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Thread: MLB 2018 Season Long Thread Thru the World Series / Picks,Trends,News Etc. !!

  1. #2051  
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    MLB
    Dunkel

    Saturday, October 13


    Houston @ Boston

    Game 903-904
    October 13, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Houston
    (Verlnder) 18.781
    Boston
    (Sale) 16.344
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Houston
    by 2 1/2
    10
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Boston
    -125
    7
    Dunkel Pick:
    Houston
    (+105); Over

    LA Dodgers @ Milwaukee


    Game 905-906
    October 13, 2018 @ 4:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    LA Dodgers
    (Ryu) 19.831
    Milwaukee
    (Miley) 17.000
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    LA Dodgers
    by 3
    7
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    LA Dodgers
    No Line
    N/A
    Dunkel Pick:
    LA Dodgers
    N/A





    MLB
    Long Sheet

    Saturday, October 13


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    HOUSTON (106 - 59) at BOSTON (111 - 55) - 8:05 PM
    JUSTIN VERLANDER (R) vs. CHRIS SALE (L)
    Top Trends for this game.
    HOUSTON is 275-313 (-72.2 Units) against the money line when playing on Saturday since 1997.
    BOSTON is 111-55 (+34.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
    BOSTON is 88-39 (+32.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
    BOSTON is 75-35 (+23.7 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
    BOSTON is 42-29 (+12.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    HOUSTON is 58-24 (+25.8 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
    HOUSTON is 37-14 (+19.1 Units) against the money line in road games in night games this season.
    HOUSTON is 24-6 (+16.7 Units) against the money line in road games against left-handed starters this season.
    HOUSTON is 42-15 (+22.0 Units) against the money line in road games after a win this season.
    HOUSTON is 38-16 (+18.2 Units) against the money line in road games after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
    HOUSTON is 49-28 (+17.9 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
    BOSTON is 240-240 (-64.9 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    BOSTON is 3-4 (+0.4 Units) against HOUSTON this season
    5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.9 Units)

    JUSTIN VERLANDER vs. BOSTON since 1997
    VERLANDER is 6-6 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 2.79 and a WHIP of 1.103.
    His team's record is 9-11 (-4.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-10. (-3.6 units)

    CHRIS SALE vs. HOUSTON since 1997
    SALE is 5-3 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 2.75 and a WHIP of 0.864.
    His team's record is 5-3 (+1.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-4. (-0.4 units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    LA DODGERS (95 - 72) at MILWAUKEE (99 - 67) - 4:05 PM
    HYUN-JIN RYU (L) vs. WADE MILEY (L)
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MILWAUKEE is 3-4 (+0.4 Units) against LA DODGERS this season
    4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.7 Units)

    HYUN-JIN RYU vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
    RYU is 1-0 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 2.46 and a WHIP of 1.091.
    His team's record is 1-0 (+1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

    WADE MILEY vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
    MILEY is 4-5 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 3.39 and a WHIP of 1.312.
    His team's record is 6-8 (-0.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-8. (-2.8 units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




    MLB
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Saturday, October 13


    National League
    Dodgers @ Brewers (Milwaukee leads series, 1-0)

    Ryu is 4-0, 0.35 in his last four starts; over is 5-3 in his last eight starts. Team in his starts: 11-5, 3-3 road Ryu didn’t pitch against Milwaukee this season.
    5-inning record: 10-4-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 2-16

    Milwaukee won Miley’s last eight starts (3-0, 2.93); Miley hasn’t gotten an out past the 5th inning since Sept 4- Brewers used 7 pitchers last nite. Team in his starts: 13-4, 5-2 home Miley allowed one run in 13 IP in two starts vs the Dodgers this year.
    5-inning record: 10-5-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 2-16

    Dodgers won seven of their last nine games overall, four of last six on road. LA is in playoffs for 6th year in row; they lost 7th game of World Series LY. Dodgers’ last WS title was in 1988.

    Milwaukee won its last 12 games; their last loss was Sept 22. Brewers won their last seven home games- they’re in playoffs for first time since 2011- they lost Game 7 of the 1982 World Series.

    American League
    Houston @ Boston

    Verlander is 4-0, 1.41 in his last six starts; over is 3-1 in his last four starts. Team in his starts: 22-13, 13-2 road Verlander allowed two runs in six IP in a June 2 no-decision vs Boston.
    5-inning record: 23-6-6 Allowed run in 1st inning: 7-35

    Sale is 1-0, 4.73 in his last three starts; he pitched scoreless 8th inning Tuesday in New York. Team in his starts: 19-9, 9-4 home Sale lost 7-3 in Houston June 1, allowing four runs in six IP.
    5-inning record: 18-5-5 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-28

    Houston is 11-2 in its last 13 games; they outscored Cleveland 21-6 in last series. Red Sox won four of their last five games; they scored 27 runs in 3-1 series win vs New York.

    Red Sox are in playoffs for third year in row; they won World Series in 2013. Astros won their first WS title LY, in their second try (’05); they’re in playoffs for third time in four years.




    MLB
    Weather Report

    Saturday, October 13







    MLB

    Saturday, October 13


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Los Angeles Dodgers
    LA Dodgers is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
    LA Dodgers is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
    LA Dodgers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    LA Dodgers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 6 games on the road
    LA Dodgers is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of LA Dodgers's last 12 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
    Milwaukee Brewers
    Milwaukee is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
    Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games
    Milwaukee is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of Milwaukee's last 12 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers


    Houston Astros
    Houston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
    Houston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Houston's last 10 games
    Houston is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
    Houston is 16-3 SU in its last 19 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Houston's last 8 games on the road
    Houston is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Boston
    Houston is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing Boston
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games when playing Boston
    Houston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Boston
    The total has gone OVER in 12 of Houston's last 18 games when playing on the road against Boston
    Boston Red Sox
    Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Boston's last 9 games
    Boston is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Houston
    Boston is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games when playing Houston
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games when playing Houston
    Boston is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Houston
    The total has gone OVER in 12 of Boston's last 18 games when playing at home against Houston


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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  2. #2052  
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    SATURDAY, OCTOBER 13
    GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


    LAD at MIL 04:09 PM



    LAD -130


    U 8.5
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  3. #2053  
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    HOU at BOS 08:09 PM


    BOS -121


    O 7.5
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  4. #2054  
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    Dodgers edge Brewers in NLCS Game 2
    October 13, 2018



    MILWAUKEE (AP) Justin Turner and the Los Angeles Dodgers know all about performing in the postseason.


    Backed into a tough spot Saturday, the red-headed slugger delivered once again.


    Shut down for most of the afternoon, Los Angeles staged another late rally and Turner hit a two-run homer in the eighth inning to lift the Dodgers over the Milwaukee Brewers for a 4-3 victory that evened the NL Championship Series at a game apiece.


    The high-powered Dodgers had two measly singles off Wade Miley before breaking through against one of baseball's best bullpens. After forcing the Brewers to use six relievers in Milwaukee's 6-5 victory Friday night, the NL West champions put that extended look to good use in Game 2, especially against faltering All-Star Jeremy Jeffress.


    ''As long as we have outs left, we know we're in the game,'' Turner said.


    Milwaukee wasted a terrific performance by Miley in its first loss in three weeks, ending a 12-game winning streak that produced free burgers for its fans as part of a promotion by a local restaurant chain. Orlando Arcia and Travis Shaw homered, and Lorenzo Cain robbed David Freese of a two-run drive with a leaping grab over the wall in center .


    Miley pitched 5 2/3 scoreless innings in his second career playoff start and had two hits in his first multihit game since 2014.


    ''We were in really good shape with the effort that Wade gave us,'' Brewers manager Craig Counsell said. ''He pitched beautifully.''


    The best-of-seven series moves to Dodger Stadium for Game 3 on Monday night. Walker Buehler pitches for Los Angeles and Jhoulys Chacin gets the ball for Milwaukee.


    Miley handed a 2-0 lead over to his bullpen and Shaw tacked on a solo drive in the sixth , delighting a yellow towel-waving crowd of 43,905 at Miller Park. But that was the last run for the Brewers, and the Dodgers finished off their rally this time around after nearly taking Game 1.


    Cody Bellinger got Los Angeles on the board with an RBI single in the seventh, chasing Corbin Burnes and stopping an 0-for-15 slide in the playoffs that landed him on the bench at the start of the game. Austin Barnes forced in another run with a bases-loaded walk off Jeffress, but the right-hander escaped when pinch-hitter Yasmani Grandal bounced into a double play.


    The Dodgers went right back to work in the eighth. Chris Taylor reached on a leadoff single before Turner hit a long drive to left off Jeffress, admiring the ball with his bat pointed toward the sky before rounding the bases and participating in several different celebrations with his giddy teammates on his way to the dugout.


    Turner bounced back after striking out a career-worst four times in Game 1.


    ''It felt good,'' Turner said. ''I knew it was a homer, and it's cool to run around the bases and see all your teammates going crazy, jumping up and down waiting for you.''


    Jeffress also struggled in Game 1, allowing two hits while only recording one out. He was charged with two runs and six hits in 3 1/3 innings in three appearances in the Division Series against Colorado, including a blown save in the opener.


    ''It's intense baseball games, man,'' Jeffress said. ''They're going to be like this for the rest of the postseason. We're going to battle, they're going to battle. Just be ready.''


    Los Angeles has scored eight runs against Milwaukee's bullpen, all in the seventh inning or later.


    ''The more you face the relievers, the easier it's going to get,'' Bellinger said.


    It was Turner's seventh career playoff homer. He was co-MVP of the NLCS last year with Taylor when Los Angeles made it to the World Series for the first time since 1988.


    The Dodgers are making their sixth straight appearance in the playoffs while the upstart Brewers are in the postseason for the first time since 2011. That advantage in experience seemed to pay off - especially when Turner came up with the big blow.


    ''He personifies everything that I believe in as a baseball player, as a professional. ... He's the glue for our club,'' manager Dave Roberts said.


    Save for Yasiel Puig snapping his bat over his leg after striking out swinging with the bases loaded in the seventh, Los Angeles stayed steady as Milwaukee tried to hold on. Pedro Baez got four outs for the win, and Kenley Jansen worked the ninth for the save. Jansen broke NL MVP-favorite Christian Yelich's bat for a groundout with a runner on second for the final out.


    REMEMBER WHEN


    Former major league slugger Prince Fielder threw out a ceremonial first pitch. Fielder said Counsell helped him a lot when they played together in Milwaukee.


    ''There was one time I was thinking about bunting and he told me if I bunt, he'll punch me in the face,'' a chuckling Fielder said.

    UP NEXT



    Chacin had his worst start of the season at Los Angeles on Aug. 2, allowing nine runs, eight earned, and five hits in 4 1/3 innings in a 21-5 loss. The veteran right-hander is 5-5 with a 4.96 ERA in 12 career starts at Dodger Stadium. Buehler is making his second career start against Milwaukee. The rookie right-hander tossed seven innings of five-hit ball in a 1-0 loss to the visiting Brewers on July 31.




    **********************




    Sale, Cora make early exits for Red Sox in ALCS Game 1
    October 13, 2018
    By The Associated Press



    BOSTON (AP) Red Sox ace Chris Sale and manager Alex Cora both made early exits in Boston's 7-2 loss to the Houston Astros in Game 1 of AL Championship Series on Saturday night.


    Sale lasted just four innings, giving up two runs on one hit, four walks and a hit batter.


    Cora wasn't far behind the lanky left-hander going back to the clubhouse. The rookie manager was ejected in the bottom of the fifth inning with the game tied 2-2 after arguing a called third strike on Andrew Benintendi that ended Boston's first rally of the game.


    Sale opened the game with an eight-pitch walk to George Springer and struggled through the first three innings with subpar stuff and location.


    Houston took advantage in the second. Sale got two quick outs, but then walked Carlos Correa, plunked Martin Maldonado on the hand with a fastball and walked Josh Reddick. Springer followed with a hard grounder past third baseman Eduardo Nunez to put Boston ahead 2-0.


    Sale decided to go sleeveless despite a 48-degree first pitch, and it took too long for his fastball to heat up. His velocity has been a focus since a shoulder issue landed him on the disabled list in August. He returned in September but averaged just 90 mph in his final regular-season tuneup, well below his standard.


    He jumped back up to about 95 mph in two effective outings against the Yankees in the Division Series, but was sitting a relatively sluggish 90-93 on Saturday.


    His control was shaky, too, even as he perhaps took something off his fastball and slider after falling behind in counts. He threw one pitch behind Alex Bregman, and all four of his walks came in the first two innings.


    Sale had just two swings and misses in the first three innings before finding a groove in the fourth. That was enough for Cora, though, who pulled Sale after 86 pitches. Sale struck out five, including Correa and Maldonado to end his outing.


    The 29-year-old allowed five hits and two earned runs, striking out nine over 6 1/3 innings in his ALDS Game 1 win over Yankees. He also came on in relief during Game 4, retiring all three batters he faced during the eighth inning.


    Saturday night's start harkened back to the rough outing he had in his postseason debut in Game 1 of last season's ALDS against Houston. Sale gave up seven earned runs in the five innings he pitched in that outing, yielding a pair of home runs to Jose Altuve and another to Bregman in a loss.


    Sale came on in a relief appearance in Game 4 of that series as well, holding the Astros scoreless through four innings before allowing two runs in the Red Sox's 5-4 Game 4 loss as Houston wrapped up the series, 3-1.


    Cora stuck around long enough to pull Sale and use Mitch Moreland as a pinch hitter in the fifth before he was tossed while standing up for Benintendi.


    There were two out, two on and two runs already in when Justin Verlander threw a 98 mph fastball to Benintendi near the outside edge for strike three. Benintendi slammed his helmet and bat down and pleaded his case with plate umpire James Hoye before Red Sox coaches ran in to get between them.


    Cora continued to yell from the dugout and was tossed by Hoye. Cora gave the lineup card to bench coach Ron Roenicke and walked down the tunnel into the clubhouse.


    Houston took a 3-2 lead in the sixth and it remained that way until Roenicke gave the ball to Brandon Workman in the ninth. Workman gave up two homers and four runs while getting one out with closer Craig Kimbrel watching from the bullpen. Heath Hembree replaced Workman and got out of the inning. Kimbrel never got in the game.
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  5. #2055  
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    wild card/division/championship series/world series /record and best bets:




    Date w-l-t % units record


    10/13/2018 3-1-0 75.00% +8.95
    10/12/2018 2-0-0 100.00% +11.65
    10/09/2018 0-2-0 0.00% -12.45
    10/08/2018 3-2-1 60.00% +1.70
    10/07/2018 1-3-0 25.00% -16.80
    10/06/2018 3-1-0 75.00% +9.55
    10/05/2018 4-4-0 50.00% -0.50
    10/04/2018 2-1-0 66.67% +5.00
    10/03/2018 1-1-0 50.00% +0
    10/01/2018 2-1-1 66.67% +5.85


    total..............21-16-2.......56.75%......+12.95




    best bets:................ats.....................units ..................o/u..................units............days total


    10/13/2018...............0 - 0....................+0.00.................2 - 0.................+10.00...........+10.00
    10/12/2018...............1 - 0....................+5.00..................1 - 0................+5.00.............+10.00
    10/09/2018...............0 - 0................... +0.00..................0 - 1.................-5.50..............-5.50
    10/08/2018...............1 - 0....................+5.95..................1 - 1.................-0.50..............+5.45
    10/07/2018...............0 - 0....................+0.00..................1 - 1.................-0.50..............-0.50
    10/06/2018...............1 - 0....................+5.05..................1 - 1..................-0.50.............+4.55
    10/05/2018...............0 - 3....................-15.00.................3 - 1..................+9.50.............-5.50
    10/04/2018...............0 - 1.....................-5.00..................2 - 0.................+10.00...........+5.00
    10/03/2018...............0 - 1.....................-5.00..................1 - 0.................+5.00.............+0.00
    10/01/2018...............1 - 1....................+5.85..................1 - 0.................+5.00.............+10.85


    total.........................4 - 6....................-3.15...................13 - 5...............+37.50...........+34.35
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  6. #2056  
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    Sunday’s six-pack

    Top 6 picks in Week 6 of Westgate SuperBook NFL handicapping contest (3,123 entries)


    1) Steelers +2.5 (1,092)


    2) Patriots -3.5 (1,004)


    3) Jaguars -3 (838)


    4) Bears -3 (799)


    5) Colts +2.5 (773)


    6) Falcons -3.5 (766)


    Season record: 13-15-2


    Quote of the Day
    “If it was easy, everyone would be rich.”
    Sean Higgs, talking about sports betting


    Sunday’s quiz
    Which current ACC football coach was Eli Manning’s college coach at Ole Miss?


    Saturday’s quiz
    Dodgers’ P Clayton Kershaw was the center on his HS football team; Lions’ QB Matthew Stafford was under center.


    Friday’s quiz
    Cincinnati Bengals beat the Houston Oilers the last time they won a playoff game, in 1990.




    ****************************




    Sunday’s List of 13: Wrapping up a college football Saturday


    13) Michigan State 21, Penn State 17— To paraphrase Bill Raftery, Spartans coach Mark Dantonio has onions; MSU tried a fake FG with 5:31 left, down 17-14- it didn’t work, but they got the ball back and didn’t just play for tying FG- they threw a GW TD pass with 0:19 left.


    If you remember, Michigan State beat Notre Dame a few years back by scoring a TD on a fake FG in OT. You can’t play scared and be a great coach.


    12) Tennessee 30, Auburn 24— Vols snapped an 11-game SEC losing streak, ending a six-game skid vs Auburn- their last win over the Tigers was in 1999.


    Auburn is 1-3 in SEC play and obviously, they haven’t played Alabama yet; Auburn has fired coaches for less- they canned Gene Chizik in 2012, two years after he won a national title.


    11) Virginia Tech 22, North Carolina 19— What is a quarterback? You can use all the numbers you want, but the essence of what a QB is/should be was summed up by Hokies’ QB Ryan Willis, who led an 18-play, 98-yard drive that wound up with Tech scoring the game-winning TD with 0:19 left in Chapel Hill.


    Willis scrambled for a first down on 4th-and-7 when their situation looked hopeless- thats what good QB’s do, whatever needs to be done.


    10) Florida 37, Vanderbilt 27— Vandy was up 21-3 in 2nd quarter- Florida turned ball over three times, but Gators stormed back to win- they had 576-336 yardage edge, ran 92 plays compared to 58 for the Commodores. Gators were 12-19 on third down, Vanderbilt 3-12.


    In 2nd quarter, there was war of words between two head coaches while a Vandy player was hurt; benches almost emptied. After the game, the coaches talked for 20-30 seconds and all seemed peaceful then.


    9) Northwestern 34, Nebraska 31 OT— Cornhuskers’ season from hell continues; they’re 0-6 for the first time ever, losing game here when they led 31-21 with 3:00 left- Northwestern tied game with 0:12 left in regulation.


    Clayton Thorson threw for 455 yards for the Wildcats. Dating back to last year, Nebraska has now lost ten games in a row. Rough start to the Scott Frost era in Lincoln.


    8) Maryland 34, Rutgers 7— Scarlet Knights threw 17 passes in this game; seven of them were caught, five by Maryland defenders, only two by Rutgers receivers. This is not good.


    Rutgers lost its last six games (1-4 vs spread), five of them by 21+ points.


    7) Upsets of the Week:
    Tennessee (+14.5) 30, Auburn 24
    Liberty (+9.5) 22, Troy 16
    Texas Tech (+7.5) 17, TCU 14
    LSU (+7) 36, Georgia 16
    Kansas State (+7) 31, Oklahoma State 12


    6) Eastern Michigan 28, Toledo 26— Eagles led 28-3 at the half, hung on for dear life as they snapped a 4-game losing skid- EMU’s last four games were decided by total of 11 points.


    5) Central Florida 31, Memphis 30— Tigers were driving for winning FG in last minute, but after WR caught pass to the UCF 35 with 0:38 left, he strutted around for few seconds before realizing he had to line up again, because Memphis had no timeouts left. He had to sprint to other side of field and it took a few seconds.


    Finally Memphis got lined up, but left tackle moved before the snap, which resulted in both a 10-second runoff and the 5-yard penalty- things unraveled from there- they never even got a FG try off.


    4) Oregon 30, Washington 27 OT— Huskies missed a 37-yard FG on last play of regulation, Oregon scored TD in OT and improved to 5-1. Teams combined to go 15-31 on third down, as offenses controlled the day, while a kicker ruined Washington’s day.


    3) Iowa State 30, Oklahoma State 14— ISU coach Matt Campbell makes $3.5M a year; I hope Cyclone fans are enjoying this, because Campbell is about to get a really big raise, whether it is from a bigger-$$$ school or an NFL team— this guy is really good.


    I’ve never been to Iowa, but people in Ames seem happier when they win than most people when they win. Fans at Iowa State were really, really happy after this game.


    2) Dodgers 4, Brewers 3— Justin Turner hit the GW homer in the 8th inning.
    Astros 7, Red Sox 2— Justin Verlander allowed two hits in six IP; imagine that, a starting pitcher actually finishing the sixth inning. Revolutionary.


    1) Ole Miss 37, Arkansas 33— Razorbacks led 30-17 with 8:00 left in third quarter, but let this game slip away and lost their sixth game in a row.


    Rebels gained 613 yards on a rainy night in Little Rock, averaged 11.1 yds/pass attempt.
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  7. #2057  
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    MLB
    Long Sheet


    Sunday, October 14



    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


    HOUSTON (107 - 59) at BOSTON (111 - 56) - 7:05 PM
    GERRIT COLE (R) vs. DAVID PRICE (L)
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    HOUSTON is 5-3 (+0.4 Units) against BOSTON this season
    6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.9 Units)

    GERRIT COLE vs. BOSTON since 1997
    COLE is 2-1 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 4.32 and a WHIP of 1.080.
    His team's record is 3-1 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.4 units)

    DAVID PRICE vs. HOUSTON since 1997
    PRICE is 6-2 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 3.06 and a WHIP of 1.005.
    His team's record is 7-3 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-3. (+2.9 units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------







    MLB
    Armadillo's Write-Up


    Sunday, October 14



    American League
    Houston @ Boston (Houston leads series, 1-0)

    Cole is 4-0, 2.70 in his last six starts; over is 6-3 in his last nine. Team in his starts: 25-8, 13-4 road
    Cole is 1-0, 3.46 in two starts vs Boston this year.
    5-inning record: 19-8-6 Allowed run in 1st inning: 9-34


    Price is 1-2, 9.00 in his last three starts; over is 6-2 in his last eight. Team in his starts: 22-9, 12-4 home
    Price is 1-0, 3.65 in two starts vs Houston this year; he is 2-9, 5.82 in 18 career playoff games (10 starts)- the two wins were both in relief.
    5-inning record: 17-8-6 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-31


    Houston is 12-2 in its last 14 games; they won their four playoff games by combined score of 28-8. Red Sox won four of their last six games; they scored 29 runs in their last four games.


    Red Sox are in playoffs for third year in row; they won World Series in 2013. Astros won their first WS title LY, in their second try (’05); they’re in playoffs for third time in four years.








    MLB
    Weather Report


    Sunday, October 14












    MLB

    Sunday, October 14


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


    Houston Astros
    Houston is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
    Houston is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Houston's last 11 games
    Houston is 17-3 SU in its last 20 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Houston's last 9 games on the road
    Houston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Boston
    Houston is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing Boston
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Houston's last 7 games when playing Boston
    Houston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
    Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
    The total has gone OVER in 13 of Houston's last 19 games when playing on the road against Boston
    Boston Red Sox
    Boston is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
    Boston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of Boston's last 10 games
    Boston is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games at home
    Boston is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Boston's last 8 games at home
    Boston is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Houston
    Boston is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games when playing Houston
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Boston's last 7 games when playing Houston
    Boston is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Houston
    Boston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Houston
    The total has gone OVER in 13 of Boston's last 19 games when playing at home against Houston
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  8. #2058  
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    MLB
    Dunkel


    Sunday, October 14




    Houston @ Boston


    Game 951-952
    October 14, 2018 @ 7:05 pm


    Dunkel Rating:
    Houston
    (Cole) 15.875
    Boston
    (Price) 19.250
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Boston
    by 3 1/2
    9
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Houston
    -125
    8
    Dunkel Pick:
    Boston
    (+105); Over
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  9. #2059  
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    LEADING OFF: Red Sox seek to clean things up vs Astros
    October 14, 2018
    By The Associated Press



    A look at what's happening around the majors Sunday:


    TRY AGAIN


    The Red Sox send David Price to the mound for Game 2 of their AL Championship Series against Houston hoping for a bounce-back performance from the entire club. Price hasn't pitched since allowing three runs in 1 2/3 innings in a Game 2 Division Series loss to the Yankees. That dropped him to 0-9 in 10 career postseason starts, the longest such skid in major league playoff history.


    Boston is coming off a lousy night all around in a 7-2 loss to Houston. Chris Sale struggled, Alex Cora was ejected, the defense had a few misplays and the offense had just three hits against Justin Verlander and a trio of relievers.


    Gerrit Cole is up for the Astros. The right-hander struck out 12 over seven innings in a 3-1 win Game 2 win against Cleveland in the Division Series.


    LOOK OUT!


    Umpire Joe West slides from second base to first for ALCS Game 2 after getting closer to the action than he'd like in the opener. Boston catcher Christian Vazquez drilled West in the chest with a throw when Jake Marisnick stole second in the eighth. The 65-year-old crew chief appeared to be fine.


    REST UP


    The Brewers and Dodgers get a day to travel to Los Angeles before playing Game 3 Monday. It's a chance for Milwaukee's vaunted bullpen to recover and look for answers after an uncharacteristically lousy first couple games. Aside from lights-out lefty Josh Hader, Brewers relievers have allowed eight runs in 7 1/3 innings. That crew had the fifth-best bullpen ERA in the majors during the regular season at 3.47, including a big league-best 1.98 in September.
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  10. #2060  
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    SUNDAY, OCTOBER 14
    GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS



    HOU at BOS 07:09 PM


    HOU -128


    O 8.0
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    Cole struggles in 2nd playoff start with Astros
    October 14, 2018
    By The Associated Press



    BOSTON (AP) Gerrit Cole struggled at the beginning of his second playoff start with the Houston Astros.


    By the time he recovered, it was too late. Boston was well on its way to a big win.


    Cole's electric fastball was lined all over Fenway Park and he also committed a costly error in his first career appearance in the AL Championship Series, losing 7-5 to the Red Sox in Game 2 on Sunday.


    One night after Justin Verlander pitched Houston to a 7-2 victory in the series opener, Cole was unable to duplicate the success of his fellow hard-throwing right-hander. The 28-year-old Cole allowed a season-high five runs and six hits - all of them on fastballs - in six innings.


    Game 3 is Tuesday in Houston.


    Cole went 15-5 with a 2.88 ERA in his first season with Houston after he was acquired in a trade with Pittsburgh, helping the World Series champion Astros return to the playoffs with a second straight AL West title.


    He was terrific in the AL Division Series against Cleveland, striking out 12 while pitching seven innings of one-run ball in a 3-1 victory in Game 2. He joined Hall of Famer Tom Seaver as the only players to strike out at least 12 without walking a batter in the postseason.


    He had a completely different performance against the high-scoring Red Sox.


    Looking amped and jittery, Cole allowed his first run on his sixth pitch of the game. Mookie Betts drove his 3-1 pitch off the wall in center, and Andrew Benintendi followed with an RBI single.


    After J.D. Martinez lined to second, Cole picked up Xander Bogaerts' bouncer in front of the mound and threw wildly to first for an error. The miscue helped set up Rafael Devers' RBI single.


    Houston tried to pick up Cole with two runs in the second and third, but he was unable to hold onto the 4-2 lead.


    Jackie Bradley Jr. put Boston ahead to stay with a three-run double off the Green Monster with two out in the third. Cole walked Devers on four pitches and struck out Ian Kinsler swinging before Bradley's big blow.


    After Boston took its 5-4 lead, Cole struck out Christian Vazquez to end the inning and retired his next nine batters before he was lifted from just his third career start at Fenway.


    Cole was 2-2 with a 3.13 ERA in four career playoff starts coming into the night.
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    Red Sox ace Chris Sale hospitalized with stomach illness
    October 14, 2018
    By The Associated Press



    BOSTON (AP) The Boston Red Sox say ace left-hander Chris Sale has a stomach illness and will spend the night in the hospital.


    The Red Sox made the announcement Sunday night in the seventh inning of Game 2 of the AL Championship Series against Houston.


    Boston said Sale reported the illness earlier in the day and was admitted to Massachusetts General Hospital. He will be held overnight for observation.


    The 29-yaer-old Sale struggled with his control in Boston's 7-2 loss to the Astros in the series opener Saturday night. He allowed two runs with four walks and a hit batter in four innings despite giving up just one hit.


    Sale picked up the win in Game 1 of the AL Division Series against the Yankees when he pitched into the sixth inning. He also threw a perfect eighth inning in the clincher at Yankee Stadium on Tuesday night.


    Sale missed nearly six weeks, making just one start, from late July into September with mild left shoulder inflammation before he worked his way back into the rotation with four starts in September.
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    LEADING OFF: Yelich, Brewers face Dodgers, ALCS has day off
    October 14, 2018
    By The Associated Press



    A look at what's happening around the majors Monday:


    CALIFORNIA DREAMIN'


    Milwaukee Brewers star Christian Yelich is heading home for Game 3 of the NL Championship Series with the matchup against the Dodgers tied at 1-all. Yelich, the favorite for NL MVP, was born in Thousand Oaks, California, and went to Westlake High School before he was selected by the Marlins in the first round of the 2010 draft. The 26-year-old Yelich is a .326 hitter with six homers and 17 RBIs in 37 career games against the Dodgers, but he went 1 for 8 with three strikeouts in the first two games of the series against the NL West champions.


    DOING BETTER?


    The Red Sox will see how ace Chris Sale is feeling after a stomach illness sent him to the hospital. The team said Sale was spending the night at Massachusetts General Hospital for observation after being admitted earlier Sunday.


    Boston and the Astros have a day off before the AL Division resumes in Houston on Tuesday with the clubs tied at one game each.


    The 29-year-old Sale struggled with his control in Boston's 7-2 loss in the opener Saturday night. He missed nearly six weeks from late July into September with mild left shoulder inflammation.


    PAST PERFORMANCE


    Milwaukee right-hander Jhoulys Chacin, who gets the ball in Game 3 of the NLCS, is 3-0 with a 1.15 ERA in his last three starts going back to the regular season, but he hasn't fared very well in Los Angeles. Chacin had his worst start of the season at Dodger Stadium on Aug. 2, allowing nine runs, eight earned, and five hits in 4 1/3 innings in a 21-5 loss. He is 5-5 with a 4.96 ERA in 12 career starts at Los Angeles.


    ''I'm just going to go out, just try to give my team a chance to win the game and just have fun,'' Chacin said.


    NICE JOB


    The Braves might be set to announce a new contract for manager Brian Snitker. General manager Alex Anthopoulos is going to address the media, and Snitker's future is expected to be a main topic.


    Snitker, who turns 63 on Wednesday, guided the Braves to a surprising NL East title with a 90-72 record. A longtime member of the Atlanta organization, he took over as manager during the 2016 seasons after Fredi Gonzalez was fired.
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    wild card/division/championship series/world series /record and best bets:


    Date w-l-t % units record


    10/14/2018 1-1-0 50.00% -1.40
    10/13/2018 3-1-0 75.00% +8.95
    10/12/2018 2-0-0 100.00% +11.65
    10/09/2018 0-2-0 0.00% -12.45
    10/08/2018 3-2-1 60.00% +1.70
    10/07/2018 1-3-0 25.00% -16.80
    10/06/2018 3-1-0 75.00% +9.55
    10/05/2018 4-4-0 50.00% -0.50
    10/04/2018 2-1-0 66.67% +5.00
    10/03/2018 1-1-0 50.00% +0
    10/01/2018 2-1-1 66.67% +5.85


    total..............22-17-2.......56.41%......+11.55




    best bets:................ats.....................units ..................o/u..................units............days total


    10/14/2018...............0 - 0....................+0.00.................1 - 0.................+5.00.............+5.00
    10/13/2018...............0 - 0....................+0.00.................2 - 0.................+10.00...........+10.00
    10/12/2018...............1 - 0....................+5.00..................1 - 0................+5.00.............+10.00
    10/09/2018...............0 - 0................... +0.00..................0 - 1.................-5.50..............-5.50
    10/08/2018...............1 - 0....................+5.95..................1 - 1.................-0.50..............+5.45
    10/07/2018...............0 - 0....................+0.00..................1 - 1.................-0.50..............-0.50
    10/06/2018...............1 - 0....................+5.05..................1 - 1..................-0.50.............+4.55
    10/05/2018...............0 - 3....................-15.00.................3 - 1..................+9.50.............-5.50
    10/04/2018...............0 - 1.....................-5.00..................2 - 0.................+10.00...........+5.00
    10/03/2018...............0 - 1.....................-5.00..................1 - 0.................+5.00.............+0.00
    10/01/2018...............1 - 1....................+5.85..................1 - 0.................+5.00.............+10.85


    total.........................4 - 6....................-3.15...................14 - 5...............+42.50...........+39.35
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    Armadillo: Monday's six-pack


    Top 6 picks in Week 6 of Westgate SuperBook NFL handicapping contest (3,123 entries)


    1) Steelers +2.5 (1,092)- W


    2) Patriots -3.5 (1,004)- L


    3) Jaguars -3 (838)- L


    4) Bears -3 (799)- L


    5) Colts +2.5 (773)- L


    6) Falcons -3.5 (766)- W


    Season record: 15-19-2




    **********

    Armadillo: Monday's Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday



    Patriots 43, Chiefs 40— This was 37th game in NFL history where losing team scored 40+ points; three of those games have been this year. Kansas City scored 31 points in the second half and still lost. Chiefs covered seven of last 10 games as road underdogs; they’re 6-0 vs spread this season. New England scored 38-38-43 points in its last three games.


    Steelers 28, Bengals 21— Marvin Lewis has coached the Bengals for 16 years; Pittsburgh is 16-2 in Cincinnati during that time (two playoff games). Antonio Brown scored the winning TD with 0:10 left on a 31-yard pass from Roethlisberger, who threw for 369 yards. Steelers are 10-6-1 vs spread in last 16 games as road dogs. Bengals play in Kansas City Sunday; they’ve lost their last five Sunday night games.


    Dolphins 31, Bears 28 OT— Chicago’s three road games were decided by total of six points; Miami’s backup QB Brock Osweiler emerged from obscurity to throw for 380 yards as Dolphins survived a goal line fumble in OT to improve to 4-2. Osweiler is a surprising 4-0 in OT games; his overall career record is 14-12.


    Bears turned ball over twice in the red zone, missed a 52-yard FG in OT.


    Chase Daniel is the Bears’ backup QB; he’s 32 and has been in the NFL for nine years- the guy has started two NFL games, but has banked $28,304,317. He’s completed 51 of 78 passes, with one TD, one INT in his career, and he’s made $28M+. Its good to be him.


    Falcons 34, Buccaneers 29— Tampa Bay outgained Atlanta 512-416 but lost its third game in a row, allowing 38 ppg. Reality for Bucs’ coach Dirk Koetter is that he’s probably going to get fired unless his team turns things around soon— the face of the franchise is a QB who was suspended three games for groping a Uber driver, and they went 2-1 while he was out. No bueno.


    Here is a breakdown of Atlanta’s offense:
    2 road games, both on grass fields: 22 drives, three TD’s, 14.5 ppg
    4 home games, all indoors on turf: 40 drives, 17 TD’s, 34.5 ppg


    Texans 20, Bills 13— Buffalo backup QB Nathan Peterman is the worst NFL QB I’ve seen since Jerry Golsteyn played for four teams from 1977-83, going 2-7 as a starter. Golsteyn threw two career TD passes, 13 INT’s, but Peterman may be worse— he threw a pick-6 in this game with 1:30 left as Texans have now won consecutive games by 3-3-7 points after an 0-3 start.


    Both teams scored one offensive TD in this game, on drives of 32-29 yards. Buffalo threw for 129 yards, giving them a total of 295 PY in their last three games. Deshaun Watson got sacked seven times; if the Texans don’t improve their pass blocking, Watson won’t last much longer.


    Redskins 23, Panthers 17— Since 2015, Redskins are now 16-7 vs spread coming off a loss; they had a 14-yard edge in field position in this game, converted on 7-16 3rd down plays, compared to 3-9 for Carolina. Washington allowed 9-14-17 points in its wins, 24-31 in its losses. Panthers are 3-0 at home, 0-2 on the road; they threw 40 passes, ran ball only 18 times in this game.


    Rams 23, Broncos 20— Denver is first team since the ’78 Buffalo Bills to give up 270+ rushing yards in consecutive games; in today’s pass-happy era, thats terrible. This was a hard-hitting game; lot of players limped off on both sides.


    On a cold day in Denver where the snow mostly stopped before the game, Rams ran the ball down the Broncos’ throats when it mattered most, on a 13-play, 72-yard drive that took 5:39 off the clock and ended with a FG that gave LA an insurmountable 23-13 lead.


    Jared Goff celebrated his 24th birthday with a win, but looked uncomfortable in sub-freezing temps; Rams play in Chicago December 9.


    Minnesota 27, Arizona 17— Cardinals are 3-0-1 vs spread in their last four games; they scored six TDs in last two games, but two of them are scored by their defense. Minnesota ran ball for 185 yards here and outgained Arizona, 411-269. Redbirds lost last nine visits to the Twin Cities; their last win here was in 1977, the Don Coryell era.


    NFL has seven new head coaches this year; they’re a combined 12-28 so far- three of those seven teams were .500 or better LY- Tennessee was in the damn playoffs, and they fired their coach.


    Chargers 38, Browns 14— Quietly, the Chargers are 4-2, with losses to Rams/Chiefs, who are a combined 11-1. Bolts ran ball for 246 yards and averaged 9.2 yds/pass attempt- they had seven plays of 20+ yards, five of them on first down.


    Chargers are 2-0 outside California, winning/covering in Buffalo/Cleveland- they like Lake Erie, but coach Anthony Lynn mustn’t like kickers- Sunday he used his 7th different kicker in his 22 games as a head coach.


    Jets 42, Colts 34— Gang Green scored 48-34-42 points in their two wins, 12-17-12 in their losses; Jet fans have to be fired up that they’ve scored 34+ points three times already with a rookie QB under center. Under Bowles, Jets are 17-9-1 vs spread at home.


    Andrew Luck threw for 301 yards and four TD’s, but he doesn’t get much help; on their second offensive play, Indy tried a screen pass that any high school team could execute, but instead it bounced off the Colts’ receiver and the Jets had an easy pick-6 to start their day with.


    Seahawks 27, Raiders 3— If I owned an NFL team and was paying my coach $100M over the next 10 years (yikes!!!), I’d expect more than the sorry performances the Raiders have been producing, especially since the last coach was 12-4 two years ago.


    Seattle ran ball for 171-190-155 yards in its last three games; they’ve won three of last four games and evened their record at 3-3. Oakland is 1-6-1 vs spread in its last eight pre-bye games.


    The last six NFL games in England/Mexico were won by an average of 26 points (32-6).


    Cowboys 40, Jaguars 7— Jacksonville’s uniforms looked like the old Memphis Maniax from the XFL; thats not a compliment, and their play was uglier than their uniforms. In their last three games, Jaguars are minus-8 in turnover ratio- not good.


    Dallas is 3-0 at home, 0-3 on the road; they scored four TD’s on 11 drives, after scoring total of three TD’s on 31 drives in previous three games. Cowboys had a 12-yard advantage in field position. Jaguars never had a snap in the Dallas red zone.


    Ravens 21, Titans 0— Not often an NFL team gets 11 sacks in a game, but Baltimore did here. while Tennessee had zero sacks. Total yardage in this ugly game was 361-106; Tennessee had only seven first downs, was 1-10 on 3rd down and ran only 40 plays- Baltimore ran 72.


    Only once in six games has Tennessee scored more than six points in the first half; 12-20-2 in last 34 games where spread was three or fewer points.
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    MLB
    Dunkel


    Monday, October 15


    Milwaukee @ LA Dodgers


    Game 953-954
    October 15, 2018 @ 7:35 pm


    Dunkel Rating:
    Milwaukee
    (Chacin) 16.638
    LA Dodgers
    (Buehler) 20.192
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    LA Dodgers
    by 3 1/2
    9
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    LA Dodgers
    -170
    7
    Dunkel Pick:
    LA Dodgers
    (-170); Over









    MLB
    Long Sheet


    Monday, October 15



    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


    MILWAUKEE (100 - 68) at LA DODGERS (96 - 73) - 7:35 PM
    JHOULYS CHACIN (R) vs. WALKER BUEHLER (R)
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MILWAUKEE is 4-5 (+0.8 Units) against LA DODGERS this season
    5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.6 Units)

    JHOULYS CHACIN vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
    CHACIN is 11-9 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 4.42 and a WHIP of 1.528.
    His team's record is 14-11 (+4.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 15-9. (+5.1 units)

    WALKER BUEHLER vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
    BUEHLER is 0-1 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 1.29 and a WHIP of 0.714.
    His team's record is 0-1 (-1.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------







    MLB
    Armadillo's Write-Up


    Monday, October 15



    National League
    Brewers @ Dodgers (Series tied, 1-1)

    Chacin is 2-0, 1.15 in his last three starts, but didn’t finish 6th inning in any of them; under is 5-1 in his last six. Team in his starts: 24-12, 15-7 road Chacin gave up nine runs in 4.1 IP in a 21-5 loss in LA on August 2.
    5-inning record: 18-12-6 Allowed run in 1st inning: 8-36


    Buehler is 1-0, 3.42 in his last four starts; under is 6-1 in his last seven. Team in his starts: 14-10, 9-3 home
    5-inning record: 14-6-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 5-24


    Dodgers won eight of their last ten games overall, eight of last nine at home. LA is in playoffs for 6th year in row; they lost 7th game of World Series LY. Dodgers’ last WS title was in 1988.


    Milwaukee won 12 of its last 13 games; they’ve won six in a row on the road. Brewers are in playoffs for first time since 2011- they lost Game 7 of the 1982 World Series.








    MLB
    Weather Report


    Monday, October 15












    MLB

    Monday, October 15


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


    Milwaukee Brewers
    Milwaukee is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
    Milwaukee is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 6 games
    Milwaukee is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
    Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    Milwaukee is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing LA Dodgers
    Milwaukee is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
    Milwaukee is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Milwaukee's last 8 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
    Los Angeles Dodgers
    LA Dodgers is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games
    LA Dodgers is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
    LA Dodgers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
    LA Dodgers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    LA Dodgers is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Milwaukee
    LA Dodgers is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
    LA Dodgers is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Dodgers's last 8 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
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  17. #2067  
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    wild card/division/championship series/world series /record and best bets:


    Date w-l-t % units record


    10/14/2018 1-1-0 50.00% -1.40
    10/13/2018 3-1-0 75.00% +8.95
    10/12/2018 2-0-0 100.00% +11.65
    10/09/2018 0-2-0 0.00% -12.45
    10/08/2018 3-2-1 60.00% +1.70
    10/07/2018 1-3-0 25.00% -16.80
    10/06/2018 3-1-0 75.00% +9.55
    10/05/2018 4-4-0 50.00% -0.50
    10/04/2018 2-1-0 66.67% +5.00
    10/03/2018 1-1-0 50.00% +0
    10/01/2018 2-1-1 66.67% +5.85


    total..............22-17-2.......56.41%......+11.55




    best bets:................ats.....................units ..................o/u..................units............days total


    10/14/2018...............0 - 0....................+0.00.................1 - 0.................+5.00.............+5.00
    10/13/2018...............0 - 0....................+0.00.................2 - 0.................+10.00...........+10.00
    10/12/2018...............1 - 0....................+5.00..................1 - 0................+5.00.............+10.00
    10/09/2018...............0 - 0................... +0.00..................0 - 1.................-5.50..............-5.50
    10/08/2018...............1 - 0....................+5.95..................1 - 1.................-0.50..............+5.45
    10/07/2018...............0 - 0....................+0.00..................1 - 1.................-0.50..............-0.50
    10/06/2018...............1 - 0....................+5.05..................1 - 1..................-0.50.............+4.55
    10/05/2018...............0 - 3....................-15.00.................3 - 1..................+9.50.............-5.50
    10/04/2018...............0 - 1.....................-5.00..................2 - 0.................+10.00...........+5.00
    10/03/2018...............0 - 1.....................-5.00..................1 - 0.................+5.00.............+0.00
    10/01/2018...............1 - 1....................+5.85..................1 - 0.................+5.00.............+10.85


    total.........................4 - 6....................-3.15...................14 - 5...............+42.50...........+39.35
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  18. #2068  
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    Thanks cnotes
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    MONDAY, OCTOBER 15
    GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


    MIL at LAD 07:39 PM


    MIL +154


    U 7.5
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    Grandal's woes, quiet LA bats doom Dodgers in NLCS Game 3
    October 15, 2018
    By The Associated Press



    LOS ANGELES (AP) Of all the chants that could have emanated from the Dodger Stadium stands during the eighth inning of Game 3 of the NLCS, ''We want Austin!'' was not exactly the most likely.


    But after Los Angeles catcher Yasmani Grandal committed his third passed ball of the series Monday night, the voices of exasperated fans pleading for his unsung backup, Austin Barnes, improbably echoed through Chavez Ravine.


    And when Grandal struck out on three pitches with the bases loaded in the ninth inning of the Dodgers' 4-0 loss to the Milwaukee Brewers, he only heard boos.


    The fans' vocal disappointment was mostly a measure of their dissatisfaction with Grandal, who is having a miserable postseason in every aspect. The veteran catcher dropped to 3 for 22 in the playoffs with 10 strikeouts despite a popup that turned into a ground-rule double in Game 3.


    But the unlikely chant for his backup also reflected the big-budget Dodgers' desperate frustration with their own inability to seize the important moments near the halfway point of this series.


    Game 3 was full of those missed moments, and it pushed the defending NL champions halfway to elimination.


    Game 4 is Tuesday night.


    Dodger Stadium, normally a cauldron of excitement in October, was just as quiet as the Los Angeles bats facing Jhoulys Chacin and the Brewers' deep bullpen - except when it was booing the Dodgers. LA went 0 for 10 with runners in scoring position, struck out 14 times and managed just five hits.


    The fans are thoroughly dissatisfied with Grandal, who is having a postseason to forget - on the precipice of free agency, no less. The veteran made two more defensive miscues after committing two errors and two passed balls in Game 1.


    Grandal's passed ball in the eighth drew the fans' greatest ire, even though happened after the Dodgers already trailed by four runs. Grandal has tied the big-league record for the most passed balls in a playoff series, sharing it with four other catchers.


    Immediately after Game 3, manager Dave Roberts said Barnes will start Game 4.


    ''(Grandal) had a tough night,'' Roberts said.


    Barnes was a surprise playoff contributor for the Dodgers last October, supplanting Grandal in the lineup during LA's run to the World Series before Grandal reclaimed his job this season. Barnes went 0 for 3 and drew a bases-loaded walk in Game 2 in Milwaukee.


    Along with his batting woes and his latest passed ball, Grandal also failed to control a wild pitch by Walker Buehler in the sixth inning, allowing Travis Shaw to score the Brewers' second run from third base.


    Shaw was only on third because center fielder Cody Bellinger appeared to misjudge Shaw's long fly, allowing it to carom off the wall for a triple that probably could have been the third out of the inning.


    And Buehler was still in the game because Roberts attempted to get some extra innings from his young starter instead of employing his customary quick hook.


    None of those mistakes and debatable decisions was individually decisive. Add them all together, along with the Dodgers' inability to seize any moments of their own, and LA is down 2-1.


    Roberts' decision to trust Buehler ultimately wasn't decisive, since the Brewers got the only run they needed in the first inning.


    Buehler largely pitched well during seven innings of five-hit ball, but he yielded three runs in his final two innings - including a two-run homer in the seventh to the short porch in right by Orlando Arcia, who hit three homers in the entire regular season followed by three more in the playoffs.


    The Dodgers finally showed life in the ninth, getting two hits and Yasiel Puig's one-out walk to load the bases. But Grandal and pinch-hitter Brian Dozier struck out, and the Dodger Stadium crowd made almost no noise.
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  21. #2071  
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    wild card/division/championship series/world series /record and best bets:


    Date w-l-t % units record


    10/15/2018 2-0-0 100.00% +12.70
    10/14/2018 1-1-0 50.00% -1.40
    10/13/2018 3-1-0 75.00% +8.95
    10/12/2018 2-0-0 100.00% +11.65
    10/09/2018 0-2-0 0.00% -12.45
    10/08/2018 3-2-1 60.00% +1.70
    10/07/2018 1-3-0 25.00% -16.80
    10/06/2018 3-1-0 75.00% +9.55
    10/05/2018 4-4-0 50.00% -0.50
    10/04/2018 2-1-0 66.67% +5.00
    10/03/2018 1-1-0 50.00% +0
    10/01/2018 2-1-1 66.67% +5.85


    total..............24-17-2.......58.53%......+24.25




    best bets:................ats.....................units ..................o/u..................units............days total


    10/15/2018...............1 - 0....................+7.70.................1 - 0.................+5.00.............+12.70
    10/14/2018...............0 - 0....................+0.00.................1 - 0.................+5.00.............+5.00
    10/13/2018...............0 - 0....................+0.00.................2 - 0.................+10.00...........+10.00
    10/12/2018...............1 - 0....................+5.00..................1 - 0................+5.00.............+10.00
    10/09/2018...............0 - 0................... +0.00..................0 - 1.................-5.50..............-5.50
    10/08/2018...............1 - 0....................+5.95..................1 - 1.................-0.50..............+5.45
    10/07/2018...............0 - 0....................+0.00..................1 - 1.................-0.50..............-0.50
    10/06/2018...............1 - 0....................+5.05..................1 - 1..................-0.50.............+4.55
    10/05/2018...............0 - 3....................-15.00.................3 - 1..................+9.50.............-5.50
    10/04/2018...............0 - 1.....................-5.00..................2 - 0.................+10.00...........+5.00
    10/03/2018...............0 - 1.....................-5.00..................1 - 0.................+5.00.............+0.00
    10/01/2018...............1 - 1....................+5.85..................1 - 0.................+5.00.............+10.85


    total.........................5 - 6....................+4.55.................15 - 5.................+47.50...........+52.05
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  22. #2072  
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    Tuesday’s six-pack


    Some interesting college football games this weekend:


    — Stanford (-2.5) @ Arizona State


    — Michigan (-7) @ Michigan State


    — Oregon @ Washington State (-1)


    — Minnesota @ Nebraska (-3.5)


    — Oklahoma (-7.5) @ TCU


    — USC @ Utah (-6.5)


    Quote of the Day
    “My brother was a remarkable individual on every level. While most knew Paul Allen as a technologist and philanthropist, for us he was a much loved brother and uncle, and an exceptional friend. Paul’s family and friends were blessed to experience his wit, warmth, his generosity and deep concern. For all the demands on his schedule, there was always time for family and friends. At this time of loss and grief for us — and so many others — we are profoundly grateful for the care and concern he demonstrated every day.”
    Jody Allen, sister of Seahawks/Blazers’ owner Paul Allen, who died on Monday

    Tuesday’s quiz

    Who was the coach of the San Francisco 49ers last time they made the playoffs?


    Monday’s quiz
    Jets beat the Baltimore Colts 16-7 when they won their only Super Bowl title.

    Sunday’s quiz

    Duke’s David Cutcliffe was Eli Manning’s college coach at Ole Miss.




    ***********************




    Tuesday’s List of 13: Nobody asked me, but…….


    13) I mentioned a few weeks ago how USC QB JT Daniels skipped his senior year of HS so he could play QB for the Trojans this season, and how it seemed a little odd to rush a kid thru school like that, especially since so many college players red-shirt their first year in college, so they’re often 19-20 years old before ever playing in a game.


    Well, it turns out that Daniels’ father had his son repeat 8th grade (this also happens a decent amount in Texas) so that he would be older and better suited to compete when his time came to play high school ball. JT Daniels will be 19 soon, so he isn’t that far behind the curve, age-wise, he just gave back the year he gained four years ago.


    How long will Daniels’ father let his son stay in college before he tests the NFL’s waters?


    12) Just under $184M was bet on sports in New Jersey in September, $88.6M of it on football. More than half of the $184M was wagered online.


    New Jersey books showed a $24M profit last month, $9.4M of that coming from football.


    11) This was the first time since 1990 there were no winless NFL teams after five weeks of the season.


    10) Los Angeles Angels are looking for a new manager; from Jon Morosi:


    “#Angels administering 2-hour written test to managerial candidates, sources say, with questions spanning analytical, interpersonal and game-management aspects of the job.”


    So far, six major league teams are looking for a new manager for next year.


    9) Red Sox pitcher Chris Sale has a stomach ailment, spent Sunday night in Mass General Hospital. The team was hoping Sale would accompany the ballclub to Houston on Monday.


    8) Last golf season, Henrik Stenson became the first golfer to lead the PGA Tour in driving accuracy and greens in regulation in the same season since Calvin Peete, in 1983.


    7) Knicks dumped Joakim Noah, but they still owe him $38M going forward; as far as the hit on the salary cap goes, they’ll stretch the cap hit out over three years.


    6) There is a hotel in Boston, the Liberty Hotel, which is a converted jail. It used to be called the Charles Street Jail; wouldn’t it be at least a little weird staying there overnight?


    5) There are only four players left in the NHL who played against Wayne Gretzky:
    Zdeno Chara, Matt Cullen, Patrick Marleau and Joe Thornton


    4) Rick Barry’s son Canyon Barry, who played college ball at Charleston/Florida, will play for Minnesota’s G-League team, the Iowa Wolves this winter.


    3) Ole Miss has only 28 plays in its offensive playbook; there are obviously options off of those plays, but their playbook is much thinner than most college teams.


    2) TV guys are gushing about how Alex Bregman is the Astros’ best player, but from July 27-August 20, Houston went 8-13- they allowed 3 or less runs in all eight wins; they were 0-10 during that stretch when allowing 4+ runs.


    That 21-game stretch was when Jose Altuve was out with an injured knee; make no mistake about it, Altuve is the Astros’ best player.


    1) RIP to Paul Allen, 65, who passed away Monday. Mr Allen passed away shortly after it was announced that he had been diagnosed with non-Hodgkin’s lymphoma for the third time.


    One of the co-founders of Microsoft, Allen bought the Portland Trailblazers in 1987, and the Seattle Seahawks in 1995. He was worth $20B at the time of his passing, and is said to have donated over $2B to charity.


    RIP, sir.
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  23. #2073  
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    LEADING OFF: Bregman stirs up ALCS, Grandal sits for Dodgers
    October 15, 2018
    By The Associated Press



    A look at what's happening around the majors Tuesday:


    NO BOTHER


    Red Sox manager Alex Cora is brushing off the notion that Boston might be motivated for Game 3 of the AL Championship Series by a brazen social media post Monday from Astros star Alex Bregman. Houston's third baseman shared a video on Instagram of his club hitting back-to-back-to-back home runs off Red Sox starter Nathan Eovaldi during a game in June captioned ''lil pregame video work.'' Eovaldi was with Tampa Bay at the time and allowed a career-high four homers in a 5-1 loss. Eovaldi will oppose Dallas Keuchel as the series shifts to Houston.


    Astros manager AJ Hinch had no issue with the online barb but implored Bregman to ''go out and back it up.'' Eovaldi didn't seem bothered by the video, saying he doesn't have social media, and Cora dismissed the idea that the post will give the Red Sox any added push.


    ''If you need motivation in Game 3 of the ALCS, you better check yourself,'' he said. ''Because you win three more games, you go to the show, and that's what should motivate you. Alex has different ways of motivating himself. And whatever. I'll leave it at that.''


    DODGER BLUES


    Austin Barnes is subbing into the Dodgers' lineup at catcher in place of struggling Yasmani Grandal for Game 4 of the NL Championship Series. Los Angeles fans were chanting ''We want Austin!'' during a 4-0 Game 3 loss Monday night, and that was before Grandal struck out on three pitches with the bases loaded in the ninth. Grandal dropped to 3 for 22 in the playoffs with 10 strikeouts and also committed his third passed ball of the series.


    The Dodgers' offensive woes aren't just about Grandal. The club went 0 for 10 with runners in scoring position, struck out 14 times and had just five hits Monday against Jhoulys Chacin and Milwaukee's bullpen. Even worse for LA, the Brewers only needed shutdown lefty Josh Hader for eight pitches and two outs, meaning the All-Star could be available for manager Craig Counsell again Tuesday.


    HEALING UP


    Chris Sale is expected to rejoin Boston in time for Game 3 after an overnight stay in a hospital in Boston because of a stomach illness. Boston said it planned to wait until he rejoins the team in Houston before deciding when the lanky lefty will get back on the mound. Sale was released Monday from Massachusetts General Hospital, where he had gone because of a stomach illness after he pitched in the series opener at Fenway Park. He was hospitalized Sunday night for observation and did not travel with the team to Houston.


    ''Everything's fine,'' manager Alex Cora said Monday night. ''So we'll see how he feels physically, and then after that we'll decide what we're going to do.''


    RANGER RESEARCH


    The Rangers have conducted interviews with a half-dozen candidates in their search for a manager after speaking with Rocco Baldelli and David Bell on Monday, according to people familiar with the details. Baldelli is the major league field coordinator for the Tampa Bay Rays. Bell is vice president of player development for the San Francisco Giants and the son of former Rangers third baseman Buddy Bell.


    Texas is looking to replace Jeff Banister, who was fired with 10 games left the team's second consecutive losing season.


    Of the candidates interviewed so far, former New York Yankees and Florida Marlins manager Joe Girardi is the only one with major league managerial experience.
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  24. #2074  
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    Bregman trolls Eovaldi, Hinch says "back it up" in ALCS
    October 15, 2018
    By The Associated Press



    HOUSTON (AP) Alex Bregman and the Houston Astros are brimming with confidence, even after a Game 2 AL Championship Series defeat to the Boston Red Sox.


    For proof, just see Bregman's social media feed.


    Hours after Boston beat Houston 7-5 to even the best-of-seven series at a game each, Bregman shared video Monday on Instagram of the Astros hitting back-to-back-to-back home runs against Game 3 Red Sox starter Nathan Eovaldi from a game in June.


    ''Lil pregame video work,'' he wrote.


    Eovaldi will oppose Dallas Keuchel in Houston on Tuesday after Rick Porcello was used in relief during Game 2, when the Astros took their first loss of the postseason. Eovaldi's previous start against the Astros didn't go well. The right-hander allowed seven hits and four runs in a 5-1 loss June 20 while with Tampa Bay, including a season-high four homers.


    Three of those were hit in succession by George Springer, Bregman and Jose Altuve in the sixth inning.


    The Astros didn't work out Monday, so the brazen 24-year-old Bregman wasn't available to reporters. Plenty of others weighed in, though, including Astros manager AJ Hinch. He had no issue with the online barb.


    ''Welcome to the current generation,'' Hinch said. ''Obviously there's fun banter. ... We want guys to have their personalities, have their fun. Then go out and back it up.''


    Eovaldi didn't seem bothered by the video, saying he doesn't have social media but some of his teammates told him about it.


    Red Sox manager Alex Cora, who is close with Bregman from his time as Houston's bench coach last season, brushed off the notion that Bregman's video could provide an added push for his team Tuesday.


    ''If you need motivation in Game 3 of the ALCS, you better check yourself,'' he said. ''Because you win three more games, you go to the show, and that's what should motivate you. Alex has different ways of motivating himself. And whatever. I'll leave it at that.''


    Tuesday will be Keuchel's ninth postseason start and first since allowing four hits and two runs in five innings of Houston's 11-3 win over the Indians in Game 3 of the Division Series on Oct. 8. The 30-year-old left-hander has been overshadowed by Justin Verlander and Gerrit Cole this season, but Hinch raved about the adjustments he's made to continue to help the Astros.


    ''Dallas has had to handle success when the league has tried to adjust to him,'' Hinch said. ''He's adjusted back, and he's gone back to his strengths in the back half of this season where his two-seam fastball, his changeup, his occasional cutter is good against anyone.''


    Eovaldi made his postseason debut in Game 3 of this year's ALDS against the New York Yankees, yielding five hits and one run in seven innings of the 16-1 victory. Now he'll pitch just 30 miles from his hometown of Alvin, Texas, a suburb best known as the home of Hall of Famer Nolan Ryan.


    Eovaldi has long looked up to Ryan and said ''words can't really describe'' what it was like when he met him while he was with the Yankees. He knows Ryan, an executive adviser to Astros owner Jim Crane, will likely be sitting behind the home plate Tuesday.


    ''I don't really notice people in particular in the stands,'' he said. ''I'm so focused on the game, locking in on the catcher and things like that. And I feel that would take my attention away from everything if I'm scanning the crowds and stuff.''


    The Red Sox got good news Tuesday when ace Chris Sale was released from a hospital after an overnight stay because of a stomach illness. He was scheduled to join Boston in Houston on Tuesday night, and Cora said they'd decide when he'd pitch again after that.


    Houston's Marwin Gonzalez was expected to play Tuesday despite dealing with chest and back soreness after crashing into the Green Monster trying to make a catch Sunday night. Hinch said last year's MVP Altuve could be Houston's designated hitter in Game 3 because he's still struggling with a knee he bruised in the ALDS.


    ''He's doing his best,'' Hinch said. ''It's not comfortable for him. I know he's, what we call grinding and battling and doing everything that he can. ... He's able to be a productive player. But he's battling a little bit.''
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