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Thread: Nfl Divisional Round Playoff Games

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  1. #1 Nfl Divisional Round Playoff Games 
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    4 dogs covered wildcard weekend, don't expect that to happen again this week.......here are the spreads for next weekend:

    Saturday:

    Atlanta -2.5 (41) at Philly.....(line opened -3 (44)

    Pats -13.5 (47) vs Titans......(no line change)

    Sunday:

    Pitt -7 (41) vs Jags.......(line opened -7.5 (40.5)

    Vikings -3.5 (45) vs Saints......(no line change)



    IMO, divisional round is much easier than wildcard round.........leans as of now:


    Philly ML.......(Atlanta is one & done, I was saying this about the Eagles last week cuz of Foles, & it will happen, but after thiswin.....I think a well rested defense of Philly will give them the win here, Ryan will be running for his life.)


    Pats -13.5......(blow out city, Brady & Belichick won't let the story lines affect their performance in their 1st playoff game this year, they unleash their frustrations on the Titans......Mariota will be picked off several times.)


    Pitt -7........(Jags were a great story all year, & yes, they have the #1 defense in the NFL, but I think the Vikings defense is much better & well rounded. Pitt hasn't forgotten about the 30-9 beat down the Jags gave Pitt in Pitt as a +7.5 pt road dog......Pitt lost 2 games at home this season, the heart breaker to the Pats which they haven't forgot, & the embarrassing lopsided disaster at home by the Jags.

    The Jags are 4-4 SU & ATS on the road......when the Jags won, they also covered, so if you're planning on betting on the Jags, take them on the ML.......but IMO, Pitt will win & cover.)


    Vikings -3.5......Vikings beat the Saints in week 1 (29-19).......I remember it well, I bet the Saints +3 & lost.....Payton had the worst offensive calls I've seen from him ever, Saints had the ball 1st & goal 4 times inside the 10 yard line & kicked 4 fgs, that's absurd!

    Saints following week lost 20-36to the Pats, a #1 & #2 seeds in this years playoffs......then the Saints won 8 str games, & the rest you know.

    The Vikings are playing better than they were 2 years ago with the defense they had. I cringe when I hear Keenums name if I bet them, cuz you would like an all star Qb behind a great defense, but Keenum is doing all the right things all year, this guy is toms better than Brad Johnson & his Tampa defense in 2002 winning the SB.

    This game IMO is the toughest to cap, Breed & the Saints are looking for week 1 revenge, & obviously would love to get to the SB, this may be Bree's last chance, he's not getting any younger.

    The Saints have a better defense than they had in 2010, at least by the eye test, havent looked at numbers yet......but will Bree's be able to handle the purple eaters defense?

    The Vikings are looking to become the first team to host the SB & be in it......hey, last year we had the first overtime in history, so anything is possible.

    As of now, I'm leaning Vikings -3.5......& this is the only game I'm uncertain of, the rest above I'm gonna lock in, feel confident.

    I also think winner of Saints/Vikings wins the SB
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  2. #2  
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    From vegasinsider:


    The Saints improved to 7-4 in the playoffs after Sundayís 31-26 home win over Carolina. A lot of the success during this span has come at home (5-0) and not on the road (1-4). The other outcome occurred in Super Bowl XLIV when the Saints defeated the Colts, 31-17. Minnesota hasnít won a playoff game since 2010 when it blasted Dallas 34-3 at the old Metrodome.

    In the 2015 postseason, the club had a chance to get a victory but a late missed field goal cost them in a 10-9 home loss to Seattle. In the 2009 playoffs, New Orleans defeated Minnesota 31-28 in the NFC Championship before eventually winning the Super Bowl. The Vikings had a great shot to win the game but a careless Brett Favre interception late in the fourth quarter cost the team dearly.
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  3. #3  
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    Saints want revenge for week 1, but I believe the Vikings have a sour taste in their mouth cuz of Brett Favre throwing a pick & having Minny missing the SB in 2010....& Saints went on to win it......now Vikings want revenge & would like another shot.....still looking into this game.
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  4. #4  
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    NO's def is improved leaps and bounds after first 2 week debacles... Regular season game I would side with Minn... This is playoff and Keenum first PO game vs. one of the top QBs. I think NO pull off an upset here. First time qb is 1-12 SU in playoff i think.
    Agree with the other 3
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  5. #5  
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    Red birds have made me decent bread last 2 games, but I believe the green birds going to win this weekend. IMO atl shouldn't be a favor here, this line is a deception
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  6. #6  
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    Love the pats. Leaning the same way on everything else so I hope you are 4-0.
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  7. #7  
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    This past week, all the home teams looked like they would cover very easy. The refs kept these games close with their flags and it turned out to be a Bookies payday!!
    Next weeks games look to be favoring the dogs with the early lines. I could see the opposite happen and all 4 favorites win
    not the real woody!!
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  8. #8  
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    I am not sure I can back Philly at this point. The defense was bad against a lousy Giants team then the following week vs an Oakland team who had nothing to play for, they almost lost that game. Foles does not make defense respect the long pass down field.

    On the otherhand, Atlanta's defense the last 2 games has looked like a top 5 defense to me. They are flying to the ball. Coach Quinn is an excellent coach and the Falcons are completely different in the playoffs under him than Mike Smith. I think Quinn is emerging as one of the best coaches in the NFL. Look what he did with Seattle and Seattle hasn't done anything without him.

    Atlanta has a different mindset on defense and they are hungry to avenge last year's superbowl collapse. The Eagles are trending in the wrong direction.
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  9. #9  
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    Quote Originally Posted by TheWorldIsMine View Post
    I am not sure I can back Philly at this point. The defense was bad against a lousy Giants team then the following week vs an Oakland team who had nothing to play for, they almost lost that game. Foles does not make defense respect the long pass down field.

    On the otherhand, Atlanta's defense the last 2 games has looked like a top 5 defense to me. They are flying to the ball. Coach Quinn is an excellent coach and the Falcons are completely different in the playoffs under him than Mike Smith. I think Quinn is emerging as one of the best coaches in the NFL. Look what he did with Seattle and Seattle hasn't done anything without him.

    Atlanta has a different mindset on defense and they are hungry to avenge last year's superbowl collapse. The Eagles are trending in the wrong direction.
    I hear you, but you're talking about a coach & Qb with a 28-3 SB lead & collapsed as the entire world watched......Matty meltdown will come back down to earth, & don't be fooled by Quinn, he's an average coach at best. How many times has Atlanta had the lead at home by double digits & lost SU? One example is against Miami this year as a -14 pt home fav up DD & lost SU.

    The Eagles needed a bye to refocus, rest & realize their only shot is with Foles.....so they will circle the wagon & win one home game for the fans of Philly......no way can I see Philly losing here at home as a dog as a #1 seed that Wentz brought them to.......Philly ML.....Atlanta's season is done after this week.
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  10. #10  
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    Quote Originally Posted by big wang View Post
    Love the pats. Leaning the same way on everything else so I hope you are 4-0.
    I'm still debating the Vikings/Saints game, haven't decided on it, but agree on the other 3
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  11. #11  
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    Quote Originally Posted by woody paige View Post
    This past week, all the home teams looked like they would cover very easy. The refs kept these games close with their flags and it turned out to be a Bookies payday!!
    Next weeks games look to be favoring the dogs with the early lines. I could see the opposite happen and all 4 favorites win
    My 2 cousins crushed their books, had all dogs & Over in Saints game, they're usually dog players.
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  12. #12  
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    Quote Originally Posted by Ekkyjaja View Post
    Red birds have made me decent bread last 2 games, but I believe the green birds going to win this weekend. IMO atl shouldn't be a favor here, this line is a deception
    I agree, Philly defense will be too much for Ryan
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  13. #13  
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    Quote Originally Posted by PeePee View Post
    NO's def is improved leaps and bounds after first 2 week debacles... Regular season game I would side with Minn... This is playoff and Keenum first PO game vs. one of the top QBs. I think NO pull off an upset here. First time qb is 1-12 SU in playoff i think.
    Agree with the other 3
    That's why I cringe when I hear Keenum name......now he's going up against Bree's looking for revenge for that atrocious play calling by Payton in week 1......still looking into this game, will probably wait until the weekend to decide on this game.
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  14. #14  
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    Vikings and Im not sure it will be close. Not impressed at all with the Saints sans Brees. They have injuries at every level of that defense and just gave up 27 to the worst bunch of wrs in recent memory. The Vikings also have a mobile qb but they have wrs who can a. get open and b. catch the ball. Minnesota defense is just so damn good at every level and they will get to Brees and limit Kamara. I see a 27-10 game.
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  15. #15  
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    Quote Originally Posted by The Computer Group View Post
    Saints want revenge for week 1, but I believe the Vikings have a sour taste in their mouth cuz of Brett Favre throwing a pick & having Minny missing the SB in 2010....& Saints went on to win it......now Vikings want revenge & would like another shot.....still looking into this game.
    Come on TGC you cant factor that into your thinking 7 years ago?

    You might want to Have a look at Kenum's Numbers QBR 98...the vikes let him throw the ball his ATT/Gm are right up there with Brady's, Brees and Ryan's his Complete ion % is 67%...he's madea star out of adam thielen, Diggs will be a factor and Kyle Rudolph is a top 10 TE...The VIKES are in great shape they will win and cover, they are headed to the super bowl
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  16. #16  
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    Quote Originally Posted by powerz View Post
    Come on TGC you cant factor that into your thinking 7 years ago?

    You might want to Have a look at Kenum's Numbers QBR 98...the vikes let him throw the ball his ATT/Gm are right up there with Brady's, Brees and Ryan's his Complete ion % is 67%...he's madea star out of adam thielen, Diggs will be a factor and Kyle Rudolph is a top 10 TE...The VIKES are in great shape they will win and cover, they are headed to the super bowl
    I'm still debating this game.....too tough to call as of now......its the last game on the board & its the GOW on Fox.....I see a very close game down to the wire.
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  17. #17  
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    Quote Originally Posted by bobbyjones2 View Post
    Vikings and Im not sure it will be close. Not impressed at all with the Saints sans Brees. They have injuries at every level of that defense and just gave up 27 to the worst bunch of wrs in recent memory. The Vikings also have a mobile qb but they have wrs who can a. get open and b. catch the ball. Minnesota defense is just so damn good at every level and they will get to Brees and limit Kamara. I see a 27-10 game.
    I don't see a blowout either way........tough game!
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  18. #18  
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    Quote Originally Posted by The Computer Group View Post
    I hear you, but you're talking about a coach & Qb with a 28-3 SB lead & collapsed as the entire world watched......Matty meltdown will come back down to earth, & don't be fooled by Quinn, he's an average coach at best. How many times has Atlanta had the lead at home by double digits & lost SU? One example is against Miami this year as a -14 pt home fav up DD & lost SU.

    The Eagles needed a bye to refocus, rest & realize their only shot is with Foles.....so they will circle the wagon & win one home game for the fans of Philly......no way can I see Philly losing here at home as a dog as a #1 seed that Wentz brought them to.......Philly ML.....Atlanta's season is done after this week.
    No excuses about 28-3 and losing but it was against the best QB and the best coach. If anything I think that will fuel them this playoffs. If Wentz was playing this game I would be on Philly but I can't trust Foles at this point. If the wind is blowing, he doesn't have the arm strength to cut through the wind.
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  19. #19  
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    How in the world does this game go over 41.5?
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  20. #20  
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    what do you guys think about NE and PITT moneyline parlay?,about 45 cents on the dollar .Square as could be,i know
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  21. #21  
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    Quote Originally Posted by TheWorldIsMine View Post
    No excuses about 28-3 and losing but it was against the best QB and the best coach. If anything I think that will fuel them this playoffs. If Wentz was playing this game I would be on Philly but I can't trust Foles at this point. If the wind is blowing, he doesn't have the arm strength to cut through the wind.
    Fair enough, good response, but I can't take Atlanta on the road.......they're 3-6 ATS this year on the road.
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  22. #22  
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    Quote Originally Posted by michael777 View Post
    what do you guys think about NE and PITT moneyline parlay?,about 45 cents on the dollar .Square as could be,i know
    My brother wants to wager 2k Pats ML & Pitt ML parlay, I told him its a solid bet......but its your call.
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  23. #23  
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    Quote Originally Posted by TheWorldIsMine View Post
    No excuses about 28-3 and losing but it was against the best QB and the best coach. If anything I think that will fuel them this playoffs. If Wentz was playing this game I would be on Philly but I can't trust Foles at this point. If the wind is blowing, he doesn't have the arm strength to cut through the wind.
    You make like this......

    "Overall, Vegas generally gets it right. The Eagles can certainly beat the Falcons on Saturday, but there's little question that Atlanta has an enormous advantage at quarterback, and recent home dog success (or lack thereof) does not bode well for Philly."
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  24. #24  
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    • Since 2000, home dogs are 11-15 straight up in the playoffs. Since 2003, they're 7-15. They're 1-7 since 2012.

    • There has only been one other divisional round home dog since 2000, which makes sense, seeing as both home teams on divisional round weekend are either No. 1 or No. 2 seeds, and thus very good. That home dog was the 2011 49ers, who were the No. 2 seed that year. They beat the favored No. 3 seed Saints.
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  25. #25  
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    Quote Originally Posted by The Computer Group View Post
    You make like this......

    "Overall, Vegas generally gets it right. The Eagles can certainly beat the Falcons on Saturday, but there's little question that Atlanta has an enormous advantage at quarterback, and recent home dog success (or lack thereof) does not bode well for Philly."
    Couldn't have said it any better!
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