Two weeks back I had both ATS winning sides with Jags and Eagles.
Whats with my thread title? Nothing - except that we all could wish for a guaranteed win if we could get it.
On the comical side, I always asked people if you could have one wish, what would it be?
Hundreds of different responses ranged from,
To Wish
Heaven could be proven true and witnessed by the whole world at once
To win the lottery.
To live forever
Heal the sick all at once
Hit a ten horse trifecta.
Find a real Sports Almanac, like in the movie "Back to the Future"
And hundreds more.
When I was asked back - what would my wish be, I simply said: "I wish for all the wishes in the world". LOL!
So today Im wishing for another win on the super bowl.
Here is my take on this big game.
NE
There are a few factors that make sense to me.
Pats are logically favored because they win the money ATS at a good rate.
Brady is arguably the best QB in the game for the last several years.
Belichick is the most successful coach the last 15 years.
Pats have come back from huge deficits to win SU.
Pats RARELY beat them selves.
Here is the Philly list.
Eagles have the best defense of the 2 teams
Eagles have held the last four opponents to 10 points or less. None of those opponents were playing backups.
Foles was reborn. Given a wish come true opportunity, he has the best QB rating ever in the last few games!
Capping this game is impossible unless you ask yourself, What would Wentz have done if he started? You have to think it would be hard for him, (with little experience) to play at the level that Foles played at.
I also think that if both QB's went down in this game, the Eagles would win because of their defense.
Foles has played as well as Brady during the playoffs. Especially against Atlanta and Minnesota.
There is much more to say but Im condensing it down to a few things.
One game that stands out to me is the Pats vs Tampa game. Tampa has a very underrated defense. They kept NE out of the end zone in 4 of 5 drives which NE won 19-14. Philly is better than Tampa defensively.
More importantly, is the fact that Vegas made NE only a 3.5 point favorite? They expected the Buc's defense to cover that game.
That leads me to this line on Sunday. The 4.5 or 5.5 line is over priced! Do you think that if Philly was playing in Tampa the way the Eagles are playing now, they would only be a 3.5 point favorite? Of corse not!
They were dogs in both games with ATL and Minn. Public opinion caused that.
Eagles pass rush is simply to good to have Brady relax. They have better defensive speed as proven against Minny and ATL.
On the Pats defense, no one stands out to me, so stopping Foles is going to be tough.
I also think Foles is better right now than both QB's are on Tennsee and J'Ville.
I also think that NE will never score more than what they did against the Jags, who had them beat until, the end in NEW ENGLAND !.
Neutral site games in the Super Bowl isn't a factor, IMO.
Play.
Philly. Take the points
Whats with my thread title? Nothing - except that we all could wish for a guaranteed win if we could get it.
On the comical side, I always asked people if you could have one wish, what would it be?
Hundreds of different responses ranged from,
To Wish
Heaven could be proven true and witnessed by the whole world at once
To win the lottery.
To live forever
Heal the sick all at once
Hit a ten horse trifecta.
Find a real Sports Almanac, like in the movie "Back to the Future"
And hundreds more.
When I was asked back - what would my wish be, I simply said: "I wish for all the wishes in the world". LOL!
So today Im wishing for another win on the super bowl.
Here is my take on this big game.
NE
There are a few factors that make sense to me.
Pats are logically favored because they win the money ATS at a good rate.
Brady is arguably the best QB in the game for the last several years.
Belichick is the most successful coach the last 15 years.
Pats have come back from huge deficits to win SU.
Pats RARELY beat them selves.
Here is the Philly list.
Eagles have the best defense of the 2 teams
Eagles have held the last four opponents to 10 points or less. None of those opponents were playing backups.
Foles was reborn. Given a wish come true opportunity, he has the best QB rating ever in the last few games!
Capping this game is impossible unless you ask yourself, What would Wentz have done if he started? You have to think it would be hard for him, (with little experience) to play at the level that Foles played at.
I also think that if both QB's went down in this game, the Eagles would win because of their defense.
Foles has played as well as Brady during the playoffs. Especially against Atlanta and Minnesota.
There is much more to say but Im condensing it down to a few things.
One game that stands out to me is the Pats vs Tampa game. Tampa has a very underrated defense. They kept NE out of the end zone in 4 of 5 drives which NE won 19-14. Philly is better than Tampa defensively.
More importantly, is the fact that Vegas made NE only a 3.5 point favorite? They expected the Buc's defense to cover that game.
That leads me to this line on Sunday. The 4.5 or 5.5 line is over priced! Do you think that if Philly was playing in Tampa the way the Eagles are playing now, they would only be a 3.5 point favorite? Of corse not!
They were dogs in both games with ATL and Minn. Public opinion caused that.
Eagles pass rush is simply to good to have Brady relax. They have better defensive speed as proven against Minny and ATL.
On the Pats defense, no one stands out to me, so stopping Foles is going to be tough.
I also think Foles is better right now than both QB's are on Tennsee and J'Ville.
I also think that NE will never score more than what they did against the Jags, who had them beat until, the end in NEW ENGLAND !.
Neutral site games in the Super Bowl isn't a factor, IMO.
Play.
Philly. Take the points
