Brooklynworm's nfl 2018 wild card playoffs

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VISITORHOMESTRAIGHT UPSPREADOVER/UNDERPREDICT SCORE
44.5 TENNESSEE-8 KANSAS CITYKANSAS CITYTENNESSEE +8OVER 44 ½ KC 27 TENNESSEE 21
48.5 ATLANTA-6 ½ LA RAMSLA RAMSATLANTA -6 ½ OVER 48 ½ LA RAMS 30 ATL 27
39.5 BUFFALO-8 JACKSONVLLEJACKSONVILLEBUFFALO +8OVER 39 ½ JAX 23 BUFFALO 17
48.5 CAROLINA-6 ½ NEW ORLNEW ORLEANSNEW ORLEANS -6.5OVER 48 ½ NOR 30 CAROLINA 20

TENNESSEE @ KANSAS CITY: The KC Chiefs season, has been like a roller coaster, especially in the second half. My efficiency ratings, had KC ranked #4 after game one, and stayed strong up until week #10. Thereafter, the Chiefs became a middle of the road football team. The combined playoff record of home and road favorites, is 11-26-1 against the spread. The Titans are a vanilla football team. That in my opinion, backed into the playoffs. The best efficiency rating that Tennessee ever achieved was 20[SUP]th[/SUP], in the second half. The poor Kansas City defensive play hasn’t improved heading into the playoffs. Lastly, KC has the second worst home field advantage against the spread.

ATLANTA @ LOS ANGELES RAMS: The Atlanta Falcons, showed improvement over their first half number, however, come up short. After week #8, the Falcons ranked 21[SUP]st[/SUP] in efficiency, and topped out at 13, in the second half. Out of all the NFC playoff teams, I rated Atlanta dead last. Regardless, I like Atlanta to cover the spread. Atlanta has been there before, and the Rams haven’t. Cinderella teams, with young QB’s don’t make it past post season play to the Super Bowl. If Atlanta wasn’t so low in total efficiency, I would have picked them to win this game straight up. However, don’t rule out the possibility of an upset. The Rams may feel the pressure, comes game time.

BUFFALO @ JACKSONVILLE: Buffalo is a team that under achieved this season, yet backed into the playoffs. Since week nine, in the second half, they went from 11[SUP]th[/SUP] place, and closed the season in 29[SUP]th[/SUP] place, in efficiency. In my opinion, San Diego was more deserving to go post season. Jacksonville, has managed to stay above water, in the second half. They maintained their standings in the top ten, to close the regular season. They did falter a bit after week #15, however, their defensive play, is the key to this team’s winning success. With Buffalo’s Shady McCoy injury, even if he plays, he won’t be 100%. Without a healthy Shady McCoy, there is no threat on offensive, to intimidate the defensive minded Jags. The only way Jacksonville loses this game, is the “Bortles Factor”.

CAROLINA @ NEW ORLEANS: The Saints are one of the most efficient teams in the NFC They have shown consistency since week #10, and as of today I would rank overall in the NFC , Saints, LA Rams, Minnesota, Philadelphia. Carolina, has done nothing to impress me in the second half. I have them ranked as a 10[SUP]th[/SUP] ranked team, however, look at the four power house teams that I just named, that’s ahead of them. I don’t trust Cam Newton, and I will take the cagey veteran Drew Brees, when all bets are on the line.
 

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BROOKLYNWORM....With you across the board. Only game I have trouble capping and you highlight the reason is Bortles. Which one shows up? The surgeon I saw pick apart Seattle (albeit whom were missing some key defensive personnel) or the one that threw 4 INT's against the Niners a week later?

Wish you the best in your post season plays!


ENJOY THE TILTS!!:toast:
 
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LOL, the Bortles Factor. Who knows?. I tell you what. If Shady was 100%, I wouldn't hesitate to jump all over Buffalo. Shady is a game changer, and Bortles is a loser.
 

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