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Thread: Georgia/Alabama BCS Championship Game

  1. #1 Georgia/Alabama BCS Championship Game 
    RX Wizard
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    Its finally here. Tonight marks the culmination of a fantastic college football season. Two SEC rivals will battle for the title.

    Both teams score around 36/37 points and allow very little. 11.1/Alabama and 15.7/Georgia with last weekís shootout with Oklahoma adding 2 points to that average. So they are similar with the points allowed. As I mentioned last week, a teamís schedule can have an effect on stats. Lets look at common opponents:

    Auburn: They both lost at Auburn, Georgia got stomped while Bama was beaten solidly. Georgia won the rematch.
    Miss St: Bama just got by at Starksville 31-24, while Georgia whipped them at home 31-3.
    Tennessee: They both whipped them
    Vandy: Same. Beat downs.

    Not much here.

    Iíve looked at a ton of defensive and offensive stats and these teams are very similar. Alabama a better rush defense, but Georgia is also very good. Looking at pure stats its difficult to come away feeling good with either team.

    Alabama was healthy vs Clemson and dominated defensively, but they also lost their best LB Anfernee Jennings again and also starting OL Lester Cotton. Last week I told you the difference between Watson and Bryant was huge, and was the main difference between Clemson hanging 40 on Bama 2 years straight and basically doing nothing.

    Jake Fromm has a 23/5 TD/INT ratio and is a far better passer than Bryant. He is a freshman that has matured and led Georgia to a clutch game tying TD drive. They have a great tandem rushing attack, and guys that can get open. Georgia knows they just canít line up and run smash mouth. They will run to set up play passes, they will run misdirection plays to take advantage of Alabamaís aggressiveness. Their RBs arenít great receiving threats, but I wouldnít be surprised to see them use them out of the backfield and I also think DíAndre Swift can be a key player. They need to get positive yardage on 1st downs, as Alabama can really get after the passer. Its why i think throwing on 1st down and the success they have doing it will be a key factor in the game. Alabama kills you when they know you have to pass.

    Alabama has more talent than anyone in the country. Hurts is dangerous running the ball and isnít a bad passer but its not a strength. Last week the game plan was conservative because the coaches knew Clemson flat out wasnít going to score. I donít think Alabama can just line up and run the ball all night, Hurts is going to have to complete some passes. He is also dangerous as a runner, frustrating defenses by breaking off runs when a play breaks down. He rarely turns the ball over, a trademark of Saban teams. There have been games where Georgia has had a problem stopping the run. Oklahoma last week, the Auburn loss. They canít let Alabama get untracked in the run game, and I think the loss of Cotton is a factor.

    Much has been made about Saban assistants never having beaten him, something like 0-11. That wonít last forever. I think Georgia upsets Alabama tonight and takes home the title. Georgia also has a special teams edge, with a huge advantage in the kicking game. If Georgia can stop the run, they have a great chance to score the upset.

    It should be a great game, Georgia 23-17.

    Biz
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  2. #2  
    RX Wizard
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    Great job by Georgia mixing up the run and pass. Alabama pass game awful. Hurts breaking the pocket their only real offense.

    Game going exactly as planned. 30 more minutes.
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  3. #3  
    RX Senior
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    Nice write-up. I didn't see it earlier. I was looking for someone to convince me of Georgia. Didn't play anything Just wanted to enjoy Georgia hopefully pulling it out. Gl the rest of the way. Things looking good. Go Dawgs
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  4. #4  
    RX Wizard
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    Thx buddy.
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  5. #5  
    RX Wizard
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    Never felt so bad after winning a bet.

    Capped it perfectly, but you have to credit the freshman QB. He was outstanding.
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