Super Bowl LII Sunday 02/04/2018

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Pesos, hope all is well my Friend!

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zen_gambler
 

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Marc Lawrence NFL Three Star Super Bowl Play - Eagles + 5 ( Does anyone have Creole Sports Three Star Super Bowl O/U Play?)
 

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Football Jesus Free pick text ; More Points scored in 2nd half than 1st Half : YES
 

Let's go Brandon!
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Brandon Lang

My 200 Dime Super Sunday move is the Eagles over the Patriots. The current line is +4 1/2 in Vegas and offshore as of 3:00 AM Eastern Monday morning. Be sure to shop around for the best price available. Now if this price drops to +4 (or +3 1/2, which is unlikely) I want you to buy up the 1/2-point on Philadelphia.

Brandon Lang Prop Bets:

Coin Toss - Tails
National Anthem - Under
1st score field goal - (+120)
Team to record 1st sack - Eagles (Even)
Eagles score in every quarter - Yes (+140)
Rushing attempts by Nick Foles - 1 1/2 - Over -130
Zack Ertz receptions - 5 1/2 - Over -110
Will Tom Brady throw an INT - Yes (+130)
First player to score - Torrey Smith (18-1)
Super Bowl MVP - Nick Foles (4-1)
 

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Geimske2K on Eagles +6 He's got 100K posted across the street. Warning, Geimske2K is all FAKE.
 
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[FONT=&quot]FYI......... “King Creole” has hit over 77% with his Super Bowl “TOTALS.” Whether that be the “game, quarters, half, etc.”





If his play doesn’t show up, I’m “ALL IN” with a buy group. Have no clue what the cost is, but his winning %, makes it irrelevant to me personally.
[/FONT]
 

Friendly and Helpful
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Save your cash

King Creole

New England/Philadelphia Over 48
 

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Spartan

3*
Philadelphia +5

Well here we are. This is the one game each year that ends up being the poster child for the term paralysis of analysis. You will, over the time leading up to kick off hear so many varying opinions you will get dizzy. There will be legitimate football insiders who will clash in their predictions. Happens every year. So welcome to this guys opinion. While I have the absolute utmost respect for Tom Brady and Coach B. I cannot get past the stubborn fact that their defense simply is not in reality all that good this time around. They finished 29th overall in the league in total defense and that is simply not an ideal recipe for winning another Lombardi trophy. On the flip side this Eagles defense seems to be peaking at the exact right time. They basically abused the Vikings in that title game. They also held on against a very explosive Falcons team. The Patriots have a proven knack for coming from behind and have proven it. I will not be shocked if they pull the win out but no way am I comfortable laying these points to a red hot Eagles team playing with a swagger right now. Lets take just a moment and look at the Patriots history in the super bowl. And let's go back away's and check the good and bad. Yes, last year they won by 6 over the Falcons but it took a miracle to do it. In my view a combination of gritty play from Brady and company along with some choking by the Falcons. Sorry. In 2015 they beat Seattle by four points when they held up on the goal line, remember that. I stand by my opinion had Lynch gotten the ball on the last play that would have ended differently. In 2012 they lost to the Giants outright 21-17. In 2008 they also lost to the Giants. In 2005 they beat the Eagles but only by 3 points 24-21. In 2004 they beat the Panthers but by only 3 points 32-29. In 2002 theÚy beat the Rams but only by 3 points 20-17. There is a common theme here, they play close games fellas. No reason in the world against this Eagles team we should anticipate anything different in my own view. Nick Foles has stepped in under tough circumstances and improved game by game. Doug Pederson has worked some magic with Foles. I could go on and on but the bottom line here is I do think the Eagles will have success moving the chains on this Patriots defense and I am very confident the Eagles defense will hound Brady all game long. A lot of these games turn into blow outs but nothing here suggests that to me. I expect a close battle that will likely go down to the wire. I am going Triple on the Eagles plus the points.

Now, I have won 10 of my last 12 super bowl plays. That is very solid but it is not 100%. My long term clients know I don't deal in BS like locks. Never have. PLEASE do not wager more than you can afford on any one event, super bowl or not. Not trying to preach, quite the opposite. Trying to help. Please also check back as I likely will add some props as well as we draw closer to game day.

Many thanks as always and best of luck to all of us. Enjoy the big game.

Prop Wager: Bovada, Will both teams make a field goal of 33 yards or more in the game. I say play the No at +125.

Prop Wager: Will a special teams or defensive touchdown be scored? Yes, +180
 

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Our selection is on the Eagles/Patriots OVER 48
We just love the idea of giving Tom Brady and Bill Belichick two weeks to come up with a game plan to exploit the Eagles pass defense. There is no doubt the Eagles who have the number one rushing defense will be able to stop NE on the ground but we doubt very much that they will be able to stop them through the air. Philadelphia was ranked 17th in passing defense this year and although that is very decent, Jacksonville was number 1 and Brady and Co put up 273 on them. We believe Brady will have a big passing game, as this might be his last time getting to a Super Bowl and he should be able to put some big yards against the Eagles.
The Eagles come into this game off a HUGE domination of the Minnesota Vikings. QB Nick Foles has not been receiving the respect that we believe he deserves. The journeyman has played excellent in the two Eagles playoff games going against some very tough defenses in Atlanta and Minnesota. Now he gets his chance to go up against the 30th ranked pass D of the Patriots. We know that Brady has all the experience when it comes to this game but we also know Foles is paid a lot of money to do what he is doing and although he might have some early nerves we totally believe he will help the Eagles offense put up a bunch of points today. The Eagles averaged 28.6 points in the regular season, which was good for second in the NFL in scoring tying them with the Patriots. We know most of that damage was done with QB Carson Wentz but nothing tells us any different that QB Foles will not have his way with this porous New England defense.
Backing our selection is the fact that the Over is 12-2 in Eagles last 14 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game and the fact that the Over is 8-2 in Patriots last 10 playoff games. We had this total when it came out on Monday at 51. Now that Gronkowski has been cleared to play come game time on Sunday you will see this total at 49 1/2 and maybe 50.
So let’s get the job done with the New England/Philadelphia game OVER 48.

We have two Prop selections that we played and still have great value. When betting props you should shop around as we all know 1 yrd or point can be the difference in a winner or a loser.
These are from Pinnacle and Bet 365 as of Friday Morning


Number 1 Prop Bet James White OVER 3 1/2 receptions plus 114

Number 2 Prop Bet Total Rushing yards game UNDER 200.5 minus 110


Good Luck with all your plays
Don Buster
 

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Spartan

3*
Philadelphia +5

Well here we are. This is the one game each year that ends up being the poster child for the term paralysis of analysis. You will, over the time leading up to kick off hear so many varying opinions you will get dizzy. There will be legitimate football insiders who will clash in their predictions. Happens every year. So welcome to this guys opinion. While I have the absolute utmost respect for Tom Brady and Coach B. I cannot get past the stubborn fact that their defense simply is not in reality all that good this time around. They finished 29th overall in the league in total defense and that is simply not an ideal recipe for winning another Lombardi trophy. On the flip side this Eagles defense seems to be peaking at the exact right time. They basically abused the Vikings in that title game. They also held on against a very explosive Falcons team. The Patriots have a proven knack for coming from behind and have proven it. I will not be shocked if they pull the win out but no way am I comfortable laying these points to a red hot Eagles team playing with a swagger right now. Lets take just a moment and look at the Patriots history in the super bowl. And let's go back away's and check the good and bad. Yes, last year they won by 6 over the Falcons but it took a miracle to do it. In my view a combination of gritty play from Brady and company along with some choking by the Falcons. Sorry. In 2015 they beat Seattle by four points when they held up on the goal line, remember that. I stand by my opinion had Lynch gotten the ball on the last play that would have ended differently. In 2012 they lost to the Giants outright 21-17. In 2008 they also lost to the Giants. In 2005 they beat the Eagles but only by 3 points 24-21. In 2004 they beat the Panthers but by only 3 points 32-29. In 2002 theÚy beat the Rams but only by 3 points 20-17. There is a common theme here, they play close games fellas. No reason in the world against this Eagles team we should anticipate anything different in my own view. Nick Foles has stepped in under tough circumstances and improved game by game. Doug Pederson has worked some magic with Foles. I could go on and on but the bottom line here is I do think the Eagles will have success moving the chains on this Patriots defense and I am very confident the Eagles defense will hound Brady all game long. A lot of these games turn into blow outs but nothing here suggests that to me. I expect a close battle that will likely go down to the wire. I am going Triple on the Eagles plus the points.

Now, I have won 10 of my last 12 super bowl plays. That is very solid but it is not 100%. My long term clients know I don't deal in BS like locks. Never have. PLEASE do not wager more than you can afford on any one event, super bowl or not. Not trying to preach, quite the opposite. Trying to help. Please also check back as I likely will add some props as well as we draw closer to game day.

Many thanks as always and best of luck to all of us. Enjoy the big game.

Prop Wager: Bovada, Will both teams make a field goal of 33 yards or more in the game. I say play the No at +125.

Prop Wager: Will a special teams or defensive touchdown be scored? Yes, +180
 

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Greg shaker

3*
Philadelphia + 5.5


When this season began the clear strength of the Philadelphia Eagles was their defensive line. Then Wentz became their biggest strength. Now it's their defensive line again. NOBODY has been able to stop this crew from reeking havoc with QB's. This is a deep team on the line and they are going to get to Brady. Brady does not do well when he is pressured so we think this is absolutely the key to the win and we do think Philly will win the game outright. Yes I will have some money line money on this one. We saw how they Pats barely beat the Jags and it was not all about "The Hand." Jacksonville's D had a lot to do with the Narrow Patriots win. Foles may not be Wentz but he's not that bad and is getting better and better with each game. The Eagles, unli™ke the Jags are a team that is built to play with the lead. They are not likely to fold on Sunday. We are also expecting Philly to create some turnovers as well, just like they have all year. This was an easy selection for us and is a 3* Play at any number you can get...Props hitting all week and should be played for 1% each unless otherwise noted. Your Lines on these will vary from Book to Book. I am going to post what I think are Consensus Lines..

Super Bowl LII Prop Bets
1) Under 9.5 Points 1st Quarter -110
2) Will Zach Ertz will Score a TD. YES +145
3) Total Sacks by Both Teams Over 4.5 -115
4) Patriots Over 1.5 Field Goals -140
 

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Tom Stryker

15-0 ATS & 14-0 ATS SUPER BOWL BEST BET

Patriots
 

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