Oaklawn 1-14-2018

Oaklawn 1-14-2018

Track had a little faster variant yesterday than the day before. Expect the same today.


race #1 - 8f
#1 3-1 PATTI PATTI PATTI - logical
#3 6-1 SINGING ALLI - 2nd start by Giant Oak so improvement likely
#7 5-1 SOPHIE'S ANGEL

race #2 - 6f
... very wide open race. Live bombs all over the board. All playable over 30-1.
#7 12-1 SARAH'S SWINGTOWN - not sitting on my hands if this guy goes off over 20-1, chances lessen the lower the price. Setup 47-1 last year.
#12 3-1 ARCH REVENGE - most logical but I need to play prices in here
#5 8-1 PRIMARILY GOLD - threat if ready, Cates/McMahon scored with first-timer SPOTITUDE (29-1) on Friday.
#4 12-1 GONE PREACHIN - router will need to be tractable

race #3 - 8f
#4 9-2 LA DAME BLANCHE
#7 8-5 MIA D'ORO

race #4 - 8f
... this race has me scratching my head
#7 8-1 ZELLA ROSE - strange Broberg re-acquisition
#6 6-1 RITZY LASS - if favorite isn't right then this girl could get an easy lead
#8 5-2 ELECTRIC COWGIRL - another strange barn transfers ... but landing in Mason barn is good thing
#2 2-1 BAETYKATY - Diodoro claimed for 25k and drops here for 12K, needs to win to break even, bad math .... possible but not for me

race #5 - 6f
... maiden claimer, take a good look at them ... quite a few with a shot.
#1A 3-1 QUIETLY CUBA
#10 15-1 VILONIA STRONG
#2 9-2 RICK'S STRYKER

race #6 - 6f
... top favs are logical .... so I'll play the illogical.
#10 10-1 INFINITY SQUARED - Diodoro clever claim off Sharp winning first out at 11-1 back in August as 2yo, on shelf since. If ready should see nice kick.
#5 7-2 FIGHT ON
#6 5-2 NUCLEAR OPTION
#7 4-1 FLAT LUCKY

race #7 - 8f
#6 9-2 WARRIOR'S CLUB
#7 5-2 LEOFRIC
#2 20-1 BROKEN PROMISE - bomb alert
#3 2-1 UNCONTESTED - has never won on fast dirt going long .... so why take a short price?

race #8 - 6f
#1 2-1 IVAN FALLUNOVALOT
#10 10-1 COUNTERFORCE
#5 30-1 BOURBON COWBOY - exotic booster

race #9 - 6f
#2 12-1 PRINCESSOF THE NYL
#6 5-2 LADY WARRIOR
#1 8-1 MAKE DADDY PROUD
#11 5-1 SEA SHACK


FYI, definitions:
"pick to click" - most likely (aka best bet)
"bomb alert" - very possible, don't ignore if big price
"exotic booster" - use underneath only
Good luck to all!

Good luck Prof........

:smoking: Professor Lt is gone...The inmates of the insane asylum have now taken over.

Saddlesore said:

:smoking: Professor Lt is gone...The inmates of the insane asylum have now taken over.

Click to expand...

he isn’t gone ~ he looks in here & is posting over at another horse forum....but if you keep asking for him he will come back here

He better get his butt back here ..... we need someone that can post some winners!!!!!!!!!!

:smoking: BHP in all fairness you're the one that drove him over the edge and i believe you should
be the one to get him back...Lt had integrity and money can't buy that.
Now be a good Lad and bring him back...And if you do this i promise to give you a Cookie.

Make that 2 cookies ...

Note to self: don't forget to bet the Vikings today ...

:smoking: Yes the Vikings really smacked the Saints in the first half now you got 30 minutes to hold on

:smoking: Professor you think BHP will do the right thing and Kiss Butt and bring back LT.
Its a small price to pay to keep the forum in good standing otherwise will be the laughingstock of all the forums

Saddlesore said:

:smoking: Professor you think BHP will do the right thing and Kiss Butt and bring back LT.
Its a small price to pay to keep the forum in good standing otherwise will be the laughingstock of all the forums

Click to expand...

If he was the cause, then he should, absolutely. Lt was a fixture and knew PRX, and would share some knowledge. Many many many gurus will not share knowledge, and that's understandable. Lt's been playing this game for a long time.
BHP .... do the right thing.

Prof_Factor said:

If he was the cause, then he should, absolutely. Lt was a fixture and knew PRX, and would share some knowledge. Many many many gurus will not share knowledge, and that's understandable. Lt's been playing this game for a long time.
BHP .... do the right thing.

Click to expand...

Prof Factor:

Lt1 is a grown man who chose to leave on his own, he was asked some questions that he wasn’t fond of & then packed up his toys and went to another sandbox to play. He’s still posting at another horse forum.
The right thing is to explain your plays, not just throw up numbers without telling people what your betting intentions are. Or saying you’re playing races that you really aren’t.
Really very simple, Prof you’re a good person that tell us what you’re doing.

Respectfully,
On-track cappers do the exact same ..... post numbers on the screen, with no reason or intentions of play. That doesn't make their picks any less valid.
Time constraints make live posting impossible. By the time we get to see the play the race is over.
I find it difficult just to post an entire card of picks (like Lt) early. That's not how I like to handicap. It's easy to post computer picks (void of handicapping). Lt caps additionally and notifies when he doesn't.

The Oaklawn opening day post of yours probably took hours to assemble (beyond handicapping). Kudos, BTW.
I love insightful posts like that but it's hard to expect that kind of devotion to forum. It's easy to cap the hell out of 1 race. We see it every Kentucky Derby.
We shouldn't have a problem with how cappers present their info as long as they are not obnoxious in the process (i.e. "I'm the best" "How many gave out THAT winner?"). I like your thread. I especially like names. I'll look over every one of your picks. I'll do that with Lt too if I'm playing the same card. Same with SS and Chack too. It also gives me an idea of how they handicap. Like SS betting style, ALOT. And Chack is an insider that puts some gold on this board, literally out of his own pockets because some of his picks have been ridiculously hammered.
Last February a guy hit a grand on my picks. If I would have told him how to bet, he would have lost because I played the same race and didn't cash. He boxed my plays and I didn't. People can play picks better than the posters sometimes.
Many people have posted about making money with Lt's picks.
Now go hound him at his new home so he comes back here.
Thanks in advance.

Prof very well written as usual....

he’s smiling seeing that people are asking for him...when he returns I’ll not question him about anything....