last year, including a 2 point W at Oklahoma. (revenge maybe, at least you know coach has noted it to players.)
Okl St are 2-10 ATS in the last 12 meetings. ( like it)
read this:
No. 7 Oklahoma has already matched its 11-win total for the entire 2016-17 season after opening Big 12 play with a 90-89 road win at then-No. 8 TCU. And a big reason for the big turnaround for Lon Kruger's squad, which hosts in-state rival Oklahoma State on Wednesday night, is the outstanding play of true freshman guard Trae Young.
The 6-2 Young, a five-star recruit from Norman High School just a five-minute drive from the OU campus, will enter his first Bedlam rivalry game leading the nation in both scoring (29.6 points per game) and assists (10.7) while shooting 41.3 percent from 3-point range, and is battling Arizona's Kevin Garnett clone, 7-foot forward Deandre Ayton, for national freshman of the year honors. Oklahoma State coach Mike Boynton, who coached against Steph Curry three times when he was an associate head coach at Wofford in 2007-08, compares Young favorably to two-time NBA Most Valuable Player. "I think he may be the best college basketball player since Steph Curry," Boynton told the Tulsa World. "Those guys, at 35 feet, you're not safe. So that changes the entire way you think about defensive schemes because you're not used to having to guard somebody at the 35-foot mark."
Oklahoma leads the nation in scoring (94.7) and also ranks ninth in assists (19.1) and 12th in 3-pointers (11.2). (got to love it and home)
The Cowboys swept the Bedlam series last season but Oklahoma has won 17 of the last 26 meetings and 15 of the last 17 games played in Norman. (Don't think they will be sweeping this year)
Oh, Oklahoma averages 100 points a game at home.
No numbers for Okl St away cause it's their first true road game.
Should be a interesting game and nothings for sure even at home just ask Kansas, but I'm hoping that 2 point loss last year at home when Oklahoma was clearly a down team after losing 5 starters from the year before and their stud will revert back to the previous 4 home games dominated by Oklahoma.
You see Oklahoma will run it up if given the opportunity.
2016 71-49
2015 64-49
2014 82-65
2013 88-76
Now maybe I'm not giving a very good Okl St team enough credit, but it won't be the first time or the last time that I've been way off base.
Good luck my friends and always bet reasonably.
Remember to check out the posters in this forum, they are killing it!!!
