Mahoning 1-29-2018

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Mahoning 1-29-2018

Yesterday's Oaklawn post was bad. Too many near misses. If it wasn't for the last race, I would have lost alot instead of a little.
Today we'll try Mahoning. I'm just going to do a few races at a time because I don't know if they will be cancelling. It's only going to be 40° and start rain at 3pm. They cancelled when it was 42° before, so I don't want to waste time.
Jocks to watch is easy .... Paucar in routes, Quinones is sprints, Gonzalez on longshots.


race #1 - 5.5f
Ward ships in morning line fav #6 (2-1) TAGLIA. Ward runners have underperformed at this track recently.Obviously a pre-race inspection is in order but since I wouldn't have any confidence betting on, I will bet against. Doesn't bother me to get beat by the favorite ...
... $0.10 Superfecta: 1,4 / 1,4,5 / 1,3,4,5,8 / 1,3,4,5,8 ($2.40)
#1A 3-1 DUBAI PRINCESS
#4 5-2 KELLS
#5 15-1 QUEEN OF CLONMEL

race #2 - 8f
#5 3-1 DREAMINOFJUSTICE
#3 5-2 MYSTIC BRIDGE - Quinones lands here
#7 10-1 OHIO SILVER - jock+

race #3 - 5.5f
#5 4-1 THELOVEOFMUNNINGS
#1 8-5 THE LADY FACTOR - might be best but must overcome bad post
#2 5-2 EVEN ON THE RUN

... more to follow ...
 

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race #4 - 5.5f
... MSW tuffy.
#5 10-1 ART DEBUT - better if track is fast
#3 5-2 EL BANILEJO - better if track is slow
#1 15-1 GARY'S STORM - trainer never has first time starters, might be going for workout but inspect anyways.

race #5 - 8f
#7 2-1 TWILIGHT APPEAL
#1 4-1 EYE ON THE MONEY
#4 5-2 LAND OR SEA
#6 10-1 IMITATE

race #6 - 5.5f
... ugly race.
#5 8-1 WOOLLEY ALLEN
#4 2-1 INTELLIGENT FLASH
#1 5-2 ARMED ESCORT
 

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race #7 - 8f
#9 10-1 DONTBOTHERMENOW
#2 7-2 COLONY CLASSIC
#5 9-2 ESKENDULCE

race #8 - 6f
... cheap and wide open, many with a shot.
#7 12-1 ENCHANTED BOOTS
#8 7-2 TIZ A CHARM
#10 6-1 ROCKY PARADE - works out on private farm so we have no idea how ready

race #9 - 8f
#7 8-1 LOUIE'S HIGHWAY
#10 5-1 NEXT BIG THING
#3 7-2 BATTLE CROSSING
#4 20-1 ZONEMAN - exotic booster


FYI, definitions:
"pick to click" - most likely (aka best bet)
"bomb alert" - very possible, don't ignore if big price
"exotic booster" - use underneath only
Good luck to all!
 

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Not happy after three races. No timed race in the first, so it took the next 2 races to determine how the track is playing. There's a strong outside bias and the track is tiring and will favor middle/outside 2nd flight horses.
Now if I could just quit screwing up handicapping ...
 

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