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Feb 6, 2018
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My Story:
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I’m a coder, I write software for a living. But my passion over the last 8 years has been using my programming abilities and testing out my own NBA data analytics. I try and come up with logical “theories” on what should affect winning and covering spreads and then I back test the theories on my NBA database.

If the analytic shows promise in the back testing, I then test it “live” on a current season. If it proves successful in a live season, then I keep it and continue keeping track of it’s record ATS for at least three years.

I have had numerous successes and failures, but what I have compiled I feel are quality tools to help make good decisions on what team to wager on.

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Get To The Point!
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I have come across one particular analytic that has been so good to me, I want to share it and hopefully help us all become more profitable.

When I back tested this analytic it did extremely well, so I then tested it live last year and it went (59-18 ATS). I sadly only started betting theses for the last 20 or so games so I missed out, but I was excited about this year to see if it was all luck or I was maybe on to something.

I figured this year, I would have a huge regression back to the mean, but this year the system is is still producing great results at (31-13 ATS)… I know you guys are all probably very skeptical, I would be too (and still am) but I thought I would put the curse on it by posting here for the rest of the year.

2016-2017 (59-18)
2017-2018 (31-13)
Posted Record: (0-0)
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MIAMI +4.5 over Houston
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Best of luck to all!
 

We are EVERYWHERE !!
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I'm also a great believer in algorithms for predicting results in sports......unfortunately our formulas disagree on that particular game, but we both know a large sample is needed to validate, so I wish you luck in the long run and hope we agree on future predictions !!
 

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NBA/A........welcome to the NBA forum, sure you will enjoy the site.....many good cappers here.........appreciate the info and write up...........BOL.............indy
 

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Thanks for posting NBAA. BOL and GLTA.

Will this be a daily thread or one thread for the entire season that I can bookmark?
 

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Thanks Indy, I am just hoping I can back up my "claims" with winners going forward... Never fails once you start posting the bad streaks happen!... I can say that in tracking this for the last 1.5 seasons it hasn't had a prolonged losing streak... Fingers crossed.
 

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This will be one thread for the rest of the year... This system goes through spurts some weeks nothing, some weeks 4-5, it all depends on the match up fitting the analytic. It is a DOG system, and I can also tell you that the DOG winning outright has happened a good percent of the time. I myself will go back and see what the exact percentage is, but I know it is good enough to sprinkle a little moneyline!

Thanks for the interest!
 

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face)(*^% Not another one...Why can't people just give us the games without all the drama
 

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2016-2017 (59-18)
2017-2018 (31-14)
Posted Record: (0-1)
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MIAMI +4.5 over Houston - Lost
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Nothing today from yesterdays analytic but an analytic that is 11-5 this year and 89-62 lifetime for me has Boston +1.5

Best of luck everyone!
 

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Hope you guys cashed on the Celtics yesterday.... For the posted record below I am just keeping track of this one analytic, but I will share other analytic plays I have found to be worth wagering on t make the thread a bit more interesting.

2016-2017 (59-18)
2017-2018 (31-14)
Posted Record: (0-1)
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Pacers +4 over BOSTON
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Best of luck everyone!
 

New member
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Feb 6, 2018
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Hope you guys cashed on the Celtics yesterday.... For the posted record below I am just keeping track of this one analytic, but I will share other analytic plays I have found to be worth wagering on t make the thread a bit more interesting.

2016-2017 (59-18)
2017-2018 (31-14)
Posted Record: (0-1)
*******************
Pacers +4.5 over BOSTON
*******************


Best of luck everyone!
 

New member
Joined
Feb 6, 2018
Messages
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Hope you guys cashed on the Celtics yesterday.... For the posted record below I am just keeping track of this one analytic, but I will share other analytic plays I have found to be worth wagering on t make the thread a bit more interesting.

2016-2017 (59-18)
2017-2018 (31-14)
Posted Record: (0-1)
*********************
Pacers +4.5 over BOSTON
KINGS +5.5 over Portland
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Best of luck everyone!
 

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Why did you post Indiana +4 and then Indiana +4.5? It's one or the other.
 

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Feb 6, 2018
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My apologies for the multiple posts, I thought I was updating and not ADDING... Won't happen again. Best of luck to all!
 

New member
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Feb 6, 2018
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2016-2017 (59-18)
2017-2018 (32-15)
Posted Record: (1-2)
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Pacers +4.5 over BOSTON - WINNER (Straight up)
KINGS +5.5 over Portland - LOSER
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New member
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2016-2017 (59-18)
2017-2018 (32-15)
Posted Record: (1-2)
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ORLANDO +5.5 over Milwaukee
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From my other analytics Phoenix +6.5 looks promising.

Best of luck!
 

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