Jack Straw's Payback is a Bitch Season Thread

JackStraw · Jan 6, 2018

Hey Guys,

This thread will have all my plays that meet my in conference qualifications to make a play based on several factors like revenge, head to head, home & away splits, back to back road or home games, opening line & line moves, ect.

I will give as much info as possible for my reasoning:

Plays will be from 1* - 5* My normal size wager is 3* (please bet responsibly with good money management)

Posted record:
ATS 1-0 +5*
ML 1-0 +5*

Here we go
1/6 5:30 Troy @ Texas St -1 / 136 (opening line)

This is a rematch of the Sun Belt Championship game last year. Troy won 59-53

Troy
returning starters from champ game - Jordan Varnado (Jr) 18pts/12reb, Kevin Baker (Sr) 0pts, Wesley Person (Sr) 16pts
not returning from champ game - Jeremy Hollimon 15pts, Daniel Peace 0pts, Devon Walker 8 pts

2-7 on the road this year giving up 76 points per game
Trend to keep an eye on if this line moves to pick or a favorite - as a road fav of 3pt or less or pick 0-2 current, 0-4 last 3 years & 1-9 since 1997

This is 2nd road game of 3 straight they lost last game @ Texas Arlington 86-76

Texas State
returning starters from champ game - Immanuel King (Sr) 11pts/8reb, Nedeljko Prijovic (So) 7pts, Nijal Pearson (So) 7 pts
not returning from champ game - Kevin Gilder -Tidbury 19pts/6reb, Ojai Black 6pts, Bobby Conley 3pts

5-1 @ home scoring 79 & giving up 59
last 3 seasons at home vs Troy 2-0 SU & ATS / all time 4-0 SU & ATS

This is 2nd straight home game they won last game 72-69 vs South Alabama

Thoughts:
This is a solid revenge spot for Texas State... This game is circled on the calendar and they will be ready to go!!!
Based on Troy's current road record & being 2nd game of 3 straight along with the poor history @ Texas State that is another huge advantage.
The opening line of Texas State -1 makes me think they are happy to take Troy $ and they did early and I think they will late. The line did move to a pick & now is at Texas State -1.5.
Based on past history and style of play I liked the Under from the beginning so I am happy to see the total move from 136-137.5...

current line Texas St -1.5 / 137.5

Plays:
I will be on Texas St & Under but I am not putting them in till closer to game time... I will update lines once I wager.

5* Texas St -
2* Under -

I will have another game @ 8:00 - I will do the write up shortly

Also if you can get a line on the Winthrop/Campbell game @ 2:00 let me know what it is I might have a play.
I can not get a line for it

Best of luck
JS

indiana · Jan 6, 2018

J/straw........BOL with all your action today........indy

XSPower · Jan 6, 2018

Good luck today my friend :103631605

GTROCKMAN · Jan 6, 2018

Thanks Jack !!!!!!!!!! :toast:

JackStraw · Jan 6, 2018

5* Texas St -1.5 -105
2* Under 137 -115

GL

JackStraw · Jan 6, 2018

1/6 8:00 S Dakota St @ Nebraska Omaha +9.5 / 162 (opening line)

This is a rematch of the Summit League Championship game last year. S Dakota St won 79-77

South Dakota St
5-4 on the road this year scoring 85 & giving up 86 points per game
This is there 2nd straight road game they won last game @ N Dakota St 87-80

Nebraska Omaha
5-0 @ home scoring 87 & giving up 67
This is there 2nd straight home game they won last game 100-60 Doane

Thoughts:
This is a BIG game for Omaha and just another road game for S Dakota St. S Dakota St. has a clear advantage with returning almost all their starters from last year and Omaha losing 4 of 5 but Omaha has done a great job offensively and S Dakota St gives up a lot of points and that plays right into what this game is gonna be a plain old shoot out where both teams will be in the 80's.
IMO 9.5 points is just too many points in this spot with all the motivation on the side of the dog...

current line Omaha +8.5 / 163

Plays:
I love this...I just went to my book and the line dropped a whole point to 8.5. There is no way that line is dropping because a 5-12 Omaha team is taking action over a 13-5 S Dakota team. I am going to play the over now @ 163 and wait till closer to game time to see if this line goes back up...
I will update line once I wager.

Plays:
5* Over 163 -105
2* Nebraska Omaha +

Best of Luck
JS

JackStraw · Jan 6, 2018

Plays:
5* Over 163 -110
2* Nebraska Omaha +9-120

GL

JackStraw · Jan 7, 2018

Recap
5* Texas St -1.5 -105 -5.25* lost by the hook we lost starting guard Marlin Davis very early in the 1st half to a knee injury. I should of played ML but hopefully some won or pushed with a better line.
2* Under 137 -115 +2.00*

Plays:
5* Over 163 -110 +5.00* Just as I thought it was a shootout & flew over the total
2* Nebraska Omaha +9-120 -2.40* Omaha started slow and just could never catch back up, they cut it to 12 with about 2 minutes left but couldn't get a couple stops.

Slykry · Jan 7, 2018

Yeah, I thought about buying that hook on that -1.5 but didn't pull the trigger since it was a 5 star...stuff happens...on to the next winner!

JackStraw · Jan 7, 2018

Posted record: (1/6 -.65*)
ATS Sides 1-2 -2.65*
ATS Totals 2-0 +7.00*
ML Plays 1-0 +5.00*
Total Units +9.35

1/7 6:00 SMU @ Cincinnati -7.5 / 126.5 (opening line)

This is a rematch of the American Athletic Conference Championship game last year. SMU won 71-56

SMU
returning starters - Jarrey Foster (Jr) 13pts/6reb, Ben Emelogu (Sr) 6pts/3reb
losing starters - Ben Moore 15pts/9reb, Semi Ojeleye 14pts/9reb, Mark Milton 8pts/3reb/6ast, Sterling Brown 18pts/2reb

1-4 on the road this year giving up 70 points per game
lost @ W. Kentucky, TCU & Tulane

This is 2nd straight road game they lost @ Tulane 73-70 last game

Cincinnati
returning starters - Kyle Washington (Sr) 12pts/5reb, Gary Clark (Sr) 10pts/9reb, Jarron Cumberland (So) 14pts/4reb, Jacob Evans (Jr) 10pts/7reb/3ast
not returning - Troy Caupain 8pts/4reb

8-0 at home scoring 86 & giving up 55
They won 7 Straight to start the season lost @ Xavier & Florida and currently are on a 6 game winning streak
at home vs SMU 4-0 SU & 3-1 ATS all time

Thoughts:
Cincinnati is returning almost their whole starting lineup and SMU is the opposite which makes this a huge revenge spot for Cincinnati...
This game is sandwiched in between 3 road games but I guarantee as soon as the schedule came out this game was the first to be circled and will be and ass whipping today!!!
Based on SMU's current road record along with their poor history @ Cincinnati that is another huge advantage.

Current line Cincinnati -7.5 / 127

Plays:
5* Cincinnati -7 -115 (buying the half cause I got fucked without being kissed yesterday)

Best of Luck
JS

GTROCKMAN · Jan 7, 2018

Great call keep up the good work . And Yea , I should have bought the half myself !! Doin' good :toast:

JackStraw · Jan 11, 2018

Posted record: (1/7 +5*)
ATS Sides 2-2 +2.35*
ATS Totals 2-0 +7.00*
ML Plays 1-0 +5.00*
Total Units +14.35*

I do not have time for write-ups tonight

Plays:
7:00 3* Siena +12.5 -110
7:00 1* Siena +650
7:00 3* UNC Greensboro +8-110
7:00 1* UNC Greensboro +320

GL

JackStraw · Jan 13, 2018

Posted record: (1/11 -2.3*)
ATS Sides 3-3 +2.05*
ATS Totals 2-0 +7.00*
ML Plays 1-2 +3.00*
Total Units +12.05*

1/11 Recap
Had a good chance to win both money line plays as both teams were leading in 2nd half and both blew it especially Siena.
Took a bad beat with Greensboro not covering the spread
It was a solid low risk / big pay opportunity

1/13 Plays:

2:00 3* Oregon +9 -105
2:00 1* Oregon ML (I don't have a # yet)
3:00 3* Weber St -2 -110 (If this line goes down I will play ML)

I will update final lines once I play them tomorrow...

Sorry no write-ups I am at Duke with my daughter!!!

Best of Luck!!!!

JackStraw · Jan 18, 2018

Posted record: (1/13 -1.3*)
ATS Sides 4-4 +1.75*
ATS Totals 2-0 +7.00*
ML Plays 1-3 +2.00*
Total Units +10.75*

I have 4 plays tonight
I will post the early one now and the other 3 shorty they are at 8:00 & 9:00

7:00 5* College of Charleston -11.5 -105
COC returning all the starters from last years conference champ game and UNCW lost a ton of talent. UNCW been getting hammered all year especially on the road. They have lost by 13+ 6 times this year... Big talent gap here and COC gonna hand out a nice ass whipping for last couple years. Payback is a bitch.

Best of Luck
JS

bubba_army · Jan 18, 2018

Hey Jack Straw from Wichitah, im a 53 year Old Deadhead from Ct. first show was Springfield Ma. 79.... since then, over 200 shows

JackStraw · Jan 18, 2018

Plays:
8:00 3* Wis. Milwaukee +4.5 -105
8:00 2* Wis. Milwaukee +160

8:00 3* Marshall +4 -105
8:00 2* Marshall +165

9:00 3* St Mary's +7.5

Best of Luck
JS

JackStraw · Jan 18, 2018

4/2/89 was my first I got to see around 100 before Jerry passed, I was at Hampton 89

bubba_army said:
Hey Jack Straw from Wichitah, im a 53 year Old Deadhead from Ct. first show was Springfield Ma. 79.... since then, over 200 shows

JackStraw · Jan 18, 2018

adding
2* COC -3.5 -105 2nd Half

the beating continues

JackStraw · Jan 18, 2018

or not

Jack Straw said:
adding
2* COC -3.5 -105 2nd Half

the beating continues

richporter · Jan 18, 2018

uncw just kept hitting 3 after 3 these final few minutes

Jack Straw's Payback is a Bitch Season Thread

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