Forum: International and Other Sports Forum - Discuss betting important International sports such as tennis and golf etc. with sharp handicappers from around the world.

Thread: Fore! 2018

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  1. #26  
    RX Member lostinamerica's Avatar
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    Honda:

    The bunched leaderboard which is light on elites is ideal for in-running wagers. But the difficult scoring conditions make any venture fraught with a sudden slide into oblivion. Since the unexpected is almost as likely as the expected, not a huge disadvantage making selections on the basis of minimal substance.

    In-running . . .

    Patrick Rodgers(300/1)(1/4 for 1-2-3-4) e.w.
    Sergio Garcia(40/1) e.w.


    GL
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  2. #27  
    RX Member lostinamerica's Avatar
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    Tshwane Open:

    Outrights:

    Benjamin Hebert(33/1) e.w.
    Justin Walters(45/1) e.w.
    Hennie Otto(55/1) e.w.
    Louis De Jager(100/1) e.w.
    Soomin Lee(125/1) e.w.

    GL
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  3. #28  
    RX Member lostinamerica's Avatar
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    WGC Mexico:

    Outrights:

    Jon Rahm(11/1) e.w.
    - - Seems like a decent spot to try and be on board his winning train for my first time (which always converts me into more of a fan than I am before it happens).

    Paul Casey(28/1) e.w.
    - - Some credentials for playing his best in the best company and on fiddly tests.

    Thomas Pieters(35/1) e.w.
    - - Would be the first play I would drop out of these seven.

    Tony Finau(40/1) e.w.
    - - Would rate this as my top play.

    Chez Reavie(60/1) e.w.
    - - Believe rather than just suspect he still has some early season flash in his arsenal, but entirely speculative how he likes Mexico City.

    Pat Perez(80/1) e.w.
    - - Really like Pat to show up in some big event(s) before summer has even arrived, but the higher math to figure out this course may not suit his quick trigger.

    Patton Kizzire(100/1) e.w.
    - - Seems worthy of a flyer as being among the best of the rest.

    GL
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  4. #29  
    RX Member lostinamerica's Avatar
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    India:

    Outrights:

    Late in posting . . . real life intrusions . . .

    Andrew Johnston(33/1) e.w.
    Oliver Fisher(66/1) e.w.
    Edoardo Molinari(100/1) e.w.

    G
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  5. #30  
    RX Member lostinamerica's Avatar
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    Valspar:

    Outrights:

    Paint me a Winner!

    Ryan Moore(40/1) e.w.
    Kevin Streelman(50/1) e.w.
    Zach Johnson(66/1) e.w.
    Charles Howell(70/1) e.w.
    Lucas Glover(100/1) e.w.
    Ryan Palmer(110/1) e.w.
    Sam Saunders(150/1) e.w.

    GL
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  6. #31  
    RX Member lostinamerica's Avatar
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    Toshiba:

    Tommy Tolles(150/1) e.w.
    Rocco Mediate(80/1) e.w.
    Steve Flesch(100/1) e.w.

    GL
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  7. #32  
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    Quote Originally Posted by lostinamerica View Post

    Toshiba:


    Tommy Tolles(150/1) e.w.
    That finish was excruciating. I considered it such a strong play. God Bless and God Damn.

    Outrights YTD: 11-101 (-25.88*)
    Matchups YTD: 0-1 (-1.25*)

    GL
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  8. #33  
    RX Member lostinamerica's Avatar
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    Arnold Palmer:

    Zach Johnson(60/1) e.w.
    Sam Saunders(160/1) e.w.
    Adam Scott(35/1) e.w.
    Lucas Glover(100/1) e.w.
    Kevin Na(66/1) e.w.
    Yuta Ikeda(500/1) e.w.
    Alex Noren(28/1) e.w.

    GL
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  9. #34  
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    Patton Kizzire(80/1) e.w.

    GL
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  10. #35  
    RX Member lostinamerica's Avatar
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    Dominican Republic:

    Scot Piercy(16/1) e.w.
    Patrick Rodgers(18/1) e.w.
    Kelly Kraft(50/1) e.w.
    Matt Every(125/1) e.w.

    GL
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  11. #36  
    RX Member lostinamerica's Avatar
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    Match Play:

    Outrights:

    Tommy Fleetwood(35/1) e.w.
    Patrick Reed(28/1) e.w.
    Paul Casey(20/1) e.w.
    Luke List(80/1) e.w.
    Shubhankar Sharma(100/1) e.w.
    Phil Mickelson(25/1) e.w.
    Brian Harman(80/1) e.w.
    - - Leaving off Thomas Pieters(66/1) e.w.

    Matchups:

    Hadwin(-110) over Kisner
    Hoffman(-115) over Steele
    Sharma(+150) over Garcia
    Mickelson(-155) over Howell
    Fleetwood(-150) over Poulter
    - - Leaving off Noren(-150) over Na

    GL
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  12. #37  
    RX Member lostinamerica's Avatar
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    Thursday:

    Z.Johnson(-140) over Fisher
    Watson(-120) over Leishman
    Hadwin(+180) over D.Johnson
    Hoffman(-135) over Levy
    Sharma(+110) over Schauffele
    Howell(+120) over Cabrera Bello

    GL
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  13. #38  
    RX Member lostinamerica's Avatar
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    Rapiscan:


    Outrights:


    Scott McCarron(20/1) e.w.
    Tommy Tolles(60/1) e.w.
    Rocco Mediate(66/1) e.w.


    GL
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  14. #39  
    RX Member lostinamerica's Avatar
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    Match Play:

    Friday:

    Harman(+210) over McIlroy
    Noren(-125) over Finau
    Hatton(-170) over Hoffman
    Z.Johnson(-160) over Ikeda
    Uihlein(-145) over Vegas
    Steele(-120) over Levy

    GL
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  15. #40  
    RX Member lostinamerica's Avatar
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    Saturday:

    Noren(+100) over Reed
    - - Not keen on anything, yet. Maybe wouldn't mind being wrong on this one.

    Noren(50/1) e.w. for The Masters
    - - Not keen on his propensity at Augusta, just expect he will be near his best.

    GL
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  16. #41  
    RX Member lostinamerica's Avatar
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    Saturday:

    Smith(+155) over Noren
    Poulter(+150) over Kisner
    - - Like the first one.

    GL
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  17. #42  
    RX Member lostinamerica's Avatar
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    Sunday:

    Thomas(-165) over Watson
    Kisner(+125) over Noren

    GL
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  18. #43  
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    Sunday:

    Watson(-160) over Kisner
    Noren(+120) over Thomas

    GL
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  19. #44  
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    Outrights YTD: 12-122 (-41.13*)
    Matchups YTD: 11-12 (-2.00*)

    Houston:

    Outrights:

    Charles Howell(50/1) e.w.
    Chesson Hadley(125/1) e.w.
    Sean O'Hair(100/1) e.w.
    Byeong Hun An(40/1) e.w.
    Kelly Kraft(100/1) e.w.
    Nick Watney(150/1) e.w.
    Sam Saunders(200/1) e.w.
    Lucas Glover(110/1) e.w.
    - - Left off Finau, Snedeker and Wagner . . . Looking at skinny profits at best next week with mostly short-priced favorites in my stable, but found plenty of bigger prices that appeal this week.

    GL
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  20. #45  
    RX Member lostinamerica's Avatar
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    ANA Inspiration:

    Outrights:

    Lexi Thompson(11/1) e.w.
    Michelle Wie(30/1) e.w.
    Angela Stanford(250/1) e.w.

    GL
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  21. #46  
    RX Member lostinamerica's Avatar
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    Outrights:

    Rory McIlroy(10/1) e.w.
    - - If he holes out well early, then his putting will be something top shelf all week, and heís in the Top 5 all weekend.

    Bubba Watson(18/1) e.w.
    - - Iíll call this insurance against. I expect he will bring some game and is a real threat, but I can easily name 30+ players I would be rooting for instead down the stretch.

    Phil Mickelson(18/1) e.w.
    - - I think Lefty appreciates that at 47 years old there will not be a lot more occasions when his game is peaking around these cherished grounds.

    Alex Noren(50/1) e.w.
    - -
    Quote Originally Posted by lostinamerica View Post
    Noren(50/1) e.w. for The Masters
    - - Not keen on his propensity at Augusta, just expect he will be near his best.
    Justin Rose(14/1) e.w.
    - - Must be the return to the same venue every year that creates a history in this major of bridesmaids delivering strong efforts the following year.

    Ian Poulter(55/1) e.w.
    - - Iím struggling to see value past some yet to form cadre of market leaders emerging by Sunday, so any of my more speculative plays get relegated to the specialty markets, or hopefully in-running. But there is a decent tradition of last-in winners having a great week at Augusta, so these skinny odds on a valedictory moment appeal more than the equally skinny 22/1 for Paul Casey.

    Brian Harman(66/1) e.w. 1st Round Leader
    - - http://www.golf.com/tour-news/2018/0...able-on-course Go Dawgs!

    Kyle Stanley(90/1) e.w. Top American
    - - His long absence from the big events offers huge appeal in my betting catechism, even though Iíd prefer a test built more on technical ability than feel, creativity and experience.

    Jimmy Walker(80/1) e.w. Top American
    - - Thereís something intriguing there. Brian Harman and Chez Reavie also considered.

    Rafael Cabrero Bello(30/1) e.w. Top European
    - - Thatís enough. His best stuff comes in stretches.


    MATCHUPS:

    Watson(+148) over Day (Tournament)
    Leishman(+108) over Scott (Tournament)
    Mickelson(-118) over Rahm (Tournament)
    McIlroy(-104) over D.Johnson (Tournament)
    Harman(-120) over Hoffman (Tournament)
    Cabrera Bello(+118) over Grace (Tournament)
    McIlroy(+125) over Scott/Rahm
    Stanley(+137) over Willet/Dufner
    DeChambeau(+130) over Wiesberger/Fitzpatrick
    Finau Miss Cut(+165)
    Winning Score Un277'(-120)
    Woods Lowest Score Un68'(-110)


    GL
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  22. #47  
    RX Member lostinamerica's Avatar
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    Friday:

    Walker(+115) over Cabrera/Fisher
    Mickelson(-110) over Fowler
    Thomas Un 71'(-150)
    Woods Un71'(+100)

    GL
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  23. #48  
    RX Member lostinamerica's Avatar
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    In-running:

    Louis Oosthuizen(50/1) e.w.
    Tommy Fleetwood(150/1) e.w.
    - - Liking Oosthuizen and settling on Fleetwood as threats after looking closely at two dozen names outside the Top 10.

    Saturday:

    Oosthuizen Un71'(+100)
    Hatton(+100) over Poulter
    McIlroy Un70'(+120)

    GL
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  24. #49  
    RX Member lostinamerica's Avatar
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    Sunday:

    Patrick Reed Win(+120)

    Leishman Un71'(-138 )
    Hatton(-110) over Poulter
    Woods Un71'(-143)
    D.Johnson(-120) over Rose
    Spieth(-115) over Thomas

    GL
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  25. #50  
    RX Member lostinamerica's Avatar
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    Open de EspaŮa:

    Matthew Southgate(125/1) e.w.
    Edoardo Molinari(200/1) e.w.
    Victor Dubuisson(50/1) e.w.
    Thomas Aiken(125/1) e.w.
    - - Better never than late.

    GL
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