If you could still get the Vikings @ 7/2 to win the SB how hard would you hammer it??

WinnersareGrinners · Jan 16, 2018

I have an opportunity to get this inflated price with a bookie about the Vikes to win the SB, 7/2 rather than the going rate of 18/10....right now they appear the most complete team and are my pick to win it, playing away this weekend worries me a tiny bit and I think it will be really low scoring vs the Eagles but in the end I think they get it done and are stronger than both AFC teams overall.

Thoughts on what their "true" odds should be?

TheComputerGroup · Jan 16, 2018

If the Vikings can get by the Eagles, they will win the SB IMO......

WinnersareGrinners · Jan 16, 2018

I agree 100%....if they were at home vs Philly I would absolutely load up on them to win the SB right now...I still really like them but it has the feel of a 17-14 or 16-13 type of game where 1 big play could make a big difference

TheComputerGroup · Jan 16, 2018

Winners are Grinners said:
I agree 100%....if they were at home vs Philly I would absolutely load up on them to win the SB right now...I still really like them but it has the feel of a 17-14 or 16-13 type of game where 1 big play could make a big difference

I concur.......this has the look of a 3 point win

bodyforlife · Jan 16, 2018

Don't need to hammer it. I have them at 5/1 (not a huge amount). But if Jacksonville wins.......ooh wee!

WinnersareGrinners · Jan 16, 2018

bodyforlife said:
Don't need to hammer it. I have them at 5/1 (not a huge amount). But if Jacksonville wins.......ooh wee!

I have Jax @ 40/1 but really feel like Min are the team

TheComputerGroup · Jan 16, 2018

Winners are Grinners said:
I have Jax @ 40/1 but really feel like Min are the team

If Jags & Vikings are in the SB, beautiful hedge bet.......but future line on that SB is Minny -6 vs Jags, so the ML well be like almost 3-1, still nice tho

PatsFan1283 · Jan 16, 2018

No idea how much you should bet on it since we don't know you but obviously it is an overlay as the true odds are closer to +225ish.

WinnersareGrinners · Jan 16, 2018

PatsFan1283 said:
No idea how much you should bet on it since we don't know you but obviously it is an overlay as the true odds are closer to +225ish.

yea I get that mate, I was more throwing it out there as a topic of conversation, I'm certainly not looking for advice on staking given I've been betting 22 years, was just interested in how good value people perceived it....its overs so I'll probably take it, I can also get 10/1Philly which whilst i'm not keen on I may take due to the overs

Are you saying in the US Min are about 13/10ish? They're mostly 18/10 here with NE 12/10 favs....cheers

PatsFan1283 · Jan 16, 2018

The +350 is good value, I'd take it if avail and then maybe look to hedge if they make the SB.

The true line is like +280 (not the +225 I said earlier), so not some massive overlay but worth taking for now.