The Big One

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You guys saw the research I did in my Fundamental thread. Philly won some categories. The Pats won some.

Three things stick out to me.

During the regular season the Pats were 3-0 SU and ATS on the road vs Playoff teams. Points 86-47. Philly was 1-1. Points 48-50.
Those were the only Playoff teams Philly played the whole regular season. The Pats, meanwhile, played seven Playoff teams during the regular season. They were 5-2 SU and ATS in those games. Pats are tested, and road tested.

Patriots have a best in the NFL net penalties per game number of +17.39. While Philly's number is -1.78.
The Pats are the most disciplined team in football. They don't beat themselves while they watch their opponents implode.

Sack differential. Over the last 8 regular season games (2nd half of the season) the Pats have a +12 sack differential while Philly is +2.
Can't tell you how many times I've read that Philly will smudge Brady. Don't think so. Their pass rush is overrated. The world should be worried about the Pats smudging Foles. He likes to put the ball on the ground when he's getting sacked. Foles fumbled the ball 6 times ( losing 2) over his last 6 games, although he only started three.

It should be noted that the Pats have all their offensive weapons healthy at the same time since way back around mid season. Brady will have all his helpers. Philly won't get to him as often as many of the pundits think. The most disciplined team, and best coached team, will buttress the best Defense (yes the Pats) and the Patriots should hoist another Trophy.

New England -4 -109 (vs Philly)

GO GOATS.
 

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With you on the Pats. Got -4.5 -105. Let's end this year on a good note. Best of luck Mich.
 

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Hope my -4.5 doesn't bite me in the end.

All the eagles bettors seem to be overlooking the fact that they are with a backup qb. He is hit or miss. Minny blew their load with the saints and really shouldnt have won that game they acted like they had won the sb already. They were not prepared for thebeagles and made foles look like brett farve in that game. BB will be prepared for this guy. It wont be like hes facing matty ice again. Thats why he had the time to go to the basketball game he already knows how he will play these guys.
 

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The MVP curse continues to 0-9 the last 9. There are some things that stats, trends and analysis just can't overcome. Great game, but the league MVP fumbled the ball at a critical time. They should have won.
 
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Hope my -4.5 doesn't bite me in the end.

All the eagles bettors seem to be overlooking the fact that they are with a backup qb. He is hit or miss. Minny blew their load with the saints and really shouldnt have won that game they acted like they had won the sb already. They were not prepared for thebeagles and made foles look like brett farve in that game. BB will be prepared for this guy. It wont be like hes facing matty ice again. Thats why he had the time to go to the basketball game he already knows how he will play these guys.

What basketball game?
 
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He was at a Celtics game two weeks ago, mob.

Congrats to all the Philly backers and fans. Foles was a stud. Peterson has monster balls. And the Patriots forgot how to tackle in the first half. Great game. Philly wins.
 

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