Couple Found a Math Error in the Lottery and Made $27 Million

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I love stories like this




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[h=1]This Couple Found a Math Error in the Lottery and Made $27 Million (Playing Over and Over for 55 Weeks)
[/h] "Oh, I knew it would work," the wife said. "I knew it would work."

By Bill Murphy Jr.
Bill-Murphy_51492.png




Executive editor of operations, Some Spider, and founder, ProGhostwriters.com@BillMurphyJr








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<figcaption class="pancaption imagecaption"> CREDIT: Getty Images
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(Update: If you thought this story was something, check out the Stanford PhD who reportedly gamed the Texas lottery and walked away with $20 million.)
The lottery is usually a lousy return--but for a husband and wife team who figured out a math error in games run by two states, it became a wildly profitable investment strategy.
Meet Marge and Jerry Selbee, owners of a "party store" in Evart, Michigan that sold cigarettes, liquor, and lottery tickets. After watching thousands of customers, Jerry figured out how to hack the odds in a certain type of lottery: called Winfall in Michigan, and later Cash WinFall in Massachusetts.
Play a dollar here and there, and you might win occasionally. But play thousands and thousands in particular weeks, when the prize accumulated in a certain way, and Jerry realized you could almost guarantee a profit to the tune of five or six figures.
So that's what the Selbees started doing, to the point that playing the lottery became a full-time job at times. Over the course of nine years, it worked, to the point that their estimated total lottery haul was almost $27 million.
[h=2]The work[/h] The math is explained at greater length in a recent, 10,000-word article on The Huffington Post (which I highly recommend). But the really hard part, once the Selbees figured it out, was simply the process of actually buying and examining thousands of lottery tickets.
This required physically going to stores in person, standing in front of machines for hours, buying the tickets, and printing them out.
Selbee started on his own in 2003, spending a few thousand dollars a week, while keeping the whole thing a secret from his more risk-averse wife.
After two weeks of betting, during which he made $6,300 after buying $3,400 worth of tickets--and then grossed $15,700 after buying $8,000 worth of tickets, he came clean.
She bought in.
"Oh, I knew it would work," Marge said later, given her husband's propensity for code-breaking and math. "I knew it would work."
[h=2]The MIT gang[/h] After first few hundred thousand dollars in profit, the Selbees started a company to fund and organize the whole thing.
Then, Michigan closed down the game they were playing, and they focused on Massachusetts, where the stakes were higher. This also required a 12-hour drive each way to play--standing in convenience stores, for days at a time.
The Selbees took on investors, and then faced another challenge: a group of students from MIT who had also figured out the odds, formed an organization, attracted investors, and started making millions.
Like big bettors at the racetrack or in Las Vegas, each big group started to interfere with the other's strategy.
But in the end, it was the Boston Globe newspaper that brought the whole thing crashing down.
[h=2]The investigators[/h] There was nothing illegal about what the Selbees or the MIT group were doing, but there was a perception that they were juicing the odds in their favor--and away from the "little guy" player, who might picking up a couple of lottery tickets on the way home from work.
It didn't matter, as the Selbees would later argue, that their out-of-state money was pumping millions of dollars into the Massachusetts lottery's coffers--and was ultimately distributed to the state's cities, towns, and schools.
It just didn't look right.
And, there was also the fact that lottery officials in Massachusetts had started to figure out that the Selbees and the MIT students had identified an advantage, but had done very little to combat it.
"How do I become a member of the [Selbees'] club when I retire?" one lottery official joked in an email that later became public.
The Boston Globe stories, written by the same Spotlight team that had exposed child sexual abuse in the Catholic church (and served as the basis for an Oscar-winning movie)--foretold the end of the story.
The Massachusetts Lottery shut down the game. And the Selbees made their final trip back to Michigan, after their 55th week of playing.
[h=2]Still: $27 million gross[/h] They'd been vilified in the media, Jerry Selbee felt, even after he'd sat for interviews himself with the Globe reporter. Still, he seemed to think, it was a small price to pay--and well worth the cost.
The Selbees "grossed nearly $27 million" all together, netting $7.75 million, according to the Huffington Post report, which culminates with a more recent interview with the couple.
Besides, they're back in Michigan now--hundreds of miles away from the Massachusetts media. And they doubted too many people would have given up the opportunity they'd taken, if they knew it existed.
"If you figured it out and you could do this, would you do it?" Jerry Selbee said in the Huffington Post article, "I'm just asking. Would you?"



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The opinions expressed here by Inc.com columnists are their own, not those of Inc.com.

Published on: Mar 2, 2018
































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It was a good story but 3K - 5K words too long for a story and 10K to short for a short novel.

Basically, super smart guy that like a good challenge "took advantage" of a flawed state lottery draw game. He only played when a special overflow payout system was implemented when a jackpot went unwon for am extended period of time. When he told his wife about it and she oked it, they started a "company" and selling share to family and friends to get involved bc buying and checking all the tickets was so much work but "guaranteed" considerable profits. So after years of doing this the state caught wind, they didnt care, basically ran a profitable enterprising buying and winning WinFall lottery in MA.
 

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27M gross...7M net...lots of ups and downs watching lotto balls losing 20M in between.
The Mass state lotto guys knew...but still let them do it. Nice. And everyone kept their mouth closed like they were supposed to as well. Nice execution.
 
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What was the advantage they had?

In a nutshell, when the top prize didn't get hit, they rolled the monies down into the smaller prizes (like for hitting 4 out of 6 nums)
to get more people to play.

They did that enough so that playing the lottery became a +EV game, so you buy enough tickets, you're bound to win.
 

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Interesting and not much different than the Pick 6 lottery terminal machines that were in the Florida Indian reservation casinos years ago. The jackpot on the terminals would get high enough where teams would take over the progressives when the amount became a mathematical edge. The machines were very generous in adding 5% of the money wagered to the meter while you were playing. I think the odds of the Pick 6 hitting was about 1 in 80,000 or it might be 1 in 100,000. Obviously the game could go several cycles and the team would lose money if that happened like the couple who played the lotto tickets. In the long run the team would win. Interest fact about the lottery terminals. If you were there early in the morning and no one else was around and you tried to play one machine the terminal wouldn't let you. You need a minimum of two players to make it a lottery. Oh and I should add that if you didn't hit 6 out 6 there were other pays like hitting two numbers, three numbers, ect. Smaller payouts to keep you going until you hit the big one.
 

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that huffington post link is incredible what a great read.
 

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so the ROLL down money paid for 5 or 4 or 3 was dependent on how many actually won 5s, 4,s and 3,s it was not just a concrete " $50 instead of $5 " Am I right? the articles are a bit confusing on exactly what the roll down amounts for 5,4,3's were or could be.


Im just trying to figure out why it would matter to either team how many played.

interesting did those groups play that long that much and never hit the lucky 6 for 6 by chance?
 

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