NCAA (Monday)

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Jan 17, 2006
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yesterday: 3-2 +.80

1 unit: 172-158 -1.75
2 unit: 102-68 +55.10
3 unit: 1-1 -.30

overall: 275-227 +53.05

725 Nebraska +11 1/2 -110 (1)
728 Baylor -4 -110 (1)
734 HC/American under 124 -110 (1)

good luck
 

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Nebraska (1)

I can see why Ohio St is such a big fav. All one has to do is look at their 7 game run. Margins of 13, 11 at Iowa, 16 over Mich st and 22 over Maryland both at home, and now 3 more on the road 22 at Rutgers. 6 at NW, and 18 over Minny at MSG. This team has been on fire!

So why Nebraska for me?

Neb is not a easy out and at 14-7 and 13-6 ats still don't seem to be getting a whole lot of respect. They are also playing really good basketball. Thye just beat a really good Michigan team by 20. On the road they lost at Penn St in OT by 2 and were right there with Purdue losing by 12 at Mackey. Neb beat NW by 15 at NW for what it's worth Ohio St beat them by 6. Nebraska also competitive losing to Kansas by a and at Creighton b y 10. So I think they are worth a shot at staying within this spread.

The previous 3 meetings were all very close in this series.

Margins of 1, 1, and 3, and Nebraska did win at Ohio St last year by 1.
Ohio St at 8-0 in conf play: that is hard to believe for me but a major reason why this line is DD's. I think it will be a lower scoring half court game for the most part.

Baylor (1)

KS are coming off a couple of nice W's since their 1 point loss at Kansas. They thumped Oklahoma 73-68 and beat TCU by 5. They did this without their PG (Stokes) out for the season. They have won two straight over Baylor and take care of the ball (12 to's) and play hard all the time.

Why Baylor for me?

Baylor coming off a loss by 3 at Kansas in a game they just literally choked away. Baylor is tied for last in conf play at 2-5. Like I asked myself: Why Baylor? Main reason is the 10-2 record at home. Look at that schedule so far for Baylor. 6 out of 7 Baylor losses have been to ranked teams on the road. They lost to #12 Xavier, #8 Texas T, #7 WV, and #10 Kansas,. They were for the most part competitive in all of those games. They have fought through injuries and had their fair shakes of bad calls in some games that I saw.

I just feel like KS is catching them at a bad time in the wrong town. Monday night at Waco, fired up crowd, definitely a hungry team, KS first true game on the road without their starting PG, and a team that is just physically tough underneath the basket, will be enough hopefully for Baylor to get this team going and get a much needed W at home.

HC/American (1)

Obviously, I have never seen either one of these two teams play a game. I can go as far and say I've never ever seen either program play a game. That's scary but if you really think about it there area a bunch of schools we never see play, but, still put our hard earned money down on them!!!

That's when you know you may have a serious problem. I kind of like these kind of games. You very seldom see a line of games like this. You can't get all hyper watching it on TV. You strictly have bet the game (in my case) because you looked at the matchup and you like what you saw. And that's exactly what happened in this case.

Both teams at 5-14 and 2-6 in conf play. They were forecasted to finish 8th and 9th respectively in conf play.
HC only retuned 1 starter from last year and are only scoring 62 ppg.
American last place in conf and not looking much better scoring only 64 ppg.

American ranked 265 in offensive fg% 42.3% and averaging 53.5 shots a game, 63.7% ft, and 33.6 5 from 3 pt land.
Holy Cross ranked 169 in off fg% 44.2% and 64,5 5 FT and 32.9% from 3 pt land.

I'm going to assume, ass-u-me, runs don't happen very often for these two teams.

Margins for the last 10 in this series: ( I know, I know, diff years, diff players, etc, but maybe these two schools just don't have a whole lot to choose from on the recruiting scene, so they can't score so they play D, I don't know but just one of those games I'm taking a shot on and won't look back on one way or another.

Looking at some more possible games. It seems like when there is a smaller slate you can look at things a lot closer and get a better feel sometimes. When you have a army of games it gets intimidating to get through them a ll and narrow them down with a plethora of choices.

Good luck everyone

123, 118, (141 OT and on fire) 103, 107, 102, 103, 120, 123, (125 OT)
 

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Feb 16, 2016
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Thanks for the write ups United!
With you and have the 1H unders going.
Sticking with that until I have a losing day!
 

Life is Good
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Nov 21, 1999
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Like that Baylor play. Also I am big on under in NEB/OSU. But OSU is due for a letdown - in CBB what goes up comes down pretty quickly.
 

Member
Joined
Jan 17, 2006
Messages
11,696
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recap: 2-1 +.90

1 unit: 174-159 -.85
2 unit: 102-68 +55.10
3 unit: 1-1 -.30

overall: 277-228 +53.95

725 Nebraska +11 1/2 -110 (1) W
728 Baylor -4 -110 (1) L
734 HC/American under 124 -110 (1) W
 

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