RhodyJoe's College Basketball Thread

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509 Clemson/North Carolina
Over 147 -110
100/091

YTD
0-0-0


This is the most lopsided match up in the ACC. Clemson has lost 19 of 20 in this series and is 0-58 it Chapel Hill. This is a different Clemson team that may finally break that road streak. One thing is certain, they can score points, averaging 77.5 points per game. They are shooting 47.2 percent from the field and 50.3 percent from the field on the road. Noyth Carolina didn’t play that well against a decimated North Dame team it's last time out. UNC has their defensive problems allowing teams to shoot 37.5 percent from beyond the arc. All this considered, that is why I believe that this game is going over the total.


 

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509 Clemson/North Carolina
Over 147 -110
100/091

YTD
0-0-0


This is the most lopsided match up in the ACC. Clemson has lost 19 of 20 in this series and is 0-58 it Chapel Hill. This is a different Clemson team that may finally break that road streak. One thing is certain, they can score points, averaging 77.5 points per game. They are shooting 47.2 percent from the field and 50.3 percent from the field on the road. Noyth Carolina didn’t play that well against a decimated North Dame team it's last time out. UNC has their defensive problems allowing teams to shoot 37.5 percent from beyond the arc. All this considered, that is why I believe that this game is going over the total.

Well Clemson continued it's losing ways at Chapel Hill but we won the total anyways.

Won 167 Points

YTD
1-0- = 100% +1 unit
 

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732 Rhode Island -12½ -110 over UMass
100/091

Rhode Island is simply a better team than UMass. UMass has a chance to cover the spread but it seems unlikely with the turnover differential. Rhode Island will likely dominate the rebounding and not turn the ball over very much, allowing them to pull away fairly early in the game. UMass's Pipkins will definitely have to have an unbelievable game for his team cover the spread. Rhode Island has won two straight and three of the last four in this head-to-head series. Last season marked the first time in 14 years that the Rams swept the season series against Massachusetts. Based on how the Rams have been playing of late more of the same is likely to continue in 2017-18. Take to Rams to cover the spread. I am surprised that the spread isn't around 15.

723 Villanova -13 -110 vs Georgetown
1.00/0.91

Two original members of the Big East collide tonight.
I remember when John Thompson
and Rollie Massimino coached these games. They were some of the best college games ever player in the Big East. Well that was then and this is now.

I am taking Villanova in this match up. Georgetown has not been productive from an offensive point of view, scoring 69 or fewer points in four of their five Big East games. It will have a hard time keeping pace with Villanova especially considering the Hoyas are not a strong three-point shooting club. The Wildcats continue to pile on the points averaging a smouldering 92.6 points in It's five conference games. It should crack the Georgetown defense. Georgetown just lost 90-66 to Creighton in it's latest home game. I am confident Villanova can notch a decisive road win.



YTD Corrected
1-0-0 = +.091

:Guitarman
 

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732 rhode island -12½ -110 over umass won 73-51
100/091

rhode island is simply a better team than umass. Umass has a chance to cover the spread but it seems unlikely with the turnover differential. Rhode island will likely dominate the rebounding and not turn the ball over very much, allowing them to pull away fairly early in the game. Umass's pipkins will definitely have to have an unbelievable game for his team cover the spread. rhode island has won two straight and three of the last four in this head-to-head series. Last season marked the first time in 14 years that the rams swept the season series against massachusetts. Based on how the rams have been playing of late more of the same is likely to continue in 2017-18. Take to rams to cover the spread. I am surprised that the spread isn't around 15.

723 villanova -13 -110 vs georgetown won 88-56
1.00/0.91

two original members of the big east collide tonight.
I remember when john thompson
and rollie massimino coached these games. They were some of the best college games ever player in the big east. Well that was then and this is now.

I am taking villanova in this match up. Georgetown has not been productive from an offensive point of view, scoring 69 or fewer points in four of their five big east games. It will have a hard time keeping pace with villanova especially considering the hoyas are not a strong three-point shooting club. The wildcats continue to pile on the points averaging a smouldering 92.6 points in it's five conference games. It should crack the georgetown defense. Georgetown just lost 90-66 to creighton in it's latest home game. I am confident villanova can notch a decisive road win.



ytd corrected

1-0-0 = +.091

ytd
3-0-0 = 100% +2.73
 

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Michigan vs Nebraska

Over 133 (-110)
553
Michigan vs Nebraska
1.00/0.91

Teams shoot 36% from beyond the arc against Michigan. It also scored 82 points on the road against Michigan State. Nebraska is excellent at home averaging 78 points per game and is shooting 45.4 % from the field which isn't great but nothing to laugh at these days. Historically, the total went Over during the three meetings last year which, I guess, doesn't mean a whole lot except that it is recent history. Does history repeat itself? I believe so. Also, I ran this game 50,000 times through my computer system (algorithms) and 92% of the time the Over appeared as the result.

YTD
2-0-0 = 100% +2.73

:Guitarman
 

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over 133 (-110) 553 michigan vs nebraska loss 124 points
1.00/0.91

teams shoot 36% from beyond the arc against michigan. It also scored 82 points on the road against michigan state. Nebraska is excellent at home averaging 78 points per game and is shooting 45.4 % from the field which isn't great but nothing to laugh at these days. Historically, the total went over during the three meetings last year which, i guess, doesn't mean a whole lot except that it is recent history. Does history repeat itself? I believe so. Also, i ran this game 50,000 times through my computer system (algorithms) and 92% of the time the over appeared as the result.

Ytd
2-0-0 = 100% +2.73

:guitarman

ytd
2-1-0 = 66% +1.73

 

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Alabama vs Mississippi

sorry about this
 

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Alabama vs Mississippi

670 Alabama -4 -155 vs Mississippi State
1.00/0.65

Mississippi State is 1-8 in it's last nine games straight up and 2-7 ATS when playing Alabama on the road.
Mississippi Stat is 0-5 in it's last five road games.

Alabama is playing great basketball right now having won three straight including a win over a ranked Auburn team. Ride the home team here. The Bulldogs have only played three away games (out of 18) and have lost them all by an average of 12.6 points.

Alabama has a better two-way team than MSU and will look to take advantage of the Bulldogs’ shooting woes. They have been effective at contesting three-pointers this year allowing teams to shoot just 32 percent. Overall, the defense ranks 24th in effective field-goal percentage and 28th in efficiency.
On offense, they’re led by Collen Sexton, a freshman, who has given the team a shot in the arm. He is leading the team with 19.3 points per game but remains questionable for Saturday’s game with an injury. If he doesn’t play, look for another freshman, John Petty to take the majority of shots. Petty already has 54 three-pointers made this year.

YTD
2-0-0 = 100% +2.73

:Guitarman

 

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670 alabama -4 -155 vs mississippi state won 68-62
1.00/0.65

mississippi state is 1-8 in it's last nine games straight up and 2-7 ats when playing alabama on the road.
Mississippi stat is 0-5 in it's last five road games.

alabama is playing great basketball right now having won three straight including a win over a ranked auburn team. ride the home team here. the bulldogs have only played three away games (out of 18) and have lost them all by an average of 12.6 points.

alabama has a better two-way team than msu and will look to take advantage of the bulldogs’ shooting woes. They have been effective at contesting three-pointers this year allowing teams to shoot just 32 percent. Overall, the defense ranks 24th in effective field-goal percentage and 28th in efficiency.
on offense, they’re led by collen sexton, a freshman, who has given the team a shot in the arm. He is leading the team with 19.3 points per game but remains questionable for saturday’s game with an injury. If he doesn’t play, look for another freshman, john petty to take the majority of shots. Petty already has 54 three-pointers made this year.

ytd
2-0-0 = 100% +2.73

:guitarman


ytd
3-0-0 = 100% +3.38
 

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Miami vs North Carolina State

809 Miami Florida -1½ -110 vs NC State

1.00/0.91
Miami will be desperate for a win this afternoon. I expect Miami to come out on fire. It is one of the best defensive teams in the country It is limiting opponents to 38.3% shooting. N.C. State is a mediocre shooting team. It is shooting a poor 32.7% from three-point territory. The Wolfpack won’t be able to have their usual offensive success against this defense which should be similar to their recent loss to Virginia where they only shot 41%. Furthermore, N.C. State is below average defensively. The Hurricanes own a team field goal percentage of 47%.

Miami is 13-4 SU in it's last 17 games. With a point differential of only -1.5 this is almost a pick 'em game.

YTD
2-0-0 =100%
+2.73

:Guitarman
 

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R.Joe.........looks like I'm on the wrong side of some solid cappers...........BOL with all your action today buddy.........indy
 

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809 miami florida -1½ -110 vs nc state won 86-82

1.00/0.91

Miami will be desperate for a win this afternoon. I expect Miami to come out on fire. It is one of the best defensive teams in the country it is limiting opponents to 38.3% shooting. N.C. State is a mediocre shooting team. It is shooting a poor 32.7% from three-point territory. The Wolfpack won’t be able to have their usual offensive success against this defense which should be similar to their recent loss to Virginia where they only shot 41%. Furthermore, N.C. State is below average defensively. The Hurricanes own a team field goal percentage of 47%.

Miami is 13-4 SU in it's last 17 games. With a point differential of only -1.5 this is almost a pick 'em game.

Ytd
2-0-0 =100%
+2.73

:guitarman

ytd
3-0-0 = 100% +3.64
 

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Vanderbilt @ Tennessee

23 January 7:00 PM

Over 143.0 (-105)
519
Vanderbilt @ Tennessee
100/095

The first game was a track meet on the road for Tennessee. Vandy couldn’t slow the pace down. This time the game is being played in Knoxville. The Vols will have another fast paced game tonight. That’s where they average 79 points per game and shoot 37.1 percent from beyond the arc. Vanderbilt’s defense is a major issue as they allow 75.4 points per game on the road. They have gone Over in three of it's last four games and two straight. Tennessee is 7-2 Over it's last nine games against Vanderbilt. This game is an Over. It should be similar scoring-wise to the first match up.

YTD
5-1-0 = 83%
+3.29 units


:modemman:
 
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I am playing the over 142in this game.I am not sure why the public betting is at 67% on under in this matchup. Completely agree with your take on this total.The betting public is normally 75% on overs .So it strikes me as odd they are playing so heavily on the Under here.
 

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