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Thread: Nfl Divisional Round Playoff Games

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  1. #26  
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    I think Philly is building a very good team for the future. I think this is the year where they get their feet wet and taste defeat in the playoffs but in the long run it will be a good learning experience for them.

    Look at the young QB's who went far in the playoffs. Russell Wilson in Seattle (top defense), Big Ben 2nd year (top defense), Tom Brady 2nd year (top defense).
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  2. #27  
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    Since 1990, road team in divisional round that won on the road in the wildcard round are 14-33 SU.......go against Atlanta & Titans SU
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  3. #28  
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    Quote Originally Posted by TheWorldIsMine View Post
    I am not sure I can back Philly at this point. The defense was bad against a lousy Giants team then the following week vs an Oakland team who had nothing to play for, they almost lost that game. Foles does not make defense respect the long pass down field.

    On the otherhand, Atlanta's defense the last 2 games has looked like a top 5 defense to me. They are flying to the ball. Coach Quinn is an excellent coach and the Falcons are completely different in the playoffs under him than Mike Smith. I think Quinn is emerging as one of the best coaches in the NFL. Look what he did with Seattle and Seattle hasn't done anything without him.

    Atlanta has a different mindset on defense and they are hungry to avenge last year's superbowl collapse. The Eagles are trending in the wrong direction.
    I'm in agreement with you, no way i'm betting on Foles winning any playoff game especially not against a D just starting to look like a serious top 5-7 ranked D....Atl have the weapons to put Philly away here
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  4. #29  
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    Quote Originally Posted by Winners are Grinners View Post
    I'm in agreement with you, no way i'm betting on Foles winning any playoff game especially not against a D just starting to look like a serious top 5-7 ranked D....Atl have the weapons to put Philly away here
    I'm not betting on Foles to look like Mknatana, I'm betting on Philly's rested defense to crush Ryan & get the win while Foles manages the game, that 2 week bye will surprise everyone on how well Foles plays this game. Philly will lose in conf champ game.
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  5. #30  
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    The defense was used to playing with the lead and being able to attack the Qb but now with Foles we can't rely on that.

    The Eagles defense is small and quick similar to Atlanta's, so I expect Atlanta to use Cole man more who can run with some power.

    There is a possibility Jim Schwartz could get another head coaching job. Will he be as focused with the team.
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  6. #31  
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    Quote Originally Posted by TheWorldIsMine View Post
    The defense was used to playing with the lead and being able to attack the Qb but now with Foles we can't rely on that.

    The Eagles defense is small and quick similar to Atlanta's, so I expect Atlanta to use Cole man more who can run with some power.

    There is a possibility Jim Schwartz could get another head coaching job. Will he be as focused with the team.
    Should be a good game either way, good luck!
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  7. #32  
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    #1 seeds in divisional round are 21-4 SU.......take Philly

    #1 seeds in divisional round coming off a SU loss in week 17 are 15-4 SU.....take Philly
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  8. #33  
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    Pats -13 vs Titans


    Some trends:


    Pats 5-1 ATS vs Titans

    Belichick is 25-9 SU in playoffs life time.......at home Pats are 17-3 SU & 11-5-1 ATS

    In the last 10 postseason games played at Foxboro, the Patriots are 9-1 SU and 7-3 ATS with six of the victories coming by double digits
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  9. #34  
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    I'm going to Delaware end of this week to play a few parlay & teasers:

    Here's one teaser I'm playing:


    13 point 4 team teaser, don't know exact lines yet, but this is what I like:

    Eagles +16, Patriots Pk, Pitt +5.5, Saints +17
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  10. #35  
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    Quote Originally Posted by The Computer Group View Post
    #1 seeds in divisional round are 21-4 SU.......take Philly

    #1 seeds in divisional round coming off a SU loss in week 17 are 15-4 SU.....take Philly
    yes but I wonder how many of those were playing with the back up QB....not saying they won't win i'm just saying i'd be a bit careful about relying on those stats in this situation
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  11. #36  
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    Quote Originally Posted by The Computer Group View Post
    Should be a good game either way, good luck!
    Good luck TCG! Hope you have a profitable weekend.
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  12. #37  
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    The computer Group, I don't think you can play 13 point teasers at Delaware. I will be there SAT. afternoon.
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  13. #38  
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    Quote Originally Posted by john towers View Post
    The computer Group, I don't think you can play 13 point teasers at Delaware. I will be there SAT. afternoon.
    John, when do cards come out, I've only been down there like 7 or 8 times ever......I thought they had 13 pt teasers, I thought I played them there.

    Maybe its a 10 pointer but I swear its more than that, or maybe I'm wrong
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  14. #39  
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    Got this online for Delaware sports betting:



    All wagers must involve at least three separate games. NFL games only.

    Regular season:

    Half-point parlays

    Teasers (6 points)

    Super Teasers (10 points)

    Reverse Teasers (-7 points)

    $100,000 Parlay Card

    Future book wagering



    Postseason:

    Half-point parlays

    Teasers (6 points)

    Reverse Teasers (-7 points)

    Playoff Special cards

    Future book wagering



    If this is all I can get on a teaser is 7 points, I'm not driving 1.5 hours down there damn it. I can play 10 point teasers with both my local guys.
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  15. #40  
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    Quote Originally Posted by Winners are Grinners View Post
    yes but I wonder how many of those were playing with the back up QB....not saying they won't win i'm just saying i'd be a bit careful about relying on those stats in this situation
    Lol, true, I doubt any, but Philly does have a good defense, & its at home, I think Philly wins one for their fans & let's it all out on the field cuz they know they won't get by Minny or Saints.
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  16. #41  
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    Quote Originally Posted by TheWorldIsMine View Post
    Good luck TCG! Hope you have a profitable weekend.
    Thanks buddy, good luck to you as well.......make that money!
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  17. #42  
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    Wednesday the cards come out. Only regular teaser cards, no 10 point teaser cards.
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  18. #43  
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    Quote Originally Posted by john towers View Post
    Wednesday the cards come out. Only regular teaser cards, no 10 point teaser cards.
    Yeah, I read........first 4 playoff games were really close, I'm wondering if the NFL wants the refs to keep these games close cuz of bad ratings cuz of the kneeling BS this year.

    I'm assuming at least 1 blowout this week, & possible 2.......don't see blowouts in either NFC game, so I think 10 point teasers are safe there with Pats -3......gonna play with local guy.
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  19. #44  
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    Mike Pereira Said on Sunday - "less penalties called in PO's because teams are more disciplined - that's why they are in the PO's"
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  20. #45  
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    Bortles QB rating vs Pitt 51%. He better hope the defense scores for him again

    Tomlin 10-1 ATS as a 7.5-10 point Fav - AVG margin of Victory -19

    Mularkey 1-9 off an upset win Avg margin of Loss 10 points
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  21. #46  
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    Quote Originally Posted by powerz View Post
    Bortles QB rating vs Pitt 51%. He better hope the defense scores for him again

    Tomlin 10-1 ATS as a 7.5-10 point Fav - AVG margin of Victory -19

    Mularkey 1-9 off an upset win Avg margin of Loss 10 points
    Love these stats........here's one more:

    Blake Bortles is 0-6 SU and 2-4 ATS in his career as +5 or more pt dog after a game with no picks......
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  22. #47  
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    Official plays so far:


    2 team ML parlay:


    Pats ML (-900), Pitt ML (-370)........5 units wins 2.05 (example of payoff)
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  23. #48  
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    Official plays so far:


    2 team ML parlay:


    Pats ML (-900), Pitt ML (-370)........5 units wins 2.05 (example of payoff)

    3 team 10 point teaser:

    Eagles +13, Titans +23, Steelers +2.5
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  24. #49  
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    Jags upset of Pittsburgh this year was no fluke. Pitt all time vs Jax 11/13 SU 9/15 ATS..AMOV -1.7.......since 2005 Pitt home vs Jax 1/4 SU 1/4 ATS....AMOV -6.4.......in 2008 Pitt lost a playoff game at home to Jax. They covered the spread +2.5 but lost the game 29/31. Best beware of the cat.
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  25. #50  
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    • Home teams that won 13 or more games in the regular season are only 13-12 SU & 7-18 ATS in the divisional playoffs since ’06. When matched up against a team that won 11 or more games in the regular season, that mark drops to just 4-6 SU & 1-9 ATS during that span. All four home teams for 2018 won 13 games, and the only road team this weekend that won 11 or more games was New Orleans.
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