Conference Championship Plays: Home teams will prevail

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Here is my take on the weekend.


AFC

Patriots -9 (-105)

New England is all-time motivated, and frankly the much better team here. The Jags showed seriously vulnerability on defense against the Steelers, and you know that Bill is going to make Bortles win the game with his arm. I honestly think there is chance this could be a blowout. Jacksonville is the hot pick right now, and they are better as a team that's more under the radar. The Patriots are being treated like underdogs by some, and that usually means they will be out for blood.

Jaguars/Patriots OVER 46 (-110)

This one could be razor thin, but I think the Patriots will do their part and score 30-35 points. That should be enough, as Jacksonville will probably get a couple scores as well. Could be a 35-17 type of game.


NFC

Eagles ML (+150)


I went with Eagles to win the game straight up against the Falcons last week, and I'm rolling with it again. They are obviously not as good with Wentz out, but Foles is serviceable enough. And I think that Philly crowd will be the difference, and with propel the Eagles to the Super Bowl.

While Philly is flawed, I think the Vikings showed they are far from perfect as well. They played not to lose against the Saints, and were frankly awful in the second half of that game. Keenum doesn't seem like he's any better than Foles. At that value, Eagles ML is the play.

Vikings/Eagles OVER 39 (-110)

I think this game could be surprisingly high scoring. Not a shootout, but I think some big chunk plays could open up the scoring a bit more than people anticipate. I think relatively warm weather will help the quarterbacks out a bit, especially Foles.
 

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